Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (NYSE:CHMI) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 25, 2026 05:00 PM ET Speaker5Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation's fourth quarter, 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press *11 on your telephone. To remove yourself from the queue, you may ...

Deposit account rates are on the decline. The good news: You can lock in a competitive return on a certificate of deposit (CD) today and preserve your earning power. In fact, the best CDs still pay rates above 4%. Read on for a snapshot of CD rates today and where to find the best offers. Where are the best CD rates today? CDs today typically offer rates significantly higher than traditional savings accounts. Currently, the best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) generally offer rates around 4% to 4.5% AP ...

Deposit account rates are on the decline — but the good news is you can lock in a competitive return on a certificate of deposit (CD) today and preserve your earning power. In fact, the best CDs still pay rates above 4%. Read on for a snapshot of CD rates today and where to find the best offers. Where are the best CD rates today? CDs today typically offer rates significantly higher than traditional savings accounts. Currently, the best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) generally offer rates around 4% APY ...

Key Takeaways ABR is slated to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 27, with EPS estimated to be 21 cents.Net interest income is projected to be $219.5M, down 8.8% year over year.Mortgage servicing and gain-on-sale revenues are expected to have declined year over year.Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is slated to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 27, 2026. The company is likely to have registered year-over-year declines in interest income and earnings.In the last reported quarter, this New York-headquartered real es ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARMOUR reported a total economic return of 10.63% for Q4 2025, benefiting from MBS spreads tightening and a lower interest rate environment [4] - GAAP net income available to common stockholders was $208.7 million, or $1.86 per share, with net interest income at $50.4 million [4] - Distributable earnings available to common stockholders was $79.8 million, or $0.71 per common share [4] - Quarter-end book value increased to $18.63 per common share, up 6.5% from September 30 [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARMOUR's mortgage assets now total over $20 billion, with a portfolio growth of more than 10% from the end of Q3 2025 [9] - The portfolio remains nearly 100% agency MBS, agency CMBS, or US Treasuries, with over $3 billion of MBS pools added in Q4 and early Q1 [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market is experiencing declining rate volatility and easing funding costs, supported by the Fed's efforts to lower rates [10] - Aggregate portfolio prepayments averaged 11.1 CPR through Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 to date, compared to 8.1 CPR in Q3 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - ARMOUR views agency MBS as a high conviction opportunity, with a strategy focused on stress testing liquidity and systematic hedging [9][20] - The company aims to maintain an attractive and stable dividend, with a medium-term outlook [7][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the current market conditions, anticipating continued favorable returns from MBS [10][20] - The administration's focus on lowering mortgage spreads is expected to support a stable mortgage market, with GSEs playing a crucial role [10] Other Important Information - ARMOUR raised approximately $3.8 million of capital by issuing preferred stock and has raised about $138 million under its common-at-the-market program [6][5] - The company has launched a new investor presentation to provide additional insights into its portfolio transformation [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for portfolio and interest-bearing assets growth in 2026 - Management indicated that growth depends on market behavior and capital raising opportunities [24] Question: Incremental returns on new investments - Current levered yield on 30-year 5s is around 15%, with potential for further spread tightening [29] Question: Likelihood of government actions to lower mortgage rates - Management noted that while some actions have been taken, further measures may introduce complexities [34] Question: Current liquidity position - Liquidity is approximately 54% of total equity, reflecting moderate leverage and steady conditions [37] Question: Risk of faster prepayments with lower mortgage rates - Management acknowledged increased prepayment risk but stated that the portfolio is structured to mitigate this risk [39]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARMOUR reported a total economic return of 10.63% for Q4 2025, benefiting from MBS spreads tightening and a lower interest rate environment [4] - GAAP net income available to common stockholders was $208.7 million, or $1.86 per share, with net interest income at $50.4 million [4] - Distributable earnings available to common stockholders were $79.8 million, or $0.71 per common share [4] - Quarter-end book value increased to $18.63 per common share, up 6.5% from September 30 [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARMOUR's mortgage assets exceeded $20 billion, with a portfolio growth of over 10% from the end of Q3 2025 [8] - The portfolio remains nearly 100% agency MBS, agency CMBS, or US Treasuries, with a net balance sheet duration of 0.14 years [11] - Aggregate portfolio prepayments averaged 11.1 CPR through Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 to date, compared to 8.1 CPR in Q3 2025 [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market's appeal remains anchored in declining rate volatility and easing funding costs, supported by the Fed's efforts to lower rates [9] - The 30-year mortgage rate has remained in a tight 6%-6.3% band, with recent shifts toward the low end of that range [13] - Repo conditions have improved materially, with repo rates averaging roughly SOFR plus 15 basis points [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - ARMOUR views agency MBS as a high conviction opportunity, expecting continued favorable conditions in 2026 [8] - The company aims to maintain a consistent and predictable return profile for its assets, focusing on stress testing liquidity and systematic hedging [19] - The administration's focus on lowering mortgage spreads is expected to support a stable mortgage market, with GSEs playing a crucial role [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the positioning and strategy for 2026, highlighting the importance of capital raising and investment opportunities [23] - The company anticipates that further declines in mortgage rates will require lower long-end Treasury yields, which have not declined in sync with front-end rate cuts [14] - Management noted that the risk of faster prepayments has increased, but the portfolio has been structured to mitigate this risk [37] Other Important Information - ARMOUR raised approximately $3.8 million of capital by issuing preferred stock and around $138 million through its common-at-the-market program [5][6] - The company has declared cash dividends of $0.24 per outstanding common share for January and February 2026 [6] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for portfolio and interest-bearing assets growth in 2026 - Management indicated that growth depends on market behavior and capital raising opportunities, with no definitive outlook provided [23] Question: Incremental returns on new investments given spread tightening - Current levered yield on thirty of fives is around 15%, with potential for additional returns from further spread tightening and curve steepening [28][29] Question: Likelihood of government actions to lower mortgage rates - Management noted that while some actions have been taken, further steps may introduce complexities that could counteract the goal of stable mortgage spreads [33] Question: Current liquidity position and near-term outlook - Management confirmed liquidity at about 54% of total equity, reflecting moderate leverage and steady liquidity [36] Question: Risk of faster prepayments with lower mortgage rates - Management acknowledged the increased risk of faster prepayments but emphasized that the portfolio is structured to handle this risk [37]

Group 1 - The bond market is presenting significant investment opportunities for the first time since 2009, potentially rivaling the S&P 500 Index in returns over the next few years [2][3] - Fixed income is stabilizing as central banks shift from inflation control to policy normalization, indicating a favorable environment for bond investments [3] - The Invesco Equal Weight 0-30 Year Treasury ETF (GOVI) is suggested as a less volatile bond market proxy compared to the more volatile 20+ Year Treas Bond Ishares ETF (TLT) [4][7] Group 2 - The case for bond outperformance in 2026 is based on two trends: high yield attractiveness compared to the past two decades and a steepening yield curve [8] - The current yield curve is characterized by a K-shaped pattern, with short-term segments inverted and long-term segments sloping upward, suggesting potential for steepening if the Federal Reserve cuts rates [9]

Core Insights - Deposit account rates are declining, but competitive returns on certificates of deposit (CDs) can still be locked in, with the best CDs offering rates above 4% [1] Group 1: Current CD Rates - The best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) currently offer rates around 4% to 4.5% APY, with Marcus by Goldman Sachs offering the highest rate of 4% APY on its 1-year CD [2] - Historical trends show that average one-year CD rates fell to around 1% APY by 2009, with five-year CDs at less than 2% APY following the 2008 financial crisis [2] - By 2013, average rates on 6-month CDs dropped to about 0.1% APY, while 5-year CDs returned an average of 0.8% APY due to the Federal Reserve's policies [3] Group 2: Historical Context - Between 2015 and 2018, the Federal Reserve's gradual rate increases led to a slight improvement in CD rates, marking the end of nearly a decade of ultra-low rates [4] - The COVID-19 pandemic prompted emergency rate cuts by the Fed, causing CD rates to fall to new record lows [4] - Following the pandemic, inflation led the Fed to hike rates 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023, resulting in higher APYs on savings products, including CDs [5] Group 3: Future Trends - As of September 2024, the Fed began cutting the federal funds rate, leading to a steady decline in CD rates from their peak, although they remain high by historical standards [6] - Traditionally, longer-term CDs offered higher interest rates, but currently, the highest average CD rate is for a 12-month term, indicating a flattening or inversion of the yield curve [6][7] Group 4: Choosing the Best CD - When selecting a CD, factors such as goals, type of financial institution, account terms, and inflation should be considered to ensure the best fit for individual needs [8]

From New York City for viewers worldwide, I'm Scarlet Fu. The new one hour edition of Bloomberg Real Yield starts right now. Coming up, traders adding to rate cut bets on the heels of weaker than expected jobs data.We'll be getting insight from Oksana ARONOFF of JPMorgan Asset Management and Jeff Sherman of DoubleLine Capital. And a sell off in software debt pushes billions of dollars of loans into distressed territory. We begin with the big issue, the health of the US economy.We haven't yet really seen a t ...

Core Insights - Deposit account rates are declining, but competitive returns on certificates of deposit (CDs) can still be locked in, with the best CDs offering rates above 4% [1] Group 1: Current CD Rates - The best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) currently offer rates around 4% to 4.5% APY, with the highest rate at 4% APY from Marcus by Goldman Sachs for a 1-year term, requiring a minimum deposit of $500 [2] - CD rates today are significantly higher than traditional savings accounts, indicating a favorable environment for investors seeking fixed returns [2] Group 2: Historical Context - CD rates experienced a decline following the 2008 financial crisis, with average one-year CDs paying around 1% APY by 2009 and five-year CDs at less than 2% APY [3] - The trend of falling CD rates continued into the 2010s, with average rates on 6-month CDs dropping to about 0.1% APY by 2013 [4] - A slight improvement in CD rates occurred between 2015 and 2018 as the Federal Reserve began increasing rates, but the COVID-19 pandemic led to emergency rate cuts, causing new record lows [5] Group 3: Recent Developments - Following the pandemic, inflation prompted the Federal Reserve to hike rates 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023, resulting in higher APYs on savings products, including CDs [6] - As of September 2024, the Federal Reserve started cutting the federal funds rate, leading to a steady decline in CD rates from their peak, although they remain high by historical standards [7] Group 4: Understanding CD Rates - Traditionally, longer-term CDs offer higher interest rates, but the current highest average CD rate is for a 12-month term, indicating a flattening or inversion of the yield curve [8] - Factors to consider when choosing a CD include goals for locking away funds, type of financial institution, account terms, and inflation considerations [9]