俄乌和谈
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整理:俄乌冲突最新24小时局势跟踪(5月1日)
news flash· 2025-04-30 22:25
Conflict Situation - Russian air defense forces reportedly destroyed 34 Ukrainian drones during the night [1] - Ukrainian officials confirmed a drone attack on Russian defense facilities in the Vladimir region [1] - The intensity of Russian military operations has significantly increased, focusing on the Pokrovsk direction [1] - Russian President Putin stated that some Ukrainian troops are hiding in basements in the Kursk region, with intercepted communications indicating requests for evacuation assistance [1] Negotiation Situation - The Kremlin spokesperson Peskov confirmed that Russia is ready for direct talks with Ukraine [2] - Ukrainian Foreign Minister reiterated Kyiv's willingness to engage in peace negotiations, contingent on a 30-day ceasefire, and expressed openness to a 60 or 90-day ceasefire if Russia agrees [2] - The Ukrainian Prime Minister stated that Ukraine will retain control over all resources in the agreement with the U.S. [2] Other Situations - The Secretary of the Russian Security Council commented on Europe's attempts to prevent normalization of U.S.-Russia relations [4] - The U.S. and Ukraine reached an agreement regarding access to Ukraine's natural resources [5] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant highlighted that the U.S.-Ukraine economic partnership agreement allows for joint investments to "unlock Ukraine's growth assets" [5] - The U.S. Treasury announced the establishment of a U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund [5]
兴业期货:关税、和谈与政策预期交织 白银长期多配思路未变
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-03-25 06:05
兴业期货:关税、和谈与政策预期交织 白银长期多 配思路未变 【白银期货行情表现】 3月25日,沪银主力暂报8243元/克,涨幅达0.50%,今日沪银主力开盘价8233元/克,截至目前最高 8259元/克,最低8196元/克。 美国和俄罗斯官员周一在沙特阿拉伯举行会谈,华盛顿希望在达成更广泛的协议之前达成一项单独 的黑海海上停火协议,双方或将于3月25日发布联合声明,为俄乌冲突释放首个缓和信号。 美国3月标普全球制造业PMI初值49.8,为3个月以来新低,预期51.8,2月终值52.7;服务业PMI初 值54.3,预期50.8,2月终值51;综合PMI初值53.5,2月终值51.6。 【机构观点】 兴业期货:关税、和谈与政策预期交织 白银长期多配思路未变 特朗普对等关税措施或比预期更温和。CME数据显示,市场预期美联储年内降息1-2次,其中年内 降息2次的概率近期有所回落,美元指数小幅反弹。贵金属货币属性增强的长期上行驱动未变,但短期 关税预期即将兑现、俄乌和谈、以及美联储宽松预期反复等扰动因素增加。维持贵金属多配思路。 【宏观消息】 美国总统特朗普宣布,将对购买委内瑞拉石油和天然气的国家征收25%的关税,相关 ...