国际社会齐聚谈判桌，对于已延宕多年的俄乌冲突而言，是否意味着和平又近了一步？ 2026年2月24日，俄乌冲突已悄然步入第五年。 四年来，前线战事不断绵延，俄乌双方几易攻守之势。但是在过去一年里，和谈成为了高频词汇：俄乌 双方通过多个渠道展开接触与谈判，国际社会也参与斡旋多边谈判。各方试图推动对话，于冲突的间隙 中探寻和平曙光。 就在俄乌冲突步入第五年之际，2月17日-18日，俄美乌三方在日内瓦举行新一轮谈判。据央视新闻报 道，2月20日，乌克兰总统泽连斯基听取乌谈判小组汇报后表示，结束冲突的真正机会依然存在。按照 乌方说法，下一轮三方会谈预计于27日前后举行。 从去年上半年俄乌之间的伊斯坦布尔系列会议，到下半年围绕美国特朗普政府抛出的和平计划草案谈 判，再到2026年在阿联酋和瑞士进行的美俄乌三方会谈，国际社会齐聚谈判桌，对于已延宕多年的俄乌 冲突而言，是否意味着和平又近了一步？ 和谈的大门没有关上 经过数周外交斡旋与立场协调，美俄初步就推动俄乌重启直接对话达成共识。美方在传递俄方立场的同 时，也向乌方施加了一定压力，促使基辅方面调整谈判姿态。与此同时，土耳其作为传统调解方，积极 提供谈判场地与后勤支持，为后 ...

期货研究报告 2026年02月24日 周报 PTA期货：原油带动PTA高开走高 师秀明 投资咨询从业资格号：F0255552 shixiuming@nzfco.com 报告导读： 1、市场回顾与展望：市场依然担忧美伊关系的不确定性，叠加俄乌和谈暂无实质性进展，春节期间国际油 价上涨。美伊近期呈现"边谈边打"的紧张对峙，随着特朗普给伊朗划定的"10～15天最后通牒"临近，不确 定性仍存。受原油带动影响，节后PTA高开走高。 2、需求端偏弱平衡表持续累库，PTA去库压力仍较大。地缘政治原因油价走强对市场形成一定支撑。短期 主要受原油走强带动。 关注因素：1.聚酯开工率；2.PTA检修；3.织机开工率；4、PX调整需求；5、原油走势。 | PTA | 单位 | 最新一周 | 上一期 | 周度环比变化量 | 周度环比变化率 | 频率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | PTA期货（连续） | 元/吨 | 5130.00 | 5122.00 | 8.00 | 0.16% | 日度 | | PTA产量 | 万吨 | 145.54 | 146.42 | -0.88 ...

中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚所研究员张弘表示，本轮会谈显示出，俄乌和谈进入了"深水区"和关键 时期。中国现代国际关系研究院欧亚所副所长陈宇分析称，这次俄方代表团层级的提高和组成人员的变 化，可能意味着俄罗斯的策略逐渐转向主动塑造谈判进程，进而获取更多利益。 当地时间2月17日至18日，俄美乌三方在日内瓦举行新一轮谈判。18日在谈判结束后，俄方称谈判"务实 高效"，乌方称讨论内容深入且具有实质意义，美方表示各方同意继续谈判。但目前有关下一轮谈判的 细节尚未公布。本轮谈判首次将领土问题纳入讨论议程，欧洲国家也以"场边参与"的形式介入会谈。 ...

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 2 月 11 日星期三 研究员：吴志桥 从业资格：F3085283 交易咨询资格：Z0019267 联系方式：15000295386 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【行情复盘】 | 周二夜盘瓶片主力价格上涨 | 20 | 元至 | 6172 | 元/吨。华东水瓶级瓶片价格 | 6260 | 元/吨 | | | | | | | | | | | （+15），华南瓶片价格 | 6285 | 元/吨（+10）。持仓方面，多头持仓减少 | 860 | 手至 | 6.69 | 万手，空头持仓减少 | 1525 | 手至 | 6.9 | 万手。 | | | | | | | | 【重 ...

在俄乌结束冲突问题上，泽连斯基说，"美国人提议俄乌在今夏之前结束战争，他们可能按照这个时间 表向俄乌双方施压。"他认为，美方之所以选择今年夏天作为"最后期限"，是因为届时美国国会中期选 举竞选活动将要开始，"选举对他们来说绝对更重要"。 泽连斯基说，美方提议在同一时间签署有关停战的所有协议，但他认为这并非正确做法。乌方此前已向 美方提议"分阶段停战"，明确各方"在什么时间，什么阶段，需要做什么"。 来源：新华网 新华社基辅2月7日电（记者李东旭）据乌克兰媒体7日报道，乌克兰总统泽连斯基针对俄乌结束冲突、 领土、对乌安全保障等三大问题表明最新立场。 泽连斯基强调，乌克兰与欧盟必须签署乌入盟协议，并制定乌快速入盟的行动路线图，"这确实应成为 乌克兰乃至整个欧洲的安全保障"。 泽连斯基还向媒体表示，美方提议在美国举行下一轮美乌俄三方会谈，会谈可能于一周内在美国迈阿密 举行，乌方已确认参加。 在领土问题上，泽连斯基表示，领土问题应在三方领导人层面解决。乌美俄三方日前在阿联酋阿布扎比 举行的会谈未能解决领土问题。他还说，美方在会谈期间再次提出在顿巴斯地区设立"自由经济区"， 但"无论是乌克兰还是俄罗斯，都从未支持建立' ...

责任编辑：刘万里 SF014 #俄美乌三方谈判开始#【首次三方 "群聊" 上线 #俄乌和谈进入凶险博弈#？】#俄乌谈判的最大变数是 调解人#美乌首脑达沃斯会晤之后，美方代表星夜赶赴莫斯科与普京见面。23日，俄美乌三方会谈在阿 联酋开启。目不暇接的会晤之下，俄乌之间是正在接近和平曙光，还是进入了更凶险的博弈回合？乌克 兰"国家"网站报道说，特朗普可能要求泽连斯基从顿涅茨克撤军，并不允许在乌克兰部署欧洲军队。泽 连斯基是否会同意上述要求，将取决于特朗普的施压力度，例如美国会否停止向基辅提供武器和情报 等。乌克兰媒体承认，这些猜测令人不安。有西方官员甚至坦言：我们正在目睹一场调解人本身就是最 大变数的谈判。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the escalation of tensions between Russia and Ukraine following an alleged drone attack by Ukraine on President Putin's residence, which Russia claims was a terrorist act aimed at disrupting peace talks [1][2][4] - Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that the attack involved 91 long-range drones and emphasized that Russia would retaliate, indicating a potential shift in Russia's negotiation stance [1][4] - Ukrainian President Zelensky dismissed Russia's claims as fabrications, asserting that the attack was intended to undermine the peace process and that Russia was using the incident to justify further military actions [2][4] Group 2 - The incident occurred shortly after a meeting between U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky, suggesting that the timing was significant and may impact U.S.-Ukraine relations [2][3] - Trump expressed shock and anger over the attack, indicating that it could affect how the U.S. collaborates with Ukraine moving forward, and he noted the precarious nature of the situation [3][4] - Analysts suggest that Russia may adopt a more hardline negotiation position, potentially expanding territorial claims beyond the Donbas region to include areas like Zaporizhia and Kherson [4][5] Group 3 - Russia's response to the attack may include military actions targeting Zelensky personally, as well as continued strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure and government facilities [5] - The situation is seen as a potential catalyst for further escalation of the conflict, with the U.S. response being crucial in determining the future dynamics of the negotiations [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a recent drone incident that has complicated the peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, occurring shortly after a meeting between U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky, where they reportedly made significant progress on a peace plan [3][4]. Group 1: Incident Overview - On the night of December 28 to 29, Russian defense forces intercepted or shot down 91 Ukrainian drones aimed at the presidential residence, with no reported injuries or damages [3]. - Following the drone incident, President Putin indicated that Russia would reassess its negotiation stance with Ukraine and warned of severe responses to such actions [6]. - Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov labeled the drone attack as "state terrorism," although he did not provide evidence to support this claim [6]. Group 2: U.S.-Ukraine Relations - During the meeting at Mar-a-Lago, Trump and Zelensky discussed a 20-point peace plan, with Zelensky claiming that 90% of it had been completed [3][4]. - Trump expressed frustration over the drone incident, suggesting it would affect U.S. collaboration with Ukraine and advised Zelensky to focus on achieving a comprehensive agreement rather than seeking temporary relief for frontline troops [6]. Group 3: Ongoing Negotiation Challenges - Despite four face-to-face meetings between U.S. and Ukrainian leaders this year, significant gaps remain in advancing bilateral relations and peace talks [8]. - Zelensky is seeking to extend U.S. security guarantees from 15 years to potentially 30, 40, or even 50 years, emphasizing that without effective security assurances, the conflict will persist [8]. - Key unresolved issues include territorial disputes and the operation of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, which are critical to the peace plan's success [9].

Group 1 - The recent drone incident has added uncertainty to the prospects of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine [2][3] - Russia's defense forces intercepted or shot down 91 Ukrainian drones targeting the presidential residence, with no casualties reported [2] - Following a meeting between U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky, both leaders indicated significant progress towards a peace agreement, with 90% of a 20-point peace plan reportedly completed [2][3] Group 2 - Putin stated that Russia is reassessing its negotiation stance due to the drone attack and warned of severe responses to such actions [4] - Zelensky dismissed Russia's claims as fabrications aimed at justifying continued attacks on Ukraine and undermining the peace process [4] - The ongoing discussions between Trump and Zelensky revealed unresolved issues, including the duration of U.S. security guarantees and territorial disputes, which are critical to the peace plan [5][6] Group 3 - Ukraine's relationship with NATO remains contentious, with internal disagreements about Ukraine's potential membership [6] - Zelensky's fluctuating stance on NATO membership reflects the complexities of the ongoing conflict and negotiations [7] - Despite a more amicable atmosphere in talks, substantial consensus on key issues such as territorial disputes and post-war reconstruction has yet to be achieved [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a recent phone call between U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin, where Trump expressed anger over a reported drone attack on Putin's residence in Ukraine, indicating the sensitivity of the current geopolitical situation [1]. Group 1: U.S.-Russia Relations - Trump stated that attacking Putin's residence is inappropriate at this time, emphasizing the delicate nature of the ongoing situation [1]. - The comments may reflect the ongoing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, suggesting a potential impact on diplomatic efforts [1]. Group 2: Ukrainian Response - Ukrainian President Zelensky dismissed the claims of the attack on Putin's residence as fabricated, suggesting it is a pretext for further assaults on Ukraine [1].