U.S. retail sales slowed in April compared to the prior month. However, the sector has shown immense resilience amid price pressure and tariff threats. Retail sales grew in April, which is a positive sign for the sector and the economy.Moreover, President Donald Trump announced a temporary pause on tariffs after the United States and China reached a trade truce last weekend. Also, the White House said that more trade deals are upcoming as negotiations with other countries are ongoing.This is likely to benef ...

Headline Figures HS 89% Sales value (amount spent) growth March 2025 vs. March 2024 *Seasonally adjusted, excluding fuel Including fuel +2.7% FB 307 Sales volume (items purchased) growth March 2025 vs. March 2024 *Seasonally adjusted, excluding fuel Including fuel +2.6% -2.9% Retail Sales Dashboard March 2025 A monthly overview of UK retail sales performance, including key metrics on core sub-sectors and e-commerce. Sales value (amount spent) growth Most recent 3 months YoY growth Sales volume (items purcha ...

UK Logistics Market Dashboard Listed real estate April 2025 Investment market Capital composition (%) Industrial & logistics - Investment total =Q1 ■Q2 ■Q3 ■Q4 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 MIP 8,000 3 6,000 4,000 2,000 * Q2 2025 figure is incomplete Source: Knight Frank Insight, RCA User / Other = Private = Listed Property Company / REIT = Institutional = Cross-Border 100% 11 11 90% 16 17 12 80% 12 70% 60% 50% 40% 64 30% 57 5 20% 10% 0% 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 (ytd) Yields Industria ...

JD.com JD.OQ JD US EQUITY: MEDIA & INTERNET Aspires to cultivate a new growth driver from FD JD Retail business remains solid; maintain Buy with a lower TP of USD52 Stronger-than-expected 1Q results; full-year revenue guidance raised JD reported stronger-than-expected 1Q25 results. Its non-GAAP EPS increased 49% y- y, 25%/15% above Bloomberg consensus/our forecasts; and revenue grew 16% y-y, 4% above the consensus estimate of 12% growth. The company also raised the FY25E revenue guidance from "high-single-d ...

Group 1: Walmart's Performance - Walmart's results showed better-than-expected comparable sales, with its domestic e-commerce business becoming profitable for the first time [1] - The 'general merchandise' category faced slight negative comps, particularly in electronics, home, and sporting goods, although there was positive momentum in toys, automotive, and kids apparel [2][3] - Walmart's ability to provide guidance amidst operational uncertainty is a positive sign for investors [1] Group 2: Target's Challenges - Target's shares have significantly underperformed, losing over 25% of their value this year, while Walmart's shares have increased by more than 8% [5] - Target is expected to report a decline in EPS by 17.2% year-over-year, with same-store sales projected to decrease by 1.7% [5] - Target's vulnerability to global trade issues is greater than Walmart's, as Walmart sources two-thirds of its merchandise domestically [6] Group 3: Home Improvement Retailers - Home Depot and Lowe's are facing challenges due to high interest rates affecting the housing market, which is impacting discretionary spending on home improvement [10][11] - Home Depot is expected to report a slight decline in EPS of 1.1% year-over-year, while Lowe's is projected to see a decline of 1.99% in comps [14][15] - The overall operating environment for home improvement retailers remains difficult, with a focus on repair and replacement rather than new projects [13] Group 4: Retail Sector Overview - The retail sector has seen a 16.7% increase in total Q1 earnings for 21 retailers in the S&P 500, with 57.1% beating EPS estimates [18] - The earnings growth for the sector is significantly influenced by Amazon, with the group outside of Amazon showing a decline in earnings despite revenue growth [20][22] - The overall earnings picture for the retail sector indicates a stabilization trend, although estimates for Q2 have been cut more than usual [35][39]

Core Insights - Boot Barn's shares surged 34% this week due to tariff relaxation on Chinese imports and positive fiscal fourth-quarter earnings guidance [1][2] - Despite missing revenue expectations, the company's forward guidance and commentary on tariff mitigation led to a significant recovery in stock price [2][5] Financial Performance - For the quarter ending March 29, Boot Barn reported a revenue increase of 16.8% to $453.7 million, with same-store sales growth of 6% and earnings per share of $1.22, reflecting a 27% increase [3][6] - Although the reported results were strong, they fell short of analyst expectations, who anticipated higher consumer demand due to impending tariffs [5] Future Outlook - CEO John Hazen projected 65 to 70 new store openings for the upcoming fiscal year, which would represent a nearly 15% increase in store count compared to the previous year [6] - Management forecasted flat same-store sales at the midpoint for the year ahead, which was considered better than expected given low consumer confidence [6] Tariff Mitigation Strategy - The company plans to reduce its exposure to China, decreasing the percentage of exclusive brands sourced from China from 24% in fiscal 2025 to 12% in 2026 [7] - The recent agreement to roll back retaliatory tariffs will still leave a 30% tariff on Chinese imports, down from 145% [7] Market Position - Despite the recent rally, Boot Barn's stock remains approximately 12% below its all-time highs set in January [9] - The stock trades at around 26.5 times the midpoint of this year's earnings guidance, which is considered high for a fashion-oriented retailer in an uncertain economic climate [9][10]

Retail Sales Overview - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.1% in April following a revised 1.7% increase in March, contrary to economists' expectations of no change [1] - The March increase was influenced by consumers making purchases in anticipation of tariff announcements [1] Sector Performance - The largest increases in April were in food services and drinking places (1.2%), building material and garden equipment supplies (0.8%), furniture (0.3%), and electronics and appliances stores (0.3%) [2] - Sales excluding food services, auto dealers, building materials stores, and gasoline stations decreased by 0.2%, below the revised 0.5% gain in March and forecasts of a 0.3% rise [2] Winning Areas Food Services and Drinking Places - Sales in this sector rose by 1.2% sequentially in April and 7.8% year over year [4] - AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (EATZ) focuses on companies deriving at least 50% of their revenue from the restaurant business [4] - BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) operates high-end casual dining restaurants and has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [5] Building Material & Garden Equipment & Supplies Dealers - This segment experienced a 0.8% sequential sales gain and a 3.2% year-over-year increase [6] - Broad-based retail ETFs like Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) and VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) are relevant for this sector [6] - Vulcan Materials (VMC) is the largest supplier of construction aggregates in the U.S. and has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [7] Electronics & Appliance Stores - Sales in this category increased by 0.3% sequentially in April and 0.1% year over year [8] - The rise in electronics sales is expected to benefit semiconductor funds and stocks [8] - VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tracks companies involved in semiconductor production and charges 35 bps in fees [8] - Universal Electronics (UEIC) is a leader in universal control and sensing technologies for smart homes and has a Zacks Rank 3 [9]

ab 16 May 2025 Powered by YES UBS Evidence Lab Global Research The market is likely undervaluing the long-term value in NZ electricity retail, with household electricity prices capable of growing at +5% p.a. over the next 5 years, exceeding CPI. With the retail segment comprising ~30% of demand, this should benefit sector profitability, particularly for bundled (MCY) or low cost to serve (CEN) operators. However, we expect retail EBITDA margins to only gradually increase from -20% in FY25e back towards +4% ...

With consumers staying price-conscious in a choppy economy, off-price retail continues to gain traction, and two major players dominate the space: The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) and Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) . As inflation-weary shoppers look for value, both retailers have shown strong resilience. But for investors, the key question is: Which stock offers better upside right now?TJX and ROST both operate in the off-price retail segment, offering well-known brands in clothing, home goods, and accessories at st ...

即时零售大战最近打得如火如荼，这种热火朝天的"战争感"近几年已经非常罕见了。京东与美团角逐外卖市场时，我 们尚可以用"高频外卖带低频电商"和"引入新增长潜力"进行解读，但随着淘宝闪购的高调推出，许多朋友就要显得十 分迷茫： 1）过去几年阿里一直在做"减法"，如卖掉了线下零售企业大润发和银泰，长期亏损企业也在追求盈利性（如盒 马），甚至此前一度传言饿了么要卖身字节，淘宝闪购似乎与上述趋势相悖； 2）闪购概念并不新颖，从之前的O2O到后来的新零售，无论是理论还是实践与闪购并无太大差异（均为线上线下的 深度融合），只是以往十余年除外卖之外理论照进现实的案例实属寥寥，此时又重提旧话着实令人吃惊。 新零售本质乃是希望可以完全打通线上和线下不同零售渠道，实现零售要素的互通，以重构新的零售业态。该理论有 理论依据，也满足行业痛点，但很遗憾在具体实施中可谓是困难重重，成绩并不突出，理想的阳光怎么就照不进现实 的大门呢？ 上图为A股上市的百货及购物中心企业过往的营收增长情况，2010年之后行业增速便急剧下行，联系到彼时恰是电商 企业突飞猛进之时，营收走弱的原因是显而易见且是必然的，电商作为行业新的业态夺走了购物中心的光芒。 如 ...