Earnings ESP
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Why Franco-Nevada (FNV) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Franco-Nevada (FNV) is a strong candidate for investors looking for stocks that consistently beat earnings estimates, particularly in the precious metals streaming and royalty sector [1]. Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Franco-Nevada achieved earnings of $1.24 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.1 per share, resulting in a surprise of 12.73% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to earn $1 per share but reported $1.07 per share, delivering a surprise of 7.00% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Franco-Nevada, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - The current Earnings ESP for Franco-Nevada is +5.63%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) indicates a high probability of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7].
Why Fox (FOX) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Fox Corporation (FOX) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1][2]. Earnings Performance - Fox has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 18.94% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Fox reported earnings of $1.27 per share, exceeding the expected $1.03 per share by 23.30% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported $1.1 per share against an expectation of $0.96 per share, resulting in a surprise of 14.58% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Fox have been trending upward, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5]. - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +11.87%, indicating recent bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]. Upcoming Earnings Report - Fox's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on October 30, 2025 [8].
Will International Flavors (IFF) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 17:11
Core Viewpoint - International Flavors (IFF) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the upcoming quarterly report [1]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - International Flavors has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 5.37% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.15 per share, exceeding the expected $1.11 per share, resulting in a surprise of 3.60% [3]. - For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $1.12 per share, while the actual earnings were $1.20 per share, leading to a surprise of 7.14% [3]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for International Flavors, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [6]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - Currently, International Flavors has an Earnings ESP of +3.36%, suggesting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9]. Group 3: Upcoming Earnings Report - The next earnings report for International Flavors is expected to be released on November 4, 2025 [9].
Will Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 17:11
Core Insights - Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, with a history of surpassing earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, averaging a surprise of 8.40% [1][5] Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Group 1 Automotive achieved earnings of $11.52 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.31 per share, resulting in a surprise of 11.74% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $9.68 per share but delivered $10.17 per share, yielding a surprise of 5.06% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Group 1 Automotive, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat, especially given its solid Zacks Rank [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Group 1 Automotive stands at +2.08%, suggesting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [8] Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate [7]
After Record Q3 Deliveries, Can Tesla Deliver an Earnings Beat?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 16:25
Core Insights - Tesla is set to release its third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, focusing on vehicle deliveries and automotive profit margins [1] - The company has missed earnings estimates in two of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 3.65% [1] Q2 Highlights - In Q2 2025, Tesla produced 410,244 units, a slight decline of 0.1% year over year, missing the estimate of 453,081 units [2] - Vehicle deliveries totaled 384,122, down 13.5% year over year, and also below the estimate of 420,079 units [2] - The Model 3/Y accounted for 373,728 deliveries, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year decline and falling short of expectations [2] Revenue Performance - Total automotive revenues for Q2 2025 were $16.7 billion, down 16% year over year, and below the estimate of $18.3 billion [3] - Revenues from the sale of regulatory credits decreased by 50.7% year over year, contributing $439 million to the total [3] - Excluding leasing and regulatory credits, automotive sales totaled $15.8 billion, missing projections of $17.4 billion due to lower deliveries [3] Q3 Deliveries and Projections - In Q3 2025, Tesla delivered a record 497,099 vehicles, a 7.4% increase year over year, surpassing the estimate of 435,370 units [4][9] - The expiration of the $7,500 EV tax credit at the end of September likely spurred demand, as customers rushed to purchase vehicles [4] - The Model 3/Y remains the most successful EV, with 481,166 deliveries in Q3, exceeding expectations [5] Revenue Forecasts - Automotive revenues for Q3 are forecasted at $18.8 billion, representing a decline of approximately 6% year over year, but likely stronger due to higher-than-expected deliveries [6] - Despite tariff impacts, the cost of automotive sales is expected to decrease by 1.5% year over year in Q3 2025 [6] Overall Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 sales is $26.27 billion, with earnings projected at 52 cents per share [7][9] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share has increased by 2 cents over the past week [7] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for Tesla, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +10.08% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8][10]
GE Vernova (GEV) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates GE Vernova (GEV) to report a significant year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - GE Vernova is expected to post earnings of $1.78 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +408.6%, with revenues projected at $9.18 billion, up 3% from the previous year [3][19]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.87% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4][19]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for GE Vernova is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +8.33%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12][19]. - Despite the positive Earnings ESP, the stock holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12][20]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, GE Vernova exceeded the expected earnings of $1.6 per share, achieving actual earnings of $1.86, which was a surprise of +16.25% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Market Sentiment - The upcoming earnings report on October 22 could lead to stock price movements depending on whether the results meet or exceed expectations [2][20]. - While a positive earnings surprise can enhance stock performance, other factors may also influence market reactions [15][17].
First American Financial (FAF) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - First American Financial (FAF) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on October 22, with a consensus estimate of $1.42 per share, reflecting a +6% year-over-year change. Revenues are projected to be $1.86 billion, up 32.1% from the previous year [3][2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.16% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for First American Financial is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.32%. However, the stock holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. - Historical performance shows that First American Financial has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +9.29% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. Industry Context - In the broader context of the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry, Selective Insurance is expected to post earnings of $1.84 per share for the same quarter, indicating a +31.4% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $1.35 billion, up 8.7% [18][19].
Lithia Motors (LAD) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Lithia Motors (LAD) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being crucial for the stock's near-term price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $8.84 per share, reflecting a +7.7% change year-over-year, and revenues of $9.67 billion, which is a 4.9% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.06% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive adjustment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Lithia Motors is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.14%, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a beat on the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lithia Motors exceeded the expected earnings of $9.78 per share by delivering $10.24, resulting in a surprise of +4.70% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - While Lithia Motors may not be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].
TowneBank (TOWN) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for TowneBank, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates, which could significantly impact stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - TowneBank is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.75 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +29.3% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $218.1 million, representing a 24.2% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TowneBank matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [8][9]. - TowneBank's current Zacks Rank is 3, which complicates predictions regarding an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TowneBank exceeded the expected earnings of $0.69 per share by delivering $0.81, resulting in a surprise of +17.39% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, TowneBank has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - While TowneBank does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [16].
Tesla (TSLA) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Financial Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Tesla is $0.52 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 27.8%. Revenues are projected to be $26.27 billion, which is a 4.3% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.45% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Potential - Tesla's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +10.08%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Tesla was expected to post earnings of $0.39 per share but exceeded this with actual earnings of $0.40, resulting in a surprise of +2.56% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Tesla has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Comparison - General Motors is expected to report earnings per share of $2.25 for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year decline of 24%. Revenues are projected to be $44.19 billion, down 9.4% from the previous year [18][19]. - General Motors has seen a 4.7% upward revision in its consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +5.2% [19].