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Wall Street Rally, Small Caps Rocket On Fed Dovish Remarks: What's Moving Markets Friday?
Benzinga· 2025-11-21 18:24
Market Overview - Wall Street experienced a significant rebound after a volatile week, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials suggesting potential rate cuts next month [1][2] - The probability of a December rate cut surged to approximately 70%, up from 25% the previous day, indicating a rapid shift in market expectations [3] Sector Performance - Interest-sensitive stocks rallied strongly, with the small-cap Russell 2000 rising by 2.8%, marking its best single-day gain since late August [3] - All 11 S&P 500 sectors saw gains, particularly basic materials and consumer discretionary, both increasing by 2.6% [3] Homebuilders - Homebuilder stocks, tracked by the State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilder ETF (NYSE:XHB), surged by 5.3%, the best performance since April 9, with D.R. Horton Inc. (NYSE:DHI) climbing over 7% [4] Treasury Yields - Following the dovish shift, Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year note dropping to 4.05%, the lowest level since late October [4] AI Sector - Despite the overall positive market tone, investors continued to sell off AI stocks with high valuations, with Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL) declining by 5% on Friday, extending its weekly loss to 10% [5] Commodities - Oil prices decreased by 2% after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed openness to peace talks, raising concerns about oversupply [6] Cryptocurrency - The cryptocurrency market remained under pressure, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) falling to an intraday low of $80,000 before recovering to $85,000, down 1.7% for the day [7] Major Indices Performance - Major U.S. indices showed positive performance, with the Russell 2000 up 2.7%, Dow Jones up 1.5%, S&P 500 up 1.2%, and Nasdaq 100 up 1.0% [8] Top Gainers and Laggards - Top gainers in the Russell 1000 included WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:WSC) up 11.89% and CAVA Group Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) up 10.57% [9] - Top laggards included Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) down 12.83% and Veeva Systems Inc. (NYSE:VEEV) down 10.55% [10]
Gap Inc. CEO discusses brand's Q3 momentum, what to expect for Thanksgiving turkey prices this year
Youtube· 2025-11-21 18:13
Market Overview - The US stock market is experiencing volatility, with the Dow up about 0.5%, S&P 500 up 0.4%, and Nasdaq up 0.3% during the trading session [2] - Comments from John Williams, the governor of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, suggesting openness to a rate cut in December have influenced market movements [3][5] - The NASDAQ composite is down over 3% for the week, indicating ongoing market challenges [3] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin has seen significant losses, breaking below $85,000, with a slight bounce off recent lows [7] - The cryptocurrency market is under pressure, reflecting broader market sentiment and risk appetite [50] Retail Sector Performance - Gap Inc. reported a strong third quarter, raising its full-year forecast after comparable sales increased by 5% year-over-year [9][11] - Old Navy, Gap, and Banana Republic all showed positive sales growth, with Old Navy up 6% and Gap up 7% [12] - The retailer's strategy, including a successful denim campaign, has contributed to its positive performance [12][15] Consumer Sentiment - The University of Michigan's November consumer sentiment index came in at 51, slightly above the estimate of 50.6, indicating a modest improvement in consumer outlook [7] Technical Market Analysis - The S&P 500 has closed below key technical levels, raising concerns about potential further losses [32][33] - The 50-day moving average has been a focal point, with a breakdown suggesting reduced structural support for the market [34] - The VIX index has spiked, indicating increased market volatility and potential fear among investors [37][40] Company-Specific Insights - Intuit reported stronger-than-expected results for its fiscal first quarter, with an 18% growth in its business platform and a 21% growth in its consumer platform [84][86] - The company has signed a $100 million partnership with OpenAI, aiming to enhance its service offerings through AI integration [85][96] - Intuit's revenue breakdown shows 60% from small and mid-size businesses, 30% from tax services, and 10% from Credit Karma [88]
X @Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Magazine· 2025-11-21 17:34
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 25 bps rate cut chances in December spiked to 67%, according to Polymarket.Bullish! 🚀 https://t.co/f1gGkHza0W ...
5 Stocks With High ROE to Profit as Markets Perform Erratically
ZACKS· 2025-11-21 14:45
Market Overview - The equity market experienced erratic movements, leading to volatility and a potential shift in the rate-cut narrative [1] - NVIDIA's strong quarterly performance initially boosted the market, but concerns about AI firm valuations have emerged [1] - Experts predict that growth in AI firms may not match the significant investments, suggesting a market correction may be imminent [1] Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - Investors are anxious about the Federal Reserve's decision on lowering the benchmark borrowing rate in its upcoming meeting [2] - The delayed September jobs report indicated the economy added 119,000 jobs, exceeding expectations and reducing rate cut anticipations [2] - A "wait-and-see" approach is prevalent among investors, who are advised to focus on "cash cow" stocks with high returns [2] Investment Strategy - Identifying cash-rich stocks is essential, but it must be supported by strong efficiency ratios like return on equity (ROE) [2] - High ROE indicates effective reinvestment of cash at high returns, distinguishing profitable companies from less efficient ones [3][4] Screening Parameters for Stocks - The primary screening criteria include Cash Flow greater than $1 billion and ROE exceeding the industry average [5] - Additional metrics for screening include: - Price/Cash Flow lower than the industry average, indicating better value for cash flow [6] - Return on Assets (ROA) greater than the industry average, reflecting profitability per dollar of assets [6] - 5-Year EPS Historical Growth greater than the industry average, indicating sustained earnings momentum [7] - Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy), suggesting potential outperformance [7] Featured Companies - **TE Connectivity**: A global technology company with a long-term earnings growth expectation of 12.3% and a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 6.5%, carrying a Zacks Rank 2 [8][9] - **ZTO Express**: A leading express delivery service in China with a long-term earnings growth expectation of 1.7%, also holding a Zacks Rank 2 [10][11] - **Corning**: Known for its glass technologies, with a long-term earnings growth expectation of 18.2% and a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 4.1%, carrying a Zacks Rank 2 [11][12] - **Assurant**: A global provider of risk management solutions with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 22.7% and a Zacks Rank 2 [12][13] - **VICI Properties**: An experiential real estate investment trust with a long-term earnings growth expectation of 4.2% and a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 0.4%, also holding a Zacks Rank 2 [14][15]
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-11-21 14:30
🇺🇸 BULLISH: Fed President John Williams says there’s still “room” for a near-term rate cut as inflation risks ease and the labor market cools. https://t.co/0EJhVpdT3Q ...
US stock futures jump as Wall Street snaps back from a steep Thursday drop — Dow, S&P and Nasdaq rally, here’s today’s top gainer to watch
The Economic Times· 2025-11-21 09:39
Core Insights - Nvidia shares experienced volatility, initially rising 5% after a strong Q3 earnings report but closing down approximately 3.15% at $180.64, driven by concerns over high valuations in AI and technology stocks [1][20] - The company reported record revenues of $57 billion, reflecting a 62% year-over-year increase, and provided fourth-quarter guidance that exceeded analysts' expectations [1][20] - Broader market sentiment weakened, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experiencing declines, attributed to fears of an AI-driven bubble and uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts [15][20] Company Performance - Nvidia's strong Q3 FY26 results initially boosted its stock, but the momentum quickly faded, dragging the Nasdaq Composite down from a 2.5% intraday rally to a close down 2.15% [6][20] - Other AI-related stocks, such as Advanced Micro Devices, also saw declines, with AMD dropping around 5% after early gains [12][20] - Companies like CoreWeave and IREN Ltd., which are strategic partners with Nvidia, initially saw gains but later reversed, indicating market volatility [13][20] Market Trends - Global markets mirrored the turbulence in U.S. tech stocks, with significant declines in Asian and European indices, including a nearly 11% drop in SoftBank shares [2][8] - The S&P 500 is on track for its worst November since 2008, highlighting deepening fears of an AI-driven bubble [9][20] - Treasury yields stabilized near 4.08%, while oil hovered around $58.09 and gold slipped toward $4,040, reflecting a risk-averse trading environment [7][20] Economic Indicators - The delayed September jobs report showed mixed signals, with hiring exceeding expectations but the unemployment rate rising to its highest level in almost four years, contributing to market uncertainty [17][21] - Japan announced a ¥21.3 trillion ($135.5 billion) stimulus plan to support its economy amid inflation concerns, indicating global policymakers' responses to slowing demand [8][21]
Nasdaq Dips Over 2% Despite Nvidia's Earnings Beat: Fear & Greed Index Remains In 'Extreme Fear' Zone - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Benzinga· 2025-11-21 07:26
Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index increased, remaining in the "Extreme Fear" zone with a current reading of 6.5, down from a prior reading of 14.9 [1][6][7] Stock Performance - U.S. stocks closed lower, with the Dow Jones dropping approximately 387 points to 45,752.26, the S&P 500 declining 1.56% to 6,538.76, and the Nasdaq Composite falling 2.15% to 22,078.05 [4] - Walmart Inc. shares rose over 6% after exceeding earnings expectations and raising guidance [3] - Palo Alto Networks Inc. shares fell more than 7% following its first-quarter financial results and the announcement of acquiring Chronosphere [3] Economic Indicators - A stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report showed non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, significantly above the forecast of 50,000, which dampened expectations for a December rate cut [2] - Markets now estimate a 64% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain current rates in December [2] Sector Performance - Most sectors in the S&P 500 ended negatively, with information technology, consumer discretionary, and industrials experiencing the largest losses, while consumer staples stocks performed positively [4] Upcoming Earnings - Investors are anticipating earnings results from BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc., IES Holdings Inc., and MINISO Group Holding Ltd. [5]
Nasdaq Dips Over 2% Despite Nvidia's Earnings Beat: Fear & Greed Index Remains In 'Extreme Fear' Zone
Benzinga· 2025-11-21 07:26
Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index increased, remaining in the "Extreme Fear" zone with a current reading of 6.5, down from a prior reading of 14.9 [1][6][7] Stock Performance - U.S. stocks closed lower, with the Dow Jones down approximately 387 points to 45,752.26, the S&P 500 declining 1.56% to 6,538.76, and the Nasdaq Composite falling 2.15% to 22,078.05 [4] - Walmart Inc. shares rose over 6% after exceeding earnings expectations and raising guidance [3] - Palo Alto Networks Inc. shares fell more than 7% following its first-quarter financial results and the announcement of acquiring Chronosphere [3] Economic Indicators - A stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report showed non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, significantly higher than the forecast of 50,000, impacting expectations for a December rate cut [2] - Markets now estimate a 64% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain current rates in December [2] Sector Performance - Most sectors in the S&P 500 ended negatively, with information technology, consumer discretionary, and industrials experiencing the largest losses, while consumer staples stocks closed higher [4]
X @The Block
The Block· 2025-11-21 06:25
Bitcoin plunges below $86,000 as US jobs data dampens rate cut hopes https://t.co/j8fTKA3oCX ...
FedWatch's Ben Emons explains why he found September's jobs report to be 'bullish'
CNBC Television· 2025-11-20 23:05
How is the central bank looking at this data. Let's bring in Ben Emmens, founder and chief investment officer at Fed Watch Advisors. Ben, it's good to have you.There is such a data vortex right now. How much stock should we put into the September report, the revisions from August and net net what that means for the Fed. >> Hi Lesie.Well, I I felt it was a bullish report because as you mentioned, this unemployment rate rising was really for the good reason. You know, the report showed there was about 475,000 ...