European stocks are seen opening mostly lower on Monday as investors await more economic data in the coming days for fresh insights into the U.S. economic and rate outlook. Ahead of the Federal Reserve's next rate decision in December, Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari flagged "resilience" in the U.S. and continued concerns over inflation.Traders now see less than 50 percent odds of a quarter-point rate cut next month, down from about 95 percent a month ago. U.S. stock futures ticked higher as Warren ...

🔥 UPDATE: Odds of a December rate cut fell under 50%. https://t.co/uiX289qvRb ...

A faction of Federal Reserve policymakers has stepped up warnings that inflation progress could slow or stall, casting doubt over the prospects for another interest-rate cut in December https://t.co/rD9U4lXqL0 ...

Core Viewpoint - US stocks experienced a significant decline, primarily driven by renewed selling in technology stocks, which impacted the broader market [1] Market Performance - The Nasdaq Composite index fell by 1.5% - The S&P 500 index decreased by 1.1% [1] Contributing Factors - Concerns regarding artificial intelligence spending have contributed to market volatility - Shifting expectations around interest rates have also played a role - Uncertainty surrounding delayed government data has added to the market's instability [1]

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The Philippine central bank has slashed its key policy rate by almost two percentage points to 4.75% since last year, but the price of a home loan from the nation’s top banks has barely budged https://t.co/n4aEGEsC0A ...

But your first guest today says don't be deterred. He thinks the S&P 500 will power up next year all the way to 7750. Let's start off a big day with Julian Emanuel, senior managing director of equity, derivatives, quantitative strategy at Evercore ISI.Julian, welcome. One day not a trend make, but do you have a take on what's happening today. >> Well, this is a classic buy the rumor, sell the news.Right. So the market turned last Friday on anticipation of the government reopening and essentially if you look ...

whether an even greater rotation is coming. Now joining us for the hour Josh Brown, Carrie Firestone, Bill Baruch, Jenny Herrington. We'll check the markets where the big story is, the fact that we are down across the board.And if we throw up what the interest rate complex looks like, that could very well be a culprit today. No doubt about that. As we've got rates Get from the Fed in December.That's that seems to be the story today. No. Yeah.I think it's actually part of a bigger story. And I was talking to ...

Core Insights - The dollar index has fallen to a 2-week low, down by -0.29%, due to speculation that the reopening of the US government will lead to the release of delayed economic reports indicating a weakening US economy, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates [1] - The euro has risen to a 2-week high, up by +0.28%, supported by a weaker dollar and central bank divergence, with the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to be done with its rate-cut cycle while the Fed is anticipated to cut rates multiple times by the end of 2026 [4] US Dollar and Federal Reserve - The dollar's losses are limited by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, with Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack advocating for steady interest rates due to persistent high inflation [2][3] - The market is pricing in a 53% chance of a 25 basis point cut in the fed funds target range at the upcoming FOMC meeting on December 9-10 [3] Eurozone Economic Indicators - Eurozone industrial production for September increased by +0.2% month-over-month, which was below expectations of +0.7% [4] Japanese Yen Dynamics - The yen has appreciated as it recovers from a 9.25-month low against the dollar, supported by a stronger-than-expected Japanese producer price report, which is seen as hawkish for Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy [5] - Japanese Finance Minister Katayama's comments regarding potential government intervention in the forex market to support the yen have also provided carryover support [6]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing a narrow fluctuation, with the 10-year government bond yield stabilizing around 1.81%, while expectations for monetary easing are increasing due to economic pressures [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - The interbank bond market yields have shown slight fluctuations, with the 3-month yield around 1.35%, the 2-year yield at 1.43%, and the 10-year yield at 1.81% [3]. - Analysts maintain an optimistic outlook for the bond market, citing the central bank's commitment to maintaining relatively loose financing conditions [3][4]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Expectations - There is a growing expectation for "double cuts" (interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio cuts) due to marginal increases in economic recovery pressures and liquidity constraints [5][6]. - The central bank's monetary policy report has shifted focus away from preventing capital idling, indicating a more optimistic stance on future liquidity conditions [3][4]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest a "barbell" strategy for bond investments, balancing short-term safety with long-term trading opportunities to manage potential market volatility [9]. - The bond market is expected to enter a "chaotic period" with limited space for both bullish and bearish movements, as the market awaits clearer signals for direction [8].