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Should Investors Pay a Premium for ExxonMobil Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 16:20
Valuation and Market Position - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently trading at a premium valuation of 7.71x trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA, compared to the industry average of 4.82x and other integrated energy majors like BP plc (3.22x) and Eni SpA (5.18x) [1][9] - The premium valuation may indicate strong market confidence in XOM's prospects, but it requires closer scrutiny to determine if it is justified [3] Upstream Assets and Production Outlook - XOM has significant upstream assets in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana, utilizing lightweight proppant technology to enhance well recoveries by up to 20% [4] - The company has made several oil and gas discoveries in Guyana, contributing to a solid production outlook, with low breakeven costs allowing continued operations even in low crude price environments [5] - ExxonMobil projects total production from upstream operations to reach 5.5 million oil equivalent barrels per day by the end of the decade, with 65% of volumes coming from its key assets [6] Refining Operations and Financial Strategy - XOM's refining operations provide resilience during periods of low oil prices, with upgrades of low-value fuels to high-value products meeting the demand for cleaner fuels [7] - The company maintains a conservative capital spending strategy while expecting improvements in earnings and cash flows without increasing capital expenditures [8] - XOM aims for a return on capital employed (ROCE) exceeding 17% by the end of the decade and is the second-largest dividend payer in the S&P 500, with a history of consecutive dividend hikes for over four decades [10] Financial Health and Stock Performance - XOM has a strong balance sheet, with a debt to capitalization ratio of 13.6%, significantly lower than the industry average of 28.7% and competitors BP and Eni [11] - Over the past year, XOM's stock gained 13.6%, outperforming the industry composite stocks, although BP and Eni saw higher gains of 29% and 44.8%, respectively [12] - The company has revised its projected earnings growth upward to approximately $25 billion through 2030, an increase from the previous estimate of over $20 billion [16] Market Conditions and Investment Considerations - The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects a decline in average West Texas Intermediate prices to $51.42 per barrel by 2026, which may negatively impact XOM's earnings derived from upstream operations [17] - Given the correlation between oil prices and upstream earnings, caution is advised for new investments in XOM, while existing investors may consider holding the stock [18]
Is UPS' Cheap Valuation Reason Enough to Invest in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 15:11
Valuation and Market Position - United Parcel Service (UPS) is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.97X, which is below the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry and the S&P 500, indicating an attractive valuation [1][10] - UPS has a Value Score of B, while its competitor FedEx has a Value Score of A, suggesting that UPS is undervalued compared to its peers [1] Acquisition and Growth Potential - UPS finalized its acquisition of Andlauer Healthcare Group for $1.6 billion (C$2.2 billion), enhancing its capabilities in the healthcare logistics sector [4][5] - The acquisition is expected to improve UPS Healthcare's service offerings, including reduced transit times and better visibility, which could attract more customers [5] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - UPS has a strong commitment to returning capital to shareholders, with a current dividend yield of 6.5%, significantly higher than the industry average of 4.4% [6][10] - The company has increased its dividend five times over the past five years, indicating a solid history of dividend growth and confidence in cash flow generation [7] - UPS plans to distribute $5.5 billion in dividends in the current year, reflecting its robust financial health [7] Share Buyback Program - UPS has approved a share repurchase authorization of $5 billion for 2023, with $1 billion already completed, demonstrating its commitment to enhancing shareholder value [8][10] - The company reported $6.3 billion in free cash flow for 2024, supporting its buyback and dividend initiatives [8] Earnings Performance - UPS has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in three of the past four quarters, with an average earnings beat of 11.2% [11] Challenges and Market Conditions - UPS is facing challenges from weak shipment volumes, particularly due to a planned reduction in Amazon shipments and a pullback from lower-margin e-commerce traffic [12][13] - The company's international segment reported a 12.8% decline in operating profit, with margins narrowing due to global trade pressures, particularly in Asia [14][15] - The expiration of the De Minimis exemption is expected to negatively impact international markets, further straining UPS's performance [16] Stock Performance - UPS shares have declined over 21% in the past year, underperforming its industry, which saw a 12.5% decline [10][17]
X @wale.moca 🐳
wale.moca 🐳· 2025-12-15 14:36
Okay we now have the details for the Sports dot fun ICO:FDV: $60M USDVesting: 50% TGE unlock and 50% linear over 6 months.Raise target: $3M USD.As predicted in the article, this gonna be a smash, valuation is very reasonable imo and should offer good upside.FDF is also the #1 app on Base by revenue and volume. Other ecosystem apps with less traction and name recognition sit at $200M+ USD valuations.Gonna full send this, eligibility criteria are yet to be announced but I hope my Legion score will help herewa ...
Wall Street strategists are divided over valuations
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-14 16:59
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street strategists are largely optimistic about S&P 500 earnings growth, projecting earnings per share in 2026 to be between $300 and $320, indicating a year-over-year growth of 11% to 19% from the expected levels of this year [1] Valuation Perspectives - Some strategists believe the elevated forward price-earnings (P/E) ratio is justified and sustainable, which could lead to above-average market returns in 2026 [2] - Conversely, others view the high P/E as a potential headwind for the market, suggesting that it may revert to historical averages, which could limit returns [3] Market Timing and Valuation - Evidence indicates that the forward P/E ratio does not effectively predict stock market performance over a one-year period, with a weak correlation of -0.12 observed [4] - Analysts from Schwab emphasize that valuation is not a reliable market-timing tool, noting that high forward P/E ratios have historically been associated with both negative and positive returns [5] Market Trends - The stock market generally trends upward, even during periods of high P/E ratios, as indicated by the greater number of data points on the right side of the y-axis in historical charts [6] - The increase in earnings expectations is a significant driver of stock prices, contributing to the market rally observed this year despite flattening P/E ratios [7] Earnings Growth vs. Valuation - Falling valuations do not necessarily lead to declining stock prices; stocks can appreciate if earnings grow at a faster rate than prices [8]
X @wale.moca 🐳
wale.moca 🐳· 2025-12-13 06:53
Projects should start offering refunds for their ICOs at TGE.Valid for up to 24 hours after TGE, after which all allocations are final.If you really think you give your community a good entry with your valuation, why not do this?Easy way to combat all FUD about what's perceived as too high valuations.If it's really a good entry, then you have nothing to worry about ...
Markets are richly priced across the board, says NYU's Aswath Damodaran
CNBC Television· 2025-12-12 21:26
Let's ask the so-called dean of valuation, Aswat de motor in NYU's Stern School of Business. Good to have you back. >> Thank you for having me. >> I mean, I think we're all looking at the the the same market and maybe coming with different conclusions. What about these meggaap stocks? I mean, when you grade them, what do you what do you give them? I I think one of the reasons it's so difficult to arrive at a consensus here is when you look at the market caps and they clearly I mean they're at levels we have ...
'Mag 7' stocks starting to compete against each other, says Ed Yardeni
CNBC Television· 2025-12-12 20:13
All right, welcome back to Power Lunch. We're going to stick with the tech trade and bring in Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research. Um Ed, we want to kind of take a look back at some of these historical tech valuations.Overall, >> there's been a case made by more than a handful of strategists and traders out there that when we talk about valuations in the current market that it is not fair to compare them to what we've seen historically over the past 20, 30, 40, 50 years because the entire paradigm has changed. i ...
Should Investors Hold Old Dominion Stock Despite Its Higher Valuation?
ZACKS· 2025-12-12 16:40
Core Insights - Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is currently viewed as unattractive from a valuation perspective, with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio (P/S-F12M) of 5.62X compared to the industry average of 2.05X [1] Financial Performance - ODFL has a Value Score of D, indicating potential concerns regarding its investment attractiveness [3] - The company's operating ratio has deteriorated from 72% in 2023 to 73.4% in 2024, despite efforts to cut costs [4] - ODFL's stock has declined by 8.6% year-to-date, which is worse than the transportation-truck industry's decline of 4.9% [6] Industry Challenges - The trucking industry is facing a persistent driver shortage, complicating recruitment as older drivers retire [5] - Macroeconomic factors are contributing to a challenging freight environment, with reduced demand leading to low shipment volumes and rates [4] Shareholder Initiatives - ODFL maintains a solid balance sheet, ending Q3 2025 with cash and equivalents of $46.59 million against a current debt level of $20 million [12] - The company has been active in rewarding shareholders, paying dividends of $175.1 million and repurchasing shares worth $453.6 million in 2023, with further increases in 2024 and 2025 [16][17] Pricing Strategy - ODFL's disciplined pricing approach has allowed it to retain customers, with LTL revenue per hundredweight improving by 2.4% in 2024 and 3.4% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025 [11] Investment Outlook - Despite current challenges, it is advised that investors hold onto ODFL stock due to its strong balance sheet and shareholder-friendly initiatives [19] - The recommendation is to wait for a better entry point for new investors, while existing shareholders are encouraged to stay invested [20]