Treasuries are on track for their worst week in six months as investors brace for a slate of US inflation and sentiment data https://t.co/VhW97srDOd ...

Markets are shifting quickly, and investors are rethinking how to diversify their portfolios. Inflation remains stubborn, while international stocks keep trading at deep discounts. Small caps may finally be entering an earnings rebound. In this environment, some of the best ETFs may come from areas that investors have overlooked for years. Philip Blancato, president and CEO of Ladenburg Thalmann Asset… ...

Wall Street bosses and corporate CEOs alike have launched a last-ditch effort to persuade President Trump not to pick Kevin Hassett as the next chairman of the Federal Reserve – but they aren’t making any big bets they’ll succeed, On The Money has learned.Like all things involving Trump, the president is rarely moved by outside pressure and generally operates from the gut. And in his gut, it’s pretty clear he wants Hassett, the current chief of the National Economic Council, to replace Jerome Powell.The pre ...

President Trump plans to get back out back out on the road, visiting Pennsylvania on Tuesday to spotlight his efforts with the economy. It comes as Trump has repeatedly claimed affordability concerns are a Democratic hoax. A White House official says Trump will argue he inherited an inflation crisis from former President Biden.Trump narrowly won Pennsylvania last year, and the White House is looking to shore up economic support ahead of the 2026 midterms. Several seats that could flip in that state alone. B ...

Chile’s consumer prices rose in line with expectations in the final inflation report before the central bank’s December policy meeting, when it’s expected to cut rates for the second time this year https://t.co/aBe96T7U1E ...

Economic Indicators - U.S. Personal Spending and Personal Income for September are expected to rise by +0.3% month-over-month, down from +0.6% and +0.4% in August respectively [1] - The core PCE price index for September is forecasted to remain at +0.2% month-over-month and +2.9% year-over-year, unchanged from August [2] - Initial jobless claims fell by -27K to a three-year low of 191K, compared to the expected 219K [3] Stock Market Performance - Wall Street's major indices closed mixed, with notable declines in chip stocks like Intel, which fell over -7%, and Snowflake, which dropped over -11% due to disappointing Q4 guidance [4] - Dollar General surged over +14% after reporting better-than-expected Q3 results and raising its full-year guidance [4] - December S&P 500 E-Mini futures are trending up +0.16%, approaching a new all-time high [5] Consumer and Credit Data - The U.S. Consumer Credit is expected to be $11.8 billion in October, down from $13.1 billion previously [6] - The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index is anticipated to rise to 52.0 in December from 51.0 in November [5] European Market Insights - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index increased by +0.26%, supported by optimism over a potential Fed rate cut [8] - Germany's factory orders rose by +1.5% month-over-month in October, exceeding expectations of +0.3% [9] - Eurozone GDP grew by +0.3% quarter-over-quarter and +1.4% year-over-year in Q3, matching expectations [9] Asian Market Developments - China's Shanghai Composite Index closed up +0.70%, driven by optimism in the chip sector and a rally in insurance stocks [10] - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index fell due to disappointing household spending data, which dropped -3.5% month-over-month [11][12] - Japan's leading economic indicators index rose to a 17-month high, indicating a positive outlook despite current challenges [11] Corporate News - Rubrik's stock jumped over +19% in pre-market trading after strong Q3 results and above-consensus Q4 guidance [13] - Ulta Beauty climbed more than +5% following stronger-than-expected Q3 results and an increase in full-year guidance [14] - Hewlett Packard Enterprise's stock fell over -9% after reporting weaker-than-expected FQ4 revenue [14]

Core Viewpoint - The year-end rally in equities is at risk due to a cautious Federal Reserve outlook on the economy, which may signal a larger-than-expected economic slowdown [1][2] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The S&P 500 Index is close to a record high, with investor confidence in a scenario where the Fed cuts interest rates amid falling inflation and resilient economic growth [1] - Optimism may be tested if the Fed provides dovish signals at the upcoming meeting, potentially indicating a significant economic slowdown [1][2] Group 2: Interest Rate Expectations - There is a strong market expectation for a quarter-point rate cut at the December 10 meeting, with probabilities rising to over 90% from 60% a month ago [3] - Traders have fully priced in three rate cuts by September 2026 [3] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The S&P 500 is approximately 0.5% away from its October peak, with seasonal trends typically favoring a year-end rally [4] - Upcoming key jobs and inflation reports pose risks to the market, as these reports were delayed due to a government shutdown [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The US administration is expected to intervene to prevent inflation from rising significantly and to keep the unemployment rate below 5% [5] - Recommendations include buying "inexpensive" mid-cap stocks into 2026, with a focus on sectors linked to the economic cycle such as homebuilders, retailers, REITs, and transportation stocks [5] Group 5: International Equities - A preference for international equities through 2025 has been reiterated, as the S&P 500's performance has lagged behind the MSCI All-Country World ex-US index [6]

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets are showing cautious optimism as investors await crucial inflation data and a Federal Reserve interest rate decision next week [1] - Major U.S. market indexes have displayed varied movements, with the S&P 500 inching up 0.1% and reaching 6875 points, marking a 0.27% gain from the previous session [3] - The S&P 500 has climbed 2.31% over the past month and is up 12.89% compared to the same time last year, indicating a robust underlying trend [4] Premarket Trading and Futures - U.S. stock futures are largely inching higher, with S&P 500 futures up approximately 0.2% to 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 futures climbing around 0.4% [2] - Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are showing a more subdued performance, hovering between flat and a slight gain of 0.04% to 0.1% [2] Upcoming Economic Reports - The delayed release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index data for September is expected to provide insights into inflation, which is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve [5] - Other key economic reports include personal income and outlays, both anticipated to show a robust 0.4% increase month-over-month [5] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is scheduled for December 10th, with nearly 90% odds of a quarter-point reduction [6] - Recent labor market data, including a decrease in Challenger job cuts to 71,300 and weekly initial jobless claims falling to roughly 191,000, are contributing to expectations of further rate reductions [6] Company Earnings Reports - Victoria's Secret Co (VSCO) and National Beverage (FIZZ) are among the companies scheduled to report quarterly results, which will provide insights into consumer spending and corporate health [7] Major Stock News - Meta Platforms (META) saw its stock jump 3.4% following reports of potential significant budget cuts for its metaverse division, which could impact its long-term investment profile [8] - Intel (INTC) shares dropped nearly 8% after reports indicated the company plans to retain its networking and communications unit [13] - Dollar General (DG) surged 14% after exceeding quarterly earnings estimates and raising its full-year forecast [13] - GE Vernova (GEV) shares advanced close to 5% after Barclays raised its price target due to robust demand for its gas and electrification equipment [13] - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. (HPE) provided a sales outlook that fell short of analyst estimates, indicating potential headwinds for the enterprise technology sector [13] - SoFi Technologies (SOFI) announced plans to sell $1.5 billion of common shares, leading to a negative reaction in its stock [13] - Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) are in focus for any significant developments in the streaming and entertainment sector [13]

Bank of America Corp. Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan discusses the state of the US economy, the impact of geopolitical events on markets and business, and the bank's commitment to London. In an interview with Bloomberg Television, he also talks about Investor Day and sponsoring the FIFA World Cup. 00:00 - Brian Moynihan on US economy, consumers 01:33 - Federal Reserve cuts, inflation 03:57 - Kevin Hasset as possible Fed chair 04:54 - Geopolitics and impact on markets, business 06:34 - Bank of Americ ...

Core Insights - Stock futures rose ahead of crucial inflation data, with S&P 500 futures up 0.2% and Nasdaq futures rising 0.4% [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down by 15 points, or less than 0.1%, indicating mixed performance among major indexes [2] - The core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric, is expected to be a significant market event, being the first PCE data since late September [3] Market Performance - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indexes are on track for a fourth consecutive day of gains, while the Dow closed lower on the previous day [1][2] - The upcoming PCE data is critical as it precedes the Federal Reserve's next rate decision scheduled for December 10 [3]