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Warrior Met Coal(HCC) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Warrior Met Coal reported a record high total sales volume of 9.6 million short tons for 2025, a 21% increase from the previous year, and a production volume of 10.2 million short tons, a 24% increase from 2024 [6][15] - The fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA was $93 million, a 31% increase from the third quarter of 2025, and net income was $23 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, compared to $1 million, or $0.02 per diluted share in the same quarter of 2024 [22][24] - Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $384 million, up from $297 million in the same quarter of the previous year, driven by a 53% increase in sales volumes [24][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ramp-up of the Blue Creek longwall operations began production eight months ahead of schedule, contributing significantly to the company's production profile and cost structure [4][16] - Blue Creek produced 1.3 million tons during the fourth quarter, exceeding expectations, and the company achieved a record high quarterly sales volume of 2.9 million short tons [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The PLV FOB Australia index averaged $182 per short ton in the fourth quarter, marking a 9% increase from the third quarter of 2025 [9] - Chinese steel export volumes reached a record high of 119 million metric tons in 2025, a 7.2% increase year-over-year, while crude steel production decreased by 4.4% [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to reduce coal inventory levels to just below 1 million tons and expects to ramp production in line with increases in contractual volumes [35][32] - Warrior aims to maintain a disciplined capital allocation strategy while focusing on shareholder returns, including potential dividends and stock buybacks [58][88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding the steelmaking coal market, anticipating that prices may remain supported in the short term but could retreat if global supply and demand fundamentals do not improve [36][37] - The company expects sales volumes in 2026 to be more than 30% higher than in 2025, driven by the contribution of the Blue Creek mine [35][38] Other Important Information - The total capital expenditures for the Blue Creek project reached $957 million, fully funded by cash flows from operations, with an estimated total project cost of $995 million to $1.075 billion [16][17] - The company recorded a negative free cash flow of $28 million in the fourth quarter due to increased capital expenditures and working capital needs [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the PLV price assumption for 2026? - The PLV price assumption is a range of $185-$215 per short ton [41][43] Question: How should working capital be expected to build in 2026? - Working capital is expected to increase in the first half of the year due to higher accounts receivable and inventory, potentially upwards of $50 million [65] Question: What are the payments for federal leases? - The payments for federal leases total about $9 million per year over four years [46] Question: How does the company view shareholder returns? - The company plans to return cash to shareholders through higher fixed quarterly dividends and possibly special cash dividends and stock buybacks [58][88]
Morningstar(MORN) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-12 21:00
Fourth-Quarter 2025 Supplemental Presentation February 12, 2026 including our most recent Forms 8-K, 10-K, and 10-Q. "Organic Revenue" is consolidated revenue before (1) acquisitions and divestitures, (2) adoption of new accounting standards or revisions to accounting practices (accounting changes), and (3) the effect of foreign currency translations. "Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)" is consolidated operating income (loss) excluding (1) intangible amortization expense, (2) the impact of merger, acquisitio ...
Precision Drilling(PDS) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 19:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company recorded adjusted EBITDA of $126 million for Q4 2025, compared to $121 million in Q4 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase [4] - A net loss of $42 million was reported, which included non-cash charges of $67 million for decommissioning drilling rigs and $17 million for drill pipe, while net income would have been positive $42 million without these charges [5] - The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio ended the year at 1.2 times, with a reduction in debt by CAD 101 million [2][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Canada, drilling activity averaged 66 active rigs, an increase of 1 rig from Q4 2024, with daily operating margins reported at CAD 14,132, down from CAD 14,559 in Q4 2024 [5] - In the U.S., the average active rig count was 37, an increase of three rigs from the prior year, with daily operating margins of $8,754, slightly up from $8,700 in Q3 [7] - The CMP segment reported adjusted EBITDA of CAD 17 million, compared to CAD 16 million in Q4 2024, driven by increased well servicing demand in Canada [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Internationally, the company averaged seven active rigs, down from eight in the prior year, with international day rates averaging $53,505, an 8% increase from Q4 2024 [7][8] - The Canadian market outlook remains solid with supportive commodity prices and resilient demand for Super Series rigs, while the U.S. market outlook is generally flat with pockets of opportunity for performance differentiation [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to drive revenue growth and deepen customer relationships, focusing on performance and efficiency across various North American basins [16][18] - The strategy includes leveraging technology and digital platforms to optimize drilling and enhance customer communication, with a focus on capital-light initiatives [19] - The company plans to continue its long-term deleveraging journey while increasing free cash flow allocated to shareholders up to 50% [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the Canadian market's medium to long-term outlook, citing strong takeaway capacity and deep resource inventories [20][54] - In the U.S., while the industry outlook is flat, the company expects to capture modest growth driven by performance differentiation and customer efficiency [20] - The company is exploring international growth opportunities, including a memorandum of understanding (MOU) in Argentina to provide idle rigs and digital technology [22][45] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures for 2025 were CAD 263 million, with CAD 156 million for sustaining and infrastructure and CAD 107 million for upgrades [9] - The company expects to incur $2 million in one-time charges related to rig reactivations in Q1 2026 [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Context around the rig demobilization in Kuwait - The company has six rigs in Kuwait, with four active and two idle, looking for opportunities to deploy the idle rigs [26][27] Question: Potential upside in the U.S. market - Management indicated that growth opportunities are being driven by performance and efficiency discussions with customers across various basins [34] Question: Guidance on U.S. margin for Q1 - The expected margin range is $8,000-$9,000 per day, with mixed pricing trends across operating segments [40][41] Question: Details on the MOU in Argentina - The MOU aims to explore opportunities in Argentina with an established partner, focusing on performance and technology while reducing market risks [45] Question: Impact of customer changes on Canadian demand - Management noted no broad change in demand despite individual customer adjustments, maintaining a peak activity of 87 rigs in the winter drilling season [54]
Precision Drilling(PDS) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 19:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $126 million, compared to $121 million in the prior year, while EBITDA before share-based compensation was $132 million versus $136 million in the previous year [5] - The company reported a net loss of $42 million for Q4, which included a non-cash charge of $67 million for decommissioning drilling rigs and another $17 million for drill pipe [6] - The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio at year-end was 1.2x, with a reduction in debt by CAD 101 million [3][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Canada, average drilling activity was 66 active rigs, an increase from the previous year, with daily operating margins of CAD 14,132, down from CAD 14,559 [6][8] - In the U.S., the average active rig count was 37, with daily operating margins of $8,754, slightly up from $8,700 in the previous quarter [8] - Internationally, the average active rig count was seven, down from eight, with day rates averaging $53,505, an 8% increase from the prior year [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Canadian market outlook is solid, supported by commodity prices and increased takeaway capacity, while the U.S. market is expected to remain flat with pockets of growth [21] - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in the Middle East, with plans to reactivate idle rigs and explore capital-efficient growth [22][23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to drive revenue growth and deepen customer relationships, focusing on performance and efficiency across diverse North American basins [16][17] - Precision is positioned to capture demand through its fleet and technology, with a focus on capital-light initiatives and modular rig designs [20] - The company plans to continue its long-term deleveraging journey while increasing free cash flow allocated to shareholders [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the Canadian market's resilience despite individual customer changes, noting strong demand for Super Series rigs [56] - The U.S. market is expected to see modest growth driven by performance differentiation, with ongoing discussions with customers in key basins [21][35] - The company is exploring international growth opportunities, particularly in Argentina, with a focus on performance and technology [23][47] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures for 2025 were CAD 263 million, with plans for CAD 245 million in 2026, focusing on sustaining and infrastructure [10][12] - The company expects to incur $2 million in one-time charges related to rig reactivations in Q1 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Context around Kuwait and rig demobilization - The company has six rigs in Kuwait, with four active and two idle, looking for opportunities to reactivate them [27][28] Question: Potential upside in U.S. rig count - Discussions are ongoing with customers in multiple basins, indicating modest growth opportunities driven by performance and efficiency [34][35] Question: U.S. margin guidance for Q1 - The guidance for U.S. margins is $8,000-$9,000 per day, with mixed pricing trends across operating segments [41][42] Question: MOU in Argentina - The MOU aims to explore opportunities in Argentina with an established partner, focusing on performance and technology [46][47] Question: Impact of customer changes on Canadian demand - The company has not seen a broad change in demand despite individual customer adjustments, maintaining a strong operational presence [56] Question: Rig upgrades and capital allocation - The capital plan is demand-driven, with a portion of upgrade capital already committed, focusing on opportunities in Canada and the U.S. [66][68]
Antero Resources(AR) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company generated over $750 million in free cash flow, which was used to reduce debt by over $300 million, repurchase $136 million of stock, and invest more than $250 million in acquisitions [19][20] - The company achieved a new record of 19 stages per day for a single completion crew in Q4 2025, with an average of over 14 stages per day for the year, representing an 8% increase from 2024 [19] - The drilling team averaged under 5 drilling days per 10,000 feet, which is 4% faster than the 2024 average [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HG Energy acquisition added 385,000 net acres and over 400 drilling locations, extending the core inventory life by 5 years [5][6] - The transaction is expected to lower the cost structure by nearly 10%, which will further reduce break-even prices [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Propane inventories were higher than market expectations due to trade tensions and operational issues, but demand remained strong, with days of supply trending within the 5-year range [8][9] - NGL supply growth is expected to slow down due to lower oil prices, decreasing from 328,000 barrels a day in 2024 to 131,000 barrels a day in 2026 [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its core Marcellus position and increase dry gas exposure to capture demand from LNG exports and regional power plants [5][6] - The company is focused on reducing cash costs and expanding margins while maintaining a flexible capital program that allows for opportunistic investments [20][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through challenging weather conditions without experiencing shut-in volumes, highlighting operational resilience [4] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on significant natural gas demand growth, particularly from LNG exports and regional power demand [24][25] Other Important Information - The company issued its inaugural investment-grade bonds, providing substantial flexibility alongside strong free cash flow generation [5] - The hedge program is designed to protect downside risks while maintaining exposure to higher natural gas prices, with approximately 40% of 2026 natural gas volumes hedged [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth capital and in-basin demand - Management indicated that growth capital is flexible and can be adjusted based on gas price assumptions, with the ability to defer projects if necessary [28][30] Question: Free cash flow usage and debt targets - Management stated there are no specific debt targets, but they are positioned to be opportunistic in share buybacks while also focusing on debt reduction [32][33] Question: Synergies from the HG deal - Management noted that synergies from the HG acquisition are better than expected, with improvements in cost structure and local gas demand [36][37] Question: Production ramp and acquired assets - Management clarified that the production ramp is as expected, with a forecast of 4.1 Bcfe a day for 2026, increasing to 4.3 Bcfe a day in 2027 [43] Question: NGL pricing outlook - Management explained that international pricing is driving forecasts for C3 prices, with domestic prices expected to stabilize as export infrastructure improves [44][47] Question: Winter gas realizations - Management confirmed that they participated in favorable pricing during the winter, with a significant portion of sales tied to daily pricing [51] Question: Cost structure changes - Management indicated a potential $0.25 improvement in cost structure, with variable components affecting overall costs [58] Question: Power supply deals - Management highlighted ongoing discussions for gas supply to utilities, with increasing demand for gas-fired power generation [62] Question: Firm transport position management - Management emphasized the optimization of their firm transport portfolio, allowing for flexibility in managing costs and maximizing margins [66] Question: Growth options and inventory visibility - Management expressed confidence in their ability to grow production efficiently, leveraging their extensive inventory and market position [92][93]
Antero Resources(AR) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company generated over $750 million in free cash flow, which was used to reduce debt by over $300 million, repurchase $136 million of stock, and invest more than $250 million in acquisitions [20][21] - The company achieved a new record of 19 stages per day for a single completion crew in Q4 2025, with an average of over 14 stages per day for the full year, representing an 8% increase from 2024 [20] - The drilling team averaged under 5 drilling days per 10,000 feet, which is 4% faster than the 2024 average [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HG Energy acquisition added 385,000 net acres and over 400 drilling locations, extending the core inventory life by 5 years [6] - The transaction is expected to lower the company's cost structure by nearly 10%, which will further reduce peer-leading break-even prices [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NGL market faced headwinds in 2025, with propane inventories higher than expected due to trade tensions and operational issues at export terminals [8][9] - Despite these challenges, demand for propane remained strong, with storage levels expected to return to normal by the end of 2026 [11] - Natural gas demand was robust, with residential and commercial demand averaging nearly 42 BCF per day during winter, resulting in a significant increase compared to the five-year average [13][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its core Marcellus position and increase dry gas exposure to capture demand from LNG exports and regional power generation [6][18] - The strategic initiatives include adding hedges to lock in attractive free cash flow yields and reducing cash costs to expand margins [5][7] - The company is positioned to capitalize on significant natural gas demand growth expected from LNG and regional power demand [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through challenging weather conditions without experiencing shut-in volumes [4] - The company anticipates that higher LNG demand and reduced storage levels in Europe will support robust U.S. LNG exports [16] - Management highlighted the flexibility of their capital program, allowing for adjustments based on market conditions and gas prices [29][30] Other Important Information - The company issued its inaugural investment-grade bonds, providing substantial flexibility alongside free cash flow generation [5] - The acquisition of HG Energy is expected to enhance the company's competitive advantage in the region due to increased production and improved cost structure [18][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth capital and in-basin demand - Management indicated that maintaining a steady state program with three rigs and two completion crews would result in growth, with flexibility to defer capital expenditures based on gas prices [28][30] Question: Free cash flow usage and debt targets - Management stated there are no specific debt targets, but they are positioned to be opportunistic in share buybacks while also focusing on debt reduction [32][33] Question: Synergies from the HG deal - Management reported that synergies from the HG acquisition are better than expected, with improvements in cost structure and local gas demand [36][37] Question: Production ramp and acquired assets - Management clarified that the production ramp is as expected, with a forecast of 4.1 Bcfe per day for 2026 and potential growth to 4.5 Bcfe per day in 2027 [43][44] Question: NGL pricing and export capacity - Management noted that international pricing is driving forecasts for C3 prices, with ongoing debottlenecking in the Gulf Coast expected to improve export capacity [46][47] Question: Winter gas realizations and hedging - Management confirmed that they participated in favorable pricing during winter and are considering layering in incremental hedges for 2027 [52][54] Question: Cost structure changes - Management indicated a potential $0.25 improvement in cost structure, with variable components affecting costs based on natural gas prices [60][61] Question: Power supply deals and demand - Management highlighted ongoing conversations for gas supply to utilities and data centers, indicating strong demand growth in the region [64][102]
Nabors(NBR) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, revenue was $3.2 billion, reflecting an 8.7% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by the acquisition of Parker and strong international expansion [20] - Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $913 million, an increase of $31 million compared to the prior year [20] - In the fourth quarter, consolidated revenue was $798 million, a decrease of $21 million or 2.5% sequentially, impacted by the divestiture of Quail Tools [20][21] - Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter totaled $222 million, representing an EBITDA margin of 27.8%, down 110 basis points sequentially [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - International drilling revenue was $424 million, a growth of $17 million or 4.1% sequentially, with EBITDA for the segment increasing to $131 million [22] - U.S. drilling revenue for the fourth quarter was $241 million, reflecting a 3.7% sequential decline, while EBITDA totaled $93 million, a decrease of 1% [24][25] - The Drilling Solutions segment generated revenue of $108 million in the fourth quarter, with EBITDA of $41 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 38.3% [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average daily rig margin in international drilling was $17,630, a decrease of $301 sequentially, primarily due to activity disruptions in Colombia and maintenance days in Saudi Arabia [23] - In the Lower 48, the gas-directed industry rig count increased by over 20% in 2025, with Nabors' gas rig count increasing by 50% [10] - The Baker Hughes weekly Lower 48 land rig count decreased by three rigs from the end of September through December, indicating stability in the market [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on performance excellence in the Lower 48 rig market and expand in the international drilling market, leveraging multi-year contracts and innovative technology [6][7] - The integration of Parker Wellbore is progressing well, with expectations to generate at least $70 million in Adjusted EBITDA in 2026 from retained Parker businesses [36] - The company is committed to reducing debt, having reduced net debt by over $554 million, the lowest level since 2005, which is expected to enhance free cash flow [18][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed caution regarding the second half of 2026 due to external market uncertainties, including oil supply exceeding demand and geopolitical tensions [8][81] - The outlook for 2026 envisions EBITDA performance matching last year's, with expected increases in several operations offsetting the impact of the Quail divestiture [18] - The company remains optimistic about the long-term picture for gas and is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities [51] Other Important Information - The company generated adjusted free cash flow of $132 million in the fourth quarter, significantly exceeding the revised guidance of approximately $80 million [39] - Capital expenditures for the fourth quarter were $158 million, lower than previous guidance, with expectations for 2026 capital expenditures to be in the range of $730 million to $760 million [37][38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Lower 48 outlook and increasing rig count drivers - The company is currently running 66 rigs, with a shift towards public operators and an increase in gas rig count to 20% [49] - The trend towards longer laterals is significant, with a notable increase in three- and four-mile laterals, positioning the company well in the market [50] Question: Updates on Saudi Arabia operations - The company is confident in the timelines for reactivating suspended rigs and deploying new builds, with a positive outlook for the labor market [60][62] Question: Activity in Mexico and additional rigs - The company is focused on making existing rigs profitable and is optimistic about the market's improvement and payment mechanisms [66] Question: Capital expenditures and SANAD program - The SANAD new build program is expected to have a capital expenditure of around $360 million to $380 million for 2026, with adjustments made for previous delays [67][68]
Antero Resources(AR) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company generated over $750 million in free cash flow, which was used to reduce debt by over $300 million, repurchase $136 million of stock, and invest more than $250 million in acquisitions [17][18] - The company achieved a new record of 19 stages per day for a single completion crew in Q4 2025, with an average of over 14 stages per day for the year, representing an 8% increase from 2024 [17] - The drilling team averaged under 5 drilling days per 10,000 feet, which was 4% faster than the 2024 average [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HG Energy acquisition added 385,000 net acres and over 400 drilling locations, extending the core inventory life by 5 years [4] - The transaction is expected to lower the company's cost structure by nearly 10%, which will further reduce break-even prices [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NGL market faced headwinds in 2025, with propane inventories higher than expected due to trade tensions and operational issues at export terminals [6][7] - Despite these challenges, demand for propane remained strong, with storage levels expected to return to normal by the end of 2026 [9] - Natural gas demand was robust, with residential and commercial demand averaging nearly 42 BCF per day during winter, resulting in a significant increase compared to the five-year average [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its core Marcellus position and increase dry gas exposure to capture demand from LNG exports and regional power plants [4] - The strategic initiatives include adding hedges to lock in free cash flow yields and reducing cash costs to expand margins [5] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on significant natural gas demand growth expected from LNG and regional power demand [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the successful navigation through winter challenges without any shut-in volumes and the strong performance of both upstream and midstream operations [3] - The company expects to maintain production levels and potentially grow to 4.5 Bcfe per day by 2027, depending on natural gas prices and in-basin demand [19][20] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to generate free cash flow and maintain a strong balance sheet while being opportunistic in capital allocation [18][30] Other Important Information - The company issued its inaugural investment-grade bonds, providing substantial flexibility alongside free cash flow generation [4] - The acquisition of HG Energy is expected to enhance the company's competitive advantage in the West Virginia natural gas and NGL market [15][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more color on the growth capital and in-basin demand? - Management stated that maintaining a steady state program with three rigs and two completion crews would result in growth, with flexibility to defer capital if gas prices are lower [26][28] Question: Is there an absolute debt target for buybacks? - Management indicated that there are no specific metrics for debt targets, but they are positioned to be opportunistic in buying back shares regardless of debt levels [30] Question: What are the synergies expected from the HG deal? - Management noted that synergies are better than expected, with improvements in cost structure and local gas demand contributing to potential upside [34][35] Question: How do you see the production ramp this year? - Management clarified that the production ramp is as expected, with a forecast of 4.1 Bcfe per day for 2026, increasing to 4.3 Bcfe per day in 2027 [40][41] Question: What is the outlook for PDH in China? - Management mentioned that PDH utilization is currently at 65%-70%, with additional plants expected to come online in 2026, contributing to demand growth [85] Question: How will the growth option impact your cost structure? - Management confirmed that the growth option will maintain a flat maintenance capital while allowing for significant production growth [80]
PLTW's Weekly Cash Flow Comes At A Cost
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-12 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy is informed by a background in the oil and gas sector, emphasizing efficiency, carefulness, and discipline in decision-making [1] Investment Focus - The company has a sustained interest in U.S. equity markets, particularly in technology, energy, and healthcare sectors [1] - The investment approach has evolved from growth investing to a blend of value and growth, focusing on the underlying economics of businesses [1] Competitive Advantage - There is an emphasis on evaluating the durability of a company's competitive advantage, referred to as its "moat," and its ability to generate consistent free cash flow over time [1] Investment Philosophy - The philosophy includes a conservative orientation, seeking to minimize downside risk while looking for upside potential [1] - As retirement approaches, there is a shift towards prioritizing income-generating assets such as dividend-paying equities and REITs [1] Community Engagement - The company values participation in a community of investors to share insights on real-world business fundamentals and intelligent investing [1] - There is a commitment to investing in ecologically sensitive businesses, reflecting a broader concern for environmental impact [1]
Sylvamo (SLVM) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-12 15:00
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings February 12, 2026 © 2026 Sylvamo Corporation. All rights reserved. 1 Cautionary statement concerning forward-looking statements 2 This presentation contains information that includes or is based upon forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements forecast or state expectations concerning future events. These statements often can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They typically use words such as "antic ...