Treasuries right now, though well-behaved with the ten year at 4.41% on Wednesday, the fed, as you know, left rates unchanged as widely expected to continue to pencil in two rate cuts by the end of the year, while also hinting at concerns about stagflation. For more, let's bring in Roger Ferguson, former fed vice chair, as well as a CNBC contributor. And when we're when we're on hold and we have you on, Roger, we've always got a lot to talk about, but sometimes it seems like we're talking about the same thi ...

There are times when if you tune in to the show, it's all about the Federal Reserve and trade policy all the time. I prefer to focus on the fundamentals of individual companies. You know that trying to help you identify winning stocks.But there are moments when these big picture macro forces trump what's going on at the companies themselves. No, no pun intended. We just went over the Federal Reserve at what they really do, why they feel compelled to raise interest rates in a strong economy, why those higher ...

[Music] The May consumer price index data showed a modest increase in inflation with CPI rising 0.1% month overmonth below the expected 0.2% with year-over-year headline inflation measured 2.4%. This reading has shifted some of the sentiment regarding interest rates after last week's stronger than expected labor data. The CME Fed Watch tool has increased the probability of a September rate cut from 6040 to 7030 after the release of the CPI data.The May CPI data suggests a cooling but stable inflation enviro ...

So Brad Gersonner, it's good to have you back. Uh, and it's great timing and no offense taken at the fact that you'll only wear a suit if you're going to the White House. I sort of figured that and this is what I expected you to be in today.And we'll get to all of that a little bit later. Uh, but I do want your current market view because I know you did get more bullish on these markets towards the end of April and into early May. And here we are.As I said at the very top, we're just a couple of percentage ...

I want to bring in our contributor for the hour. We've got Bob Lane back with us. He is explosive options technical analyst.A great voice to have when we are looking for clarity in the market because sometimes when the sentiment gets over its skis, you can bring us back to earth with the technicals. I want to start on the inflation data. We saw the market have a significant move to the upside.We're coming in just a bit off of that. How would you describe the market reaction. Uh quite a bit of a surprise, Ma ...

Economic Overview - Inflation is showing signs of cooling, with the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index rising only 0.1% month-over-month in April and 2.1% year-over-year, down from 2.3% in March [4][5] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, also rose 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, marking the smallest advance since March 2021 [5] - Consumer spending increased by 0.2% month-over-month, while personal income rose by 0.8% in April, indicating economic resilience [5][11] Trade and Tariffs - President Trump's tariffs announced in early April have been put on hold as trade negotiations are ongoing, alleviating concerns about inflation and recession [2][6] - The temporary pause in tariffs and the initiation of trade talks, including a deal with the UK, have boosted market optimism [7] Consumer Discretionary Stocks - Positive sentiment in the economy suggests investing in consumer discretionary stocks is prudent [2][8] - Selected stocks include: - **Interface, Inc. (TILE)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 8.2%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 2.6% over the past 60 days [9] - **Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 9.6%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 2.9% over the past 60 days [12] - **GDEV Inc. (GDEV)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 58%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 21.8% over the past 60 days [13] - **Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 27.7%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 3% over the past 60 days [15]