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JPMorgan Q2 Earnings on the Deck: A Smart Buy or Risky Bet?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 14:05
Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan is set to report its Q2 2025 earnings on July 15, with expectations of modest performance compared to previous quarters, influenced by various market factors and economic conditions [1][2]. Financial Performance - JPMorgan's Q1 performance was strong, driven by investment banking and trading, alongside growth in credit card and wholesale loans [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 revenues is $43.47 billion, indicating a 3.4% year-over-year decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) has been revised slightly upward to $4.49, reflecting a 2.1% increase from the prior year [3]. Estimate Revision Trend - The earnings estimates for the current quarter and the next have seen minor upward revisions, with current estimates at $4.49 for Q2 2025 and $4.47 for Q3 2025 [5]. - The average earnings surprise over the last four quarters has been 10.70%, with the company consistently outperforming estimates [5][7]. Factors Influencing Q2 Performance - Net Interest Income (NII) is expected to rise by 3% year-over-year, supported by stable funding costs [8]. - Investment Banking (IB) fees are projected to decline by 11.4% year-over-year, with a consensus estimate of $2.18 billion [12]. - Markets revenues are anticipated to grow in the mid-to-high single digits, with estimates for equity markets revenues at $3.15 billion and fixed-income markets revenues at $5.25 billion [14]. Asset Quality and Expenses - Non-performing loans (NPLs) are expected to increase by 17.3% year-over-year, with estimates at $9.14 billion [18]. - Non-interest expenses are projected to remain stable at $23.7 billion, influenced by expansion efforts and technology investments [16][17]. Market Position and Valuation - JPMorgan shares have outperformed the S&P 500 but lagged behind peers like Citigroup and Bank of America [21]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E of 14.78X, which is below the industry average of 14.9X [22]. - The acquisition of First Republic Bank in 2023 is expected to bolster financials and support long-term growth [26]. Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its footprint and capitalizing on cross-selling opportunities, despite facing challenges in fee income growth due to market volatility [28]. - Investors are advised to monitor management's comments on NII and IB business prospects during the upcoming earnings call [29].
Conagra Brands Q4 Earnings Coming Up: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 13:56
Core Insights - Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is expected to report a decline in both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at 59 cents, reflecting a 3.3% decrease year-over-year [1][8] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is projected at $2.9 billion, indicating a 1.8% decline from the previous year [1][8] - For fiscal 2025, the overall earnings guidance suggests a decline of 12.7% in EPS to $2.33, with organic net sales growth expected to decrease by 2% [1][4] Financial Performance - The adjusted operating margin for fiscal 2025 is projected at 14.4%, down from previous levels, with adjusted earnings forecasted at $2.35 per share, a decrease from $2.67 in fiscal 2024 [4] - The trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise for CAG averages almost -0.1% [1] Cost Pressures - Persistent cost inflation, particularly in input and protein costs, continues to impact margin performance, with an expected adjusted gross margin contraction of 170 basis points year-over-year [2] - Rising selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, including advertising and promotional spending, are further squeezing profitability [2] Market Conditions - The Foodservice segment is under pressure due to weaker commercial traffic and a sluggish recovery in out-of-home dining, reflecting broader industry challenges [3] - Currency volatility due to international exposure adds additional pressure on the company's performance [3]
CrowdStrike (CRWD) Up 7.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 16:31
Group 1 - CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) shares have increased by approximately 7.7% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 [1] - Recent estimates for CrowdStrike have trended upward, with a consensus estimate shift of -32.3% [2] - CrowdStrike currently holds a Growth Score of B but has an F in Momentum and Value Scores, resulting in an overall VGM Score of F [3] Group 2 - The outlook for CrowdStrike indicates broadly upward trending estimates, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting an in-line return expected in the coming months [4] - In the same security industry, SentinelOne (S) has gained 0.9% over the past month, reporting revenues of $229.03 million, a year-over-year increase of +22.9% [5] - SentinelOne is projected to post earnings of $0.03 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a +200% change from the previous year, maintaining a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6]
Is Microsoft (MSFT) Outperforming Other Computer and Technology Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 14:41
Group 1 - Microsoft is currently one of 609 companies in the Computer and Technology sector, which ranks 4 within the Zacks Sector Rank [2] - Microsoft has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook with a 1.9% increase in the full-year earnings estimate over the past quarter [3] - Year-to-date, Microsoft has returned 18%, outperforming the average gain of 6.8% for the Computer and Technology sector [4] Group 2 - Microsoft belongs to the Computer - Software industry, which includes 30 companies and currently ranks 38 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average gain of 15.6% this year [5] - Advanced Energy Industries, another outperforming stock in the sector, has increased by 14.6% year-to-date and has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][5] - The Semiconductor Equipment - Wafer Fabrication industry, where Advanced Energy Industries is categorized, has two stocks and ranks 13, with a year-to-date gain of 15.6% [6]
Veeva (VEEV) Up 0.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 16:35
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Veeva Systems (VEEV) . Shares have added about 0.8% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Veeva due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It turns ...
VirTra, Inc. (VTSI) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 23:16
Company Performance - VirTra, Inc. (VTSI) closed at $6.66, reflecting a -1.48% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.8% [1] - Over the past month, shares of VirTra, Inc. have increased by 21.36%, while the Aerospace sector gained 5.36% and the S&P 500 gained 5.12% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect VirTra, Inc. to report earnings of $0.03 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 72.73% [2] - The consensus estimate anticipates revenue of $6.38 million, representing a 5.11% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts project earnings of $0.27 per share and revenue of $29.19 million, reflecting changes of +125% and +7.9% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for VirTra, Inc. are important as they indicate the evolving nature of near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable business outlook [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - VirTra, Inc. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), which has historically contributed to an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for VirTra, Inc. is 25.04, aligning with the average Forward P/E of 25.04 for its industry [6] Industry Context - The Electronics - Military industry, part of the Aerospace sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 1, placing it in the top 1% of over 250 industries [6] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Analysts Estimate Constellation Brands (STZ) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Constellation Brands due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for near-term stock price movements [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $3.39 per share, reflecting a -5% change year-over-year, and revenues of $2.58 billion, down 3.2% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.15% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Constellation Brands is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.69%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Constellation Brands exceeded the expected earnings of $2.28 per share by delivering $2.63, resulting in a surprise of +15.35% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - Constellation Brands does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
Why Is Palo Alto (PANW) Up 10.2% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 16:30
Company Overview - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) shares have increased by approximately 10.2% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 [1] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the catalysts affecting the stock [1] Earnings Estimates - Estimates for Palo Alto Networks have trended upward in the past month, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [2][4] VGM Scores - Palo Alto Networks has an average Growth Score of C, a Momentum Score of F, and a Value Score of F, resulting in an overall VGM Score of F, placing it in the lowest quintile for investment strategies [3] Outlook - The upward trend in estimates suggests a promising outlook for Palo Alto Networks, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [4] Industry Comparison - Palo Alto Networks is part of the Zacks Security industry, where another player, Qualys (QLYS), has seen a 1% gain over the past month [5] - Qualys reported revenues of $159.9 million for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.7%, with EPS rising from $1.45 to $1.67 [5] - For the current quarter, Qualys is expected to report earnings of $1.47 per share, a decrease of 3.3% from the previous year, with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [6]
Seeking Clues to KB Home (KBH) Q2 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast a significant decline in KB Home's quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating potential challenges for the company in the upcoming earnings release [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - KB Home is expected to report earnings of $1.45 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 32.6% [1]. - Anticipated revenues are projected at $1.5 billion, which represents a decline of 12.6% compared to the same quarter last year [1]. - The estimate for 'Total Revenues- Homebuilding' is $1.49 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of -12.6% [4]. - 'Total Revenues- Financial services' is expected to be $6.65 million, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 19.9% [5]. Group 2: Key Metrics and Performance Indicators - Analysts predict 'Backlog - Units' to reach 5,089, down from 6,270 a year ago [5]. - The 'Average selling price' is estimated at $487.12 million, slightly up from $483 million in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Net orders - Units' are forecasted to be 3,723, compared to 3,997 in the previous year [6]. - 'Unit deliveries - Total Homes' are projected at 3,070, down from 3,523 in the same quarter last year [6]. Group 3: Income and Financial Metrics - 'Operating Income- Homebuilding' is expected to be $124.01 million, down from $188.18 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Homebuilding pretax income' is estimated at $130.44 million, compared to $207.86 million a year ago [8]. - The consensus estimate for 'Financial services pretax income' stands at $10.19 million, down from $13.26 million in the same quarter last year [7]. Group 4: Market Performance - KB Home shares have decreased by 3.7% over the past month, contrasting with a 1.4% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [8]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [8].
Capital City Bank: Earnings Outlook Is Rosy, But The Valuation Isn't Attractive Enough
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-10 05:12
I'm increasing the earnings estimate for Capital City Bank Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CCBG ) following the first quarter's results, wherein deposit growth and margin expansion beat my expectations. I'm now expecting the company to report an EPS of $3.26, up from my previous estimateAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my ow ...