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Can Celsius Maintain Gross Margins Above 50% Amid Tariffs?
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 12:45
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. reported a gross margin of 51.5% for Q2 2025, slightly down from 52% in the previous year, influenced by Alani Nu's lower-margin profile and a $21.7 million inventory step-up adjustment [1][8] - The company anticipates that tariff-related cost pressures will impact margins in the latter half of the year, despite temporary cushioning from FIFO accounting [2][4] Financial Performance - Celsius achieved a gross margin of 51.5%, supported by lower raw material costs, improved production yields, and a favorable product mix [1][8] - The company expects to maintain gross margins in the low 50s range through vertical integration, procurement discipline, and cost-saving initiatives [3][4] - Celsius shares have increased by 17.2% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 9.5% [7] Comparison with Competitors - PepsiCo reported a Q2 2025 core gross margin of 55.1%, down from 55.9% year-over-year, with a 5.1% decline in core operating income [5] - Coca-Cola posted a comparable gross margin of 62.2%, an increase of 80 basis points from the previous year, driven by operational improvements and pricing actions [6] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Celsius trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 41.56X, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.41X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Celsius's EPS indicates year-over-year growth of 54.3% for 2025 and 28.6% for 2026 [11]
The idea that the Fed should be cutting aggressively strikes me as inapt: Carlyle's Jason Thomas
CNBC Television· 2025-09-29 12:02
for a look at the economy following last week's PCE report. To join us right now is Carlile, head of global research, Jason Thomas. Good morning to you, sir.I think we're all trying to figure out where we really are. So, where are we. >> Well, I I think when you think when you look at the PCE report, I think the first point to make is that the Fed has not hit its inflation target in now 54 months.That's quite a long time. There are about three million uh children who are enrolled in elementary school in the ...
Commerce Department looks to add tariffs on robotics, sparking industry concerns
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 11:54
Core Insights - The U.S. Commerce Department has initiated a Section 232 investigation to assess the national security implications of importing robotics and industrial machinery, excluding drones [3] - Industry groups, including the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) and the Plastics Industry Association (PIA), are concerned that tariffs on these imports could hinder domestic production and investment in U.S. manufacturing [5][6] Group 1: Investigation Details - The investigation was opened on September 2, with details published on September 26 [3] - The focus is on various types of machinery, including computer-controlled systems and metalworking equipment [3] Group 2: Industry Concerns - NAM argues that tariffs could significantly increase costs for essential manufacturing inputs, which could stall investment in U.S. factories [4][7] - Timmons from NAM highlighted that at least 16% of critical manufacturing inputs must be imported, as the U.S. can only produce 84% domestically [4] - The PIA stated that additional tariffs could impose steep costs on machinery vital for producing automotive parts, semiconductors, and other materials [5][6] Group 3: Call to Action - Industry groups are urging the Commerce Department to reconsider the investigation, emphasizing that tariffs could undermine the goal of revitalizing U.S. manufacturing [7] - NAM has advocated for trade solutions like "zero-for-zero" tariffs and rebates for domestic investments [5]
Nike marketing plans in focus ahead of crucial year for sports events
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 10:13
Core Insights - Investors are focused on Nike's marketing strategies for the upcoming year, especially after recent quarters of underperformance and market share loss to competitors [1][6] - Nike has increased its marketing expenditure to $1.63 billion, a 9% rise from the previous year, as it prepares for significant events like the World Cup [2][4] - The company faces challenges from high tariffs, which are expected to add approximately $1 billion in costs, while it aims to reduce imports from China [3][6] Marketing and Branding - Nike's recent marketing campaigns have aimed to reestablish its brand as the preferred choice for serious athletes, a position it has struggled to maintain [4] - The upcoming World Cup is a critical opportunity for Nike, as it sponsors five of the top-10 FIFA-ranked national teams, which could enhance its visibility and relevance [4] Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter ending in August is projected to decline by about 5% year-over-year, with gross profit margins expected to decrease by approximately 3.7% [5] - The company has been losing market share to younger brands like On and Hoka, impacting its performance in key markets, particularly China [6] Product Strategy - Nike has faced difficulties in the women's athleisure segment against competitors like Lululemon, prompting the launch of NikeSKIMS in collaboration with Kim Kardashian's label [7] - The success of new product initiatives may take time to assess, especially given the ongoing impact of tariffs on sportswear demand [7]
Trump’s tariffs could weigh on oil and gas industry’s outlook, says GlobalData poll
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 09:50
Expansion of oil and gas became a cornerstone of Trump’s agenda for the second-term election. Since taking office, he has implemented a widening array of tariffs on selected countries and commodities to shield US economic interests. During his campaign, he proposed a general global import tariff in the 10%–20% range and tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods. The rollout, however, was initially disrupted by delays and policy reversals, with each new announcement provoking international reactions that heig ...
Fed's Hammack: Challenging time for monetary policy
Youtube· 2025-09-29 09:06
Inflation Concerns - The current inflation rate has been above the target of 2% for over four and a half years, with pressures noted in both headline and core inflation, particularly in services [1][4][5] - There is a belief that the inflationary pressures may not solely stem from tariffs, indicating a need for increased attention to the situation [2][10] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor market appears to be in balance, with an unemployment rate around 4.3%, which has remained stable for the past year [3][4][15] - Businesses are currently absorbing price pressures but may need to pass these costs onto consumers in the near future, particularly as contracts are renegotiated [7][8] Economic Outlook - The forecast suggests inflation will remain above target for the next one to two years, potentially not reaching the 2% goal until late 2027 or early 2028 [5] - There is optimism regarding consumer demand and corporate profits, which may support GDP growth despite elevated market valuations [20] Monetary Policy Stance - The current monetary policy is described as mildly restrictive, with a need to maintain this stance until there are signs of significant economic weakness [29][30] - A government shutdown could negatively impact GDP growth, but historically, such events have had minimal long-term effects [27][28]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-29 03:12
New Zealand’s wine industry is bracing for a challenging year as US tariffs threaten to curb demand in its largest market just as a strong 2025 harvest increases supply, according to the industry body https://t.co/tMp9hJ44jk ...
Is Comcast (CMCSA) One of the Best Telecom Dividend Stocks to Buy in 2025?
Insider Monkey· 2025-09-29 01:50
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...
X @The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-09-28 18:21
President Trump is threatening U.S. pharmaceutical companies with tariffs of 100% to push them to bring manufacturing home, but it may not be so easy to dislodge companies from places like the Irish village of Ringaskiddy. https://t.co/cKpBueLK09 ...
President Trump reignites trade tensions with new tariffs
Youtube· 2025-09-28 15:01
Group 1: Tariff Implications - A new set of tariffs will take effect on October 1st, including a 100% tariff on some imported drugs, 50% on kitchen cabinets, 30% on upholstered furniture, and 25% on big trucks [1] - The pharmaceutical industry may benefit from a loophole allowing companies that invest in U.S. manufacturing to avoid the tariffs [6][10] - The impact of the tariffs on the furniture industry is significant, particularly for companies relying on foreign imports, while U.S.-based manufacturers may see stock gains [11][20] Group 2: Market Reactions - Stock reactions have been mixed across affected industries, with pharmaceutical companies like Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson seeing stock increases due to U.S. manufacturing investments [10] - Companies like Restoration Hardware and Wayfair are under pressure due to their reliance on foreign sourcing, while U.S.-based Ethan Allen is experiencing stock gains [11][12] - Overall, stock futures are up, indicating a different market reaction compared to past tariff announcements [13] Group 3: Economic Context - The tariffs are part of President Trump's broader strategy to bring manufacturing back to the U.S., which is politically significant, especially in key states like North Carolina [8][21] - The effectiveness of tariffs as a policy tool is debated, with concerns about labor shortages in manufacturing complicating the return of jobs to the U.S. [22][23] - The pharmaceutical tariffs specifically target branded drugs, which account for a smaller market share compared to generic drugs, potentially limiting their overall impact [16][17]