Earnings ESP
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Will Motorola (MSI) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 17:11
Core Insights - Motorola (MSI) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having a history of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 5.16% [1][2] Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Motorola achieved earnings of $3.18 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.01 per share, resulting in a surprise of 5.65% [2] - In the previous quarter, Motorola was expected to report earnings of $3.86 per share but delivered $4.04 per share, leading to a surprise of 4.66% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Motorola have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat, especially when combined with its Zacks Rank [4][7] - The Zacks Earnings ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts revising their estimates close to the earnings release may have more accurate information [6] Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, indicating a high probability of beating consensus estimates [5] - Currently, Motorola has an Earnings ESP of +0.55%, reflecting a bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [7]
Will Marex Group PLC (MRX) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 17:11
Core Insights - Marex Group PLC has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, averaging a 11.85% beat over the last two quarters [1][2] - The company reported earnings of $0.91 per share for the last quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.90 per share by 1.11% [2] - In the previous quarter, Marex Group PLC's earnings were $0.76 per share against an expectation of $0.62, resulting in a surprise of 22.58% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Marex Group PLC have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +3.97%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] Earnings ESP and Market Behavior - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - The next earnings report for Marex Group PLC is anticipated on August 13, 2025 [8]
Is a Beat in Store for Cincinnati Financial This Earnings Season?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 16:51
Core Insights - Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is anticipated to show revenue growth but a decline in net income for Q2 2025, with revenues expected to reach $2.9 billion, reflecting a 15.5% increase year-over-year [1][10] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is $1.37, indicating a 6.2% year-over-year increase [2] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CINF's second-quarter revenues is $2.9 billion, up 15.5% from the previous year [1][10] - The earnings per share estimate has increased by 1 cent in the past week, with a consensus of $1.37 [2] Earnings Prediction Model - CINF is predicted to beat earnings expectations due to a positive Earnings ESP of +3.65% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][4] Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Increased exposure, better pricing, and higher premiums from Cincinnati Re are expected to positively impact earned premiums, estimated at $2.5 billion, a 15.2% increase from last year [5] - Personal Lines revenues are projected at $794 million, benefiting from higher policy retention rates and changes in policy deductibles [6] - Excess and Surplus lines revenues are expected to reach $172 million, driven by improved agency renewal and new business premiums [7] - Investment income is anticipated to be $269.6 million, an 11.4% increase year-over-year [8] Expense and Profitability Outlook - Total expenses are expected to rise by 14.3% to $2.5 billion, influenced by higher insurance losses and operating expenses [9] - The combined ratio is estimated to improve to 97.3, reflecting a 120 basis point enhancement year-over-year, aided by a benign catastrophe environment [9][10]
Veralto Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 16:10
Core Insights - Veralto Corporation (VLTO) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 results on July 29, with earnings estimated at 89 cents per share, reflecting a 4.7% year-over-year increase, and revenues projected at $1.34 billion, indicating a 4.3% rise year-over-year [2][9]. Earnings Performance - VLTO has a strong earnings surprise history, having exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 6.4% [3]. Revenue Expectations - The Water Quality segment is expected to generate revenues of $801 million, representing a 3% year-over-year growth, while the Product Quality & Inspection segment is estimated to bring in $534 million, up 4.5% from the previous year [4][9]. Operating Efficiency - Robust operating efficiency is anticipated to contribute to bottom-line growth in the upcoming quarter [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for VLTO, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.43% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [6].
Essex Property to Report Q2 Earnings: What to Expect From the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:20
Core Insights - Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 29, with anticipated year-over-year growth in revenues and core funds from operations (FFO) per share [1][9] Company Performance - In the last reported quarter, Essex Property achieved a core FFO per share surprise of 1.28%, driven by growth in same-property revenues and net operating income [2] - Over the past four quarters, Essex Property consistently surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with an average surprise of 1.29% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter revenues is $469.19 million, reflecting a 6.07% year-over-year increase [8] - Projected core FFO per share for the second quarter is in the range of $3.90-$4.02, indicating a year-over-year increase of 1.27% [10][11] Market Overview - The U.S. apartment market showed resilience in Q2 2025, absorbing over 227,000 units, surpassing previous peak leasing surges [3] - National occupancy rates rose to 95.6%, up 140 basis points year-over-year, despite muted rent growth of only 0.19% in June [4] - More than 535,000 units were completed in the past year, with 108,000 delivered in Q2, indicating strong market absorption capabilities [5] Regional Insights - Tech-driven markets like San Francisco, San Jose, Boston, and New York are gaining momentum, supported by easing supply and return-to-office trends [6] - Sun Belt markets such as Dallas, Atlanta, and Jacksonville are also showing recovery, while tourism-dependent cities like Las Vegas and Orlando are experiencing slight declines [6] Factors Influencing ESS - Essex Property is expected to benefit from its strong presence on the West Coast, where tech-driven job creation supports rental demand [7] - The company's portfolio reallocation in Northern California is likely to enhance occupancy and revenue growth [7] - Financial occupancy is projected at 96.6%, up 30 basis points sequentially [8] Financial Challenges - High debt burden remains a challenge, with interest expenses expected to increase by 7.7% year-over-year in Q2 [8][9]
Earnings Preview: AerCap (AER) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Company Overview - AerCap (AER) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with a projected EPS of $2.81, reflecting a decrease of 6.6% compared to the previous year [3] - Revenue is anticipated to be $2.02 billion, which represents a 3.2% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for July 30, and the stock price may react positively if the results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for AerCap is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.85%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12] - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, AerCap holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AerCap exceeded the expected EPS of $2.69 by delivering $3.68, resulting in a surprise of +36.80% [13] - Over the past four quarters, AerCap has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Context - In the Zacks Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry, Herc Holdings (HRI) is expected to report an EPS of $1.29, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 50.4% [18] - Herc Holdings' revenue is projected to be $987.76 million, up 16.5% from the previous year, but the company has a negative Earnings ESP of 0% and a Zacks Rank of 5, indicating a challenging outlook [19][20]
Earnings Preview: Albemarle (ALB) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Albemarle due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2] Earnings Expectations - Albemarle is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.83 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year change of -2175% [3] - Revenue projections stand at $1.24 billion, indicating a decrease of 13.1% from the previous year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 36.03% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Albemarle is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +21.13% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [10] - Albemarle currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Albemarle was expected to post a loss of $0.62 per share but actually reported a loss of -$0.18, resulting in a surprise of +70.97% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Albemarle has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14] Industry Context - Another company in the Zacks Chemical - Diversified industry, Olin, is expected to report earnings of $0 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -100% [18] - Olin's revenue is projected at $1.67 billion, which is a slight increase of 1.5% from the previous year [18] - Olin's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 24% over the last 30 days, and it currently has an Earnings ESP of -869.36% [19][20]
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Core Viewpoint - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.40, reflecting a -28.6% change from the previous year, and revenues expected to be $310.15 million, down 7.9% [1][3][19] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for release on July 30, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.8% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4][19] Earnings Surprise Prediction - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.50%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12][19] - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12][20] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, the company exceeded the expected EPS of $0.53 by delivering $0.55, resulting in a surprise of +3.77% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14] Industry Context - Within the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is positioned to report earnings of $0.40 per share for the quarter ended June 2025, with a revenue expectation of $310.15 million [18][19]
Earnings Preview: Employers Holdings (EIG) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Company Overview - Employers Holdings (EIG) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with expected earnings of $0.94 per share, reflecting a decrease of 14.6% compared to the previous year [3] - Revenues for the quarter are projected to be $214.65 million, which is a decline of 1.1% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their outlook for the company [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Employers Holdings is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.19%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Employers Holdings exceeded the expected earnings of $0.69 per share by delivering $0.87, resulting in a surprise of +26.09% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates on all occasions [14] Industry Context - In the broader context of the Zacks Insurance - Accident and Health industry, Unum (UNM) is expected to report earnings of $2.23 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3.2% [18] - Unum's revenue is projected to be $3.32 billion, reflecting a growth of 2.4% from the previous year [18]
Element Solutions (ESI) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q2 Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates flat earnings for Element Solutions (ESI) in the upcoming quarter, with earnings expected to be $0.36 per share and revenues projected at $604.97 million, reflecting a 1.3% decline year-over-year [3][12]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.75% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The stock may experience upward movement if actual earnings exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2][12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - Element Solutions has an Earnings ESP of +1.41%, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 2, which further supports the potential for a positive earnings surprise [12][10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Element Solutions had an earnings surprise of +3.03%, with actual earnings of $0.34 per share compared to an expected $0.33 [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Chemical - Specialty industry, Ashland (ASH) is expected to report earnings of $1.15 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 22.8% [18]. - Ashland's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2% in the last 30 days, and it currently has an Earnings ESP of -8.62% with a Zacks Rank of 5, indicating challenges in beating the consensus estimate [19].