NCS Multistage (NCSM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call August 01, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsMike Morrison - CFORyan Hummer - CEODave Storms - Director - Equity ResearchJoshua Jayne - Managing DirectorConference Call ParticipantsGowshihan Sriharan - Equity Research AnalystOperatorGood day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Second Quarter twenty twenty five NCS Multistage Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will ...

Financial Performance - Q2 2025 - Sales reached $706 million, slightly down from $708.4 million in Q2 2024[13] - Gross profit increased to $93.1 million, compared to $82.9 million in Q2 2024, with a margin of 13.2% versus 11.7%[13] - Adjusted EBITDA was $62.8 million, up from $50.9 million in Q2 2024, resulting in a margin of 8.9% compared to 7.2%[13] - Net loss was $1.4 million, a significant improvement from the $76.2 million loss in Q2 2024[13] Financial Performance - First Half 2025 - Sales totaled $1.373 billion, a slight decrease from $1.3848 billion in the first half of 2024[13] - Gross profit increased to $170.2 million from $144.6 million, with a margin increase from 10.4% to 12.4%[13] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $121.5 million from $80.3 million, with a margin increase from 5.8% to 8.8%[13] - Net income was $0.2 million, a substantial improvement from a loss of $107.9 million in the first half of 2024[13] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Free cash flow was negative $23.4 million for Q2 2025, nearly the same as negative $23.3 million in Q2 2024[22] - Net cash used in operating activities was $15.6 million in Q2 2025, compared to $12 million in Q2 2024[22] Strategic Initiatives and Outlook - The company reaffirms its focus on achieving double-digit EBITDA margins, ROIC, and strong free cash flow generation[27] - Full year 2025 sales guidance is between $2.7 billion and $2.8 billion[43] - Adjusted EBITDA guidance for FY 2025 is between $220 million and $250 million[43]

Financial Performance - Free Cash Flow was $126.2 million, a decrease of 5.7% year-over-year and 7.0% quarter-over-quarter[4] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $440.4 million, up 6.6% year-over-year and 1.3% quarter-over-quarter[4] - Shareholder returns totaled approximately $79.3 million through dividends and share repurchases[4] - ROCE was 19.6%, approximately flat quarter-over-quarter[4] Production and Operations - Average daily production was 134.1 Mboe/d, an increase of 8.7% year-over-year but a decrease of 0.6% quarter-over-quarter[4] - Capital expenditures amounted to $210 million, down 11.5% year-over-year and 16.0% quarter-over-quarter[4] - Appalachian volumes reached a record 123.5 mmcf per day[4] - Uinta volumes increased by approximately 18.5% on a sequential quarter basis[8] M&A and Capital Allocation - The company closed on an Upton County, Texas acquisition for a total cash consideration of $61.7 million, net of closing adjustments[8] - Over $1.1 billion of available liquidity at quarter-end[8]

2Q25 Conference Call August 1, 2025 00 2Q25 – HIGHLIGHTS | | Business diversification and | Quarterly growth of 5% in | Solid cash and gross debt | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | an assertive commercial | adjusted EBITDA in 2Q25, reaching | management resulted in | | | strategy generate resilience | | further deleveraging in the | | | and solid performance | R$ 2.6 billion | quarter | | | EBITDA growth in all segments | Adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.5% | Indicator reached 3.24x, down 9 | | | except mining due ...

All right, let me tell you about some breaking news right now. We've got second quarter results that are just out from Chevron. Earnings came in at a $1.77% a share on an adjusted basis.That's better than the 170 that the street was looking for. Revenue also came in uh better than expected, $44.8% billion versus 43.8% billion. Lots of other metrics that are in here that came in above estimates as well, including nut production.They set worldwide and uh US record levels that they'd seen on this for the periu ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategies of Vasily Zyryanov, focusing on identifying underpriced equities with strong upside potential and overappreciated companies with inflated valuations [1] - Zyryanov emphasizes the importance of analyzing Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital in addition to profit and sales to gain deeper insights into investment opportunities [1] - The research covers a wide range of industries, particularly the energy sector, including oil & gas supermajors, mid-cap, and small-cap exploration & production companies, as well as oilfield services firms [1] Group 2 - The article highlights that while Zyryanov favors underappreciated and misunderstood equities, he also recognizes that some growth stocks may warrant their premium valuations [1] - The primary goal for investors is to investigate whether the market's current opinions on valuations are accurate [1]

Core Viewpoint - Baytex Energy Corp. reported solid operational and financial results for Q2 2025, highlighting record well performance in the Pembina Duvernay and a continued focus on debt reduction and disciplined capital allocation [2][6][17]. Financial Performance - Total petroleum and natural gas sales for Q2 2025 were CAD 886.6 million, a decrease from CAD 1.1 billion in Q2 2024 [10]. - Adjusted funds flow was CAD 367 million (CAD 0.48 per basic share), while net income reached CAD 152 million (CAD 0.20 per basic share) [10][17]. - Free cash flow generated was CAD 3 million, with CAD 21 million returned to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [17][18]. - Net debt decreased by 4% (CAD 96 million) to CAD 2.3 billion, supported by unrealized foreign exchange gains [18]. Production and Operations - Average production for Q2 2025 was 148,095 boe/d (84% oil and NGL), marking a 2% increase in production per basic share compared to Q2 2024 [6][19]. - Heavy oil production averaged 44,895 boe/d (96% oil and NGL), up 7% from Q1 2025 [28]. - The Pembina Duvernay wells achieved average peak 30-day production rates of 1,865 boe/d per well, with the first pad exceeding initial rate expectations [24][25]. Capital Expenditures and Future Outlook - Exploration and development expenditures for Q2 2025 totaled CAD 357 million, with a full-year target of approximately CAD 1.2 billion [4][19]. - The company plans to allocate 100% of free cash flow to debt repayment after funding quarterly dividends, targeting net debt of approximately CAD 2 billion by year-end [7][18]. - For the second half of 2025, production is expected to average approximately 150,000 boe/d [4]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - A quarterly cash dividend of CAD 0.0225 per share has been declared, payable on October 1, 2025 [30].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the second quarter, the company generated $284 million of EBITDA, an 11% year-over-year increase driven by higher gathering and processing volumes, which set new company records [6] - Free cash flow after dividends reached $82 million, representing a nearly 90% increase compared to the previous year [7] - The company reduced its leverage to 2.8 times as of June 30 [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company invested $45 million in gathering, compression, water, and joint venture projects during the second quarter, bringing year-to-date capital investment to $82 million, which is 45% of the updated 2025 capital budget [4] - The compression reuse program has realized over $50 million in savings, with future savings estimates increased from $60 million to over $85 million [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is uniquely positioned to connect low-cost production to LNG facilities along the Gulf Coast, while also maintaining optionality to connect to local markets [10] - The company expects project announcements in Appalachia to accelerate due to regulatory support, particularly in West Virginia [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to execute its organic growth plan, focusing on predictable earnings and capital efficiency, which allows for attractive dividends, debt reduction, and share repurchases [11] - The company is exploring opportunities to build infrastructure to meet growing demand in the Northeast, particularly in West Virginia [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management does not expect to be a material cash taxpayer through at least 2028, benefiting from recent tax legislation [9][32] - The company is actively looking for opportunities in the asset market, particularly bolt-on acquisitions around its current asset base [37] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress on its capital projects and is focusing on low-pressure gathering and water connections to set up the 2026 development plan [4] Q&A Session Summary Question: Opportunities for AM in basin demand - Management indicated that AM could build infrastructure to meet growing demand, leveraging its large footprint in West Virginia and Ohio [14] Question: Capital allocation strategy - Management stated that the 50% allocation to buybacks is a long-term target, with flexibility based on market conditions [16][18] Question: In-basin demand opportunities related to recent announcements - Management noted that West Virginia's microgrid bill could create significant opportunities for AM, particularly in data center supply [24] Question: Clearwater facility lawsuit update - Management stated there is no new information regarding the lawsuit, which is pending a decision from the Colorado Supreme Court [27] Question: Processing capacity and potential new plant - Management indicated that there is still room to run processing plants above nameplate capacity, with no immediate need for additional processing capacity [30] Question: Long-term cash tax expectations - Management reiterated that they do not expect to be a full cash taxpayer for at least five years, benefiting from recent tax legislation [32] Question: Inorganic opportunities in the asset market - Management confirmed they are continuously looking for bolt-on acquisition opportunities but have no immediate plans to announce [37]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the second quarter increased by 9% year over year, reaching $2,530,000,000, exceeding the high end of guidance [6][12] - EBITDA margins improved to 28.7%, up 300 basis points year over year, with EBITDA at $589,000,000 [7][12] - Earnings per share (EPS) rose by 36% year over year to $0.91 [8][12] - Free cash flow was strong at $344,000,000, enabling share repurchases and debt repayment [7][14] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Engine products revenue increased by 13% to $1,056,000,000, with an EBITDA margin of 33% [17][18] - Forged Wheels segment maintained a strong EBITDA margin of 27.5%, despite a volume decline of 11% [8][22] - Fastening Systems revenue grew by 9% to $431,000,000, with an EBITDA margin of 29.2% [19] - Engineered Structures revenue increased by 5% to $290,000,000, with a significant EBITDA margin increase to 21.4% [20][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial aerospace revenue grew by 8%, driven by demand for engine spares [10] - Defense aerospace revenue reached a record $352,000,000, up 21% [10] - Industrial and other markets saw a 17% increase, with oil and gas up 26% and IGT up 25% [11] - Commercial transportation revenue declined by 4% due to higher aluminum costs [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding capacity for turbine airfoils and IGT build-out during 2026 and 2027 [6] - Continued investment in capital expenditures, with approximately $220,000,000 invested in the first half of the year, primarily in the engines business [14] - The company anticipates strong growth in commercial aerospace and defense aerospace, with a cautious outlook on the commercial truck segment [28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in free cash flow and announced a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend [7][17] - The company expects continued strength in commercial aerospace and defense markets, with a slight offset in commercial transportation [28] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining healthy inventory levels and navigating potential destocking risks [99] Other Important Information - The company is reviewing new U.S. tax legislation related to R&D and CapEx expensing, expecting a modest free cash flow benefit in 2025 [22][23] - The company has a strong liquidity position with a cash balance of $546,000,000 and an undrawn revolver of $1,000,000,000 [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you comment on the rationalization of products within structures? - Management indicated that most rationalization has already occurred, leading to improved margins and healthy revenue growth [34][36] Question: What is the timing of revenue contributions from engine expansions? - Management expects outputs from new plants to begin in the fourth quarter of the year, with significant contributions anticipated in 2026 and 2027 [46][48] Question: How does the defense business, particularly F-35, contribute to future growth? - Management noted that the spares business for F-35 is expected to exceed original equipment production, indicating strong future contributions [56][58] Question: What are the assumptions for production rates of key aircraft models? - Management provided updated assumptions for production rates, including an increase for the Boeing 737 MAX from 28 to 33 per month [65] Question: What is the outlook for pricing expectations next year? - Management expects consistent pricing increases, similar to previous years, as they renew long-term agreements [120] Question: Are there any concerns regarding inventory levels and destocking? - Management acknowledged the potential for destocking but emphasized that their underlying growth remains strong despite these challenges [98][100]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q2 2025 increased by 9% year over year, reaching $2,530,000,000, exceeding guidance [5][11] - EBITDA margins improved to 28.7%, up 300 basis points year over year, with EBITDA at $589,000,000 [6][12] - Earnings per share (EPS) rose by 36% year over year to $0.91 [7][12] - Free cash flow was strong at $344,000,000, enabling share repurchases and debt repayment [6][12] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Engine products revenue increased by 13% to $1,056,000,000, with EBITDA margin rising to 33% [17] - Fastening systems revenue grew by 9% to $431,000,000, with EBITDA margin at 29.2% [19] - Engineered structures revenue increased by 5% to $290,000,000, with EBITDA margin at 21.4% [20] - Forged wheels revenue decreased slightly, but EBITDA margin remained strong at 27.5% [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial aerospace revenue grew by 8%, driven by demand for engine spares [9] - Defense aerospace revenue reached a record $352,000,000, up 21% [9] - Industrial and other markets saw a 17% increase, with oil and gas up 26% and IGT up 25% [10] - Commercial transportation revenue declined by 4% due to higher aluminum costs [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding capacity for turbine airfoils and IGT, with significant capital expenditures planned [5][13] - Continued investment in engine business is expected to drive future growth, particularly in commercial aerospace and IGT [13][30] - The company anticipates strong demand in commercial aerospace and defense sectors, with a cautious outlook on commercial transportation [24][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth in commercial aerospace and defense markets, supported by high backlogs and increasing production rates [24][25] - The company expects to maintain EBITDA margins above 28% and has raised full-year guidance for revenue and free cash flow [29][30] - Management remains vigilant regarding potential risks in the commercial truck market and ongoing inventory destocking in aerospace [81][96] Other Important Information - The company announced a 20% increase in quarterly dividends to $0.12 per share starting in August [6][12] - The balance sheet remains strong with a cash balance of $546,000,000 and a net debt to trailing EBITDA ratio of 1.3 times [14][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comments on product rationalization within structures - Management indicated that most rationalization has already occurred, leading to improved margins and healthy revenue growth [32][33] Question: Expectations for margins in structures for the second half - Management expects to maintain current margin levels, with a goal of EBITDA above 28% [34] Question: Update on engine expansions and profitability - Management detailed ongoing construction of new plants, with expected outputs in 2026 and 2027, and anticipates improved profitability as training costs decrease [43][47] Question: Contribution of F-35 in defense revenue - Management noted strong contributions from the F-35 program, with expectations for continued growth in spares business [53][55] Question: Inventory levels and destocking risks - Management acknowledged some destocking in the aerospace sector but indicated that overall growth remains positive [96] Question: Pricing expectations for the coming years - Management expects consistent pricing increases in line with previous years, maintaining a disciplined approach to long-term agreements [115] Question: Industrial policy and forging assets - Management confirmed the importance of their forging assets and indicated potential discussions with the DoD regarding upgrades [120] Question: Monitoring supply chain bottlenecks - Management highlighted the importance of engine production rates for narrow-body aircraft and the need for increased supply to meet demand [126]