Andrew, it's great to see you. And I wanna talk about that rotation that we're seeing because whether you're looking at the equal weight S and P 500, whether you're looking at the small caps, it seems like you are seeing that broadening out. And it's interesting that you have the S and P 500 pretty much at record highs even though it's been kind of patchy performance when it comes to the magnificent seven.So what do you make of the market action so far this year. Do you think that this is sustainable. It's ...

Core Viewpoint - Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. experienced a significant drop in share price, nearly 57%, following the announcement of delays in filing its quarterly report and the immediate departure of key executives, raising concerns about the company's financial practices and internal controls [1][5]. Group 1: Company Developments - Kyndryl announced it would not timely file its quarterly report for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, due to an ongoing review by its Audit Committee regarding cash management practices and internal controls [4]. - The company revealed it received document requests from the SEC's Division of Enforcement related to the matters under review by the Audit Committee [4]. - The CFO David Wyshner and General Counsel Edward Sebold departed effective February 5, 2026, alongside the comptroller Vineet Khurana, who stepped down while assuming another position [5]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcements, Kyndryl's share price fell nearly 57% in a single trading day, resulting in a loss of over $3 billion in market capitalization [1][5]. - The severe market reaction has prompted Hagens Berman, a national shareholder rights law firm, to investigate whether Kyndryl misled investors regarding its financial statements and internal controls [2][6]. Group 3: Legal Implications - Hagens Berman is investigating the potential misleading of investors concerning Kyndryl's cash management practices, particularly in light of the company's previous emphasis on strong free cash flow conversion [3][6]. - The firm is urging Kyndryl investors who suffered significant losses to contact them to discuss their rights [2].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying underpriced equities with strong upside potential and overappreciated companies with inflated valuations in investment strategies [1] - It highlights the significance of analyzing Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital for deeper investment insights beyond simple profit and sales analysis [1] - The author acknowledges that while underappreciated equities are favored, some growth stocks may justifiably hold premium valuations, necessitating thorough market analysis [1] Industry Focus - The research primarily concentrates on the energy sector, including oil & gas supermajors, mid-cap, and small-cap exploration & production companies, as well as oilfield services firms [1] - Additionally, the analysis extends to various other industries such as mining, chemicals, and luxury goods [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jim Cramer encourages Amazon investors to remain patient and trust the company's significant spending strategy despite risks to profits, expressing confidence in CEO Andy Jassy's leadership [1] Financial Performance - Amazon shares fell 5.6% to $210 after announcing a 2026 capital expenditure forecast of $200 billion, significantly higher than the expected $146.6 billion [1] - The company provided a lower-than-expected earnings outlook for the current quarter, although fourth-quarter results showed revenue and operating income exceeding expectations [1] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth in 13 quarters [1] Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow - The $200 billion capex forecast for 2026 is $50 billion above expectations, leading to concerns about minimal free cash flow, which was estimated at $37 billion prior to the announcement [1] - AWS backlog reached $244 billion, up 40% year-over-year and 22% quarter-over-quarter, indicating strong demand [1] Competitive Landscape - Analysts express concerns that AWS is lagging behind competitors like Google Cloud, which grew 48%, and Microsoft Azure, which grew 39% [1] - There are worries about Amazon's retail business facing a "structural disadvantage" if it does not integrate AI platforms more effectively [1] Analyst Reactions - Several Wall Street firms have cut Amazon's price targets, with Wedbush lowering it to $300 from $340, Cantor Fitzgerald to $250 from $260, and D.A. Davidson to $175 from $300 while downgrading the stock to neutral [1] - Despite the high capex, analysts believe Amazon's long-term strategy may pay off, but short-term volatility is expected [1] Industry Context - Other tech giants like Alphabet and Meta are also increasing spending, but investors perceive clearer near-term returns from their AI investments compared to Amazon [1] - Nvidia's CEO defended the rising capital expenditures in Big Tech, stating they are "appropriate and sustainable," highlighting Nvidia's position as a major beneficiary of this spending [1]

When companies shift from being valued on revenue multiples with no deduction for loss, totally ignoring option dilution all the way to being valued on free cash flow and you know where they're basically deducting the SPC, it's just such a huge change. It's such a valuation reset that if you go into that valuation reset and the market suddenly stops thinking of as a growth company and starts thinking of let me compare you to a bank or a utility or an industrial company. It takes a lot of years of flat stock ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, total company production grew by 11% to approximately 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with oil production growing by 4% to nearly 40,000 barrels per day [7][16] - Fourth quarter adjusted net income was approximately $71 million or $0.38 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA at $216 million [8][16] - Free cash flow for the full year exceeded $425 million, with approximately 75% returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [9][16] - The balance sheet ended the year with a cash balance of $267 million, providing ample liquidity [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a new production record in the fourth quarter, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting a sequential increase of 3% [8][16] - Operationally, field-level cash operating expenses declined by 7% to $5.12 per BOE during 2025 [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue per BOE declined 13% quarter-over-quarter due to lower oil prices [21] - The company remains unhedged for all oil and natural gas production, with anticipated oil price differentials of approximately $3 per barrel [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's strategy focuses on steady mid-single-digit production growth, high pre-tax margins, and reliable free cash flow while maintaining a low reinvestment rate [10][11] - The company plans to maintain capital spending at similar levels in 2026 while targeting a production growth of approximately 5% [13][23] - The company emphasizes a disciplined approach to capital allocation and operational efficiency, aiming to maximize returns while minimizing financial risk [11][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate product price volatility and highlighted the importance of maintaining low leverage [11][15] - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations for gradual production growth despite potential weather impacts in the first quarter [23][44] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 8.9 million shares throughout 2025, reducing the diluted share count by roughly 4.5% [9][17] - A 10% increase in the quarterly dividend was announced, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [19][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of recent wells in Giddings - Management noted that recent wells have outperformed type curves due to improved drilling practices and better rock quality [25][26] Question: M&A activity and pricing trends - Management acknowledged increased competition and rising prices for acreage but emphasized a preference for undeveloped opportunities rather than PDP-heavy deals [28][30] Question: Well-cost reductions and capital efficiency - Management indicated that well costs have decreased, with current costs around $1,000 per foot for standard Giddings wells, and service costs are expected to remain flat to slightly down [35][36] Question: Production outlook for 2026 - Management expects steady growth throughout 2026, with a heavier capital outlay in the first half of the year [44][23] Question: Maintenance capital estimates - Management suggested that maintenance capital is likely around $400 million, reflecting efficiencies gained over the years [78][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, total company production grew by 11% to approximately 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with oil production growing by 4% to nearly 40,000 barrels per day [7] - Fourth quarter adjusted net income was approximately $71 million or $0.38 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA coming in at $216 million [8][16] - Free cash flow for the full year exceeded $425 million, with approximately 75% returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [9][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a new production record in the fourth quarter, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting a sequential increase of 3% [8] - Operationally, field-level cash operating expenses declined by 7% to $5.12 per BOE during 2025 [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue per BOE declined 13% quarter-over-quarter due to a decrease in oil prices [21] - The company remains completely unhedged for all its oil and natural gas production, with anticipated oil price differentials of approximately $3 per barrel [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's strategy focuses on steady mid-single-digit total production growth, high pre-tax margins, and reliable free cash flow while maintaining a low reinvestment rate [10][11] - The company plans to remain fiscally prudent with capital spending expected to be approximately flat year-over-year while delivering total production growth of approximately 5% in 2026 [13][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate product price volatility and emphasized the importance of maintaining low leverage and a strong balance sheet [15][11] - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations for gradual production growth despite potential winter weather impacts in the first quarter [23][44] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 8.9 million shares throughout 2025, reducing the diluted share count by roughly 4.5% [9][17] - A 10% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.16 per share was recently announced, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of recent wells in Giddings - Management noted that recent wells have outperformed type curves due to improved drilling practices and better rock quality, with no significant changes in completion design [25][26] Question: M&A activity and pricing trends - Management indicated that competition for acquisitions has increased, particularly for larger deals, and expressed a preference for opportunities with undeveloped upside rather than PDP-heavy assets [28][30] Question: Well-cost reductions and capital efficiency - Management reported a reduction in the cost of standard Giddings wells to around $1,000 per foot, with expectations for flat to slightly decreasing service costs [35][36] Question: Capital allocation strategy in a higher oil price scenario - In a scenario with higher oil prices, management indicated that excess cash would likely be allocated to dividends, share repurchases, or opportunistic acquisitions, rather than increasing rig counts [99][100] Question: Development approach and well pad sizes - The company continues to operate with an average of 3-4 wells per pad, with flexibility to drill longer laterals when possible [50][51] Question: Maintenance capital expectations - Management estimated maintenance capital to be around $400 million, with a focus on maintaining production levels without excessive spending [79][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, total company production grew by 11% to approximately 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with oil production growing by 4% to nearly 40,000 barrels per day [7][9] - Fourth quarter adjusted net income was approximately $71 million or $0.38 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA at $216 million [9][17] - Free cash flow for the full year exceeded $425 million, with approximately 75% returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [10][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a new production record in Q4, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting a sequential increase of 3% [8] - Field-level cash operating expenses declined by 7% to $5.12 per BOE during 2025, contributing to improved operational efficiency [7][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue per BOE declined 13% quarter-over-quarter due to lower oil prices, impacting operating income margins [21] - The company remains unhedged for all oil and natural gas production, which allows for upside potential in commodity prices [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's strategy focuses on steady mid-single-digit production growth, high pre-tax margins, and reliable free cash flow while maintaining a low reinvestment rate [11][12] - Magnolia plans to maintain capital spending at similar levels year-over-year while targeting a production growth of approximately 5% in 2026 [13][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate product price volatility and emphasized the importance of maintaining low leverage for financial flexibility [15][20] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for gradual production growth despite potential weather impacts in Q1 [24][43] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 8.9 million shares throughout 2025, reducing the diluted share count by roughly 4.5% [10][18] - A 10% increase in the quarterly dividend was announced, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [14][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of recent wells in Giddings - Management noted that recent wells have outperformed type curves, attributing success to improved drilling techniques and better rock quality [26][27] Question: M&A activity and pricing trends - Management acknowledged increased competition and rising prices for acreage but emphasized a preference for undeveloped opportunities rather than PDP-heavy deals [28][30] Question: Cost reductions and capital efficiency - Management indicated that well costs have decreased, with current costs around $1,000 per foot for standard Giddings wells, and service costs are expected to remain flat to slightly down [34][35] Question: Capital allocation strategy - Management stated that excess cash from higher oil prices would be directed towards dividends, share repurchases, or opportunistic acquisitions, without plans to add another rig [96][99] Question: Production outlook for 2026 - Management expects steady growth throughout 2026, with a heavier capital outlay in the first half of the year [42][43] Question: Development approach and well pad sizes - The average well pad size remains around 3-4 wells, with opportunities for longer laterals if adjacent acreage can be acquired [49][51] Question: Maintenance capital estimates - Management suggested that maintenance capital is likely around $400 million, reflecting efficiencies gained over the years [78][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AutoNation reported a solid fourth quarter with a 3% revenue growth and an 8% adjusted net income growth, leading to a 16% increase in adjusted earnings per share [3][4] - Adjusted free cash flow exceeded $1 billion, up approximately 39% from 2025, with a capital deployment of over $1.5 billion, half of which was allocated to share repurchases [3][10] - The balance sheet remained healthy, with year-end leverage largely unchanged from the prior year at 2.44x EBITDA [4][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Same-store unit sales of new vehicles decreased by 10% in Q4, with a significant decline of 60% in battery electric vehicles and 10% in hybrid powertrain vehicles [5][18] - Used vehicle gross profit increased by 5% for the full year, despite a 6% decline in profit per unit for Q4 [7][20] - Customer Financial Services (CFS) unit profitability grew by 8% year-over-year, with record gross profit per unit achieved [8][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The industry faced tougher sales comparisons in Q4 2025, with a light vehicle SAR of 16.7 million in Q4 2024, impacting sales negatively [4][18] - New vehicle inventory amounted to 45 days of supply, up from 39 days in Q4 2024 [19] - The used vehicle market remains tight, with a focus on acquiring vehicles through internal channels [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AutoNation expanded its presence in key markets through acquisitions, including a Ford and Mazda store in Denver and an Audi and Mercedes store in Chicago [11][29] - The company aims to maintain a balanced capital allocation strategy, focusing on both M&A opportunities and share repurchases [30][56] - The strategy includes improving after-sales growth and maintaining strong cash flow to support future investments [34][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects the market to be slightly down in 2026 compared to 2025, with potential benefits from tax changes and improved used vehicle market conditions [32][34] - There is a focus on maintaining performance in the CFS business while being aware of consumer sensitivity to monthly payments [33][78] - Management is optimistic about the growth trajectory in after-sales and the potential for continued profitability in the AN Finance portfolio [33][43] Other Important Information - Adjusted EPS for Q4 was $5.08, a 2% increase from the previous year, while full-year adjusted EPS was $20.22, up 16% from 2024 [18][10] - The company repurchased $785 million worth of shares, reducing share count by 10% year-over-year [29][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the new car business and unit numbers - Management noted a reduction in OEM dealer-facing incentives and a significant drop in EV volume, which contributed to the decline in same-store sales [38][40] Question: On AutoNation Finance's profitability cadence - Management expressed confidence in continued profitability growth, with a starting point of $6 million in Q4 and expectations for improvement throughout 2026 [41][42] Question: Capital spending and M&A market outlook - Management indicated that 2026 capital spending levels would be similar to 2025, with ongoing opportunities in the M&A market [52][54] Question: Trends in hybrid and electric vehicle GPUs - Management observed a decline in hybrid GPUs and flat performance for battery electric vehicles, with expectations for improvement in hybrid margins in 2026 [60][62] Question: Consumer credit availability and affordability pressures - Management acknowledged significant growth in monthly payments and anticipated some relief in charged APR, while emphasizing the importance of affordability in the new car market [77][78]

Q4 2025 Financial Results Conference Call Slides This presentation may contain forward-looking statements which are inherently difficult to predict. Actual results and outcomes could differ materially for a variety of reasons, including, among others, fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and energy prices, changes in global economic conditions, tariff and trade policies, resource and supply volatility, including for memory chips, and customer demand and spending, inflation, interest rates, regional labor ...