Labor Market Assessment - The rationale for cutting interest rates is linked to potential downside risks in the labor market [1] - Stabilizing or strengthening labor market data would influence decisions on future interest rate cuts [2] - Current data, including initial claims and job openings, suggests a gradual cooling in the labor market [4] - A prolonged shutdown hindering data collection could impact the committee's ability to assess the labor market and make policy decisions [4] Economic Data and Uncertainty - The committee considers labor market, inflation, and economic activity data, along with the Beige Book [5] - A significant economic change would likely be detected despite data limitations [5] - High uncertainty could lead to a cautious approach regarding December's decisions [6]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Jerome Powell says President Trump's tariffs are causing "higher overall inflation." https://t.co/m36a42g0WC ...

Interest Rate Policy & Market Impact - A rate cut was expected, and the market would have reacted negatively to anything less [2] - The expectation is for a 25 basis point cut at every meeting where a cut is possible [2] - Each 0.25% rate cut saves the government $88 billion annually on debt servicing [3] Market Trends & Sector Performance - Unprofitable companies rallied the most following the "April tariff tantrum" [3] - Mega-cap tech companies are regaining leadership [4] - Russell 2000 companies relying on variable rate debt financing are vulnerable, with 30% relying on month-to-month financing [4] Economic Concerns & Inflation - Inflation remains a concern despite not being at four-decade highs [5][6] - The Fed is weighing price stability versus full employment [7] - Tariffs cause a one-time price shock to goods [7] Fiscal Policy Impact - Tax cuts provide roughly $2,000 per household, while tariffs cost roughly $1,000 per household on average [8] - The market is not fully pricing in the impact of tax policies [9]

Let's get back to our uh panel for some reaction here. Jim, I'm going to start with you first. We showed the charts of the market reaction.Equity markets have been relatively stable as they were going into this print. The curve from the 2-year all the way to the 30 have moved maybe higher by anywhere from what I could see one to three basis points. This is all about the Fed rate press conference now at this point.But what stood out to you from hearing what you heard from Steve and then what you saw or didn' ...

Market Outlook & Investment Strategy - The market feels like 1999, suggesting a potential for significant price appreciation, similar to the NASDAQ doubling between October 1999 and March 2000 [3][4] - Investors should position themselves as if it's October 1999, but be prepared to exit the market quickly [4][5] - The greatest price appreciation typically occurs in the 12 months leading up to the market peak [5][6] - A "blowoff" is anticipated, potentially more explosive than 1999 due to current monetary and fiscal policies [6][7] - Current fiscal and monetary conditions, featuring a budget deficit of 6%, are reminiscent of the post-war period of the early 1950s [8][9] - The market is conducive to massive price appreciation in various assets, but requires increased retail buying and recruitment from hedge funds and real money [10][11][12] Investment Recommendations - Investors should consider positions in gold, crypto, and the NASDAQ [14][15] - The biggest winners in the market are signaling an inflation story, with gold up approximately 46-47%, Bitcoin up approximately 50-60%, and a Morgan Stanley retail flow basket (meme stocks) up approximately 67-68% [13] Risk Assessment - The circularity of certain deals, such as the Open AI deal with AMD, raises concerns [13] - Leverage, including margin debt and leveraged ETFs, is currently elevated compared to October 1999 levels [11]

Friday's cooler thanex expected CPI print is boosting expectations for the Fed to trim rates by a quarter point at this week's meeting. Joining us right now is former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. She's also a CNBC contributor.And Loretta, what do you think. The the numbers were a little weaker than anticipated, but you're still looking at uh inflation up better than 3% on a year-over-year basis. >> Yeah, Becky, thanks.Good morning. You're you're exactly right. If you looked at the headlines comin ...

The RBA will have to decide whether to lower interest rates further to support the labor market or stand pat to maintain downward pressure on inflation, Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock said https://t.co/BF2uUR5gQP ...

Matchamomania has gone global. Consumer appetite for the finely ground powder has been ignited by matcha lattes, matcha flavored Kit Kats, and a range of other sweet treats from ice creams to cookies that use the flavoring. But behind the craze is a brewing problem.There simply isn't enough supply. Local farmers are struggling to keep up as demand skyrockets and prices sore. Matcha's supply crunch follows an earlier national rice supply crisis and has symbolized Japan's painful return to inflation after thr ...

I sat down with @jvisserlabs to discuss $TSLA robo-taxis, inflation, interest rates, and the U.S.–China trade dynamic.Jordi also shares how he’s positioning his portfolio, and what Bitcoin, gold, and market psychology reveal about where asset prices are headed next.Enjoy!YouTube: https://t.co/qhEwossRzsSpotify: https://t.co/U40vQGlzcLApple: https://t.co/IQ9Ty2vfriTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Intro0:45 - Tesla and the rise of robotaxis14:39 - How AI, abundance, and bitcoin connect20:11 - Generational divide and governm ...

I bond interest rates adjust every six months, and the inflation reading released Friday allows us to calculate what your next rate will be on existing bonds. https://t.co/MVoNfOu8p2 ...