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PYPL Shares Fall 7% Despite Impressive Earnings: Is the Stock a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 19:21
Core Insights - PayPal Holdings (PYPL) reported strong Q3 2025 results, with both earnings per share (EPS) and revenues exceeding expectations, yet the stock price fell by 7% post-announcement [1][2] Financial Performance - PayPal's Q3 net revenues reached $8.42 billion, a 7.3% increase year over year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.26 billion [3] - Non-GAAP EPS was $1.34, reflecting an 11.7% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19 [3] - Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew by 8.4% to $458.09 billion, while transaction margin dollars increased by 6% to $3.87 billion [3] - Active accounts rose by 1% year over year to 438 million [3] Guidance and Share Repurchases - The company raised its full-year guidance for non-GAAP EPS to $5.35-$5.39, up from $5.15-$5.30, and reaffirmed free cash flow guidance at $6-$7 billion [4] - PayPal completed $1.5 billion in share repurchases during Q3, totaling $5.7 billion over the past four quarters, with projections of approximately $6 billion in share repurchases for 2025 [4] Market Reaction and Concerns - Despite strong earnings, the market expressed skepticism regarding the sustainability of growth drivers, particularly due to softer consumer discretionary spending in Europe and the U.S. [5][6] - Payment transactions decreased by 5% to 6.3 billion, influenced by changes in product and merchant mix, as well as foreign exchange hedges [6] - Transaction losses increased by 50% year over year, primarily due to a rise in fraud incidents [7] Growth Drivers - Venmo's TPV grew by 14%, with revenues increasing by 20%, indicating strong momentum in digital payments [10][11] - Venmo's user base is expanding, with nearly 100 million active accounts and a significant increase in debit card usage [12] - Branded checkout TPV grew by 5% on a currency-neutral basis, despite global macroeconomic challenges [13] Strategic Initiatives - PayPal signed a two-year agreement with Blue Owl Capital for $7 billion in "Pay in 4" loans and partnered with Google for enhanced digital commerce experiences [14] - The company is exploring AI-powered commerce experiences and has integrated its stablecoin PYUSD across platforms [15] Valuation and Market Position - PYPL shares have declined 19.9% year to date, attributed to increased competition in the fintech sector and broader macroeconomic pressures [16] - PayPal shares are currently trading at a forward P/E of 11.91X, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.70X and competitors like Visa and Mastercard [18] Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $5.29 per share, indicating a 13.8% growth over 2024, with a projected increase to $5.81 per share in 2026 [19]
Crypto is more related to tech than it is to gold, says Permanent Portfolio's Michael Cuggino
Youtube· 2025-10-31 19:04
Market Outlook - The job market in America is a key factor for stock performance, with expectations that stocks will continue to rise as long as it remains stable [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy includes a significant allocation to gold, cash, and high-growth stocks, indicating a diversified approach [2][6] - Gold is viewed as a long-term cyclical asset, with recent macroeconomic factors such as declining Fed rates and geopolitical issues contributing to its value [3][4] Asset Correlation - Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are not seen as replacements for gold, as they have different market behaviors and correlations, particularly with tech stocks [5][6] Key Holdings - Palantir is highlighted as a major holding, with strong revenue and earnings growth, despite its high valuation [7] - Meta has experienced volatility but remains a long-term investment, with recent stock weakness viewed as an opportunity to buy more shares [8][11] - Texas Pacific Land (TPL) is noted as a smaller but significant holding, operating as a royalty and landowner company primarily benefiting from oil and gas production [12][14]
Crypto is more related to tech than it is to gold, says Permanent Portfolio's Michael Cuggino
CNBC Television· 2025-10-31 19:04
Michael Cuggino, Permanent Portfolio Funds president, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss why stocks should keep moving higher, bitcoin and gold's recent move higher and much more. ...
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-10-31 19:00
From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano0:00 Jamie Dimon Changes His Mind On Crypto3:47 Coinbase Earnings Show Crypto Is Eating Wall Street6:59 Roundhill Files for U.S.A Government Portfolio ETFEnjoy! https://t.co/uA8qqBBvGQ ...
Covering Crypto Livestream: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Solana
Fidelity Investments· 2025-10-31 18:49
Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC, 900 Salem Street, Smithfield, RI 02917 ...
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Once Called Bitcoin A 'Pet Rock' — Now He Says Crypto, Stablecoins Are 'Real, We'll All Use Them'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 18:01
Core Insights - JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has acknowledged the legitimacy of crypto, blockchain, and stablecoins, indicating a significant shift in the bank's stance towards digital assets [1][2] - The bank plans to allow institutional clients to use Bitcoin and Ethereum as collateral for loans by the end of 2025, marking a major integration of digital assets into traditional finance [1][5] Group 1 - Dimon stated at the Saudi Arabia Mega Investment Summit that "Crypto is real. Blockchain is real. Stablecoins are real," highlighting JPMorgan's commitment to these technologies [2] - JPMorgan has launched a pilot for its Deposit Token, a blockchain-based payment instrument that represents real customer deposits, which is interest-bearing and fully backed by bank liabilities [3][2] - The bank's blockchain is private, allowing for full control over permissions and governance, contrasting with decentralized chains like Bitcoin and Ethereum [4] Group 2 - The upcoming collateralization program will enable institutional clients to pledge BTC and ETH for secured loans, representing one of Wall Street's most direct integrations of digital assets [5] - This initiative reflects a broader trend of traditional financial institutions embracing digital assets and blockchain technology [5]
REX IncomeMax ETF Taps Volatile Crypto Firms to Turn Price Swings Into Weekly Income
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 17:46
Core Insights - REX Shares launched the REX IncomeMax Option Strategy ETF, aimed at generating weekly income from price volatility in U.S. stocks, particularly in the crypto sector [1][2] - The ETF employs a hedge-fund style strategy, focusing on option premium income and will have exposure to up to 30 publicly traded companies [1][2] ETF Composition and Strategy - The ETF currently holds $230,000 in equity from firms like Core Scientific, Gemini, and Figure, which are involved in the crypto space [2] - Trading under the ticker "ULTI," the ETF utilizes a mix of put and call options to manage volatility and mitigate downside risks [2][3] - The composition of the ETF is expected to change weekly, indicating potential periods without exposure to crypto firms [4] Market Positioning - The ETF represents a shift towards an actively managed, high-income strategy focused on volatile market names, rather than a specific sector [3][4] - REX has previously launched products linked to the crypto market, including the first U.S. ETF offering exposure to XRP and another linked to Dogecoin [4] Comparison with Other Products - The REX IncomeMax Option Strategy ETF is distinct from the Crypto Equity Premium Income ETF, which is based on an index of 25 crypto-related companies and has made 10 distributions since its inception [5]