Rate Cut
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Analyst Explains Why Amazon.com (AMZN) is a ‘Tactical Winner’
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 11:25
We recently published 10 Buzzing AI Stocks to Watch in September. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is one of the stocks to watch in September. Ken Gawrelski, Wells Fargo senior internet analyst, said in a recent program on CNBC that the consumer has been extremely resilient, and a possible rate cut from the Fed could further benefit consumer companies. In this context, the analyst believes Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is among the “tactical” winners. “Another name that we’ve been maybe less positive but ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-12 02:52
💥BREAKING:The CME FedWatch tool shows markets pricing a ~93% chance of one rate cut in September 2025 (to 4.00–4.25%) and a ~92% chance of two cuts by December (to 3.50–3.75%). https://t.co/q4Sg9xduRK ...
Review & Preview: All News Leads to a Rate Cut
Barrons· 2025-09-11 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The Dow Jones Industrial Average has surpassed 46,000 for the first time, driven by increasing hopes for interest rate cuts and a resurgence in IPO activity [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Dow crossed the 46,000 mark, indicating strong market performance and investor optimism [1] - The rise in the Dow is attributed to expectations of potential rate cuts, which could stimulate economic growth [1] Group 2: IPO Activity - There is a notable return of IPO mania, suggesting increased market confidence and a favorable environment for new public offerings [1] - The resurgence in IPOs may reflect broader trends in the market, as companies seek to capitalize on favorable conditions [1]
Ed Yardeni: Fed doesn't have to cut 50 bps as market rally eases financial conditions
CNBC Television· 2025-09-11 19:44
Market Outlook & Earnings - The market's current rally is partly fueled by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, potentially around 50 basis points [1][3][4] - Q1 and Q2 earnings have exceeded expectations, driving the market to new highs [2] - The market is counting on earnings continuing to make new highs [2] - Technology and communication services account for 40% of the S&P 500 market capitalization and 28% of earnings [7] - Analyst consensus expectations show small caps are showing signs of life [11] Valuation & Potential - The valuation multiple is around 22, which is considered acceptable [3] - A potential "melt-up" scenario could see the price-to-earnings ratio rise to 25, reminiscent of 1999 [5] - If the Fed surprises with a 50 basis point cut, the S&P target could be revised upwards to 7,000 [4][5] - The "impressive 493" (companies outside the Magnificent Seven) also had good earnings and are expected to contribute to market growth [8][9] Risks & Uncertainties - A debt crisis scare, potentially triggered by the government having to refund $500 billion to $1 trillion due to overturned tariffs, could derail a year-end rally [15]
Wall Street Soars To Records On Fed Rate Bets: What's Moving Markets Thursday?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 16:45
Market Performance - All three major U.S. equity benchmarks, including the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones, reached record highs as investors favored risk assets amid expectations of falling interest rates [1][2] - The S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 6,585.53, the Nasdaq 100 increased 0.7% to 24,012.41, and the Dow Jones jumped 1.3% to 46,087.94 [2][7] - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF increased by 0.8% to $604.49, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.2% to $461.58 [7] Sector Performance - All 11 S&P sectors experienced gains, with consumer discretionary, materials, and financials leading the way [3] - The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund outperformed, increasing by 1.3%, while the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund lagged with a 0.1% rise [7] Company Performance - Top gainers in the S&P 500 included Synopsys, Inc. (+11.11%), Centene Corporation (+10.66%), and Micron Technology, Inc. (+9.57%) [8] - Notable losers included Delta Air Lines, Inc. (-4.30%), Oracle Corporation (-3.38%), and Netflix, Inc. (-2.83%) [9]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-11 12:45
🇺🇸 FED 25 BPS RATE CUT ODDS SURGE TO 88% ON POLYMARKET AFTER CPI RELEASE.BULLISH FOR CRYPTO !! https://t.co/svXIrpGFAX ...
Stocks Rise Before the Open After Key U.S. Inflation Data was Released
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 10:10
Economic Data and Inflation - U.S. producer price index (PPI) for final demand fell -0.1% month-over-month (m/m) and rose +2.6% year-over-year (y/y) in August, weaker than expectations of +0.3% m/m and +3.3% y/y [1] - U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.4% in August, pushing the annual inflation rate to 2.9%, marking a 0.2 percentage point increase [3] - Core PPI, excluding food and energy, also fell -0.1% m/m and rose +2.8% y/y in August, below expectations of +0.3% m/m and +3.5% y/y [1] Stock Market Performance - Wall Street's major indices ended mixed, with the S&P 500 reaching a new record high, driven by Oracle's aggressive forecast for its cloud business, which saw its stock jump over +35% [2] - AI computing infrastructure stocks surged following Oracle's outlook, with CoreWeave rising more than +16% and Broadcom climbing over +9% [2] - GameStop reported stronger-than-expected Q2 results, leading to a rise of over +3% in its stock [2] - Conversely, Synopsys plummeted more than -35% after reporting downbeat FQ3 results and issuing below-consensus FQ4 guidance [2] Futures and Rate Expectations - September S&P 500 E-Mini futures are up +0.23%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures are up +0.31% [4] - U.S. rate futures indicate a 100% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut and an 8.0% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut at the upcoming monetary policy meeting [4] Corporate Earnings and Market Reactions - Adobe is set to report its FQ3 earnings results, which is being closely watched by market participants [5] - In pre-market trading, Nvidia gained about +0.5% after an upgrade to Buy from Neutral, while Oxford Industries surged over +15% following better-than-expected Q2 results [12] - United Parcel Service slid over -2% after a downgrade to Underperform from Neutral [13] International Market Developments - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index is up +0.19% as investors await the European Central Bank's monetary policy decision [7] - Japan's Nikkei 225 closed higher, supported by technology sector strength, with SoftBank Group surging about +10% [10] - China's Shanghai Composite Index closed up +1.65%, driven by optimism surrounding AI and related industries [9]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-10 22:30
Emerging markets are becoming more attractive as the prospect of an upcoming US rate cut — combined with softer local inflation and relatively low public debt — strengthens the investment case, according to Eastspring Investments https://t.co/yxhDvT9jGo ...
X @Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒· 2025-09-10 22:05
RT MrRemKing 📈™ (@MrRemKing)I would bid $USELESS at these prices.Here are some quick points:✅ $SOL keeps printing higher highs (ATH in sight)✅ A rate cut is almost guaranteed now; probability of 50 bps jumped after today’s PPI print✅ Gold is in price discovery mode → indirectly bullish for $BTC✅ $BTC dominance looks favourable for ALTs✅ $USELESS on-chain holder count continues to grow✅ Daily volumes rival mega caps like $TRUMP, $FARTCOIN, etc.Fundamentally, fading $USELESS here is literally useless. It has ...
PPI "Mixed Bag" Complicates FOMC Dual Mandate, A.I. "Game Changer" for Jobs
Youtube· 2025-09-10 20:50
Core Insights - The recent Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in significantly below expectations, indicating a potential easing of inflation pressures, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [1][3][6] - There are mixed signals in the inflation data, with declines in profit margins primarily in the service sector, particularly medical care, while price pressures in goods remain [3][4] - The market is speculating on a possible 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, although a 25 basis point cut is considered more likely due to ongoing inflation pressures and labor market uncertainties [6][7][8] Inflation and Interest Rates - The PPI data suggests a favorable inflation outlook, which could lead to a rate cut by the Fed, particularly as it aligns with the personal consumption expenditures index [3][6] - The Fed's current policy stance is viewed as restrictive, with expectations that it may be around 50 basis points higher than necessary [7][8] Profit Margins and Earnings - Profit margins in the service sector have shown resilience, which will be critical to monitor as Q3 earnings reports approach [4][5] - The tech sector, particularly companies involved in AI, continues to drive profit margins upward, contributing positively to market performance [6][9] Capital Expenditure Trends - There is a notable increase in capital expenditure (capex) among tech companies, especially in cloud services, driven by AI demand [9][10] - Companies are under pressure to allocate spending towards AI, which may impact hiring and overall employment trends [11][12] Market Valuation and Investment Sentiment - The equity risk premium has diminished significantly, indicating that investors are willing to accept lower returns for equity investments compared to fixed income [13][14] - The current market dynamics suggest a potential inflection point in investment allocation strategies, as investors weigh equity against fixed income opportunities [15]