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中国中铁(601390):境外景气度延续,矿产资源业务稳健发展
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-07 14:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [11] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 248.564 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.46% year-on-year [2][8] - The company's mineral resources business is developing steadily, with significant growth in overseas contracts despite a decline in new domestic contracts [8] Financial Performance - The company's Q1 revenue breakdown shows infrastructure construction, design consulting, equipment manufacturing, and real estate development revenues of 216.796 billion, 4.67 billion, 6.246 billion, and 6.671 billion yuan respectively, with real estate development seeing a notable increase of 59.48% year-on-year [8] - The overall gross margin for Q1 was 8.46%, a decrease of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year, with specific margins for different segments also declining [8] - The net profit margin for Q1 was 2.42%, down 0.40 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin after deducting non-recurring items was 2.23%, down 0.47 percentage points year-on-year [8] Contract and Cash Flow Analysis - New contracts signed in Q1 totaled 560.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.9% year-on-year, with domestic contracts down 13.6% and overseas contracts up 33.4% [8] - The company experienced a net cash outflow from operating activities of 77.399 billion yuan in Q1, an increase of 9.334 billion yuan year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 91.02%, down 7.51 percentage points year-on-year [8] Mineral Resources Development - The company operates five modern mines, producing significant quantities of various metals, including 288,252 tons of copper and 5,629 tons of cobalt, indicating a robust operational status [8]
中国中铁(601390):资源业务稳健发展,海外新签稳增长
Changjiang Securities· 2025-03-31 14:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 1,157.439 billion yuan for the year, a decrease of 8.20% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 27.887 billion yuan, down 16.71% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 24.325 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.21% year-on-year [7][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's total revenue decreased to 1,157.439 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in infrastructure construction, particularly in road and municipal sectors. Revenue from infrastructure construction was 992.853 billion yuan, down 8.71% year-on-year, with road business revenue at 171.999 billion yuan, down 13.12%, and municipal and other business revenue at 520.428 billion yuan, down 12.21% [12]. - The overall gross margin for the company was 9.80%, a decrease of 0.21 percentage points. The gross margin for infrastructure construction was 8.62%, down 0.24 percentage points, mainly due to a decline in investment business scale [12]. - The company experienced an increase in expense ratios, leading to a decline in net profit. The total expense ratio was 5.52%, up 0.04 percentage points year-on-year [12]. Cash Flow and Debt - The net cash inflow from operating activities was 28.051 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.312 billion yuan year-on-year. The cash collection ratio was 88.80%, down 10.36 percentage points [12]. - The company's asset-liability ratio increased by 2.53 percentage points to 77.39%, with accounts receivable turnover days increasing by 22.84 days to 62.68 days [12]. New Contracts and Resource Development - The company signed new contracts worth 2,715.18 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.4% year-on-year. Domestic new contracts were 2,494.28 billion yuan, down 14.0%, while overseas new contracts were 220.9 billion yuan, up 10.6% [12]. - The company has developed and is operating five modern mines, producing various metals including copper, cobalt, molybdenum, lead, zinc, and silver [12]. Future Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profits for the company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 28.045 billion yuan, 28.253 billion yuan, and 28.416 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.13, 5.10, and 5.07 times based on the current closing price [12].