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Why Castle Biosciences' Rally Might Just Be Getting Started
Benzinga· 2025-11-05 13:02
Core Insights - Castle Biosciences (NASDAQ:CSTL) experienced a rally of over 20% following a strong Q3 performance, indicating positive momentum in the stock [1] - The stock is currently in Phase 8 according to the Adhishthana Principles, having entered Phase 4 in August 2022, and is building a Cakra formation [3][5] - The stock is approaching the upper boundary of the Cakra structure, with two potential scenarios for its trajectory before transitioning into Phase 9 in January 2026 [5] Weekly Chart Analysis - The Cakra structure typically forms between Phases 4–8 and suggests bullish implications, with a breakout in Phase 9 leading to strong momentum [2] - As the stock moves through Phase 8, it has rebounded from the lower end of the Cakra and is preparing for a potential breakout [5] - Two scenarios are outlined: a rally to test the $35 level followed by a slight retracement before breaking out, or a premature breakout gaining strength in Phase 9 [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly charts, Castle Biosciences is currently in Phase 2, which consists of the Sankhya period (consolidation or weakness) and the Buddhi period (powerful rallies) [6] - The company is in the Sankhya phase and is expected to transition into the Buddhi period in December 2025, coinciding with an anticipated increase in bullish momentum [7] Investor Outlook - For current shareholders, maintaining bullish positions is favorable, especially as momentum is expected to build once the stock surpasses the $35 mark [8] - Investors looking to enter new positions have an opportunity to accumulate shares through November, using the lower end of the Cakra as a stop-loss [8] - The overall setup indicates that Castle's base is firming up, suggesting a potential rally ahead [8]
Roblox After Earnings: Game On Or Game Over?
Benzinga· 2025-11-04 11:43
Core Insights - Roblox's stock fell over 15% following its earnings release, indicating potential margin pressures [1] - The stock is currently in Phase 2 of the Adhishthana cycle, specifically in the initial Sankhya period, which is expected to last until August 2027 [2] - The previous sharp rebound from around $50 to $150 was not a true structural rally according to the Adhishthana framework, lacking foundational timing alignment [4] Phase Analysis - Phase 2 consists of two parts: the Sankhya period, characterized by consolidation and sluggish performance, and the Buddhi period, known for strong rallies [6] - The current setup for Roblox appears uncertain due to margin pressures and being in the Sankhya period, where rallies often reverse or lose momentum [8] - The ideal structural setup for a sustained bullish run would resemble CIENA's recent performance, which has rallied approximately 34% [5] Investor Outlook - Roblox may remain range-bound or consolidative until the Buddhi period begins, suggesting that adding exposure before the conclusion of the Sankhya period may be premature [9] - Institutional funds continue to hold Roblox at overweight positions, but volatility and a broad consolidation bias with a tilt toward weakness are expected for current holders [9]
Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) Faces Volatility Amid Market Challenges
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-03 21:10
Company Overview - Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) is a leading supplier of building materials and manufactured components for residential and commercial construction, operating across the United States [1] - The company competes with other industry players like Home Depot and Lowe's, which also supply building materials and related services [1][6] Stock Performance - As of the latest update, the stock price of BLDR is $113.21, reflecting a decrease of approximately 2.55%, with fluctuations between a low of $111.66 and a high of $114.86 during the trading day [3] - The stock has experienced significant volatility, having dropped nearly 50% from its all-time highs, which were recorded at $194.36 [2][3][6] - D.A. Davidson has set a price target of $115 for BLDR, suggesting a modest upside potential of approximately 1.15% [2][6] Earnings and Market Capitalization - Despite the recent decline in stock price, the company reported earnings per share that exceeded expectations, capturing investor interest [2] - Builders FirstSource has a market capitalization of approximately $12.52 billion, with a trading volume of 536,707 shares on the NYSE [5] Technical Analysis - According to the Adhishthana Principles, Builders FirstSource is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase cycle, a critical phase that often determines future stock performance [4] - Historically, stocks form a Cakra structure between Phases 4-8, which is typically bullish; however, BLDR fell below the Cakra as it moved into Phase 8, indicating potential challenges ahead [4][5] - A successful breakout in Phase 9 could lead to the Himalayan Formation, signaling the start of a strong bullish rally [5]
Builders FirstSource: Foundation Looks Weak Despite Earnings Beat
Benzinga· 2025-11-03 12:11
Core Viewpoint - Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) has seen its stock price decline nearly 50% from its all-time highs, despite reporting better-than-expected earnings per share, indicating potential structural risks that may keep the stock under pressure [1][7]. Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - The stock is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, a critical phase that often determines whether strength or weakness will prevail [2]. - Builders FirstSource entered Phase 4 in December 2021 and traded within its Cakra structure until Phase 7, but broke down below the Cakra in Phase 8, triggering a significant bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya [4][6]. - A breakdown of the Cakra typically indicates deeper foundational issues within the company, rather than just short-term volatility [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite a stronger earnings per share report, the underlying trend suggests potential underperformance until the stock reaches its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) [7]. - The company's net income has fallen nearly 57% compared to the same period last year, which aligns with the structural signals indicated by the Adhishthana framework [7].
Stride Slips After Earnings, But Can It Regain Footing?
Benzinga· 2025-10-30 12:40
Core Insights - Stride (NYSE:LRN) experienced a significant decline of over 50% in a single day due to a weak financial forecast indicating slowing growth [1] - The stock's breakdown aligns with the Adhishthana Principles, suggesting deeper structural or fundamental weaknesses within the company [5] Weekly Chart Analysis - Stride's stock was forming a Cakra structure, which typically has bullish implications, but it broke below this structure during Phase 6, leading to a significant sell-off [2][3] - The breakdown triggered what is termed the Move of Pralaya, indicating strong selling pressure and a shift to a bearish outlook for the stock [3][5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On a monthly timeframe, Stride is currently in Phase 5, which usually involves retesting the lows of the preceding bullish Phase 4 [6] - The stock's previous surge from $30 to $105 in Phase 4 necessitated a correction, explaining the intensity of the current decline as it retraces to test those lower levels [6] Investor Outlook - With the Cakra breakdown and the ongoing Phase 4 retest, the decline in Stride's stock price was largely anticipated [8] - Investors are advised to wait for the conclusion of the weekly Phase 13 and observe the stock's behavior near its Phase 4 lows before making any purchasing decisions [8]
Is Bank of Hawaii Stock A Buy After Earnings?
Benzinga· 2025-10-29 12:08
Core Viewpoint - Bank of Hawaii reported strong Q3 results with an EPS of $1.20, up from $1.06 in the previous quarter, and a 7.1% annualized increase in average deposit balances, but the long-term outlook is less optimistic when analyzed through the Adhishthana Principles [1][6] Financial Performance - The Q3 EPS of Bank of Hawaii was $1.20, an increase from $1.06 in the previous quarter [1] - There was a 7.1% annualized increase in average deposit balances [1] Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Bank of Hawaii is in Phase 18 of the 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, which is crucial for determining the stock's trajectory [2] - The Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) are essential for achieving Nirvana, the highest point in the cycle, but the absence of noticeable Satoguna indicates that Nirvana is unlikely [2][4] - The stock fell nearly 63% during Phases 14 and 15, with Phase 16 characterized by sideways trading, indicating weak triads [4] Future Outlook - Since entering Phase 18 in June 2024, Bank of Hawaii has traded in a tight, sluggish range, which is expected to continue until the phase concludes on December 15, 2025 [5] - The weak triad formation suggests limited upside potential until the current cycle ends, and investors may want to wait for the cycle reset to reassess entry opportunities [6]
Global Payments Stock: Why Investors Should Stay Cautious
Benzinga· 2025-10-28 09:40
Group 1 - Global Payments is currently in the final leg of its Phase 16, with a negative outlook as it approaches Phase 17, which is considered a no-trade zone [1][9] - The stock entered Phase 4 in 2017 and traded within a Cakra structure until Phase 8, but failed to break out positively in Phase 9, leading to a bearish phase known as the Move of Pralaya [2][3] - The stock has experienced a decline of over 50% by the time it reached Phase 13, transitioning into its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) without showing signs of bullish momentum [5][9] Group 2 - For a Nirvana move to occur in Phase 18, the Guna Triads must exhibit Satoguna, which has been absent in Global Payments' case, ruling out any possibility of a Nirvana move [6][9] - The stock's underperformance is expected to continue until at least November 2027, with any short-term rallies likely to be temporary [9][10] - The fundamental outlook for Global Payments shifted negatively after breaking its Cakra in Phase 9, reinforcing a bearish bias due to the lack of meaningful strength during its triads [10]
Garrett Motion's Bullishness In Motion: More Momentum Ahead?
Benzinga· 2025-10-27 10:51
Core Insights - Garrett Motion (NASDAQ: GTX) experienced a significant rally of over 30% in just two days following a strong Q3 performance, indicating a pivotal moment in the stock's cycle [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is currently in Phase 9 of the Adhishthana framework, which is characterized by a Cakra structure that typically forms between Phases 4-8, suggesting bullish implications [2] - Garrett Motion entered Phase 4 in November 2021 and has been trading within its Cakra until the end of Phase 8, breaking out to the upside as it transitioned into Phase 9 [3] - A Phase 9 breakout is a powerful technical event, and since its breakout in April 2025, Garrett Motion has rallied nearly 72%, confirming the predictive accuracy of the Adhishthana Principles [4] Future Projections - The current Phase 9 is expected to conclude on November 16, 2025, after which the stock will transition into Phase 10, where a continued rally is anticipated before a potential peak formation [5] - The 18th interval is expected to be the level of peak formation, with the 23rd interval as a secondary possibility if the peak does not form in Phase 10 [5] Investor Sentiment - With the Cakra breakout and strong momentum, Garrett Motion's bullish trajectory is expected to continue into Phase 10, making it crucial for investors to monitor for signs of a peak as the phase transition approaches [6]
JB Hunt Stock: Outlook Remains Constructive Until May Next Year
Benzinga· 2025-10-17 12:20
Core Insights - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc. experienced a rally of over 20% due to stronger-than-expected revenue and EPS [1] - The stock's movement aligns with the Adhishthana Principles, indicating a structured market behavior [1][4] Phase 2 Structure - JB Hunt's Phase 2 consists of two parts: the Sankhya period, marked by consolidation or weakness, and the Buddhi period, characterized by bullish moves [2] - The company entered Phase 2 on January 13, 2025, experiencing a decline of nearly 31% during the Sankhya period [2] - On September 29, 2025, JB Hunt transitioned into the Buddhi period, leading to a significant rally of over 20% [4] Future Outlook - Phase 2 is expected to conclude in May 2026, suggesting that the current bullish trend may persist [5] - The outlook for JB Hunt remains positive until the transition into Phase 3, with strong put writing activity in the options market supporting bullish sentiment [6]
Why Sonoco Products Stock May Continue To Underperform
Benzinga· 2025-10-16 17:43
Core Insights - Sonoco Products Company is nearing the completion of its 18th and final phase in the Adhishthana cycle, which explains the stock's recent underperformance [1] Summary by Sections Understanding Sonoco Product's Final Phase - The behavior of Phase 18 is influenced by Phases 14, 15, and 16, known as the Guna Triads, which must exhibit Satoguna for the stock to reach Nirvana in Phase 18 [2] - Sonoco entered its Guna Triads in July 2022 without any trace of Satoguna, leading to choppy trading and a lack of bullish momentum [2] - The predictable decline began as the stock transitioned into Phase 18 due to the weak triads [2] Performance Metrics - Since the start of Phase 18, Sonoco's stock has fallen by approximately 36%, illustrating how weak triads can lead to a sluggish final phase [4] Investor Outlook - Sonoco's Phase 18 is expected to conclude by the end of November 2025, after which a new Adhishthana cycle will begin from Phase 1 [6] - Until the new cycle starts, sustained upside for the stock appears unlikely, suggesting that investors may want to wait for a reset in alignment with the Adhishthana Principles before entering [6]