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Nebius Group Shares: Why The Rally May Not Hold Up
Benzinga· 2025-11-13 11:50
Core Insights - Nebius Group's stock has experienced a significant rally from $18 to $140 since April 2023, but this may not indicate long-term value based on the Adhishthana Principles [1] Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Nebius Group is currently in Phase 17 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, with Phases 14, 15, and 16 forming the Guna Triads that are critical for determining the potential for a Nirvana move in Phase 18 [2] - The stock has shown sharp bearishness and consolidation during its triad phases, declining nearly 83%, indicating that a Nirvana move in Phase 18 is unlikely [5] - Phase 17 is identified as a no-trade phase, suggesting that any rallies should not be pursued [6] Group 2: Future Projections - The transition to Phase 18 is expected in December 2025, which historically leads to sluggish or range-bound trading for such triad structures [6] - Recent stock retracement from $140 to $94 indicates potential exhaustion in the rally [6] - The company's recent earnings report shows a 153% widening of losses, further suggesting that the rally may be losing momentum [7] Group 3: Investor Outlook - The poor triad formation implies that the recent surge lacks structural strength, and the stock is likely to trade with a bearish bias and extended consolidation until at least mid-2027 [8] - While new deals with Meta could enhance business fundamentals, a cyclical cooling off is anticipated before any significant upside can be realized [9] - Investors are advised to wait for the rally to stabilize and seek value opportunities once the cycle resets [9]
Why Castle Biosciences' Rally Might Just Be Getting Started
Benzinga· 2025-11-05 13:02
Core Insights - Castle Biosciences (NASDAQ:CSTL) experienced a rally of over 20% following a strong Q3 performance, indicating positive momentum in the stock [1] - The stock is currently in Phase 8 according to the Adhishthana Principles, having entered Phase 4 in August 2022, and is building a Cakra formation [3][5] - The stock is approaching the upper boundary of the Cakra structure, with two potential scenarios for its trajectory before transitioning into Phase 9 in January 2026 [5] Weekly Chart Analysis - The Cakra structure typically forms between Phases 4–8 and suggests bullish implications, with a breakout in Phase 9 leading to strong momentum [2] - As the stock moves through Phase 8, it has rebounded from the lower end of the Cakra and is preparing for a potential breakout [5] - Two scenarios are outlined: a rally to test the $35 level followed by a slight retracement before breaking out, or a premature breakout gaining strength in Phase 9 [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly charts, Castle Biosciences is currently in Phase 2, which consists of the Sankhya period (consolidation or weakness) and the Buddhi period (powerful rallies) [6] - The company is in the Sankhya phase and is expected to transition into the Buddhi period in December 2025, coinciding with an anticipated increase in bullish momentum [7] Investor Outlook - For current shareholders, maintaining bullish positions is favorable, especially as momentum is expected to build once the stock surpasses the $35 mark [8] - Investors looking to enter new positions have an opportunity to accumulate shares through November, using the lower end of the Cakra as a stop-loss [8] - The overall setup indicates that Castle's base is firming up, suggesting a potential rally ahead [8]
Roblox After Earnings: Game On Or Game Over?
Benzinga· 2025-11-04 11:43
Core Insights - Roblox's stock fell over 15% following its earnings release, indicating potential margin pressures [1] - The stock is currently in Phase 2 of the Adhishthana cycle, specifically in the initial Sankhya period, which is expected to last until August 2027 [2] - The previous sharp rebound from around $50 to $150 was not a true structural rally according to the Adhishthana framework, lacking foundational timing alignment [4] Phase Analysis - Phase 2 consists of two parts: the Sankhya period, characterized by consolidation and sluggish performance, and the Buddhi period, known for strong rallies [6] - The current setup for Roblox appears uncertain due to margin pressures and being in the Sankhya period, where rallies often reverse or lose momentum [8] - The ideal structural setup for a sustained bullish run would resemble CIENA's recent performance, which has rallied approximately 34% [5] Investor Outlook - Roblox may remain range-bound or consolidative until the Buddhi period begins, suggesting that adding exposure before the conclusion of the Sankhya period may be premature [9] - Institutional funds continue to hold Roblox at overweight positions, but volatility and a broad consolidation bias with a tilt toward weakness are expected for current holders [9]
Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) Faces Volatility Amid Market Challenges
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-03 21:10
Company Overview - Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) is a leading supplier of building materials and manufactured components for residential and commercial construction, operating across the United States [1] - The company competes with other industry players like Home Depot and Lowe's, which also supply building materials and related services [1][6] Stock Performance - As of the latest update, the stock price of BLDR is $113.21, reflecting a decrease of approximately 2.55%, with fluctuations between a low of $111.66 and a high of $114.86 during the trading day [3] - The stock has experienced significant volatility, having dropped nearly 50% from its all-time highs, which were recorded at $194.36 [2][3][6] - D.A. Davidson has set a price target of $115 for BLDR, suggesting a modest upside potential of approximately 1.15% [2][6] Earnings and Market Capitalization - Despite the recent decline in stock price, the company reported earnings per share that exceeded expectations, capturing investor interest [2] - Builders FirstSource has a market capitalization of approximately $12.52 billion, with a trading volume of 536,707 shares on the NYSE [5] Technical Analysis - According to the Adhishthana Principles, Builders FirstSource is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase cycle, a critical phase that often determines future stock performance [4] - Historically, stocks form a Cakra structure between Phases 4-8, which is typically bullish; however, BLDR fell below the Cakra as it moved into Phase 8, indicating potential challenges ahead [4][5] - A successful breakout in Phase 9 could lead to the Himalayan Formation, signaling the start of a strong bullish rally [5]
Builders FirstSource: Foundation Looks Weak Despite Earnings Beat
Benzinga· 2025-11-03 12:11
Core Viewpoint - Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) has seen its stock price decline nearly 50% from its all-time highs, despite reporting better-than-expected earnings per share, indicating potential structural risks that may keep the stock under pressure [1][7]. Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - The stock is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, a critical phase that often determines whether strength or weakness will prevail [2]. - Builders FirstSource entered Phase 4 in December 2021 and traded within its Cakra structure until Phase 7, but broke down below the Cakra in Phase 8, triggering a significant bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya [4][6]. - A breakdown of the Cakra typically indicates deeper foundational issues within the company, rather than just short-term volatility [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite a stronger earnings per share report, the underlying trend suggests potential underperformance until the stock reaches its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) [7]. - The company's net income has fallen nearly 57% compared to the same period last year, which aligns with the structural signals indicated by the Adhishthana framework [7].
Stride Slips After Earnings, But Can It Regain Footing?
Benzinga· 2025-10-30 12:40
Core Insights - Stride (NYSE:LRN) experienced a significant decline of over 50% in a single day due to a weak financial forecast indicating slowing growth [1] - The stock's breakdown aligns with the Adhishthana Principles, suggesting deeper structural or fundamental weaknesses within the company [5] Weekly Chart Analysis - Stride's stock was forming a Cakra structure, which typically has bullish implications, but it broke below this structure during Phase 6, leading to a significant sell-off [2][3] - The breakdown triggered what is termed the Move of Pralaya, indicating strong selling pressure and a shift to a bearish outlook for the stock [3][5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On a monthly timeframe, Stride is currently in Phase 5, which usually involves retesting the lows of the preceding bullish Phase 4 [6] - The stock's previous surge from $30 to $105 in Phase 4 necessitated a correction, explaining the intensity of the current decline as it retraces to test those lower levels [6] Investor Outlook - With the Cakra breakdown and the ongoing Phase 4 retest, the decline in Stride's stock price was largely anticipated [8] - Investors are advised to wait for the conclusion of the weekly Phase 13 and observe the stock's behavior near its Phase 4 lows before making any purchasing decisions [8]
Is Bank of Hawaii Stock A Buy After Earnings?
Benzinga· 2025-10-29 12:08
Core Viewpoint - Bank of Hawaii reported strong Q3 results with an EPS of $1.20, up from $1.06 in the previous quarter, and a 7.1% annualized increase in average deposit balances, but the long-term outlook is less optimistic when analyzed through the Adhishthana Principles [1][6] Financial Performance - The Q3 EPS of Bank of Hawaii was $1.20, an increase from $1.06 in the previous quarter [1] - There was a 7.1% annualized increase in average deposit balances [1] Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Bank of Hawaii is in Phase 18 of the 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, which is crucial for determining the stock's trajectory [2] - The Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) are essential for achieving Nirvana, the highest point in the cycle, but the absence of noticeable Satoguna indicates that Nirvana is unlikely [2][4] - The stock fell nearly 63% during Phases 14 and 15, with Phase 16 characterized by sideways trading, indicating weak triads [4] Future Outlook - Since entering Phase 18 in June 2024, Bank of Hawaii has traded in a tight, sluggish range, which is expected to continue until the phase concludes on December 15, 2025 [5] - The weak triad formation suggests limited upside potential until the current cycle ends, and investors may want to wait for the cycle reset to reassess entry opportunities [6]
Global Payments Stock: Why Investors Should Stay Cautious
Benzinga· 2025-10-28 09:40
Group 1 - Global Payments is currently in the final leg of its Phase 16, with a negative outlook as it approaches Phase 17, which is considered a no-trade zone [1][9] - The stock entered Phase 4 in 2017 and traded within a Cakra structure until Phase 8, but failed to break out positively in Phase 9, leading to a bearish phase known as the Move of Pralaya [2][3] - The stock has experienced a decline of over 50% by the time it reached Phase 13, transitioning into its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) without showing signs of bullish momentum [5][9] Group 2 - For a Nirvana move to occur in Phase 18, the Guna Triads must exhibit Satoguna, which has been absent in Global Payments' case, ruling out any possibility of a Nirvana move [6][9] - The stock's underperformance is expected to continue until at least November 2027, with any short-term rallies likely to be temporary [9][10] - The fundamental outlook for Global Payments shifted negatively after breaking its Cakra in Phase 9, reinforcing a bearish bias due to the lack of meaningful strength during its triads [10]
Garrett Motion's Bullishness In Motion: More Momentum Ahead?
Benzinga· 2025-10-27 10:51
Core Insights - Garrett Motion (NASDAQ: GTX) experienced a significant rally of over 30% in just two days following a strong Q3 performance, indicating a pivotal moment in the stock's cycle [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is currently in Phase 9 of the Adhishthana framework, which is characterized by a Cakra structure that typically forms between Phases 4-8, suggesting bullish implications [2] - Garrett Motion entered Phase 4 in November 2021 and has been trading within its Cakra until the end of Phase 8, breaking out to the upside as it transitioned into Phase 9 [3] - A Phase 9 breakout is a powerful technical event, and since its breakout in April 2025, Garrett Motion has rallied nearly 72%, confirming the predictive accuracy of the Adhishthana Principles [4] Future Projections - The current Phase 9 is expected to conclude on November 16, 2025, after which the stock will transition into Phase 10, where a continued rally is anticipated before a potential peak formation [5] - The 18th interval is expected to be the level of peak formation, with the 23rd interval as a secondary possibility if the peak does not form in Phase 10 [5] Investor Sentiment - With the Cakra breakout and strong momentum, Garrett Motion's bullish trajectory is expected to continue into Phase 10, making it crucial for investors to monitor for signs of a peak as the phase transition approaches [6]
JB Hunt Stock: Outlook Remains Constructive Until May Next Year
Benzinga· 2025-10-17 12:20
Core Insights - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc. experienced a rally of over 20% due to stronger-than-expected revenue and EPS [1] - The stock's movement aligns with the Adhishthana Principles, indicating a structured market behavior [1][4] Phase 2 Structure - JB Hunt's Phase 2 consists of two parts: the Sankhya period, marked by consolidation or weakness, and the Buddhi period, characterized by bullish moves [2] - The company entered Phase 2 on January 13, 2025, experiencing a decline of nearly 31% during the Sankhya period [2] - On September 29, 2025, JB Hunt transitioned into the Buddhi period, leading to a significant rally of over 20% [4] Future Outlook - Phase 2 is expected to conclude in May 2026, suggesting that the current bullish trend may persist [5] - The outlook for JB Hunt remains positive until the transition into Phase 3, with strong put writing activity in the options market supporting bullish sentiment [6]