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ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20250507
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-07 06:45
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The report presents several ETF strategy indices constructed using ETFs, and tracks the performance and holdings of these indices on a weekly basis. These indices aim to obtain excess returns relative to the market through different strategies [11]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. ETF Strategy Index Tracking - **Overall Performance**: The table shows the performance of various ETF strategy indices last week, including index returns, benchmark returns, and excess returns. For example, the Huabao Research Size Rotation ETF Strategy Index had a last - week index return of 0.61%, a benchmark (CSI 800) return of 0.29%, and an excess return of 0.32% [12]. 1.1. Huabao Research Size Rotation ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Utilizes multi - dimensional technical indicator factors and a machine - learning model to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and the Shenwan Small - Cap Index. It outputs weekly signals to determine holdings and obtain excess returns [13]. - **Performance**: As of April 30, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 16.87%, the recent one - month excess return was 1.04%, and the recent one - week excess return was 0.32%. The index's recent one - week return was 0.61%, recent one - month return was - 2.35%, and since 2024 was 25.11%, compared to the CSI 800's 0.29%, - 3.38%, and 8.24% respectively [13][14]. - **Holdings**: As of April 30, 2025, it held 50% of CSI 500ETF (159922.SZ) and 50% of CSI 1000ETF (512100.SH) [16]. 1.2. Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Uses price - volume indicators to time self - built Barra factors, and maps timing signals to ETFs based on their exposure to 9 major Barra factors to achieve market - outperforming returns. It selects mainstream broad - based index ETFs and some style and strategy ETFs [15]. - **Performance**: As of April 30, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 16.49%, the recent one - month excess return was 1.48%, and the recent one - week excess return was - 1.51%. The index's recent one - week return was - 1.22%, recent one - month return was - 1.91%, and since 2024 was 24.73%, compared to the CSI 800's 0.29%, - 3.38%, and 8.24% respectively [16][17]. - **Holdings**: As of April 30, 2025, it held 100% of Dividend Low - Volatility ETF (512890.SH) [23]. 1.3. Huabao Research Quantitative Fire - Wheel ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Adopts a multi - factor approach, including long - and medium - term fundamental analysis, short - term market trend tracking, and analysis of market participants' behaviors. It uses valuation and crowding signals to indicate industry risks and multi - dimensionally digs out potential sectors to obtain excess returns [20]. - **Performance**: As of April 30, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 0.53%, the recent one - month excess return was 0.93%, and the recent one - week excess return was - 0.03%. The index's recent one - week return was 0.26%, recent one - month return was - 2.45%, and since 2024 was 8.78%, compared to the CSI 800's 0.29%, - 3.38%, and 8.24% respectively [20][23]. - **Holdings**: As of April 30, 2025, it held 20.93% of Bank ETF (512800.SH), 20.88% of Agriculture ETF (159825.SZ), 19.59% of Military Industry ETF (512660.SH), etc. [24]. 1.4. Huabao Research Quantitative Balancing Act ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Employs a multi - factor system covering economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior. It constructs a quantitative timing system to judge the equity market trend, builds a prediction model for market large - and small - cap styles to adjust equity market position distribution, and comprehensively obtains excess returns through timing and rotation [24]. - **Performance**: As of April 30, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 2.46%, the recent one - month excess return was 2.04%, and the recent one - week excess return was 0.32%. The index's recent one - week return was 0.27%, recent one - month return was - 0.97%, and since 2024 was 12.35%, compared to the SSE 300's - 0.05%, - 3.01%, and 9.89% respectively [24][26]. - **Holdings**: As of April 30, 2025, it held 5.09% of CSI 1000ETF (512100.SH), 4.98% of 500ETF Enhanced (159610.SZ), 29.13% of 300 Enhanced ETF (561300.SH), etc. [28]. 1.5. Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Based on strategies such as market sentiment analysis, industry event tracking, investor sentiment and professional opinions, policy and regulatory changes, and historical deduction, it tracks and mines hot - spot index target products in a timely manner to construct an ETF portfolio that can capture market hot - spots, providing short - term market trend references for investors [28]. - **Performance**: As of April 30, 2025, the recent one - month excess return was 2.06%, and the recent one - week excess return was 0.11%. The index's recent one - week return was 1.19%, compared to the CSI All - Share's 1.08% [28][31]. - **Holdings**: As of April 30, 2025, it held 4.15% of Real Estate ETF (515060.SH), 27.03% of Hong Kong Stock Consumption ETF (513230.SH), etc. [32]. 1.6. Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Uses bond market liquidity and price - volume indicators to screen effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine - learning methods. When the expected yield is below a certain threshold, it reduces the long - duration position in the bond investment portfolio to improve long - term returns and drawdown control ability [32]. - **Performance**: As of April 30, 2025, the recent one - month excess return was 0.20%, and the recent one - week excess return was 0.02%. The index's recent one - week return was 0.19%, recent one - month return was 1.20%, since 2024 was 9.32%, and since inception was 14.47%, compared to the ChinaBond Aggregate Index's 0.17%, 1.00%, 4.97%, and 6.91% respectively [32][33]. - **Holdings**: As of April 30, 2025, it held 50.01% of 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF (511260.SH), 25.00% of Policy Financial Bond ETF (511520.SH), etc. [36].
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20250428
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-04-28 06:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report provides several ETF strategy indices constructed with the help of ETFs and tracks the performance and positions of these indices on a weekly basis. These indices aim to obtain excess returns relative to the market through different strategies and models [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 ETF Strategy Index Tracking - **ETF Strategy Index Last Week's Performance**: - **HuaBao Research Large - Small Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index**: Last week's index return was 0.46%, the benchmark was CSI 800 with a return of 0.59%, and the excess return was -0.14% [12]. - **HuaBao Research Quantitative Fire - Wheel ETF Strategy Index**: The index return was 0.75%, the benchmark was CSI 800 with a return of 0.59%, and the excess return was 0.15% [12]. - **HuaBao Research Quantitative Balance Art ETF Strategy Index**: The index return was 0.28%, the benchmark was SSE 300 with a return of 0.38%, and the excess return was -0.11% [12]. - **HuaBao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index**: The index return was 0.28%, the benchmark was CSI 800 with a return of 0.59%, and the excess return was -0.32% [12]. - **HuaBao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index**: The index return was 1.55%, the benchmark was CSI All - Share Index with a return of 1.10%, and the excess return was 0.45% [12]. - **HuaBao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index**: The index return was -0.10%, the benchmark was ChinaBond Aggregate Index with a return of -0.08%, and the excess return was -0.02% [12]. 3.2 HuaBao Research Large - Small Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses multi - dimensional technical indicator factors and a machine - learning model to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and the Shenwan Small - Cap Index. The model outputs signals weekly to predict the strength of the indices in the next week and determines positions accordingly to obtain excess returns [13]. - **Performance**: As of April 25, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 16.35%, the excess return in the recent month was 0.58%, and the excess return in the recent week was -0.14%. The position was 100% in the SSE 300 ETF [13][16]. 3.3 HuaBao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses price - volume indicators to time self - built Barra factors and maps timing signals to ETFs based on the exposure of ETFs to 9 major Barra factors to obtain returns exceeding the market. The selected ETFs cover mainstream broad - based index ETFs and some style and strategy ETFs [16]. - **Performance**: As of April 25, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 18.06%, the excess return in the recent month was 3.02%, and the excess return in the recent week was -0.32%. The position was 100% in the Dividend Low - Volatility ETF [16][21]. 3.4 HuaBao Research Quantitative Fire - Wheel ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It starts from a multi - factor perspective, including the grasp of medium - and long - term fundamental dimensions, the tracking of short - term market trends, and the analysis of the behaviors of various market participants. It uses valuation and congestion signals to prompt industry risks and multi - dimensionally digs out potential sectors to obtain excess returns [20]. - **Performance**: As of April 25, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 0.74%, the excess return in the recent month was 0.92%, and the excess return in the recent week was 0.15%. The positions included 21.03% in the Agriculture ETF and 18.93% in the Home Appliance ETF [20][23]. 3.5 HuaBao Research Quantitative Balance Art ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses a multi - factor system including economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior factors to construct a quantitative timing system for trend judgment of the equity market. It also builds a prediction model for the large - small cap style of the market to adjust the position distribution in the equity market and comprehensively obtains excess returns through timing and rotation [23]. - **Performance**: As of April 25, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 1.99%, the excess return in the recent month was 2.40%, and the excess return in the recent week was -0.11%. The positions included various ETFs such as the CSI 1000 ETF, Enhanced 500 ETF, etc. [23][26]. 3.6 HuaBao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It tracks and mines hot - spot index target products in a timely manner based on strategies such as market sentiment analysis, industry major event tracking, investor sentiment and professional views, policy and regulatory changes, and historical deduction. It constructs an ETF portfolio that can capture market hot - spots in a timely manner to provide investors with references for short - term market trends and help them make more informed investment decisions [26]. - **Performance**: As of April 25, 2025, the excess return in the recent month was 2.74%, and the excess return in the recent week was 0.45%. The positions included the Real Estate ETF, Hong Kong Stock Consumption ETF, etc. [26][30]. 3.7 HuaBao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses bond market liquidity indicators and price - volume indicators to screen effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine - learning methods. When the expected yield is lower than a certain threshold, it reduces the position of long - duration bonds in the bond investment portfolio to improve the long - term return and drawdown control ability of the portfolio [30]. - **Performance**: As of April 25, 2025, the excess return in the recent month was 0.17%, and the excess return in the recent week was -0.02%. The positions included the 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF, Policy Financial Bond ETF, etc. [30][34].
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20250421
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-04-21 07:11
1. Investment Analysis of ETF Strategy Indexes 1. ETF Strategy Index Tracking - The Huabao Research Large - Small Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index uses a machine - learning model based on multi - dimensional technical indicator factors to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and Shenwan Small - Cap Index. It outputs signals weekly to predict the strength of the index in the next week and determines positions accordingly to obtain excess returns relative to the market. As of April 18, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 16.43%, the excess return in the recent month was 0.85%, and the excess return in the recent week was 0.28% [13][14][17]. - The Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index uses price - volume indicators to time self - built barra factors and maps timing signals to ETFs based on their exposure to 9 major barra factors, aiming to outperform the market. As of April 18, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 18.35%, the excess return in the recent month was 4.41%, and the excess return in the recent week was 2.88% [16][17][20]. - The Huabao Research Quantitative Fire - Wheel ETF Strategy Index takes a multi - factor approach, including long - and medium - term fundamental analysis, short - term market trend tracking, and analysis of market participants' behaviors. It uses valuation and crowding signals to indicate industry risks and multi - dimensionally explores potential sectors to gain excess returns relative to the market. As of April 18, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 0.57%, the excess return in the recent month was - 0.94%, and the excess return in the recent week was - 0.37% [20][21][24]. - The Huabao Research Quantitative Balance ETF Strategy Index adopts a multi - factor system, including economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior. It constructs a quantitative timing system to judge the equity market trend, establishes a prediction model for market large - and small - cap styles to adjust the equity market position distribution, and comprehensively gains excess returns relative to the market through timing and rotation. As of April 18, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 2.10%, the excess return in the recent month was 3.15%, and the excess return in the recent week was - 0.33% [23][24][26]. - The Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index tracks and mines hot - spot index target products in a timely manner through strategies such as market sentiment analysis, industry event tracking, investor sentiment and professional opinions, policy and regulatory changes, and historical deduction. It constructs an ETF portfolio that can capture market hot - spots, providing investors with short - term market trend references and assisting them in making more informed investment decisions. As of April 18, 2025, the excess return in the recent month was 2.37%, and the excess return in the recent week was - 0.08% [26][29][30]. - The Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index uses bond market liquidity indicators and price - volume indicators to screen effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine learning. When the expected yield is below a certain threshold, it reduces the long - duration positions in the bond investment portfolio to enhance the portfolio's long - term returns and drawdown control ability. As of April 18, 2025, the excess return in the recent month was 0.16%, and the excess return in the recent week was 0.23% [30][31][34].