Company Overview - Gap Inc. is set to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings on August 28, 2025, with consensus expectations of earnings at $0.54 per share and revenue of $3.73 billion, both remaining relatively unchanged from the previous year [2] - In the first quarter, Gap recorded a 2% increase in sales and comparable sales, with EPS of $0.51 exceeding expectations, driven by strong performance from Old Navy and the Gap brand [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $7.9 billion, with trailing twelve-month revenue of $15 billion, operating profit of $1.2 billion, and net income of $879 million [2] Earnings Performance Insights - Historically, Gap shares have increased following earnings announcements in 68% of cases over the last five years, with a median one-day gain of 7.6% [2][5] - The percentage of positive one-day returns rises to 75% when analyzing the last three years, with 13 positive and 6 negative returns recorded over the past five years [5] Risk Factors - Management has indicated that tariffs could potentially reduce FY2025 operating income by $100–150 million, which may temper growth forecasts [2]

Company Overview - Ubiquiti is set to announce its Q4 FY'25 earnings on August 22, 2025, with anticipated earnings of approximately $2.23 per share, up from $1.74 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - The expected revenue for the quarter is about $635 million, reflecting a nearly 25% increase compared to the previous year, driven by strong demand in the Enterprise Technology segment [2] Financial Performance - The company currently has a market capitalization of $24 billion and reported revenue of $2.3 billion over the past twelve months [3] - Ubiquiti achieved operational profitability with $713 million in operating profits and a net income of $549 million [3] Market Trends - Growth is attributed to increased sales of upgraded Wi-Fi 6 and 7 networks, which offer faster speeds and lower latency [2] - Companies are investing more in software-defined networking, cloud-based management, and network security, which are expected to benefit Ubiquiti [2] Earnings Reaction History - Over the last five years, Ubiquiti recorded 20 earnings data points, resulting in 9 positive and 11 negative one-day (1D) returns, with positive returns observed about 45% of the time [6] - The median of the 9 positive returns is 9.8%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -8.6% [6] Correlation Analysis - Analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can provide insights for trading strategies [7] - Historical data indicates that the correlation between 1D and 5D returns can guide traders in positioning themselves effectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - Fastly (FSLY) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, with anticipated revenue growth and a narrower non-GAAP loss compared to the previous year [1][2][9]. Revenue Expectations - FSLY expects revenues in the range of $143 million to $147 million, representing a 10% year-over-year increase at the midpoint [1][9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $145.1 million, indicating a 9.6% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Loss Forecast - The company anticipates a non-GAAP loss between 4 and 8 cents per share, with the consensus mark for loss at 5 cents per share, which is an improvement from the 7 cents loss reported in the previous year [2][9]. Key Growth Drivers - Fastly's content delivery and edge computing platform is expected to benefit from go-to-market transformation efforts and packaging improvements, aiding in deal acquisition and steady revenue growth [3]. - Enterprise demand for advanced digital experiences and security solutions is likely to support top-line growth, with the Security segment benefiting from ongoing portfolio enhancements [4]. Market Dynamics - Adoption of edge computing solutions, particularly for dynamic content and AI-driven workloads, has been a significant catalyst for growth [4]. - Traditional content delivery remains the primary revenue driver, while security and compute offerings are helping to diversify the revenue mix [4]. Challenges - Competitive industry pricing may constrain gross margin expansion, and profitability is closely tied to operating discipline [6]. - Macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory factors related to specific customer relationships are expected to negatively impact second-quarter results [6]. Earnings Outlook - According to the Zacks model, FSLY has an Earnings ESP of -53.13% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating lower odds of an earnings beat [7].

Company Overview - MetLife (NYSE:MET) is expected to announce earnings on August 6, 2025, with projected earnings of approximately $2.16 per share, slightly lower than the previous year, and revenues around $18.50 billion, reflecting a decline of about 1% year-over-year [2] - The company has a current market capitalization of $53 billion, with total revenue for the past twelve months at $72 billion and net income reported at $4.5 billion [2] Earnings Performance - In the last quarter, MetLife experienced increased life underwriting margins, growth in volume, and variable investment income, although these were partially offset by negative impacts from foreign currency and lower recurring interest margins [2] - Historical data indicates that over the past five years, MetLife had 20 earnings data points with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in positive 1D returns occurring roughly 40% of the time [5] - The median of the 8 positive returns was 2.2%, while the median of the 12 negative returns was -1.8% [5] Correlation Analysis - A strategy to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can be effective, particularly if the correlation is strong [6] - Correlation data indicates that the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns can guide trading decisions [6][7] - The performance of peers can also impact MetLife's stock reaction following earnings, with historical data showing the influence of peer stock performance on MetLife's post-earnings returns [7][8]

Core Insights - Pfizer is scheduled to announce its earnings on August 5, 2025, with historical trends indicating a positive stock movement post-announcement [2][3] - The consensus forecast for the upcoming quarter is earnings of $0.58 per share on sales of $13.53 billion, compared to $0.60 per share on sales of $13.28 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - Pfizer's current market capitalization is $132 billion, with $62 billion in revenue, $15 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $7.9 billion over the last twelve months [4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, Pfizer has recorded 19 earnings data points, with 10 positive and 9 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 53% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The median positive return is 3.2%, while the median negative return is -1.4% [7] - The percentage of positive returns increases to 55% when considering the last three years [7] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can benefit from understanding historical trends and positioning themselves accordingly before and after earnings announcements [6][8] - A strategy involving correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be employed, particularly if 1D and 5D returns show high correlation [8] - Peer performance may influence stock reactions post-earnings, with historical data indicating that pricing can begin before the earnings announcement [9]

Core Insights - ResMed Inc reported better-than-expected earnings for Q2, with earnings of $2.55 per share, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $2.46 per share [1] - The company achieved quarterly sales of $1.348 billion, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $1.321 billion [1] Company Performance - The strong finish to fiscal year 2025 is attributed to robust global demand for ResMed's sleep and breathing health devices and the expansion of its digital health ecosystem, as stated by the Chairman and CEO, Mick Farrell [2] - Following the earnings announcement, ResMed shares increased by 2.1%, trading at $277.70 [2] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Piper Sandler maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $248 to $270 [7] - Keybanc maintained an Overweight rating and increased the price target from $274 to $298 [7] - UBS maintained a Buy rating and boosted the price target from $285 to $325 [7] - RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $294 to $300 [7] - Stifel maintained a Hold rating and increased the price target from $240 to $270 [7] - Mizuho maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $270 to $290 [7]

Company Overview - Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) is set to announce its Q2 FY'25 earnings on August 4, with consensus forecasts predicting earnings of $0.14 per share, up from $0.09 a year earlier, and revenues expected to grow 38% year-over-year to $939 million, driven by strong demand for its AI and big data platforms, particularly in the U.S. [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $373 billion, trailing 12-month revenues of $3.1 billion, operating income of $406 million, and net income of $571 million [3]. Financial Performance - In Q1, U.S. commercial revenue surged by 71%, while government revenue increased by 45%, reaching $373 million [2]. - Adjusted operating margins remained robust at 44% for the last quarter [2]. Stock Valuation and Sensitivity - Palantir's stock is trading at high valuation multiples, with a forward P/E ratio of approximately 270x, indicating sensitivity to earnings surprises and future guidance [3]. Historical Earnings Reaction - Over the past five years, Palantir has recorded 19 earnings data points, with positive one-day (1D) returns occurring approximately 53% of the time, increasing to 58% when analyzing the last three years [5]. - The median of the 10 positive returns was 21%, while the median of the 9 negative returns was -13% [5]. Correlation of Returns - Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can guide trading strategies, particularly if 1D and 5D returns exhibit high correlation [6].

Company Overview - Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: WDC) is a leading American data storage company known for manufacturing hard drives, solid-state drives, and NAND flash memory [2] - The company is scheduled to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on July 30, 2025, with analysts expecting adjusted earnings of $1.48 per share on $2.47 billion in revenue [2] Earnings Expectations - The expected earnings indicate a year-over-year increase of 3% in earnings but a significant 34% drop in revenue compared to the same quarter of the previous year, which reported $1.44 per share and $3.76 billion in revenue [2] - This earnings announcement will be the second following the successful completion of Western Digital's planned separation from SanDisk, allowing the company to focus on its core HDD business [2] Historical Performance - Historically, Western Digital's stock has decreased after earnings announcements 53% of the time, with a median one-day loss of 3.1% and a maximum post-earnings decline of 10% [3] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $24 billion, with revenue over the last twelve months at $19 billion, generating $2.5 billion in operating profits and a net income of $1.7 billion [3] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can utilize historical performance patterns and the gap between actual earnings results and market expectations to inform their strategies [4] - Traders may choose to position themselves ahead of the earnings release or react after the announcement based on short- and medium-term returns [4] Post-Earnings Return Analysis - Over the last five years, there have been 19 documented earnings data points for Western Digital, with 9 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns observed about 47% of the time [5] - This percentage increases to 50% when considering data from the last three years [5] - The median of the 9 positive returns is 4.7%, while the median of the 10 negative returns is -3.1% [5] Correlation of Returns - Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can help traders make informed decisions [6] - If the 1D post-earnings return is positive and shows high correlation with 5D returns, traders can position themselves "long" for the next 5 days [6]

Core Insights - Altria is expected to announce earnings on July 30, 2025, with analysts projecting earnings of $1.38 per share and revenues of $5.19 billion, compared to $1.31 per share and $5.28 billion in the same quarter last year [3][4]. Group 1: Historical Performance - Over the past five years, Altria's stock has shown a positive one-day return in 53% of cases following earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 1.9% and a maximum increase of 7.8% [3][7]. - In the last three years, the percentage of positive one-day returns increased to 55%, with the median of positive returns at 1.9% and negative returns at -2.1% [7]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - Altria has a current market capitalization of $101 billion, generating $20 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, with $12 billion in operating profits and a net income of $10 billion, indicating strong operational profitability [4]. Group 3: Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities and evaluate immediate and mid-term stock reactions post-earnings to inform trading decisions [6]. - Correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be analyzed to identify suitable trading strategies, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns show high correlation [8].

Group 1 - Prudential Financial is expected to report earnings on July 30, 2025, with revenues projected at approximately $13.4 billion, reflecting a 3% year-over-year decline, and earnings per share estimated at $3.23, indicating a slight decrease compared to the previous year [2] - The U.S. insurance operations are anticipated to remain a significant contributor to earnings, with improved underwriting and reduced expenses in Q1, although some areas are experiencing weaker investment and fee-related income [2] - The global investment management division is likely to perform well due to an increase in assets under management driven by equity market appreciation, net inflows, and enhanced investment performance [3] Group 2 - The current market capitalization of Prudential Financial is $37 billion, with total revenue for the past twelve months at $61 billion and net income at $2.3 billion [4] - Historical data shows that Prudential Financial has recorded 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 45% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The median of the positive one-day returns is 2.5%, while the median of the negative returns is -2.2% [7] Group 3 - There is a strategy to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings, which can help in executing trades based on the strongest correlations observed [8] - The performance of peers can influence the post-earnings stock reaction, with historical data indicating that price adjustments may begin before earnings are disclosed [9] - The Trefis High Quality portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500, delivering returns exceeding 91% since its inception, providing an alternative for investors seeking less volatility [5][10]