Workflow
Inflation hedge
icon
Search documents
Gold does not have a short-term ceiling, says KKM's Jeff Kilburg
Youtube· 2025-10-15 18:31
Core Insights - Gold has seen a significant increase in value, with a three-year rise of 150%, driven by geopolitical tensions and a shift away from the US dollar [2][3] - Central banks have been accumulating gold at record levels for three consecutive years, indicating a strong demand for gold as an inflation hedge [3] - The current strength of gold futures is at an all-time high, with projections suggesting a target price of $5,000, indicating potential for further increases [3] Gold vs. Silver - Silver has increased by approximately 80% year-to-date, while gold has risen by about 60%, highlighting the different dynamics affecting these precious metals [5] - The demand for tangible assets like gold remains strong, particularly among those who have not adopted cryptocurrencies, contributing to supply and demand imbalances [6]
Bitcoin and Ethereum Stabilize as US Shutdown Enters Third Week
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-15 14:20
Core Insights - Bitcoin and Ethereum have stabilized after recent volatility, with Bitcoin trading at $112,127 and Ethereum at $4,094, reflecting gains of about 1% and 3.6% respectively in the past day [2] - Bitcoin is currently less than 12% off its all-time high of over $126,000, while Ethereum is about 18% below its record [2] - Gold has reached new highs above $4,200 per ounce, driven by macroeconomic factors and a shift in market narrative towards liquidity-driven dynamics [3] Market Dynamics - The market narrative is shifting from being rate-sensitive to liquidity-driven, with central bank buying and institutional portfolio hedging becoming key drivers for gold prices [3] - There is ongoing discussion about Bitcoin's role in the "debasement" trade, where it is used alongside precious metals and stocks to hedge against weakening fiat currencies [3][4] Economic Data Impact - The U.S. government shutdown has delayed the release of the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is crucial for informing U.S. monetary policy [4][6] - The Bureau of Labor Statistics has announced that the CPI report will now be released on October 24, just ahead of the next Federal Open Markets Committee meeting [6] Historical Context - The Federal Open Markets Committee has previously had to make monetary policy decisions with limited economic data during past government shutdowns, notably during President Bill Clinton's administration [7]
GOLY: Gold And Bonds In One Package
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-14 00:12
Group 1 - Gold has experienced significant demand in 2025 as an inflation hedge and a stable asset during uncertain fiscal conditions [1] - Historically, bonds have served as a hedge in balanced portfolios, but the current market dynamics have shifted towards gold [1] - Binary Tree Analytics (BTA) aims to enhance transparency and analytics in capital markets, focusing on Closed-End Funds (CEFs), Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), and Special Situations [1] Group 2 - BTA has over 20 years of investment experience and emphasizes delivering high annualized returns with low volatility [1]
With gold at records, here's how much finance pros say you should have in your portfolio
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-11 17:15
Core Viewpoint - The gold rally has reached a significant milestone, surpassing $4,000 per ounce, driven by its appeal as an inflation hedge and a safe haven amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties [1][6]. Investment Recommendations - Hedge fund legend Ray Dalio suggests that investors should allocate approximately 15% of their portfolios to either gold or bitcoin, which is considered a sensible allocation by investment professionals [2]. - David Miller, CIO of Catalyst Funds, recommends holding at least 15% of a portfolio in gold as a substitute for other fixed income assets, citing strong global demand, constrained supply growth, and historically low real yields as supporting factors for higher gold prices [3]. - Will Rhind, CEO of GraniteShares, believes a sizable allocation to gold remains a good bet despite record prices, although he is less bullish than Miller [3]. Portfolio Allocation Insights - For a diversified portfolio, typical allocations to gold range from 7% to 10%, depending on individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and economic outlook [4]. - Rhind emphasizes that a meaningful allocation to gold is necessary for it to impact portfolio performance, suggesting that a mere 1% allocation is insufficient [4]. - Some experts advocate for a slightly lower allocation, with Alexander Lis recommending a 5% allocation to gold as a valuable addition to a long-term portfolio of stocks and bonds [5].
Here Are the 3 Tailwinds Behind Bitcoin's Latest Rally
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-11 08:45
Group 1 - Bitcoin is experiencing a significant rally, recently surpassing $126,000, driven by new demand sources and its fixed supply [2] - U.S. inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing by 2.9% over the past year, prompting investors to seek scarce assets like Bitcoin [4][5] - The U.S. dollar is expected to weaken over the next 12 months, benefiting Bitcoin and traditional hedges like gold, as investors look for safety from currency-related issues [5][6] Group 2 - Corporate treasuries and digital asset treasury companies are increasingly adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, contributing to its demand [7] - Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with approximately 640,031 bitcoins, and its chairman is committed to purchasing more regardless of price [8] - Bitcoin is being utilized as a hedge against inflation and is also being acquired by digital asset treasury companies, especially as asset managers create Bitcoin exchange-traded funds [9]
Tryg A/S – Interim report Q3 2025 and Q1-Q3 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-10-10 05:30
Core Insights - Tryg reported a strong insurance service result of DKK 2,181 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a growth of 3.4% in local currencies and an improvement in underlying profitability [1][8] - The combined ratio improved to 78.6%, down from 79.1% in the previous year, indicating better operational efficiency [1][8] - The investment result decreased to DKK 177 million from DKK 526 million, impacting overall profitability [1][8] - Pre-tax profit was reported at DKK 1,980 million, a decline from DKK 2,134 million year-on-year, while profit after tax was DKK 1,479 million compared to DKK 1,611 million [1][8] - An ordinary dividend of DKK 2.05 per share was declared, marking an increase of over 5% from the previous year [1][8] - The solvency ratio improved to 204% at the end of Q3 2025, up from 199% in Q2 2025, indicating strong financial stability [1][8] Financial Highlights Q3 2025 - Insurance service result: DKK 2,181 million (Q3 2024: DKK 2,048 million) [8] - Combined ratio: 78.6% (Q3 2024: 79.1%) [8] - Investment result: DKK 177 million (Q3 2024: DKK 526 million) [8] - Pre-tax profit: DKK 1,980 million (Q3 2024: DKK 2,134 million) [8] - Ordinary dividend: DKK 2.05 per share (Q3 2024: DKK 1.95 per share) [1][8] - Solvency ratio: 204% (Q2 2025: 199%) [1][8] Customer Highlights Q3 2025 - Customer satisfaction score reached 82, up from a baseline of 81 in 2024 [4] CEO Statement - The CEO emphasized the strength of Tryg's core business and the focus on building a profitable and resilient operation, highlighting the handling of over 1.5 million claims this year [5] - Confidence was expressed in the progress of the 2027 strategy, with steps taken to scale and simplify the IT landscape and strengthen commercial activities [6]
X @Nick Szabo
Nick Szabo· 2025-10-09 15:35
RT Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW)Everyone is rushing to buy Gold, Crypto and Stocks. The money supply is there.Meanwhile, no one is buying real estate, traditionally considered an inflation hedge. In fact, Sales are near 30 year lows!Why?The “Low Inventory” excuse from 2021-2023 doesn’t work anymore https://t.co/DRdp2g8ULp ...
Gold hits $4,000 but stocks still win over time, top advisor says: 'Gold glitters but earnings compound'
CNBC· 2025-10-08 17:39
Core Viewpoint - Gold has seen a significant price increase, reaching over $4,000 per ounce, but experts caution that it may not be a reliable long-term investment compared to equities and other assets [5][6][12]. Investment Performance - Gold's year-to-date increase is 51.6%, with forecasts suggesting it could reach $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026 [5]. - Over a 30-year period, gold's annualized total return is 7.96%, while the S&P 500 stocks return 10.67% and real estate returns 8.89% [6]. Economic Context - Gold is viewed as a safe-haven asset during economic turmoil, such as government shutdowns and geopolitical uncertainty [9][12]. - Experts suggest that gold performs well in low-interest-rate environments and during financial instability [12]. Investment Strategy - Financial advisors recommend limiting gold exposure to a low single-digit percentage of portfolios, with some suggesting a strategic allocation of up to 10% in alternative investments [15][17]. - It is advised to gain exposure to gold through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) rather than physical gold [14]. Expert Opinions - Ray Dalio recommends allocating up to 15% of portfolios to gold, citing historical parallels to the 1970s [9][10]. - Other financial advisors emphasize the importance of equities as a hedge against inflation, highlighting their ability to generate earnings and dividends, which gold does not [8][7].
Gold Tops $4,000 for First Time Fueled by US Shutdown
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 13:55
Core Viewpoint - Spot gold has surpassed $4,000 an ounce for the first time, driven by concerns over the US economy and a government shutdown, marking a significant milestone for bullion [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement and Historical Context - Gold has increased more than 50% this year, significantly outperforming equities, which have struggled amid uncertainties regarding global trade and US fiscal stability [2][3]. - The price of gold has historically tracked broader economic and political stresses, previously breaching $1,000, $2,000, and $3,000 during major economic events [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - The recent rally in gold prices is fueled by investors seeking protection from potential market shocks, particularly following the government funding impasse in Washington [3][4]. - Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by bullion have experienced their largest monthly inflow in over three years, indicating strong investor interest [3][4]. Group 3: Economic Factors Influencing Gold - The Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle has contributed positively to gold prices, as lower real yields make gold more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets [4][7]. - Central banks have been purchasing gold at an elevated pace, which has helped establish a solid foundation for the current rally [2][4]. Group 4: Geopolitical and Economic Influences - Heightened geopolitical tensions have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, further supporting its price surge [2][6]. - The current economic environment, characterized by potential rate cuts and inflationary pressures, is seen as favorable for gold, which serves as an inflation hedge [4][7].
Gold ETFs Shine as Price Hits $4,000
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 10:10
Core Insights - Gold is experiencing a significant surge in demand, with ETF sales reaching record levels as its price hit $4,000 per ounce [1] - The ongoing US government shutdown is contributing to investor uncertainty, leading to increased interest in gold and cryptocurrencies as alternative assets [2][3] - Historical performance data shows gold has outperformed equities and global bonds over the past 20 years, with predictions of a near $5,000 per ounce price by the end of 2026 [4] ETF Market Dynamics - In September, over $9 billion flowed into US gold ETFs, marking the highest monthly inflow ever recorded [3] - State Street's SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was the largest beneficiary, attracting $3.5 billion in September, although it had higher net sales of $4.1 billion in August [3] Investment Strategies - Financial advisors are increasingly recommending gold allocations to clients, citing its performance during crises rather than solely as an inflation hedge [5] - There is a strategic shift towards gold for market protection rather than performance enhancement, reflecting a cautious investment approach [5]