Rick Santelli is standing by at the CME in Chicago. And uh Rick, take it away. Let's see the numbers.Yes. And there are a lot of numbers, so we're going to go slow. And let's start with well, let's start with durable goods, shall we.On durable good orders, we're expecting a number that's going to be somewhere in the vicinity of up 8 to 8 and a half% on a preliminary, not coming across the screen. So, we're going to switch gears. We're going to look at the trade balance minus 96.6% billion.So the good news t ...

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V i e w p o i n t | 18 Jun 2025 08:33:31 ET │ 13 pages US Economics The Daily Update – Three reasons for Powell to sound dovish CITI'S TAKE Today at 2PM we expect Chair Powell's comments to skew dovish and median dots to continue to indicate two 25bp rate cuts this year. Powell has at least three reasons to be dovish: 1. Three months of softer core inflation 2. Rising continuing jobless claims 3. Softer housing data. Andrew Hollenhorst AC +1-212-816-0325 andrew.hollenhorst@citi.com Veronica Clark AC +1-212- ...

Jobless claims and housing uh starts data going to hit the wires right now in about two seconds. Rick Santelli standing by at this in CM in Chicago. Hey Rick.Hi. Good morning Joe. Yes.Housing starts for the month of May expected 1,350,000 seasonally adjusted annualized units. Comes in light, extremely light. 1,256,000.That is definitely well below what we are expecting. And that would be the lightest going back well quite a ways. We're going back to wow 1256. We're going all the way back to May of 2020. May ...

Economic Indicators - Initial Jobless Claims were reported at 228K, slightly below the estimated 230K, marking a decrease of 13K from the previous week's revised figure of 241K, indicating stability in the labor market [2] - Continuing Claims reached 1.879 million, consistent with trends over the past six months, although the previous week reported 1.916 million, the first print above 1.9 million since November 2021 [3][4] - Q1 U.S. Productivity showed a negative growth of -0.8%, which was 10 basis points lower than expected, following a +1.5% in Q4 2024, marking the first negative print since Q2 2022 [5] - Unit Labor Costs increased by 5.7%, exceeding the expected 5.1%, the highest level since Q3 2020, indicating potential economic challenges [6] Company Earnings - Shopify (SHOP) reported Q1 earnings of 25 cents per share, missing consensus by a penny, while revenues of $2.36 billion exceeded expectations by 1.32%, but shares fell by 7% [7] - ConocoPhillips (COP) surpassed earnings estimates with $2.09 per share, exceeding consensus by 3 cents, and reported revenues of $17.1 billion, outperforming by 3.37% compared to the previous year [8] - Crocs (CROX) reported earnings of $3.00 per share, beating expectations by 19.5%, and revenues of $937.3 million, slightly below year-ago levels, with shares up 4.7% in pre-market trading [9]

Market Overview - Pre-market futures indicate a positive market sentiment with the Dow up 300 points, S&P 500 up 50 points, Nasdaq up 250 points, and Russell 2000 up 25 points, despite less favorable economic reports [1] Employment Data - Initial Jobless Claims were reported at 228K, slightly below the estimated 230K, marking a decrease of 13K from the previous week's revised figure of 241K, indicating stability in the labor market [2] - Continuing Claims reached 1.879 million, consistent with trends over the past six months, although the previous week reported 1.916 million, the first print above 1.9 million since November 2021 [3][4] Productivity and Labor Costs - Q1 U.S. Productivity showed a negative growth of -0.8%, which is 10 basis points lower than expectations, following a +1.5% growth in Q4 2024, marking the first negative print since Q2 2022 [5] - Unit Labor Costs increased by 5.7%, exceeding the expected 5.1%, the highest level since Q3 2020, indicating potential challenges for economic growth [6] Company Earnings Reports - Shopify (SHOP) reported Q1 earnings of $0.25 per share, missing consensus by a penny, while revenues of $2.36 billion exceeded expectations by 1.32%, but shares fell by 7% [7] - ConocoPhillips (COP) surpassed earnings estimates with $2.09 per share and revenues of $17.1 billion, outperforming the previous year's $14.48 billion, leading to a 1.6% increase in shares [8] - Crocs (CROX) reported earnings of $3.00 per share, exceeding expectations by 19.5%, with revenues of $937.3 million slightly below year-ago levels, resulting in a 4.7% increase in shares [9]