NASDAQ
Search documents
Corporate earnings are 'going to be good,' says Defiance ETFs CEO Sylvia Jablonski
CNBC Television· 2025-07-14 12:00
Market Overview & Economic Outlook - The macro backdrop is generally positive, supported by strong job numbers and a substantial $7 trillion of cash on the sidelines [2][3] - Corporate earnings have remained resilient, defying expectations of a significant downturn [3] - Inflation is showing signs of decline, contributing to a favorable economic outlook [4] - The S&P 500 has seen a 6% plus annualized average return, indicating a steady market [6] Trade & Tariffs - The market has become less sensitive to tariff-related news, viewing it as potentially "much to do about nothing" until concrete policies are enacted [4][5] - Tariffs could potentially generate revenue to offset tax cuts, or negotiations could lead to market stability [8] - Goldman Sachs estimates that only 40% of tariffs are borne by American consumers and businesses, with the remaining 60% affecting foreign entities [15] Potential Risks & Future Outlook - A significantly higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) or a weakening labor market could potentially disrupt the market [12][13] - Artificial Intelligence (AI) is seen as a potential catalyst for future corporate earnings growth [14] - The S&P 500 is expected to rise, potentially reaching a 10% increase for the year, with NASDAQ potentially rallying even more [18]
'Fast Money' traders recap Q2 and the first half of 2025
CNBC Television· 2025-06-30 22:02
Market Performance & Sentiment - The first half of the year saw an extraordinary market bounce from the April lows, with significant intra-quarter swings [1][2][3] - Sentiment change was notable, with Meta up almost 30% and JP Morgan up almost 20% [2] - The NASDAQ is on the verge of making a new relative high against the S&P, a key indicator for market players [7] - The S&P and NASDAQ made brief new highs, closing the first half near all-time highs with a VIX below 17 [8][9] Economic Factors & Risks - The first half of the year was one of the worst for the US dollar since the 1970s, with a nearly 7% move lower in the dollar index during Q2 [5] - A weaker dollar is beneficial for multinationals and the big tech trade [9] - The Fed lowered its growth target for the US for the second half of the year [10] - There is confusion regarding the Fed's next move, with scenarios for both lowering and maintaining interest rates [11][12] Sector Performance & Concerns - The reemergence of big tech companies has been a significant driver [6] - While tech may continue to drive the market higher, caution is advised due to potential shifts in the dollar or crude oil prices [9] - Energy, materials, home builders, retail, and pharma sectors are underperforming, indicating a lack of broad-based rally [9][10]