The president uh is constantly saying prices have come down. Now inflation is still 3%. It's still too high.Now oil prices, energy prices, there are certain uh things where they have come down. But when you keep saying prices are falling, that's not true. Uh because inflation is still it's the 3% is on top of all the inflation we had uh during the Biden years.So we got all that inflation plus an additional 3%. And we should I think you should admit that >> a more a more precise way to say it though, Joe, is ...

Venezuela Oil Sector & US Involvement - US military buildup off the coast of Venezuela raises questions about potential regime change or negotiation for Maduro's exit [1][2] - Chevron is the biggest American operator in Venezuela, highlighting US interest in the country's oil reserves [4] - Potential scenarios include a negotiated exit for Maduro, a Noriega-style extraction, or a Seal Team Six operation [2] Venezuelan Oil Production & Recovery - Venezuela's oil production has declined significantly from its peak of 4 million barrels a day to around 500,000 barrels a day [1][5] - Rebuilding Venezuela's oil infrastructure after Maduro's removal is seen as a way to reduce reliance on Iranian and Russian oil [5][6] - Degradation of PDVSA, infrastructure issues, and massive debt pose significant challenges to a quick recovery of Venezuela's oil sector [6][7] - Sanctions relief might yield a couple hundred thousand barrels, but a return to million-barrel-a-day gains is a long-term prospect [9] Global Oil Market & Investment - Oil prices are up slightly but still below $60, influencing the performance of oil and gas stocks [10] - Lack of investment in the oil sector suggests a potential bottoming out of oil prices in the longer term [11] - Sanctions on key Russian oil exporters, Rosneft and Lukoil, are scheduled to take effect on November 21st [12] - Spare capacity in the oil market is a key factor to watch, especially with potential US military operations in Venezuela [12]

Strategic Direction & Growth - Chevron is bigger, stronger, and better than ever, with growing free cash flow and earnings over the next five years [2] - Free cash flow is growing at greater than 10% compound annual growth rate, driven by the core business and supplemented by new opportunities [2] - The company plans to be operational with its data center power project by 2027 [4] - Exploration spending is set to increase by approximately 50% [11] Data Center Power Project - Chevron is entering the power business to support the coming boom in AI and the need for more power to support data center buildout [3] - The power project will be disconnected from the grid and serve only a dedicated customer for AI [3] - The company has 5 gigawatts of power generation to support facilities in remote locations without grid access [6] - The data centers will be located close to the gas supply and fiber infrastructure in West Texas [8][10] Market Dynamics & Supply - Demand for energy will only grow into the future, with oil and gas demand growing to 2050 based on current policies [15] - Oil prices in 2026 are likely to feel more pressure than LNG prices due to supply coming back from OPEC plus countries [19][20] - LNG spot prices are expected to be pressured due to high supply from new projects in the Middle East and the United States [19][20]

Financial Performance & Shareholder Returns - Chevron aims to grow free cash flow at a 10% compound annual growth rate [3] - At a $70 oil price, Chevron could return 45% of its market cap to shareholders over the next 5 years through dividends and share repurchases [4] - Earnings per share growth is expected to be better than 10% annually if Brent stays above $70 through 2030 [4] - Break-even point to cover capital spending and dividends is below $50 [7] - Free cash flow is expected to triple from 2024 to 2026 at a $60 oil price [7] Production & Capital Expenditure - Production is growing at a 2% to 3% compound annual growth rate [9] - Capital expenditure is being reduced to a range of $18 billion to $21 billion per year through 2030 [8] - An additional $1 billion in cost cuts has been announced [9] - Synergies on the Hess transaction have been increased by 50% from $1 billion to $15 billion [9] Market Outlook & Strategy - The International Energy Agency's updated report shows demand for oil and gas growing to 2050 [13][14] - Chevron is in discussions to build data centers powered by natural gas, targeting large customers and off-grid power generation [19][20][21][22]

Oil Market & Exports - Russia's seaborne oil exports decreased for the third consecutive week [1] - Declining oil prices are negatively impacting Russia's revenue [1] Geopolitical Impact - Ongoing attacks on refineries are contributing to the economic pressure on Russia [1] - Reduced oil revenue affects Vladimir Putin's war funding [1]

Europe’s energy firms did much better than expected in the third quarter, as stronger refining margins offset the impact of subdued oil prices, though the outlook going into 2026 remains uncertain https://t.co/muL9RoYgub ...

>> GOOD MORNING. THIS IS HORIZONS MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA. OIL EARNINGS.ARAMCO EXPECTED TO REPORT THAT HIGHER OUTPUTS AND RECOVERING REFINING MARGINS IS OFFSETTING SOFTER PRICES WHILE INVESTORS ARE WAITING FOR MORE UPDATES ON THEIR DIVESTMENT PROGRAM. ELECTION DAY IN THE UNITED STATES PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ENDORSES ANDREW CUOMO FOR MAYOR AND THREATENED TO WITHHOLD FEDERAL FUNDING IN AN EFFORT TO PREVENT DEMOCRAT ZOHRAN MAMDANI FROM WINNING. RISK OFF.ASIAN STOCKS AND UNCERTAINTY. IT HAS JUST GONE 9:00 A. M.ACR ...

So Opec+ meeting, they brought back this 137,000 barrels a day to the market as expected. But perhaps the hawkish surprise is the fact that they decided to hold off and the first three months of next year. What what is the rationale for that decision.What did they provide as rationale. Well, I mean, I think, you know, you look at what what can be the rationale, but you also look at the context that's all given in. And, you know, OPEC is always saying that they're looking at the market and they're trying to ...

EQUITY FUTURES HIGHER ON THE S&P FUTURES, YIELDS MARGINALLY HIGHER ON THE 10 YEAR AND CRUDE CONTINUING TO FALL. THE REAL QUESTION HERE WITH THE OVERSUPPLY, EARNINGS FROM OIL GIANTS ARE CROSSING AT THIS HOUR AND EXXON SHARES LOWER. CHEVRON RISING AFTER POSTING STRONG RESULTS, JOINING US NOW IS THE HEAD OF RESEARCH.DAN, THANK YOU FOR BEING HERE. I'M WONDERING WITH OIL GIANTS WHAT IT TELLS YOU ABOUT THE PATH OF PRODUCTION IN THE MONTHS AND YEARS TO COME. DAN: THE EARNINGS HELP US TO CHECK IN ON THE KEY ASSUMPT ...

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