9 June 2025 | 9:44PM EDT Oil Tracker: Price Recovery Amid Easing Demand Concerns and Mixed Tightness Signals Brent prices rose by $3 to $67/bbl over the past 10 days on: 1) fading demand fears, 2) downside risks to North American supply, and 3) geopolitical tensions between Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Iran. Prices rose despite mixed signals about physical tightness—including rising inventories—and about OPEC+ supply. The US May jobs report and ISM surveys suggest the economy is slowing slightly. However, mark ...

Global Commodities Research 06 June 2025 J P M O R G A N Global Commodities The Week in Commodities This is a summary note that consolidates the latest views of our global commodity strategists published over the week; to read detailed reports, refer to the hyperlinks. It also contains hyperlinks to other related research/podcasts on the global commodities market. Oil Markets Weekly: Snakes and ladders: five steps down, two steps up At Any Rate: Agri market globetrotting, outlook and risks ahead In this epi ...

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Core Viewpoint - e.l.f. Beauty is experiencing strong growth and market share gains despite uncertainties related to tariffs, supported by a global price increase and the acquisition of Rhode, a high-growth brand [1][3][8] Financial Performance - In FQ4, e.l.f. Beauty reported revenues of $332.65 million, reflecting a 3.6% increase year-over-year, which exceeded MarketBeat's consensus by nearly 200 basis points [3] - The adjusted earnings per share of $0.78 is up nearly 50% year-over-year and significantly above consensus estimates [5] - The company has seen a 50% year-over-year increase in cash build, indicating strong cash flow management [5] Market Position and Growth Drivers - e.l.f. Beauty has achieved 25 consecutive months of double-digit market share gains in the U.S., driven by strong performance in retail and eCommerce channels [4] - The acquisition of Rhode, valued at $800 million upfront with an additional $200 million based on milestones, is expected to enhance growth and market presence [6] Analyst Sentiment and Stock Performance - Analysts have raised their 12-month stock price forecast to $117.76, indicating a potential upside of 4.58% from the current price of $112.61 [7] - The stock price experienced a 25% increase following the positive results and acquisition news, reflecting a bullish sentiment shift [11] - Short interest remains at 12%, indicating potential for a short squeeze, although analysts believe the current outlook mitigates risks [10] Operational Efficiency - The company benefited from foreign exchange tailwinds, leading to lower costs of goods and improved gross and operating margins [4] - Total liabilities, including long-term debt, are less than 1x equity and 2x cash, positioning the company favorably for future investments [6]

27 May 2025 | 9:40PM BRT Brazil Energy: Oil: Key takeaways from our Brazil Commodities Conference (Day I - O&G) We hosted the first day of our Brazil Commodities Conference today, with a focus on the O&G industry with the presence of management and/or IR teams of Petrobras, PetroReconcavo, Brava Energia, Ultrapar, Cosan and Vibra Energia. We've also hosted Daan Struyven, Co-Head of GS Global Commodities Research, who shared details on GS cautious view for oil prices. E&Ps. The main question from investors w ...

18 May 2025 | 3:06AM EDT Oil Comment: Maintaining Our Cautious Oil Price Forecast as Higher Iran Supply Assumption Offsets Higher GDP Daan Struyven +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby +1(646)446-3905 | yulia.grigsby@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC n We are maintaining our below-the-forwards Brent/WTI oil price forecasts of $60/56 for the remainder of 2025 and $56/52 in 2026 as the price drag from a higher Iran supply assumption and from slightly higher than ...

13 May 2025 | 11:36AM EDT Oil Analyst Upside Risk to Price Forecast From Lower Tariffs; Presidential Posts Signal Preference for Low Prices Daan Struyven +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Exhibit 1: President Trump's Inferred Preference for WTI Oil Prices Appears to Be Around $40-50/bbl, Where His Propensity to Post About Oil Prices Bottoms Source: Twitter or X, Truth Social, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 13 May 2025 2 Ephraim Sutherland +1(972)368-0395 | ephraim.suth ...

May 4, 2025 10:00 PM GMT The Oil Manual Weaker Balances Ahead after OPEC Hike OPEC's quota revision came in higher than we had expected, and is likely a precursor for further supply increases in months ahead. This adds to the market surplus we already modelled for 2H25 and 2026. As a result, we lower our Brent forecasts by $5- 10/bbl. Key Takeaways Exhibit 1: So far, the Brent price is following a trajectory similar to other key downturns; the current period arguably has most parallels to the downturn in 19 ...

4 May 2025 | 7:12PM EDT Oil Comment: Nudging Down Our Price Forecast on Higher OPEC Supply Assumption From July Daan Struyven +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby +1(646)446-3905 | yulia.grigsby@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ephraim Sutherland +1(972)368-0395 | ephraim.sutherland@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important discl ...

Consolidation Sets Stage for Next RunOn Tuesday, the price of crude oil continued to compress as the day’s trading range was the smallest since the early-April interim swing high, which was followed by a sharp drop to $55.23. At the time of this writing, crude is set to end the day’s session with a narrow range inside day with a low of $60.92 and a high of $62.12.A decline below the low of the day has Monday’s low of $60.68 as the next lower target, followed by Friday’s low of $59.54. On the upside, there i ...