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高人预测:手握两套房以上的家庭,未来或有4种结局,太现实了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 23:15
很多人身边都有这样的家庭: 自住一套,给父母准备一套,手里可能还押着一套投资房。 在亲戚朋友眼里,他们就是"家里有矿"的那批人。但你仔细看看现在的楼市,会发现一个扎心的现实: 多套房,过去是体面,未来可能变成包袱。 今天不讲大道理, 就讲四类很真实的结局,很多家庭已经在往这条路上走了。 结局一:卖不掉、租不出 第一个很现实的结局,就是:房子成了甩不掉的包袱。 很多三四线城市、远郊板块,挂牌一年以上的房子比比皆是。有的房东从2021年挂牌到现在,价格一降 再降,还是没人接盘。 有这样一个案例: 杭州萧山区一套2018年的精装三居,挂牌价从450万一路降到280万,两年时间, 看房的人不少,真正出价的没有,业主急用钱,但房子就是卖不掉,还欠着好几年的物业费。 对多套房家庭来说, 这会带来两个现实压力: 1、月供照付,房子空着还要交费,物业费、取暖费、维修基金,一年几千到几万不等,房子越多,这 种"无感支出"就越大。 2、现金流被锁死想卖房变现,却发现买家寥寥,只能被动"熬时间",结果越熬越焦虑。 很多家庭表面上有几套房,实际生活质量被严重拖累,甚至有人因为失业,被迫搬到更便宜的地方租 房, 自己房子空着,每月还要 ...
两个儿子,一个15,一个17,趁现在房价低买了两套房子,你怎么看
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-22 10:17
但现在他是给两个儿子买房子,一个15岁,一个17岁,最快也要10年后才会需要住上这个房子,而且现 在年轻人结婚晚,没准儿等20年可能才用上,现在买实在没有必要。 个人觉得非一线城市,房价还是有一定的下降空间的,又不是刚需,倒不急于这一时。 今天看一位网友说,以两个儿子的名字买了两套房子,一人一套,反正早晚要买,趁着现在房价低,刚 好入手,算是了了一个人生大事。 其他网友有赞同的,有不赞同的,如果是我,我也是不赞同的,有3个方面的原因。 一、不是刚需,房价还有空间 如果是刚需住房,只买一套房自住,只要手里的钱可以支撑首付和月供,那么任何时候买房子都是最佳 时期。 而且以后二手房也是越来越多,对房子的需求却少了,房子没有那么容易出手。 二、孩子不一定在你买房的城市工作安家 当然支持的网友觉得这是父母给孩子的底气,至少比成年后要结婚了,却没套房子的好。至少父母的心 愿已了,还能再攒十几年钱,以后有房又有钱,不比什么强? 孩子还在读初高中,以后上大学工作,都不一定会在买房的城市,那么房子买了就会一直空着,你说做 婚房的房子,大概率不会出租,就这么空十几年,多浪费呀! 支持买,还是不支持买,都有各自的理由,我是不会在孩 ...
Kevin O’Leary slams Mamdani tax plan as ‘beyond insane’ — says NYC mayor will be Miami's top real estate agent. Act now
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-21 11:13
分组1 - New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's budget proposal includes a potential 9.5% increase in property taxes if income taxes on the wealthy are not raised [4][5] - The proposal has sparked criticism, particularly from investors like Kevin O'Leary, who argue it could drive wealthier residents out of the city and exacerbate migration trends to lower-tax states like Florida [2][3] - The tax hike would impact over 3 million residential units and more than 100,000 commercial buildings, affecting not only wealthy residents but also middle-class New Yorkers with a median income of $122,000 [3][4] 分组2 - The ongoing debate about whether America's ultra-rich are paying their fair share of taxes is highlighted, with a focus on the tax treatment of capital gains and real estate investments [5][6] - Real estate remains a favored asset class for the wealthy due to its favorable tax treatment, including deductions for expenses and depreciation [6][8] - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived and Mogul are emerging, allowing non-millionaires to invest in real estate with lower capital requirements, thus democratizing access to this asset class [9][11]
14 Best Real Estate Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds
Insider Monkey· 2026-02-21 03:14
In this article, we will take a look at the 14 Best Real Estate Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds.In its December outlook report, Morgan Stanley said that the balance of risks and opportunities in real estate is moving away from broad macro factors like trade uncertainty, interest rates, and fiscal stimulus. Instead, performance over the next 12 to 24 months is expected to be driven more by sector-specific trends, individual markets, and asset-level fundamentals.The firm noted that fiscal and monetary ...
Here's How Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF Beats The Market From Here
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-20 20:20
Core Viewpoint - The Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF (NASDAQ: KBWY) aims to provide above-average income yield by investing in smaller real estate investment trusts (REITs) and weighting them by yield to generate significant dividend income for investors [1][6]. Group 1: ETF Overview - The Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF currently holds more than 30 REITs, with its five largest holdings being Innovative Industrial Properties (5.77% allocation, $1.3 billion market cap, 16.4% dividend yield), Community Healthcare Trust (5.59% allocation, $486.6 million market cap, 11.2% dividend yield), Global Net Lease (4.40% allocation, $2.1 billion market cap, 7.9% dividend yield), Gladstone Commercial (4.40% allocation, $665.7 million market cap, 9.8% dividend yield), and Alexandria Real Estate Equities (4.01% allocation, $9.2 billion market cap, 8.8% dividend yield) [5]. - The REITs in this ETF have yields more than double the sector's average of around 4%, and the fund has provided a lucrative income stream with distributions yielding over 9% in the last 12 months [6]. Group 2: Performance Analysis - Despite the high income yield, the total return of the fund has been disappointing, with a total return of -0.4% over the past year and an average annual total return of 4% since inception in December 2010, underperforming both the S&P 500 and the overall REIT sector [7]. Group 3: Market Sensitivity - REITs, particularly higher-yielding ones, are highly sensitive to interest rates. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs, making it more expensive for REITs to refinance debt and fund expansion initiatives [8]. - Smaller REITs face even higher borrowing costs due to typically lower credit ratings, and higher rates make lower-risk fixed-income investments more attractive, leading to a decrease in the value of higher-risk income investments like commercial real estate [9].
Gaming & Leisure Properties(GLPI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-20 16:02
Gaming and Leisure Properties (NasdaqGS:GLPI) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 20, 2026 10:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsBrandon Moore - President, COO and SecretaryCarlo Santarelli - SVP, Corporate Strategy and Investor RelationsDesiree Burke - CFO and TreasurerJay Kornreich - VP of REIT Equity ResearchJoe Jaffoni - Investor RelationsJohn DeCree - Head of Institutional Investor ResearchMitch Germain - Managing DirectorRichard Hightower - Managing DirectorSteven Ladany - SVP and Chief Development OfficerConfer ...
CTO Realty Growth(CTO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-20 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, Core FFO was $15.8 million, an increase of $1.6 million compared to $14.2 million in Q4 2024, with a per-share increase from $0.46 to $0.49 [13] - For the full year 2025, Core FFO reached $60.5 million, up $12.6 million from $47.9 million in 2024, with per-share figures slightly decreasing from $1.88 to $1.87 [14] - Same-property NOI for shopping centers increased by 4.3% in Q4 2025, while total same-property NOI, including non-core properties, rose by 1.1% [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed leases for 189,000 sq ft in Q4 2025, including 167,000 sq ft of comparable leases, achieving a cash rent increase of 31% [4] - For the full year, a record 671,000 sq ft was leased, with 592,000 sq ft being comparable leases and a cash rent increase of 24% [5] - The signed, not open pipeline stands at $6.1 million, representing approximately 5.8% of annual cash base rents [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The acquisition of Pompano Citi Centre for $65.2 million added 509,000 sq ft of operating space, currently 92% occupied, with future leasing opportunities in unfinished shell space [8] - The company is under contract to acquire a 384,000 sq ft shopping center in Texas for approximately $83 million, expected to close in Q1 2026 [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The strategic focus is on shopping centers in high-growth Southeast and Southwest U.S. markets, with proactive asset management and leasing driving strong results [4] - The company has identified six outparcels for development, with investments averaging about $5 million each, expected to contribute to earnings in the second half of 2027 [11] - The company aims to recycle capital from dispositions into higher-yielding acquisitions, demonstrating a commitment to value-add strategies [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future earnings growth, with almost half of the signed, not open pipeline expected to be recognized in 2026 and 100% in 2027 [8] - The initial earnings guidance for 2026 is set at $1.98-$2.03 for Core FFO per diluted share, with same-property NOI growth for shopping centers projected at 3.5%-4.5% [19] - Management noted that the leasing environment remains strong, particularly for national brands, which are actively seeking expansion opportunities [34] Other Important Information - The company ended 2025 with $167 million in liquidity, providing ample capacity for upcoming acquisitions [18] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 6.4x from 6.7x, with expectations for further deleveraging from asset sales and rent commencement from the signed, not open pipeline [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing for backfilling vacant anchor centers and rent commencement - Management indicated that they expect to resolve the remaining vacancies within six months, with rent contributions ramping up in 2026 [24][26] Question: Value and opportunity for disposing of the New Mexico office property - Management is in early discussions for potential sale but is waiting for higher values as the State of New Mexico's rent commencement approaches [27][28] Question: Insights on Pompano Citi Centre's lease-up opportunities - Management highlighted significant lease-up potential, particularly with JCPenney, which currently pays minimal rent [32][33] Question: Acquisition pipeline and market conditions - Management is actively seeking larger shopping center acquisitions and noted limited availability in the current market [46] Question: CapEx expectations moving forward - Management indicated that the elevated CapEx in Q4 was due to specific leases and is not expected to be the run rate going forward [53][54] Question: Timing for signed, not open pipeline recognition - Management confirmed that recognition will be ratable, with a slight ramp-up expected in the latter half of 2026 [38][39] Question: Market allocation strategy for new acquisitions - Management plans to reduce exposure in Atlanta while focusing on growth markets in the Southeast and Southwest [60] Question: Relative merits of grocery anchor, lifestyle, and power centers - Management prefers lifestyle and power centers for their higher yields and growth potential, while being cautious about grocery anchors due to lower yields [66]
CTO Realty Growth(CTO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-20 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, Core FFO was $15.8 million, an increase of $1.6 million from $14.2 million in the same quarter last year, with a per-share increase to $0.49 from $0.46 [12] - For the full year, Core FFO reached $60.5 million, up $12.6 million from $47.9 million in the previous year, with per-share Core FFO slightly decreasing to $1.87 from $1.88 [12][13] - Same-property NOI for shopping centers increased by 4.3% in Q4, driven by leasing activity and reduced maintenance costs [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed leases for 189,000 sq ft in Q4, including 167,000 sq ft of comparable leases, with a cash rent increase of 31% [4] - For the full year, a record 671,000 sq ft was leased, with comparable leases at a cash rent increase of 24% [5] - Same-property NOI for non-core properties was impacted by a significant vacancy, but the overall growth was driven by shopping centers [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record high leased occupancy of 95.9% [4] - The acquisition of Pompano Citi Centre for $65.2 million added 509,000 sq ft of operating space, currently 92% occupied, with future leasing opportunities [7] - The company expects to achieve a positive cash rent spread of approximately 60% from backfilling anchor spaces [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The strategic focus is on shopping centers in high-growth Southeast and Southwest U.S. markets, with proactive asset management and leasing [4] - The company is under contract to acquire a 384,000 sq ft shopping center in Texas for approximately $83 million, indicating ongoing expansion efforts [9] - Six outparcels for development have been identified, with expected capital investment over 2026 and 2027 [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future earnings growth, with almost half of the signed, not open pipeline expected to be recognized in 2026 [7] - The initial earnings guidance for 2026 is set at $1.98-$2.03 for Core FFO per diluted share, reflecting anticipated growth in same-property NOI and investment volume [18] - Management noted that the leasing environment remains strong, particularly for national brands, indicating a favorable market for expansion [32] Other Important Information - The company ended the year with $167 million in liquidity, providing ample capacity for future acquisitions [17] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 6.4 times, down from 6.7 times, indicating better leverage management [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing for backfilling vacant anchor centers - Management indicated that they expect to resolve the remaining vacancies within the next six months, with rent from signed leases starting in 2026 [21][22] Question: Value and opportunity for the office property in New Mexico - Management confirmed that the property is now marketable and discussions for potential sale are ongoing, with proceeds likely reinvested into open-air centers [24][25] Question: Opportunities at Pompano Citi Centre - Management highlighted the potential for lease-up opportunities, particularly with JCPenney, which currently pays minimal rent [29][30] Question: Acquisition pipeline and market allocation - Management is actively seeking larger shopping center purchases and noted that the market is currently limited, but they are optimistic about finding suitable opportunities [43][44] Question: CapEx expectations moving forward - Management indicated that the elevated CapEx in Q4 was likely higher than the run rate going forward, primarily due to specific lease activities [48][50]
'Bitcoin Is A Bet On Trump's Success, Gold A Bet On America's Failure,' Strategist Claims
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-20 03:30
Core Viewpoint - The article presents a dichotomy between Bitcoin and gold as investment assets, framing Bitcoin as a bet on the success of Trump's economic policies, while gold is viewed as a hedge against potential failure in the U.S. economy [4][24]. Group 1: Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical level, with a price of $67,464; a close below this level would indicate a bearish momentum shift [1][6]. - If Bitcoin breaks above $70,000, it could target a range of $75,000 to $77,000, indicating potential bullish momentum [6]. - The investment thesis for Bitcoin hinges on the belief that economic reforms proposed by Trump and his administration will succeed, leading to economic growth that reduces debt [3][4]. Group 2: Gold Analysis - Gold is perceived as a poor investment if the U.S. can effectively manage its debt through growth, which many gold buyers currently doubt [2]. - The price of gold is forming a symmetrical triangle, with a critical support level between $4,900 and $4,925; breaking below this could target the 200 EMA at $4,823 or horizontal support at $4,700 [7]. - If gold holds above its support levels, it may move towards a price range of $5,100 to $5,200, indicating potential bullish sentiment [7]. Group 3: Economic Context - The article suggests that the current economic environment is characterized by excessive leverage, with traditional financial strategies focusing on printing and devaluing currency as a means to manage debt [4]. - The contrasting views on Bitcoin and gold reflect broader sentiments about the U.S. economy's future, with Bitcoin representing optimism and gold embodying caution [4].
Howard Hughes Just Got a New $11 Million Investor. Is the $82 Stock Undervalued?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-19 23:57
Core Insights - H/2 Credit Manager LP has established a new position in Howard Hughes Holdings by acquiring 140,268 shares valued at approximately $11.19 million [1][2] Company Overview - Howard Hughes Holdings is a prominent U.S. real estate developer and operator with a diversified portfolio that includes operating assets, master planned communities, and strategic developments [6][9] - The company focuses on creating large-scale, mixed-use environments that generate recurring income and long-term asset appreciation [6] Financial Performance - As of February 19, 2026, Howard Hughes Holdings' stock price is $82.25, reflecting a 12% increase over the past year [4][8] - The company reported a total revenue of $1.75 billion and a net income of $197.70 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - In 2025, the company achieved record earnings before tax (EBT) of $476 million from Master Planned Communities, representing a 36% year-over-year increase [7] - Total operating assets' net operating income (NOI) reached $276 million, an 8% increase year-over-year [7] Strategic Developments - Howard Hughes Holdings is in the process of acquiring Vantage for $2.1 billion, which is expected to diversify its portfolio beyond just office spaces [10] - The company generates revenue through various channels, including property leasing, land sales, and residential and commercial development, with a focus on long-term value creation [9] Investor Outlook - Analysts are optimistic about the company's future, with an average one-year price target of approximately $96, indicating potential for further growth [11] - The key question for long-term investors is whether management can continue to convert land into compounding cash flow per share, which appears to be a credible strategy so far [11]