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Investopedia· 2025-08-04 14:00
A moving average (MA) is a technical indicator that smooths price action by filtering out noise. SMAs average all prices equally; EMAs give more weight to recent prices. Learn more: https://t.co/GQlDXDb2n7 https://t.co/iywWV5KgUu ...
UNM Stock Trading at a Discount to Industry at 1.23X: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 14:56
Core Insights - Unum Group (UNM) shares are trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Accident and Health Insurance industry, with a forward price-to-book value of 1.23X, lower than the industry average of 1.82X, the Finance sector's 4.16X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 8.1X [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $13.93 billion and an average trading volume of 1.4 million shares over the last three months [1] Performance Comparison - Unum Group shares have surged 63.5% in the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 27.1%, the Finance sector's 20.4%, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 10.8% [3] Technical Analysis - Shares closed at $79.25, near a 52-week high of $84.48, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [5] - The stock is trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $78.88 and $72.31, respectively, suggesting solid upward momentum [5] Growth Projections - For 2025, Unum U.S. expects sales growth of 5-10% and an adjusted operating return on equity (ROE) of 23-25% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Unum Group's 2025 revenues is $13.24 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 2.7% [10] - Long-term earnings growth is expected at 7.2%, outperforming the industry average of 6% [11] Analyst Sentiment - The average price target for UNM is $92.43 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 17.5% from the last closing price [12] - Recent analyst sentiment has shown some bearish trends, with three of eight analysts lowering estimates for 2025 and two for 2026 [16] Revenue and Premium Growth - Premiums are expected to grow due to healthy in-force block growth and higher sales, with projected sales growth of 5-10% and premium growth of 4-7% in 2025 [17][19] - Unum Group's operational excellence in its two largest segments, Unum U.S. and Colonial Life, is expected to drive growth [18] Dividend History - Unum Group has consistently increased shareholder value through dividend hikes, with a 15% increase effective in Q3 2024, marking the 15th hike in the last 14 years [20] - The dividend yield stands at 2.12%, making it attractive for yield-seeking investors [20] Conclusion - Favorable sales trends, strong persistency, and a solid capital position are expected to benefit Unum Group in the long term, making it a wise investment choice [21]
First American Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 14:45
Core Viewpoint - First American Financial Corporation (FAF) is currently trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Property and Casualty Insurance industry, with a forward price-to-book value of 1.23X, lower than the industry average of 1.49X and significantly below the Finance sector's 4.1X and the S&P 500 Composite's 7.82X [1] Company Performance - FAF has a market capitalization of $6.18 billion and an average trading volume of 0.8 million shares over the last three months [2] - The stock closed at $60.15, below its 52-week high of $70.92, and is trading below both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $62.16 and $63.51, indicating downward momentum [2] - Over the past year, FAF shares have gained 4.5%, underperforming the industry's growth of 18.7%, the Finance sector's return of 16.2%, and the S&P 500 composite's appreciation of 11% [5][6] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FAF's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 15.9%, with revenues projected at $7.01 billion, reflecting a 14.3% improvement [8] - For 2026, the consensus estimates suggest an increase of 21.8% in earnings per share and 12.4% in revenues compared to 2025 [8] Earnings Performance - FAF has surpassed earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 21.08% [9] Financial Efficiency - FAF's return on equity (ROE) stands at 10% for the trailing 12 months, outperforming the industry average of 7.7%, indicating effective utilization of shareholders' funds [10] Market Drivers - Increased demand for first-time home purchases among millennials, along with an improving economy and labor markets, is expected to drive home price appreciation, benefiting FAF [11] - The company anticipates modest improvements in both residential purchase and refinance businesses for 2025, supported by growing direct premiums, escrow fees, and title agent premiums [12] Strategic Focus - FAF is focused on enhancing its product offerings, core business, and expanding valuation and data businesses, alongside upgrading technology solutions to increase efficiency [13] - The company also returns wealth to shareholders through dividend hikes and share buybacks, with a dividend yield and payout ratio better than the industry average, making it attractive for yield-seeking investors [13] Investment Outlook - The favorable growth estimates and affordability of shares suggest that holding FAF stock is a wise decision at present [16]
POST Stock Trades Above 50 & 200-Day SMA: What Should Investors Do?
ZACKS· 2025-04-17 16:15
Core Insights - Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is currently trading at $114.82, above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong momentum and positive investor sentiment [1][3] - The stock has increased by 6.4% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 1.6% and the S&P 500's decline of 10.4% [3] - The company is focusing on acquisitions to expand its customer base, reporting $60.8 million in net sales from acquisitions in Q1 fiscal 2025 [6] Financial Performance - The Foodservice segment reported a net sales increase of 8.7%, reaching $616.6 million, driven by strong demand in key product categories [7] - Average net pricing increased by 3% in Q1 fiscal 2025, helping to counter inflationary pressures [8] - The Post Consumer Brands segment faced challenges, with net sales declining by 2.5% year over year to $963.9 million, primarily due to weakness in pet food and cereal categories [9] Strategic Developments - The company announced plans to shut down two cereal production plants by year-end to align production with demand [10] - The Refrigerated Retail segment experienced a decline in net sales and volumes by 5.1% and 4.4%, respectively, despite some favorable performance in sausage volumes [11] - SG&A costs increased by 2.7% to $331.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2025, raising concerns about ongoing cost pressures [12] Valuation and Investment Strategy - Post Holdings is trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 16.56X, above the industry average of 16.09X, suggesting a premium valuation [13] - Despite facing challenges, the company shows solid momentum driven by strategic acquisitions and effective pricing actions, indicating potential for long-term growth [17]