Earnings Surprise

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BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:07
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for BJ's Restaurants despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BJ's Restaurants is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4.2% [3][18]. - Revenue is projected to be $361.6 million, which is an increase of 3.3% from the same quarter last year [3][18]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4][19]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +17.39%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12][19]. Earnings Surprise Potential - BJ's Restaurants has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having surpassed expectations in three out of the last four quarters [14][19]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 indicates a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12][19]. Industry Context - BJ's Restaurants is positioned within the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, where it is expected to post earnings that reflect broader industry trends [18].
HF Sinclair (DINO) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates HF Sinclair (DINO) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues when it releases its results for the quarter ended June 2025 [1] Earnings Expectations - HF Sinclair is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.06 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +35.9% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $7.2 billion, which is an 8.2% decrease from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 8.83% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for HF Sinclair is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.97% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10] - HF Sinclair currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, HF Sinclair was expected to post a loss of $0.41 per share but instead reported a loss of -$0.27, resulting in a surprise of +34.15% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Context - Another company in the same industry, World Kinect (WKC), is expected to report earnings of $0.48 per share, indicating no change from the previous year, with revenues expected to be $9.8 billion, down 10.7% [18][19] - World Kinect has an Earnings ESP of -4.83% and a Zacks Rank of 5, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [20]
Earnings Preview: First Foundation (FFWM) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates First Foundation (FFWM) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025 [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - First Foundation is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.02 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 66.7% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $64.5 million, which is an increase of 12.2% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for First Foundation is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -100.00%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [11]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, First Foundation was expected to post earnings of $0.02 per share but actually delivered $0.09, resulting in a surprise of +350.00% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Predictive Indicators - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [9]. - The current Zacks Rank for First Foundation is 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP [11]. Market Reaction - The upcoming earnings report on July 31 could lead to a stock price increase if the results exceed expectations, while a miss could result in a decline [2]. - Other factors beyond earnings results may also influence stock movement, as stocks can decline despite an earnings beat or rise despite a miss [14].
Analysts Estimate Canada Goose (GOOS) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Canada Goose (GOOS) despite an expected increase in revenues when the company reports its quarterly results for June 2025 [1] Earnings Expectations - Canada Goose is projected to report a quarterly loss of $0.62 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -6.9% [3] - Revenues are expected to reach $68.33 million, which is a 6.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 25% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10] - Canada Goose currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Canada Goose exceeded the expected earnings of $0.16 per share by delivering $0.23, resulting in a surprise of +43.75% [13] - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [14] Market Reaction - The stock may experience upward movement if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - Other factors beyond earnings results may also influence stock performance, as stocks can decline despite an earnings beat or rise despite a miss [15]
Will iRhythm Technologies (IRTC) Report Negative Earnings Next Week? What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:07
Core Viewpoint - iRhythm Technologies (IRTC) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 31, with a consensus estimate of a quarterly loss of $0.53 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +13.1% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $173.71 million, which is an increase of 17.3% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial estimates during this period [4]. - For iRhythm Technologies, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.00%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with a positive Earnings ESP indicating a higher likelihood of an earnings beat [8][10]. - However, the current combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 makes it challenging to predict an earnings beat for iRhythm Technologies [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, iRhythm Technologies was expected to post a loss of $0.89 per share but actually reported a loss of -$0.95, resulting in a surprise of -6.74% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, iRhythm Technologies does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome, and investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].
Eversource Energy (ES) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Eversource Energy is expected to report flat earnings compared to the previous year, with revenues projected to increase significantly, making the actual results critical for stock price movement [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Eversource is $0.95 per share, unchanged from the year-ago quarter, while revenues are anticipated to be $2.9 billion, reflecting a 14.7% increase year-over-year [3]. - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for July 31, and stock movement may depend on whether the actual results exceed or fall short of these expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.31% higher, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - Eversource's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.26%, suggesting a bullish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Eversource currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Eversource met the consensus EPS estimate of $1.50, resulting in no surprise [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Eversource has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Context - WEC Energy Group, another player in the electric power industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.71 per share, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase, with revenues projected at $1.86 billion, up 4.9% [18]. - WEC Energy's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.1% over the last 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.41%, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [19].
Earnings Preview: Air Products and Chemicals (APD) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Air Products and Chemicals despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share, reflecting a -6.9% year-over-year change, while revenues are projected at $3.02 billion, up 1.1% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.03% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates a positive Earnings ESP of +0.16% for Air Products and Chemicals, suggesting analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - However, the stock holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Air Products and Chemicals had an expected EPS of $2.84 but delivered only $2.69, resulting in a surprise of -5.28% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Industry Context - Another player in the chemical industry, Albemarle, is expected to report a loss of $0.83 per share, with revenues projected at $1.24 billion, down 13.1% year-over-year [18][19]. - Albemarle's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 36% lower recently, but it has a positive Earnings ESP of +21.13%, although it also carries a Zacks Rank of 4 [19][20].
Valero Energy (VLO) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 12:40
Core Insights - Valero Energy reported quarterly earnings of $2.28 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.73 per share, but down from $2.71 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +31.79% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $29.89 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.37%, although this is a decline from year-ago revenues of $34.49 billion [2] - Valero Energy's stock has increased by approximately 20.4% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.1% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.01 on revenues of $29.71 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.32 on revenues of $116.31 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Valero Energy was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry is currently ranked in the bottom 21% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the outlook for the industry can significantly impact stock performance [8] - Another company in the same industry, CVR Energy, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.08 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -188.9%, with revenues projected at $1.91 billion, down 3.1% from the previous year [9]
Allegion (ALLE) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 12:11
Allegion (ALLE) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.04 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.96 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +2.00%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this security device maker would post earnings of $1.68 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.86, delivering a surprise of +10.71%.Over the last four quarters, the com ...
First Bancorp (FBNC) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 22:25
Financial Performance - First Bancorp reported quarterly earnings of $0.93 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.88 per share, and up from $0.70 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +5.68% [1] - The company posted revenues of $111.02 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.48%, compared to year-ago revenues of $95.72 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, First Bancorp has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - First Bancorp shares have increased approximately 6.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.3% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.91 on revenues of $110.83 million, and $3.50 on revenues of $436.57 million for the current fiscal year [7] Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Banks - Southeast industry is currently in the top 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable environment for stock performance [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]