Market Trends - The electric Hummer is approaching the sales figures of the F-150 Lightning [1]

Uh let let's hit Tesla because actually it is now the worst performer in the MAG 7 this year falling below Apple after the feud between Musk and Trump erupted again overnight. For today's tech check segment, Steve Kovak on the parts of Musk's empire that could be vulnerable here by retaliation, Steve, after Trump reiterated this morning when he touched down in Florida that Doge is going to go after Musk. Yeah, some direct uh threats there or at least implied threats there, Sarah.But look over this big beaut ...

Group 1: Electric Vehicle Sales Performance - Ford experienced a 31% decline in U.S. electric vehicle sales in Q2 2025, primarily due to a significant drop in E-Transit vans and reduced interest in the F-150 Lightning [1] - Year-to-date, Ford has sold 38,988 electric vehicles, reflecting a nearly 12% decrease compared to the same period in 2024, despite overall sales increasing due to aggressive employee pricing promotions [2] - The Mustang Mach-E sales fell nearly 20% year-over-year to 10,178 units, while F-150 Lightning sales dropped by 26% to 5,842 units [4] Group 2: Market Challenges and Competitor Performance - The U.S. electric vehicle market is facing challenges, with potential federal tax incentive removals under the Trump administration, impacting overall sales [3] - Competitors like Hyundai reported declines in their electric vehicle sales, with Ioniq 5 and Ioniq 6 down 12% and 8% respectively, while Kia's EV9 and EV6 saw even steeper drops [3] - Ford's E-Transit sales plummeted to 418 units from 3,410 in Q2 2024, attributed to larger fleet orders being placed earlier in the year [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Ford is developing a lower-cost range of electric vehicles, starting with a small truck, but these are not expected to be available until 2027 [4]

Chinese automakers continued to expand their European foothold in May, capturing the highest share ever of hybrid-car sales and the biggest slice of the electric-vehicle market in 10 months https://t.co/NUtGtmrwyJ ...

A wave of Chinese EVs, some selling for less than $20,000, is testing Australia’s long-held love for diesel pickups and gasoline-powered SUVs https://t.co/pzLZIr7gNV ...

Group 1 - The global largest lidar manufacturer, Hesai Technology, has secretly applied for a listing in Hong Kong, aiming to open its first overseas factory in Southeast Asia by 2026 [1] - CATL's IPO raised HKD 41 billion (approximately RMB 37.5 billion), making it the largest IPO globally this year and positioning Hong Kong at the top of the global IPO rankings [3] - Several Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers and smart technology companies, including Chery Automobile and Seres, are planning to go public in Hong Kong, enhancing China's automotive technology leadership on the global stage [3][4] Group 2 - International investors are actively seeking China's next industry leaders, particularly in the technology and energy sectors, to diversify their investment portfolios amid increasing geopolitical tensions [4] - In 2022, China's new energy vehicle sales accounted for over 60% of global total deliveries, indicating a strong market presence [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiangsu Changshu Automotive Trim Group is Equal-weight [4] Core Views - The report indicates a price target reduction from Rmb15.60 to Rmb14.70, reflecting updated revenue forecasts and margin expectations [1][3] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 4.6% and 7.9% respectively, following a 4% revenue beat in 2024, attributed to steady customer expansion [1][2] - Gross profit margin (GpM) forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered by 2.2 percentage points and 1.7 percentage points respectively, due to pricing pressure and increased competition [2][3] - Net profit forecasts have been reduced by 13.1% and 10.3% for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting the adjustments in revenue and GpM [3] Summary by Sections Financial Forecasts - The report introduces financial forecasts for 2027, with EPS estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at Rmb1.36, Rmb1.52, and Rmb1.66 respectively [4][17] - The DCF-based price target is set at Rmb14.70, which is a 6% decrease from previous estimates, indicating expectations of more stable long-term profitability despite near-term challenges [3][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company is expected to experience superior growth compared to peers, albeit at the cost of narrowing gross profit margins [11] - There is a tight balance sheet amid a slowing industry, which may limit capital expenditure capabilities to capture growth opportunities [11] - The report suggests that growth is likely to moderate, with potential for client base diversification into local players and deeper cooperation with key customers like Tesla and Li Auto [15][11] Risk and Reward Themes - The report identifies positive themes in electric vehicles but negative themes regarding pricing power, indicating a mixed outlook for the industry [12] - The company is expected to actively seek new orders and solidify its position within the supply chain of major automotive players [12][15]

Core Viewpoint - Cameco is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for nuclear power and the expected increase in uranium prices due to supply constraints and a shift towards clean energy sources [1][10]. Group 1: Company Overview - Cameco operates in the uranium mining sector, primarily supplying fuel for nuclear power plants and holding a minority stake in Westinghouse, a service provider for the nuclear industry [2]. - The company is seen as a way to invest in the nuclear power sector without direct exposure to the complexities of nuclear energy production [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - Nuclear power is experiencing a renaissance as it is a clean energy source that does not produce greenhouse gases and can provide base load electricity, complementing intermittent renewable sources like solar and wind [5][6]. - The demand for electricity is projected to increase significantly, with a 55% growth expected in the U.S. from 2020 to 2040, driven by factors such as artificial intelligence, data centers, and electric vehicles [7][8]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Starting in 2030, demand for uranium is expected to outstrip supply, leading to a supply gap due to a slowdown in mine development following the Fukushima disaster in 2011 [10][11]. - The time-consuming and costly nature of building new mines suggests that the supply gap may persist, likely resulting in sustained or rising uranium prices as demand increases [11].

Core Insights - Greenland Technologies (GTEC) shares have appreciated 6.1% year to date (YTD), underperforming the Zacks Electronics – Miscellaneous Products industry's return of 10.7% but outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 4.4% [1] Company Overview - Greenland is a developer and manufacturer of drivetrain systems for material handling machinery and electric industrial vehicles (HEVI), offering transmission products essential for forklift trucks used in manufacturing and logistics [2] - The automotive transmission components market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2030 [2] Competitive Landscape - Greenland faces competition from Dana Incorporated, BorgWarner, and American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings in the drivetrain systems sector [3] - Dana's shares appreciated 49.5% YTD, while BorgWarner's increased by 5.7%, and American Axle's shares dropped by 27.9% YTD [4] Stock Performance - GTEC stock is currently trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [7] - The stock is up 6.1% YTD, with a gross margin increase of 580 basis points to 30.7% due to a focus on high-value hydraulic transmission products [8] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, revenues declined 4.6% year over year to $21.68 million, with 38,734 sets of transmission products sold to over 100 forklift manufacturers in China [11] - The gross margin expanded to 30.7%, and income from operations surged 149.6% year over year to $4.81 million, leading to earnings of 29 cents per share, up 61.1% year over year [12] Future Prospects - Greenland's HEVI unit launched new electric vehicle models and expanded U.S. production with a new assembly site in Baltimore [8][14] - HEVI's product line includes various electric forklifts and heavy equipment, with a focus on lithium-powered models [14][15] - A partnership with Lonking Holdings Limited aims to develop and distribute heavy electric machinery for the U.S. market [16] Customer Concentration - Greenland's revenue is significantly concentrated, with the five largest customers accounting for 41.27% of total revenues, posing a risk if any major customer is lost [17] Valuation - Greenland shares are considered undervalued, trading at a Price/Book ratio of 0.48X compared to the industry's 11.03X, indicating a cheap valuation [18] Investment Recommendation - Despite competition and customer concentration risks, Greenland's diversified portfolio and strong financial performance suggest a favorable investment outlook, supported by a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [21]

Industry Overview - Global electric vehicle (EV) sales are projected to reach nearly 22 million in 2025, marking a 25% increase from the previous year, with one in four cars sold being fully electric or plug-in hybrids [2] - China is expected to account for nearly two-thirds of all EV sales, while Europe and the United States are increasing their offerings of affordable models as battery prices decline [2][3] - The autonomous vehicle (AV) market is anticipated to grow from approximately $36 billion in 2025 to over $83 billion by 2035, reflecting an 8.7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [4] Company Insights: Luminar Technologies - Luminar Technologies focuses on LiDAR technology, transitioning from its older Iris system to a new unified platform called Halo, which promises faster deployment and lower costs [7][10] - The company has secured partnerships with several original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for testing Halo prototypes, with a full launch expected by late 2026 or early 2027 [8][10] - Luminar's LiDAR technology is already featured in Volvo vehicles and is expanding into industrial markets through a partnership with Caterpillar [9][10] Company Insights: Li Auto - Li Auto has gained traction in China's EV market with its extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), selling over 200,000 units of each L-series model [12][13] - The company is expanding into pure battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plans to increase its retail presence and supercharging stations significantly by the end of 2025 [14] - Li Auto is advancing in autonomous driving technology, utilizing NVIDIA chips and training AI models on extensive video data [15][16] Company Insights: Rivian Automotive - Rivian is set to launch a more affordable electric SUV, the R2, priced around $45,000, which aims to broaden its market reach [17] - The company achieved a positive gross margin in Q1 2025, unlocking a $1 billion investment from Volkswagen, which plans to invest up to $5.8 billion by 2027 [18] - Rivian is enhancing its operational efficiency through engineering improvements and supply chain fixes, while expanding its production capacity with new facilities [20][21]