Earnings Surprise
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JBLU to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-19 14:55
Core Insights - JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 27, 2026, before market open, with a consensus estimate indicating a significant increase in loss per share compared to the previous year [1][9] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for JBLU's fourth-quarter loss per share has widened to 45 cents from 42 cents over the past 60 days, reflecting a more than doubling of the loss from the prior year's actual loss of 21 cents [1] - Fourth-quarter revenues are estimated at $2.22 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 2.6% [1] Historical Performance - JBLU has a strong earnings surprise history, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 22.16% [2] Factors Influencing Q4 Performance - Proactive efforts to expand connectivity in response to increased demand are expected to positively impact JBLU's performance [3] - Passenger revenues are estimated at $2.02 billion, indicating a decrease of 3.8% from the fourth-quarter 2024 actuals, while other revenues are projected at $187.1 million [3] Cost Factors - Lower oil prices are anticipated to benefit the bottom line, as fuel expenses are a significant cost for airlines [4] - However, geopolitical uncertainty, tariff pressures, and persistent inflation may negatively affect JBLU's operations, leading to volatility in passenger traffic and limiting revenue growth [4] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for JBLU, with an Earnings ESP of -4.11% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Recent Financial Results - In the third quarter of 2025, JBLU reported a loss of 40 cents per share, which was narrower than the consensus estimate of a loss of 43 cents, aided by lower fuel costs [6] - Operating revenues for Q3 were $2.32 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $2.33 billion, and decreased by 1.8% year over year [7]
Can GE (GE) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 18:10
Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates consistently in recent quarters [1]. Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, GE reported earnings of $1.66 per share, exceeding the expected $1.46 per share by 13.70%. In the previous quarter, it also surpassed estimates, reporting $1.66 per share against a consensus of $1.43 per share, resulting in a surprise of 16.08% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for GE have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of another earnings beat. The current Earnings ESP for GE is +1.98%, reflecting growing analyst optimism about its near-term earnings potential [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) suggests a high probability of exceeding earnings expectations in the upcoming report, scheduled for January 22, 2026 [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% success rate in beating consensus estimates, implying that out of 10 such stocks, approximately seven may exceed expectations [6].
Is Capital One Stock Worth Owning Ahead of Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 17:51
Core Viewpoint - Capital One (COF) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter results driven by its robust credit card business and the acquisition of Discover Financial, with significant revenue growth anticipated [1][7][25]. Financial Performance Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for COF's fourth-quarter revenues is $15.32 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 50.3% [2]. - The full-year sales estimate stands at $53.25 billion, indicating a rise of 36.2% from the previous year [2]. - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter has been revised down by 2.2% to $3.98, which still represents a 28.8% improvement from the prior-year quarter [2][4]. Earnings Surprise History - COF has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 28% [4]. Key Factors Influencing Q4 Results - Net Interest Income (NII) is expected to rise over 50% due to strong loan demand and earning assets, despite recent interest rate cuts [6][7][9]. - The consensus estimate for fourth-quarter NII is $12.25 billion, indicating a 51.3% year-over-year growth [9]. - Fee income is projected to increase significantly, with interchange fees estimated at $1.88 billion, a 49.2% year-over-year jump [10][11]. Expense Trends - Capital One has been experiencing rising expenses due to increased marketing costs, technology investments, and the Discover acquisition, which may pressure profits [12][27]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The company is not expected to set aside significant reserves for potential delinquent loans due to lower interest rates [13]. - Capital One's diversified customer base allows it to manage risks effectively while generating attractive yields [26]. Stock Performance and Valuation - COF stock has rallied 13.5% in the fourth quarter, outperforming its peers [16]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 11.71X, above the industry average of 10.02X, indicating a stretched valuation [20]. Long-term Outlook - The acquisition of Discover Financial is expected to enhance COF's market position and revenue prospects in the credit card sector [25]. - Despite near-term expense pressures, the long-term outlook remains positive due to disciplined risk management and strong consumer engagement [26][27].
Moog (MOG.A) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Q1 Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in Moog's earnings driven by higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Moog is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +25.8% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $990.13 million, an increase of 8.8% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate for Moog has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from analysts [4]. - Moog's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.56%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but its predictive power is stronger for positive readings [9][10]. - Moog's combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 makes it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Moog exceeded the expected earnings of $2.24 per share by delivering $2.56, resulting in a surprise of +14.29% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Moog has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Industry Context - Teledyne Technologies, a peer in the aerospace and defense equipment industry, is expected to report earnings of $5.83 per share, with a year-over-year change of +5.6% and revenues of $1.57 billion, up 4.5% [18]. - Teledyne's consensus EPS estimate has been revised up by 0.3% over the last 30 days, but it also has a negative Earnings ESP of -0.52% [19].
Infosys Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 16:10
Core Insights - Infosys (INFY) reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 results with earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, showing adjusted earnings of 21 cents per share, surpassing the estimate of 20 cents, and a year-over-year increase of 10.5% [1][9] - The company's revenues for the fiscal third quarter rose 3.2% year over year to $5.1 billion, compared to $4.94 billion in the same quarter last year, and also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.08 billion [2][9] Revenue Performance - Revenues from Europe and the Rest of the World increased by 13.3% and 2.4% year over year, while North America and India saw declines of 1.2% and 6.2%, respectively [3] - On a constant currency basis, Europe and the Rest of the World grew by 7.2% and 2.5%, while North America and India declined by 1% and 1.8% [3] Segment Analysis - Manufacturing revenues increased by 10.8% year over year to $849 million, Financial Services grew by 4.8% to $1.44 billion, and Communication sales rose by 11.5% to $619 million [4] - Hi-Tech division sales decreased by 2.5% to $378 million, Retail segment revenues fell by 3.7% to $654 million, and Life Sciences revenues declined by 3.2% to $366 million [5] Client and Profitability Metrics - Infosys added 121 clients in the fiscal third quarter, maintaining a total of 41 clients worth over $100 million [6] - Gross profits decreased by 3.7% year over year to approximately $1.44 billion, with a gross margin contraction of 210 basis points to 28.2% [6] Financial Position - The company ended the fiscal third quarter with consolidated cash and investments of $3.92 billion, down from $6.17 billion in the previous quarter, and generated a free cash flow of $965 million [7] Guidance Update - Infosys revised its fiscal 2026 revenue growth guidance to 3-3.5% on a constant currency basis, up from the previous guidance of 2-3%, while maintaining an expected operating margin of 20-22% [8]
OceanFirst Financial (OCFC) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 16:01
Core Viewpoint - OceanFirst Financial (OCFC) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating potential stock price movement based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for OceanFirst is $0.39 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +2.6%, while revenues are projected to be $102.7 million, up 7.5% from the previous year [3]. - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 22, and stock movement may depend on whether the actual results exceed or fall short of these expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +4.74% suggests that analysts have recently become more optimistic about OceanFirst's earnings prospects, although the stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [11]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, OceanFirst exceeded the expected EPS of $0.34 by delivering $0.36, resulting in a surprise of +5.88% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - While OceanFirst may not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider various factors before making investment decisions related to the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].
Columbia Banking (COLB) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Columbia Banking (COLB) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.4% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $694.1 million, representing a significant increase of 42.5% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.83% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. - Columbia Banking's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.08%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Columbia Banking currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Columbia Banking exceeded the expected earnings of $0.66 per share by delivering $0.85, resulting in a surprise of 28.79% [13]. - The company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [14]. Conclusion - While Columbia Banking is not positioned as a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider various factors before making investment decisions related to the stock [17].
Citizens & Northern (CZNC) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Citizens & Northern (CZNC) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.59 per share, reflecting an 11.3% increase year-over-year [3]. - Expected revenues are projected at $36.5 million, which is a 29.3% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.36% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Citizens & Northern is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.86% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock [10][12]. - Historical performance shows that Citizens & Northern has beaten consensus EPS estimates only once in the last four quarters [14]. Additional Considerations - While an earnings beat can positively influence stock movement, other factors may also affect stock performance, making it essential to consider the broader context [15][17].
Halliburton (HAL) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Halliburton (HAL) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on its near-term stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $0.54 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 22.9%, while revenues are projected to be $5.41 billion, down 3.6% from the previous year [3]. - A positive movement in stock price may occur if the reported numbers exceed expectations, whereas a miss could lead to a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.13% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - Halliburton's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +4.32%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Halliburton currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Halliburton exceeded the expected earnings of $0.50 per share by delivering $0.58, resulting in a surprise of +16.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - Halliburton is viewed as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors are advised to consider other factors that may influence stock performance beyond earnings results [17].
Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates that Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.56 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +154.6% [3]. - Expected revenues are projected at $148.65 million, which is an increase of 16.1% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 5.98%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Live Oak Bancshares is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +3.57% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Live Oak Bancshares was expected to post earnings of $0.58 per share but delivered $0.55, resulting in a surprise of -5.17% [13]. - The company has not exceeded consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, other factors may influence stock performance, making it essential to consider the broader context beyond just earnings results [15][17].