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Fed Chair Powell: The market is also pricing in a rate path
CNBC Television· 2025-09-17 19:48
Howard Schneider with Reuters. So, um, as you mentioned a minute ago, some margins of the job market would suggest that the slides already happening. Black unemployment rate in August was above 7%.Uh, declining work week, difficulty among co college graduates finding work, high rising youth unemployment. Why do you think a quarter percentage point now is going to arrest that. Well, I I hadn't say that I thought a quarter point would make a huge difference to the economy, but you got to look at the whole pat ...
Looking ahead to today's Fed decision
CNBC Television· 2025-09-17 17:06
If you look at uh the CME Fed watch, 96% chance, a 25 basis point cut. It seems to be the consensus we're going to get something. Is 50 basis points possible.I don't think so. I think you get 25 basis points. And I think the the more uh interesting dynamic surrounding this afternoon's Fed meeting is how many descents do we get.We potentially could get three descents. That's the first time since 1988. the dissents will be regarding what you're speaking toward, which is we should get a 50 basis point cut.So, ...
President Trump in the Oval with the Besties
All-In Podcast· 2025-09-17 15:12
This room needs no introduction. We're in the Oval Office and we're here to speak with President Trump about all the changes and improvements he's made to the White House. If you look at before and after photos, which I'm sure we'll put on the screen, the oval looked kind of drab before President Trump gave it a little bit of a makeover here.And we'll talk to him about all the changes he's made, some of these paintings he's added, the artwork, and then we'll go out and you're going to see the rose garden pa ...
Bank of America CEO Moynihan Says He's Getting New Leaders Ready
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-17 13:39
Leadership & Strategy - Bank of America appointed Dave Athanasiou and Jim Demarr as co-presidents to drive company-wide initiatives focused on long-term growth and returns, overseeing the bank's eight lines of business [1][3] - The leadership change aims to leverage the time of key executives and company-wide initiatives, while allowing business leaders to continue driving progress [5] - Bank of America emphasizes succession planning as a duty to the board, ensuring a pipeline of experienced candidates to run the company in the medium to long term [6] Growth & Efficiency - Bank of America is focused on organic revenue growth, expense efficiency, and the application of technology to drive business [11] - The company aims to close a relative value gap by showcasing its organic growth engine, with projections for earnings growth rates faster than the average company [12][14] - Bank of America is implementing workstreams to drive expense efficiency, implement new technologies, and manage credit risk [9] Investor Relations & Transparency - Bank of America held its first Investor Day in 15 years to showcase the company's current standing, organic growth, and unique initiatives [12][17] - The company aims to provide greater transparency and availability of information to investors, despite potential shifts in reporting frequency [20][22] - Bank of America highlights its competitive position as the largest small business lender and its competitive organic growth rate [16] Employee Investment & Labor Market - Bank of America is increasing its minimum wage to $25 per hour, equating to a $50,000 starting salary, along with enhanced benefits [24][28] - The company is committed to hiring 10,000 military veterans over the next five years and increasing opportunities for community college graduates [26] - Bank of America sees the labor market as more balanced, with turnover rates decreasing due to a career-oriented mindset among employees [30][33] Technology & Headcount - Bank of America is carefully managing headcount, leveraging technology like AI (Erica with 3 billion customer interactions) to improve efficiency [22][35] - The company is redeploying and reskilling employees to focus on high-value tasks that machines cannot perform [42][43] - Bank of America is managing headcount carefully, hiring approximately 1,300 to 1,500 people per month, focusing on talent acquisition from schools, veterans, and community colleges [37] Economic Outlook & Monetary Policy - Bank of America's experts believe the deceleration of growth is due to higher interest rates and uncertainty in tariffs [51] - The company anticipates the economy will grow back out, with next year predicted to be better than this year [53][54] - Bank of America believes the Federal Reserve has to adjust to the inflation picture and be mindful of the inflation side when considering rate cuts [54]
Why Jerome Powell And The Fed MUST Cut Rates By 0.50% (Not 0.25%)
The Federal Reserve is meeting today and tomorrow, and all eyes are on Jerome Powell. Markets are expecting just a 0.25% cut, but that won’t be nearly enough. After months of being behind the curve, the Fed has to prove it’s serious about supporting the labor market, fixing the housing crunch, and jumpstarting growth. In this episode, I explain why only a 0.50% cut can restore confidence and why Powell can’t afford to play it safe anymore. 0:00 Intro 0:36 How much will The Fed cut interest rates by? 3:02 Wh ...
The road ahead for the record rally
CNBC Television· 2025-09-16 17:13
as we're about the midpoint of the day, but we have this very important Fed meeting. We all think we know what's going to happen. Jim, you and I were just talking before the show about the backdrop, about where we're sitting.Um, sort of frame it up for us. I think we all know what we think is going to happen from the meeting. What.Well, you know, we have a Fed chair and a Fed open market committee that doesn't like surprises. So, I think the 25 basis points is is probably baked in at this point in time. It ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-16 15:11
Ireland will allow data centers to use fossil fuels, highlighting the tension between economic growth and climate goals https://t.co/eIWegNhnJy ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-16 14:52
Moody’s says sub-Saharan Africa’s economic growth will accelerate this year and next, supporting a stable credit outlook despite high costs and weak revenues https://t.co/B6Ws3MkNTQ ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-09-16 13:00
Growth has certainly slowed in America. But dig deeper in the data and you do not have to be an uber-bull to see reasons for hope https://t.co/Pau3aR0un8Photo: Getty Images https://t.co/9rFiwuwqzj ...
Why Powell Commentary Might Be Second Most Important Thing Tomorrow
Youtube· 2025-09-16 12:38
Federal Reserve and Economic Projections - The Senate confirmed Stephen Meyer as a temporary Fed member, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest due to his dual role in the White House [2][3] - The market is currently pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut, with speculation about a possible 50 basis point cut depending on economic projections [4][6] - The summary of economic projections will be crucial in determining future rate movements and inflation expectations [5][8] Market Reactions and Trends - Equity markets are moving higher as yields on 10-year, 20-year, and 30-year bonds decline, indicating a favorable rate environment [6][7] - The dollar is weakening, reaching its lowest point since July, which typically signals aggressive rate cuts [7] - Gold prices are hitting record highs, driven by its role as an inflation hedge and the ongoing purchases by central banks [10][11] Labor Market and Inflation Concerns - There are concerns about labor market weakness, which may influence the Fed's decisions moving forward [20] - The potential for persistent inflation remains, with wage growth needing to outpace inflation for positive economic outcomes [15][16] Oracle and TikTok Deal Speculation - Oracle's stock is experiencing upward momentum due to speculation about its involvement in a potential TikTok deal, positioning it as a key player in US-China trade discussions [26][28] - Other social media stocks, such as Meta, are not facing significant downward pressure, indicating a broader market optimism [29]