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“以美谋独”还想不花钱?美国加税20%,台湾这代价早该想到
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-02 03:42
Core Viewpoint - The recent 20% tariff imposed by the U.S. on Taiwan is seen as a "protection fee" for Taiwan's alignment with U.S. interests, particularly regarding independence from China [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Implications - The 20% tariff represents a direct cost for Taiwan's pursuit of independence, indicating that the U.S. expects tangible benefits in return for its support [3][5]. - If Taiwan finds the tariff burdensome, the simplest solution would be to acknowledge the "One China" principle, which could lead to better negotiations with the U.S. [3][5]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - The article suggests that Taiwan's current reliance on the U.S. is akin to being a "giant baby," expecting rewards without providing substantial returns [3][8]. - The U.S. views Taiwan not as a strategic asset but as a disposable tool, which could lead to Taiwan being abandoned once it has served its purpose [5][8]. Group 3: Historical Context - Historical precedents indicate that the U.S. has previously distanced itself from Taiwan after providing limited support, suggesting a pattern of abandonment [5][6]. - The article warns that Taiwan's path towards independence is ultimately a dead end, leading to increased economic and political vulnerability [5][10].
张亚中向前一步,其他人原地踏步
经济观察报· 2025-09-29 10:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the urgency of Taiwan's political situation, emphasizing the need for the Kuomintang (KMT) to adopt a clear stance on the "1992 Consensus" and pursue cross-strait unification to avoid potential crises [2][11]. Group 1: Perspectives on the "1992 Consensus" - Zhang Yachung argues that the KMT should clearly recognize the "1992 Consensus" as acknowledging one China and pursuing unification, which would align with mainland China's policies [2][11]. - Luo Zhixiang describes the "1992 Consensus" as a creative ambiguity that allows for mutual non-recognition of sovereignty while facilitating dialogue and agreements during the KMT's governance [3]. - Gao Longbin emphasizes the importance of maintaining the status quo and using dialogue instead of confrontation, suggesting that the ambiguity of the "1992 Consensus" is crucial for future interactions [3]. Group 2: Responses and Critiques - Zhang Yachung critiques other KMT candidates for avoiding the question of unification and misinterpreting the "1992 Consensus," suggesting that their positions are inadequate for addressing current challenges [4][10]. - The article notes that the responses from Luo, Gao, and Zheng were coordinated, indicating a consensus among them to maintain a vague stance on cross-strait relations [8][9]. - Zhang Yachung expresses frustration over the KMT's inaction and the lack of urgency in addressing the risks facing Taiwan [12]. Group 3: Future Implications - The article suggests that if Lu Xiuyan, the current mayor of Taichung, runs for the 2028 election, the KMT's unified stance on the "1992 Consensus" will serve as a foundation for future cross-strait discussions [9]. - The KMT's leadership appears to be aligning their policies with Lu Xiuyan, potentially sidelining Zhang Yachung's more assertive approach [6][7].
台海观澜| 张亚中向前一步,其他人原地踏步
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-09-29 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The debate among candidates for the Kuomintang (KMT) chairmanship highlighted differing perspectives on the "1992 Consensus" and cross-strait relations, with Zhang Yazhong advocating for a clear stance on unification while others preferred a more ambiguous approach [2][4][10]. Group 1: Candidates' Positions - Zhang Yazhong questioned the candidates' avoidance of the unification stance and criticized their interpretations of the "1992 Consensus" as incorrect, suggesting that the KMT has been misleading the public for years [4][10]. - Luo Zhiyang emphasized the importance of dialogue over confrontation and the need for mutual respect, stating that maintaining the status quo is the most significant consensus among the Taiwanese public [2][3]. - Zheng Liwen argued that the inability to engage in dialogue with the mainland is due to the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) rejection of the "1992 Consensus," which she views as a creative ambiguity that facilitated past exchanges [3]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - The current political landscape within the KMT is influenced by the aspirations of Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan, who is seen as a potential candidate for the 2028 elections, leading other candidates to align their policies with her views [5][8]. - The candidates' consistent use of the term "ambiguity" in their responses suggests prior coordination and a unified stance on cross-strait policy, likely to support Lu Xiuyan's future candidacy [7][8]. - Zhang Yazhong's urgent call for the KMT to adopt a definitive stance on the "1992 Consensus" reflects his belief that time is running out for Taiwan, urging the party to connect seamlessly with mainland policies to avoid potential crises [10][11].
美国终于意识到不对劲:解放军可能不会武力收台,中国另有杀招?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 10:43
Group 1 - The Chinese mainland announced the cancellation of zero-tariff treatment for 34 agricultural products from Taiwan starting September 25, which is a strategic economic move affecting cross-strait relations [1] - Taiwan's agricultural exports, heavily reliant on the mainland market (35% dependency), will face significant challenges due to the new trade barriers, impacting local farmers and fishermen [2] - The economic ties between Taiwan and the mainland are crucial, and the disruption in agricultural exports may lead to losses exceeding $100 million in the agricultural sector alone by mid-2025 [6] Group 2 - U.S. experts initially underestimated the implications of the trade policy change, but as trade data for 2024 showed a decline in Taiwan's exports to the mainland, they began to recognize the economic strategies employed by Beijing to advance unification [4] - Despite Taiwan's attempts to pivot towards Southeast Asian markets, challenges such as high transportation costs and weak competitiveness hinder this shift, emphasizing the deep economic integration with the mainland [6] - The mainland's targeted support policies, including job opportunities for Taiwanese youth, are attracting more Taiwanese businesses to invest in the mainland, despite the Taiwanese government's promotion of the New Southbound Policy [6][7]
还对国民党抱有期待吗,“馆长”泼凉水了
经济观察报· 2025-09-15 12:10
Core Viewpoint - The process of cross-strait unification is fundamentally about reconstructing the relationship between home and country for the people of Taiwan [6]. Group 1: Nationalist Party Leadership Election - The registration period for candidates in the Kuomintang (KMT) chairmanship election is from September 15 to 19, which has garnered significant attention from both Taiwan's political sphere and mainland Chinese institutions and netizens [2]. - There is a strong interest in whether the new KMT chairman will recognize the "One China" principle and actively promote cross-strait unification [2][3]. Group 2: Public Sentiment and Expectations - A prominent figure, known as "Guanzhang" (Chen Zhihan), expressed skepticism about the KMT's ability to facilitate unification, stating that the new chairman's focus will be on gaining power in Taiwan rather than on unification efforts [5]. - Guanzhang's comments reflect a broader sentiment that the KMT's leadership will not significantly impact the unification process, as their primary goal is to maintain political power in Taiwan [12]. Group 3: Identity and Relationship Reconstruction - The KMT's current positioning regarding the relationship between home and country is seen as misaligned, with many members viewing mainland China as their historical homeland rather than Taiwan [7]. - Statements from potential KMT candidates, such as Zheng Liwen and Hao Longbin, affirming their identity as both Taiwanese and Chinese, indicate a step towards reconstructing this relationship [9]. Group 4: Future of the KMT and Unification - The future role of the KMT in promoting or hindering unification will depend on its performance in upcoming elections; a weakened KMT may push for unification, while a strong KMT may leverage its position for concessions [11]. - The internal divisions within the KMT regarding unification are highlighted by differing opinions among its members, with some expressing a desire to retain Taiwan's autonomy even post-unification [10].
台海观澜 | 还对国民党抱有期待吗,“馆长”泼凉水了
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-09-15 03:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming Kuomintang (KMT) chairperson election in Taiwan and the skepticism surrounding the new leader's potential to promote cross-strait unification, as expressed by Taiwanese internet celebrity "Guanzhang" (Chen Zhihan) [1][4]. Group 1: Election Context - The KMT chairperson election is a significant political event in Taiwan, attracting attention from both local and mainland Chinese audiences [1]. - The registration period for candidates is from September 15 to 19, with the number of participants to be revealed on Friday [1]. Group 2: Guanzhang's Perspective - Guanzhang asserts that the new KMT chairperson will not aid in unification efforts, emphasizing that their primary goal is to gain power and wealth in Taiwan [4]. - He advises mainland Chinese to abandon their hopes regarding the KMT's role in unification, stating that the party's leadership will not change their relationship with mainland China [4]. Group 3: KMT's Position on Unification - The article suggests that the KMT's historical view of cross-strait relations is flawed, as many KMT members mistakenly regard mainland China as their homeland rather than Taiwan [6]. - The KMT's current leadership is seen as lacking genuine commitment to unification, with the party's future actions dependent on its electoral success in upcoming elections [12]. Group 4: Future Implications - The article posits that the KMT's ability to either promote or hinder unification will be influenced by its performance in the 2026 and 2028 elections [11]. - If the KMT faces significant losses, it may become more supportive of unification; conversely, electoral victories could lead to increased demands from the party regarding the unification process [11].
礼成聚众志 笔落寄山河(人民家书)
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of patriotism and the importance of remembering and honoring the sacrifices made during the Anti-Japanese War, particularly in the context of the 80th anniversary of the victory in this war. It highlights personal stories of individuals reflecting on their ancestors' contributions to the nation and the ongoing legacy of patriotism in contemporary China [10][15][20]. Group 1: Personal Reflections on Patriotism - The letter from Ma Qiutong expresses deep admiration for her great-grandfather, a soldier who sacrificed his life during the war, and emphasizes the importance of passing down the spirit of patriotism through generations [10][11]. - Fang Zhiwei recounts his grandfather's donation of a fighter plane to support the war effort, illustrating the family's commitment to national service and the continuity of patriotic values [12][13]. - Huang Ziyu reflects on her father's contributions during the war and his efforts in Taiwan's post-war development, highlighting the enduring impact of family legacies on personal identity and national pride [15][16]. Group 2: The Role of Education and Cultural Transmission - The letters collectively stress the importance of education in fostering a sense of national identity and the need for younger generations to understand their historical roots and the sacrifices made by their ancestors [12][20]. - Lin Zhiying discusses the significance of patriotic education in Hong Kong, emphasizing the connection between the region's future and its historical ties to the mainland [20][21]. - The narrative underscores the role of cultural industries in promoting national stories and values, as seen in the commitment to share China's history through various media [17][19].
“时刻准备统一”!中国防长首次点名台湾,赖清德求助无门,反而等来了美国高额关税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 09:15
Economic Impact on Taiwan - The United States has imposed a 20% tariff on Taiwan, which is expected to increase to "20+N," significantly affecting Taiwan's economy [1] - Taiwan's economy is heavily reliant on exports, with the U.S. being the largest buyer, particularly for semiconductors and electronic components [1][4] - The semiconductor industry, a key pillar of Taiwan's economy, faces increased export costs, leading to reduced competitiveness and potential order declines [6] Agricultural Sector Challenges - Taiwan's agricultural products, including fruits and seafood, are also impacted by the new tariffs, resulting in decreased orders from U.S. importers [6] - Farmers and fishermen in Taiwan are struggling to sell their products, leading to significant economic distress [6] Political Context - The Taiwanese government, under Lai Ching-te, has been pursuing closer ties with the U.S. while facing backlash from the tariffs imposed [4][6] - The U.S. is perceived as prioritizing its own interests over Taiwan's, viewing Taiwan merely as a strategic asset against China [6] Military and Political Tensions - The Chinese government has expressed a strong stance against Taiwan's independence movements, emphasizing military readiness to counter any separatist actions [3][7] - The combination of military threats from China and economic pressures from the U.S. creates a precarious situation for Taiwan's independence aspirations [4][6]
台湾新党主席吴成典:统一是两岸中国人无法逃避的责任
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-06 08:36
Core Viewpoint - The 13th Cross-Strait Forum emphasizes the importance of cooperation and unity between Taiwan and mainland China, as articulated by Wu Chengdian, the chairman of the New Party of Taiwan [2] Group 1: Event Overview - The 13th Cross-Strait Forum was launched on August 6 in Kunming, Yunnan [2] - Wu Chengdian highlighted Yunnan as a cultural hub and a place for Taiwanese youth to experience diverse Chinese culture [2] Group 2: Ideological Stance - The New Party advocates for cooperation across the Taiwan Strait and believes in the inevitability of national unification [2] - Wu Chengdian stated that peace is a responsibility and unification is a common mission for generations of Chinese people [2] Group 3: Call to Action - Wu Chengdian called for collaboration among like-minded individuals on both sides of the Strait for the welfare of the people and the future of the Chinese nation [2] - He emphasized the shared heritage of the people across the Strait and the collective responsibility towards unification [2]
外交部回应“台独”分子萧美琴言论:两岸同属一个中国的事实不会改变
news flash· 2025-07-18 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs firmly asserts that Taiwan is an integral part of China, emphasizing that the Taiwan issue is a domestic matter for China and that external influences supporting "Taiwan independence" are the primary threat to peace in the Taiwan Strait [1] Group 1 - The spokesperson Lin Jian stated that the remarks made by Taiwan independence advocate Hsiao Mei-chin regarding China's military posture are unfounded and do not alter the fact that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one China [1] - Lin Jian reiterated that no actions or statements from the Democratic Progressive Party can change the overarching principle of one China, nor can they alter the historical trend towards eventual reunification [1] - The Ministry of Foreign Affairs highlighted that the greatest threat to peace in the Taiwan Strait comes from "Taiwan independence" forces and their external supporters [1]