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上海中和应泰:不要跟趋势做对、大趋势难挡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-30 18:36
Market Analysis - The market is currently experiencing a small-scale fluctuation, with a focus on the support level around 3340 points, which is expected to be tested again [1][3] - A short-term rebound structure is anticipated next week, following a low-point retest [1] Short-term Trend - The market is expected to move downward initially to fill the gap, targeting the previous low of 3340 points for support [3] - The trading volume remains low, indicating a lack of strong buying interest, which may lead to further downward pressure in the afternoon [3] Hot Sectors - The sectors showing gains today include CXO concept, innovative drugs, Huawei computing power, pharmaceuticals, industrial mother machines, and controllable nuclear fusion [3] - Sectors experiencing declines include phosphorus concept, marine economy, titanium metal, combustible ice, glyphosate, and chemicals [3] - The tourism, hotel catering, food and beverage, and pork sectors are viewed positively, with support expected at the 10-day moving average [3] Operational Strategy - There will be short-term opportunities for low absorption near the 3340-point level, with a recommendation to wait for a rebound before selling for profit [3]
节后新低!市场企稳回升还需什么信号?
格隆汇APP· 2025-03-26 09:31
Group 1 - The overall market continues to shrink, with total trading volume down 8.26% to 1.1543 trillion, marking a new low since the Spring Festival [1] - Micro-cap stocks rebounded over 2%, but the market remains chaotic with 74 stocks hitting the daily limit up and nearly 3,500 stocks rising overall [1] - The robotics sector showed strong recovery, particularly in machine tools, while marine economy stocks, especially in the cable sector, performed relatively well [1][3] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of the Chinese stock market to "neutral," predicting an 8% increase in the market this year, with the Hang Seng Index expected to reach 25,000 points [4] - The recovery in corporate return on equity (ROE) and valuation is driven by enhanced corporate self-discipline, improved shareholder returns, and a shift towards higher-quality, less macro-sensitive industries [4] Group 3 - Recent market declines are attributed to performance pressure in March-April, multiple stocks facing direct ST (special treatment), and concerns over capital expenditures from Tencent and telecom operators [5] - The upcoming April 2 tariff implementation and the acceleration of company earnings reports by the end of April are critical upcoming events that may impact market sentiment [5] Group 4 - The chemical sector continues to strengthen with price increases, and stocks like Zhongyida and Jiangtian Chemical have shown significant gains [3] - The robotics sector has potential catalysts and layout opportunities, with stocks like Nanfang Precision and Linzhou Heavy Machinery reaching new highs [2][3]