Key Takeaways Harmony Gold's FY25 adjusted EPS rose 30% as revenues climbed 24% year over year.Production slipped 5% while operating and all-in-sustaining costs rose nearly 20%.Cash surged 186% to $738M, with free cash flow up 58% and debt rising 9% in FY25.Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) reported adjusted earnings of $1.29 per share in fiscal 2025 (ended June 30, 2025), up 30% from adjusted earnings of 99 cents recorded a year ago.In fiscal 2025, revenues rose 24% year over year to $4,071 million ...

Company Overview - Central Pacific Financial (CPF) is based in Honolulu and operates in the Finance sector, specifically through Central Pacific Bank [3] - The company's shares have experienced a price change of 8.43% this year [3] Dividend Information - CPF currently pays a dividend of $0.27 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.43%, which is higher than the Banks - West industry's yield of 2.75% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.47% [3] - The annualized dividend of $1.08 represents a 3.8% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, CPF has increased its dividend three times, averaging an annual increase of 3.02% [4] - The current payout ratio for CPF is 42%, indicating that the company pays out 42% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CPF's earnings in 2025 is $2.85 per share, reflecting a year-over-year earnings growth rate of 21.79% [5] Investment Considerations - CPF is considered a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong dividend performance and solid earnings growth prospects [6] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a stable investment outlook [6]

You know, Greg, I gota I kind of got caught in calling you bear and Greg at the same time right there because I've always kind of known you to be at least a little bearish, but you did correct me last time we talked. You said you haven't been bearish the last two times. You've been cautious.How are you viewing the markets right now, especially after Nvidia earnings going into PCE that could change the doubbish stance that we saw from JPAL and maybe the possibility of rate cuts. I don't think it matters, Fra ...

Market Trends & Investment Strategy - Goldman Sachs indicates that approximately 61% of New York City stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average, nearing a year-to-date high [1] - Aspire maintains a bullish outlook, favoring large-cap core and growth stocks due to consistent earnings growth [2] - The market has adapted to the significant weighting of large technology stocks within the S&P 500 [3][4] Earnings Growth & Sector Rotation - Technology sector is projected to achieve four consecutive quarters of double-digit earnings growth this year and the next [4] - Consensus expectations point towards a broadening of earnings growth into industrials, materials, and financials in 2026, with S&P global market intelligence data foreshadowing $300 earnings per share [6] - Excluding the second quarter, financials are also anticipated to potentially experience double-digit earnings growth next year [6] Economic Indicators & Consumer Sentiment - The July employment report showed unexpected weakness, potentially influenced by Independence Day tariff announcements, which caused the S&P to decline by 12% in four trading days [8][9] - The strength of the US labor market, characterized by strong labor demand and non-farm payroll growth, has been a key factor in the bullish outlook for over two years [10][11] - Consistent weakness in payrolls would necessitate a reassessment of current assumptions, given the labor market's role in driving consumer confidence and spending [10][11]

Market Trends & Drivers - Russell 2000 上涨超过 7% [1] - 市场上涨的主要驱动力是预期美联储降息和利率下调 [1] - 借贷成本正在下降，这对市场有利 [3] - 估值反映了小盘股的许多负面消息，任何利好消息都会带来更好的市场前景 [5] Small Cap Performance & Outlook - 投资者对小公司的信心正在增强 [2] - 行业预期到 2026 年小盘股的盈利增长将优于大盘股 [2] - 自解放日低点以来，高收益率下降了 150 个基点 (1.5%) [3] - 高收益利差已回落至 2007 年的水平 [3] - 小盘股中没有盈利的公司的比例为 30%，但权重约为 18%，且这一比例有所下降 [6] - 行业普遍认为，未来六个季度小盘股的盈利增长将开始改善，未盈利公司的拖累将减少 [7] Risk Assessment - 目前的风险偏好较高，高收益利差低于 300 个基点 (3%) [7][8]

Meanwhile, S&P 500 did hit a record high this morning, pulling back from those highs with Nvidia's earnings now in the rearview mirror. What's next on the Catalyst Watch. CFR research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall is with us on this Thursday.Great to see you, Sam. Welcome back. Thank you, Carl.Good to talk to you again. So, um I guess is does PCE count. Are we really looking forward ahead to uh to the jobs number in the coming weeks.I think PCE does count, but less so than the jobs report. Uh Fed ...

Katrina Dudley of Franklin Templeton weighs in on this equity market writing. The US market has consolidated after a strong run, but breadth is improving small and mid-caps along with equal weight. S&P 500 are outperforming or keeping pace with the MAX seven.Historically, such rotations signal more durable market leadership and sustained equity gains. And please say that Katrina joins us now. She's senior investment strategist at Franklin Templeton.Katrina, great to see you. Thanks for coming in this mornin ...

Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) is facing significant pressure due to underestimating medical cost trends, leading to eroded margins and investor concerns [1][2] - Medical costs increased nearly 16% in the first half of 2025, following a 9.2% rise in 2024, with the cost ratio climbing from 83.2% in 2023 to an expected 89.4% by year-end 2025 [1][7] - The company has revised its EPS outlook down to at least $16, with earnings growth not anticipated until 2026 [2][7] Financial Performance - UNH missed earnings estimates in both quarters of 2025 and has seen a significant drop in its EPS outlook from $26–$26.50 to at least $16 [2][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is projected at $16.21 per share, indicating a 41.4% decline from the previous year [10] Market Reaction - Despite the turmoil, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway purchased over 5 million shares of UNH, valued at approximately $1.57 billion, which spurred additional buying from other investors [3] - UNH shares are down 39.7% year-to-date, which is a steeper decline compared to the industry average of 30.8% [6][7] Industry Context - Peers such as Centene Corporation (CNC) and Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV) are also experiencing challenges due to rising medical costs, leading to significant cuts in their earnings guidance for 2025 [5] - Centene has reduced its adjusted EPS outlook to $1.75 from $7.25, while Elevance has lowered its forecast to $30 from a previous range of $34.15–$34.85 [5] Valuation Metrics - UNH currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.87, above the industry average of 14.96 [9] - The stock carries a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), reflecting the current market sentiment [13]

Core Viewpoint - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) has underperformed compared to its industry and broader market indices, with a year-to-date share price decline of 2.1% against a 7.5% growth in the S&P 500 Composite [1] Company Performance - Kinsale Capital has a market capitalization of $10.6 billion and an average trading volume of 0.2 million shares over the last three months [1] - The company has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.5% [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kinsale Capital's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 14%, with revenues projected to reach $1.8 billion, reflecting a 13.4% improvement [6] Valuation Metrics - Kinsale Capital shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 7.07X, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.52X, indicating a premium valuation [4][9] - The average price target from analysts for KNSL is $499.11 per share, suggesting an 8.7% upside from the last closing price [11] Growth Projections - The expected long-term earnings growth for Kinsale Capital is pegged at 14.9%, outperforming the industry average of 7% [7] - Revenue growth has been robust, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 38% from 2019 to 2024, driven by premiums and investment income [9][15] Market Position and Strategy - Kinsale Capital has established a strong position in the U.S. excess and surplus market, benefiting from favorable pricing conditions and healthy broker submissions [15] - The company has maintained an underlying combined ratio below 95%, supported by disciplined underwriting practices [17] - Kinsale's proprietary digital platform enhances operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to sustained market share gains [19] Shareholder Value - Kinsale Capital has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder value creation, raising its dividend five times in the past five years, with a total payout growth of 12.43% during this period [21]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total assets of the group are valued at $2.6 billion with a weighted average cap rate of 6.77% [1] - The distribution to investors remained flat at $0.85 per security despite a lower asset base [2] - Gearing for the group is at 34.5%, within the target range [2] - Like for like operating earnings rose by 7.7% for the year, with office income increasing by 9.8% [5][6] - The average cost of debt for FY 2025 was 5.1%, with a forecasted reduction to 4.5% in the next twelve months [7][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Office operating earnings increased by 9.8% year on year, supported by a 4.3% rental growth [3][5] - Retail operating earnings grew by 8.8%, driven by CPI-linked rental growth and improved leasing momentum [7][20] - Self-storage earnings from ASK contributed $16.8 million, with management fees adding another $18.1 million [7][21] - Investment management earnings grew by 14% compared to the prior period [3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The office portfolio's occupancy is stable at 91%, with positive leasing spreads [6] - Retail properties showed strong turnover rent growth, with MAT growth of 2.7% on FY 2024 [20] - The self-storage sector is viewed favorably, with a RevPAR growth of 4.5% year on year [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on office and retail sectors while exploring capital partnering opportunities [13][24] - Plans to realize $200 to $300 million of non-core asset sales over the next 12 to 18 months to pursue higher returning opportunities [13] - The strategy includes consolidating operating systems to improve efficiency and scalability [13] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted early signs of improving capital and leasing sentiment in the office and retail sectors [2] - The company anticipates a significant reduction in finance costs due to recent interest rate cuts [8] - Future earnings are forecasted at the top of the payout ratio range, contingent on successful leasing programs [8] Other Important Information - The company received its first public credit rating of A+ with a stable outlook, allowing for competitive banking terms [10] - Full-year valuations were impacted by a 27 basis point expansion in cap rates, resulting in an overall value decline of 4% [11] - The company is actively managing lease expiries in its non-core portfolio to protect value [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital recycling and reinvestment strategies - The company is primarily focused on the office and retail sectors for capital reinvestment, while remaining open to other opportunities [27] Question: Insights on office demand and tenant behavior - Office demand is relatively healthy, with companies returning employees to the workplace, shifting focus to workplace efficiency and productivity [28][29] Question: Medium-term potential of 201 Elizabeth Street for residential development - The highest and best use of 201 Elizabeth Street is currently viewed as office, though residential potential is not discounted for the future [34][35] Question: Leasing prospects for 710 Collins Street - There are advanced discussions with interested groups, and the company is optimistic about generating income from this asset by the end of the financial year [36][37] Question: Anticipated transactions in capital partnering for FY 2026 - The company intends to progress capital partnering opportunities and hopes to provide updates in the near future [41]