CONSOLIDATED TURNOVER FOT THE 1st QUARTER 2025: +6.4% at €41.5MAT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATE (*): +4.1% Blagnac, France, April 30th, 2025, after closing of the Stock Market. SOGECLAIR, a supplier of innovative solutions with high added value for a safer and less-consuming mobility announces today its turnover for the 1st quarter 2025 (ending on March 31st 2025). SOGECLAIR is listed on Euronext Growth Paris. (*) At Constant Exchange rate: the change variations over the period represent €+0.9M against €-0.2M in 2 ...

以下文章来源于CFC商品策略研究 ，作者田亚雄 刘昊 CFC商品策略研究 . 好的研报应该提供打破经验，观念，陈规或惯例的视角，提供自我逻辑审查的意识自觉。阅读体验应该是一次历险，也许是一次漂流，它并不把你带 到任何一个安全的港湾去，但更像是提供一种类似在悬崖边临渊回眸，另做选择的逻辑启发，或自我反讽的邀请。 文 | 田亚雄 刘昊 来源 | CFC商品策略研究 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 市场在4月经历了极致悲观定价后的快速修复，铜价从4月1日至今震荡幅度接近12%，但跌幅已经回落至4%下方，暗示商品定价的修复已经 完成大部分。进而另一个讨论是，市场在交易了4月初风险偏好释放并将利空定价一蹴而就后，修复式定价的上边界是否快要触及？ 我们理解这一问题的回答仍需要从中美双方的经济现实出发，美国仍然在交易滞胀中的"滞"，而"通胀未胀"；中国则是交易"通缩未 缩"。对于国内出口商而言，关税冲击促使企业寻找新的出口目的地，以东南亚、墨西哥以及加拿大为主，核心证据是国内往上述国 家出口的运费上涨，这些国家乐意承接贸易转口的利润，形成一轮主动从中国进口商品，使得国内出口数据不至于急转直下，这是国 内通缩未缩的核 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific securities [1]. Core Insights - The model projection for USD/CNY fix is 7.2967, which is 912 pips higher than the previous projection of 7.2055, and 87 pips higher from the previous official spot close [1]. - The model projection with the counter-cyclical factor is 7.2484, indicating a 429 pips increase from the previous fix [1]. Summary by Sections - **Model Projections**: The USD/CNY fix model indicates a significant increase in projections, reflecting market expectations and potential currency fluctuations [1]. - **Analyst Contributions**: The report includes contributions from multiple analysts, indicating a collaborative approach to the analysis of the Asia FX strategy [2]. - **Event Calendar**: Key upcoming events involving China include the G-24 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors' Meeting on April 22, 2025, and a Politburo meeting for economic work at the end of April 2025 [9].

Core Insights - Savencia Fromage & Dairy reported stable revenue of €1,695 million for Q1 2025, showing no significant change compared to €1,696 million in Q1 2024, amidst high inflation in milk prices and record butter prices [1][2] - The company achieved an organic growth rate of +0.8%, primarily driven by a +6.6% increase in Other Dairy Products, which offset a decline in Cheese Products [1][3] - Cheese Products revenue declined by -3.3% on a like-for-like basis, attributed to weakened volumes in France and other European countries due to inflationary pressures and challenging commercial negotiations [2][5] - Other Dairy Products saw a revenue increase of +6.7% year-on-year, benefiting from positive trends in the ingredients business and high butter prices [3][4] Market Outlook - The outlook for 2025 is characterized by a volatile economic environment, with ongoing pressure on milk prices and increased competition in both domestic and international markets [5][6] - Geopolitical tensions and potential economic shifts may lead to a slowdown in global growth, impacting the company's performance [5][6] - In response to these challenges, the company is focusing on a specialty strategy, enhancing competitiveness, and investing in brand growth and product quality [6][8]