RT plur daddy (@plur_daddy)I concur we have some of the smartest people in the world here on CT. Some of the most mentally flexible as well, which is equally important. There is a reason why BTC is the most sensitive macro asset that often absorbs key information ahead of other asset classes now (turning bearish for Trump's initial agenda of budget cuts and tariffs weeks before equities early in the year is a good example).However, while CT will discuss other markets, it will always be biased towards making ...

I am seasoned investor with more than 20 years of investment experience, specializing in identifying companies that have the potential to consistently outperform the broader market. My investment journey begin pre-2008 and I have experienced multiple market cycles, allowing me to develop a disciplined framework that combines both fundamental analysis and macroeconomic factors. I am generally sector and asset class agnostic. I believe that value and alpha can be found across the markets. However, I tend to f ...

Bitcoin steadies above $108,000 as traders brace for key macro data and Powell remarks https://t.co/BlhRXKJTnT ...

Core Viewpoint - Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT) has experienced significant price volatility recently, with various bullish and bearish perspectives emerging in response to the uncertain macroeconomic environment. The analysis leans towards a bullish outlook for the company [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - Rocket Companies is navigating a challenging macroeconomic landscape, which has led to fluctuating stock prices [1]. - The company is viewed positively due to its potential for growth and the disruptive changes anticipated in the industry over the next decade [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment - There is a mix of opinions among investors regarding Rocket Companies, with some expressing optimism while others remain cautious [1].

RT yung macro 年轻的宏观 (@apralky)"yea he metaforecasted all of modern human history with a 20 year leadbut could he rangetrade treasuries tho?" https://t.co/TPwp0NMRBd ...

RT Galois Kevin (@Galois_Capital)LoL is like one long laning phase with high mechanical skill requirements for skill shots. DotA is more about macro strategy and both heroes and items are more unique and asymmetric. LoL requires higher APM with the exception of some DotA heroes like Meepo and Invoker while DotA requires more thinking. ...

Investor sentiment appears to be broadly improving since President Donald Trump dialed down some of his threatened tariffs for the time being. As a result, the market has slowly been rising back toward its record high. Not all companies are riding this positive momentum, though.There's one business that was once a Wall Street favorite. That view has changed. As of June 24, this growth stock is trading 54% below the peak it touched in December 2023. Can it recover and soar over the next three years? Going fr ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing challenges in achieving its 30% sales growth target for FY25E due to weaker-than-expected sales trends, particularly in online sales in the US and China, and rising import tariffs impacting gross profit margins [1][5][7] Sales Growth Outlook - Sales growth in 2Q25E is expected to be slow, with estimates indicating a mixture of 10% growth in the US and negative growth in China and Europe, influenced by a high base from previous years and changing consumer interests [2][4] - The company has not altered its guidance of 30%+ sales growth for FY25E, but revised forecasts now suggest a more conservative 14% growth, down from 23%, with expectations of single-digit growth in 1H25E and 20% growth in 2H25E [4][7] Market-Specific Insights - In the US market, sales growth is projected at 10%, primarily driven by offline expansion, while e-commerce sales may face sluggish growth due to industry factors [4] - The Chinese market shows weak demand for small appliances and cookware, with potential year-over-year declines in sales for Carote in 1H25E and FY25E [4] - The European market is not a major focus for the company, leading to potentially weaker-than-expected sales growth [4] Impact of Tariffs - Recent increases in US tariffs on steel- and aluminium-based products could significantly impact gross profit margins, with total tariffs on Carote's products potentially reaching 73.3% [5][6] - The company may pass on about 15% of the tariffs through supply chain adjustments but will still face a 35% burden, leading to a revised gross profit margin assumption of around 33% for the US market in FY25E [6] Financial Forecast Adjustments - The company has downgraded its rating to HOLD and cut the target price to HK$ 4.64, based on a 10x FY25E P/E, reflecting a 28% reduction in net profit forecasts for FY25E due to weaker demand and higher import tariffs [1][7]

My investing approach blends macroeconomic analysis with valuation models, including DCF, multiple-based analysis. I pay close attention to financial structure, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation discipline. I’m particularly drawn to companies undergoing transformation or recovery where the risk/reward profile skews positively over a 2–3 year horizon. On Seeking Alpha, I aim to publish in-depth investment theses on undervalued equities, special situation plays, and opportunities in the market ...

Live streaming on Kick, talking markets, macro and double Yeet spinshttps://t.co/mR4ZZM7h0A ...