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BLS integrity attacks are dangerous for economy and evidence-based policy: Aspen's Melissa Kearney
CNBC Television· 2025-08-05 12:38
Economic Concerns & Policy - The dismissal of a technocrat, the head of an agency, due to disagreement with official government statistics is considered dangerous for the economy and evidence-based policy [1] - The credibility of data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is crucial for businesses, investors, and policymakers, as they rely on objective, non-political data [1] - There are concerns about the politicization of the BLS commissioner role, making it difficult to find qualified individuals willing to take the job [2] Economic Resilience & Challenges - The economy has shown remarkable resilience to shocks, including the pandemic and tariffs [3][4] - Despite the economy's strengths, millions of Americans face challenges related to rising healthcare and housing costs [5] Budget & Spending - The budget deficit is a significant concern, especially with Congress passing legislation that adds $3 to $4 trillion in debt over the next 10 years [6][8] - Tariffs are seen as a source of revenue but are not sufficient to bring down costs [7][8] - The recent bill includes cuts to Medicaid and SNAP to offset the cost of extended tax cuts [9] - Rebalancing domestic spending priorities is necessary [10]
Fitch Downgrades Brightline Muni Bonds Again
Bloomberg Television· 2025-08-01 18:36
Why is this going so poorly. Ultimately, this was a project that was brought to Florida with a lot of fanfare, but it seems like ridership is lagging particularly enough to hit the firm financially or hit the project financially. But you have to remember, this is a startup project, a start up railroad, the first railroad, privately run railroad in the United States in 100 years or more.So it has a wrap up period. And the it has two basic routes. One is the Miami to West Palm route and one is going from Miam ...
Tech giants are ramping up AI spending and debt loads
CNBC Television· 2025-07-31 17:14
AI Funding Landscape - AI 基础设施建设已演变成一场信贷竞赛,公司竞相获取资金 [2] - 一些公司,如 Coreweave,利用现有 GPU 作为抵押获得贷款,以购买更多 GPU,并承担双位数利率的巨额债务,目前已超过 170 亿美元的融资承诺 [2] - XAI 在 7 月份筹集了 100 亿美元,其中一半是债务,并据报道正在寻求额外的 120 亿美元融资,使用 Grock 模型 IP 等非常规抵押品 [3] - Meta 正在洽谈一项 290 亿美元的私募信贷交易,采用表外融资,以便在保持其信用指标的同时,大力投资于 AI 数据中心 [4] - OpenAI 的 Stargate 项目获得了超过 110 亿美元的资金,用于在德克萨斯州建设数据中心,并转向私人贷款机构而非银行或公共市场进行融资 [5] Financing Strategies & Risks - AI 正在改写科技公司借款、抵押和扩张的规则 [6] - 长期合同(如与 OpenAI 和 Microsoft 的合同)可以抵消部分风险,但公司仍在竞相在债务到期前创造收入 [2] - Meta 的表外融资虽然可以保护信用指标,但也降低了透明度 [4] - 拥有最智能的聊天机器人可能并不重要,重要的是能否支付账单 [6]
Ray Dalio Explains Money Vs Credit
Credit and Debt Dynamics - The US economy's total credit is approximately $50 trillion, significantly exceeding the total money supply of about $3 trillion [1] - Credit's impact is contingent on its use; it is detrimental when it fuels unsustainable overconsumption but beneficial when it efficiently allocates resources and generates income for debt repayment [3] - Borrowing facilitates increased spending, enabling incomes to temporarily outpace productivity, though this is unsustainable in the long term [2] Economic Cycles - Credit creation fosters self-reinforcing economic patterns, but borrowing inherently generates cycles, necessitating eventual corrections [5] - The economy demonstrates how credit amplifies spending and income, illustrated by examples of individuals leveraging credit cards to spend beyond their immediate earnings [4][5]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-30 11:30
Developing nations from Panama to Angola are borrowing directly from Wall Street banks, getting short-term liquidity to help cope with rising debt burdens https://t.co/dITotPv80v ...
X @CZ 🔶 BNB
CZ 🔶 BNB· 2025-07-30 07:17
RT Daniel Priestley (@DanielPriestley)Billionaire hedge fund manager @RayDalio has said the UK is in a debt doom loop.The government has 101% of debt to GDP ratio. It spends 45% of GDP. It borrows to pay interest payments. This is wildly unsustainable and irresponsible.The doom loop bit happens when the government raises taxes to fund debt, higher taxes reduce growth, reduced growth reduces investment, reduced investment causes wealth creators to leave and the 1% who pay 30% of the taxes pull away from the ...
X @Ivan on Tech 🍳📈💰
Debt & GDP Ratio - UK government debt stands at 101% of GDP [1] - Government spending accounts for 45% of GDP [1] - Government borrows to cover interest payments, indicating unsustainable fiscal policy [1] Doom Loop Mechanism - Increased taxes to fund debt reduces economic growth [2] - Reduced growth leads to decreased investment [2] - Decreased investment causes wealth creators (the 1% who pay 30% of taxes) to leave the system [2] - Wealth creators leaving necessitates even higher taxes [2] Potential Solutions - Government needs to cap spending at 35% of GDP [3] - Creation of special economic zones or tax breaks to attract wealth creators and investment [3] - Implementation of fiscal responsibility, ceasing money printing and further borrowing [3]
X @Wendy O
Wendy O· 2025-07-29 19:10
People are literally mad over 1) Jean pants 2) School supplies and who knows what else while the USA economy is crumbling with massive debt, inflation and no end in sight... ...
Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy: Debt is the greatest threat to America
CNBC Television· 2025-07-29 11:30
The US and China meeting for a second day in Sweden to talk trade. This comes uh as the big EU deal uh was announced uh yesterday and it could uh increase tariffs on other countries at the end of the week. Joining us now, former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.He's the chairman of the uh Alpha Institute on set. Good to see you. Good to see you, Mr. . Mr.. Former Speaker. That's too hard to say. Uh good to see him.Mr. . Speaker, the Kevin, how's Kevin. Whatever you want to call me.The journals never um never li ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-29 11:10
More commercial real estate debt is entering a state of suspended animation as the ripple effects from the pandemic continue to reverberate through the industry https://t.co/cU1AtZxRak ...