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Is Petrobras Stock a Safe Bet Before Its Q1 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Petrobras is expected to report a decline in revenues for Q1 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) estimates revised downward by 14% over the past month, indicating a challenging operational environment despite a projected year-over-year improvement in EPS [1][16]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 2025 EPS is 92 cents, with revenues expected to be $21.7 billion, reflecting an 8.7% year-over-year decrease [1][2]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate is $83.9 billion, indicating an 8.2% decline year-over-year, while the EPS estimate is $2.79, suggesting a contraction of approximately 6.4% [2][3]. Production and Sales - Petrobras is projected to experience a marginal 0.2% year-over-year drop in oil and gas production to 2.77 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boed) in Q1 2025, with crude oil output declining by 1% to 2.21 million barrels per day (bpd) [7]. - Total oil, gas, and derivatives sales decreased by 1.9% to 2.86 million boed, with exports falling 10.4% year-over-year to 760,000 bpd, primarily due to reduced shipments to China and the U.S. [8]. Market Position and Valuation - Petrobras stock has declined by 12% year-to-date, underperforming compared to American supermajors like ExxonMobil and Chevron [9]. - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.10, significantly lower than ExxonMobil and Chevron, which trade around 15X earnings, reflecting concerns over political risks and government influence [13]. Economic and Market Conditions - The company's earnings are closely tied to oil prices, which are trending lower amid recession fears and geopolitical tensions, potentially impacting revenue and margins [15]. - The broader economic slowdown could further squeeze margins, with Petrobras facing challenges in maintaining dividend potential amidst high-cost exploration plans and increasing capital expenditures [15][17].
Boise Cascade Q1 Earnings Miss Estimates, Sales Beat, Stock Dips
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 15:30
Core Viewpoint - Boise Cascade Company (BCC) reported mixed first-quarter 2025 results, with earnings missing estimates while sales exceeded expectations, reflecting a decline in both metrics year-over-year due to lower selling prices and sales volumes, alongside operational challenges [1][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 2025 were $1.06, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.36 by 22.1%, and down from $2.61 in the same quarter last year [3]. - Quarterly sales reached $1.54 billion, surpassing the consensus mark of $1.45 billion by 5.7%, but decreased by 7% year-over-year [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $91.6 million, a significant decline of 46% from the prior-year quarter [3]. Segment Analysis - **Wood Products**: Sales totaled $415.8 million, down 11% year-over-year due to lower engineered wood products and sales prices. Adjusted EBITDA fell to $40.2 million, down 11% from $95.6 million a year ago [4]. - **Building Materials Distribution (BMD)**: Sales decreased by 7% year-over-year to $1.41 billion, attributed to lower plywood sales prices and reduced sales volumes. Adjusted EBITDA dropped 25% year-over-year to $62.8 million [5]. Liquidity and Debt - As of March 31, 2025, total liquidity was $957.5 million, down from $1.109 billion at the end of 2024, with cash and cash equivalents at $561.8 million [6]. - Net long-term debt slightly increased to $446.4 million from $446.2 million at the end of 2024 [6]. Share Repurchase Activity - In Q1 2025, the company repurchased 482,700 shares for a total value of $53.9 million, followed by an additional repurchase of 179,445 shares for approximately $17 million in April 2025 [7][8]. Market Outlook - The company plans to remain flexible in response to evolving market conditions in the second quarter, supported by a strong balance sheet for continued investments in residential construction trends [2].
Unveiling Occidental (OXY) Q1 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Occidental Petroleum (OXY) to report quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 12.3%, with revenues projected at $7.15 billion, up 18.9% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 28.1% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [1][2] Revenue Projections - Analysts forecast 'Net sales- Oil and gas' to reach $5.71 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of +16.3% [3] - 'Net sales- Chemical' is expected to be $1.24 billion, indicating a +4.5% change from the year-ago quarter [4] - 'Net sales- Midstream & marketing' is projected at $429.84 million, reflecting a significant year-over-year change of +334.2% [4] Segment Revenue Estimates - 'Revenue- Oil - United States' is expected to reach $3.92 billion, a +17.1% change from the previous year [5] - 'Revenue- NGL - United States' is projected at $545.18 million, indicating a +31.1% year-over-year change [5] - 'Revenue- GAS - United States' is estimated at $376.86 million, reflecting a substantial +101.5% increase from the prior year [5] Production Volumes - 'Worldwide Sales - Total Continuing Operations Production Per Day' is expected to reach 1,395.28 million barrels of oil equivalent, up from 1,172 million barrels of oil equivalent in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Net Production Volumes Per Day By Commodity - Natural Gas - Total Worldwide' is estimated at 2,237.96 million cubic feet, compared to 1,796 million cubic feet reported in the same quarter last year [7] - 'Net Production Volumes Per Day By Commodity - Oil - Total Worldwide' is projected at 706.54 million barrels, up from 593 million barrels in the same quarter last year [9] Pricing Estimates - 'Average Realized Prices - NGLs - Total Worldwide' is expected to be $24.09 per barrel of oil equivalent, compared to $22.14 per barrel of oil equivalent in the same quarter last year [8] Market Performance - Shares of Occidental have shown a return of +0.2% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed by +11.5% [10]
Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of EPR Properties (EPR) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts anticipate EPR Properties will report quarterly earnings of $1.19 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.3%, with revenues expected to reach $146.95 million, up 3.3% from the previous year [1]. Group 1: Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.8% higher over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [1]. - The consensus estimate for 'Depreciation and amortization' is projected at $40.71 million, slightly up from $40.47 million year-over-year [5]. Group 2: Revenue Projections - Analysts expect 'Revenue- Rental revenue' to be $146.95 million, indicating a 3.3% year-over-year increase [4]. - 'Revenue- Mortgage and other financing income' is estimated at $15.03 million, reflecting a 16.4% increase from the year-ago quarter [4]. - 'Revenue- Other income' is forecasted to reach $28.60 million, suggesting a significant year-over-year change of 137.6% [4]. Group 3: Market Performance - Over the past month, shares of EPR Properties have returned +9.8%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.5% change [6]. - EPR Properties currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential outperformance in the near future [6].
Cheniere Energy to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 14:05
Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) is set to release first-quarter results on May 8. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $2.81 per share on revenues of $4.5 billion. Let's delve into the factors that are likely to have influenced the liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporter's performance in the March quarter. But it's worth taking a look at Cheniere Energy's previous-quarter performance first. Highlights of Q4 Earnings & Surprise History In the last reported quarter, this Houston, TX-based transporter of supe ...
Analysts Estimate AlTi Global, Inc. (ALTI) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 15:05
Company Overview - AlTi Global, Inc. (ALTI) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.02 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 300% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to be $53.9 million, which represents a 6.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues, with the earnings report set to be released on May 12 [1][2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 114.29% over the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [10][11] - The current Zacks Rank for AlTi Global, Inc. is 3 (Hold), making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AlTi Global, Inc. was expected to post earnings of $0.02 per share but instead reported a loss of $0.24, resulting in a surprise of -1,300% [12] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13] Market Sentiment - The stock may experience upward movement if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, other factors may influence stock performance, as many stocks can decline even after an earnings beat due to investor disappointment [14][16]
Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (OBIO) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 15:05
Company Overview - Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (OBIO) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.46 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 21.1% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to be $0.39 million, down 37.1% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.03% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for OBIO is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +1.64% [11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a higher likelihood of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [8] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a moderate expectation of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, OBIO was expected to post a loss of $0.43 per share and met this expectation with no surprise [12] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13] Industry Context - Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. (NTLA), a peer in the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, is expected to report an EPS of $1.26, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 18.9% [17] - NTLA's revenues are projected to be $14.5 million, down 49.9% from the previous year [17] - Despite a recent upward revision of 0.8% in NTLA's EPS estimate, it has a negative Earnings ESP of -4.93%, complicating predictions for an earnings beat [18]
Earnings Preview: SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 15:05
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock ...
Curious about Lemonade (LMND) Q1 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:21
Wall Street analysts forecast that Lemonade (LMND) will report quarterly loss of $0.94 per share in its upcoming release, pointing to a year-over-year decline of 40.3%. It is anticipated that revenues will amount to $143.93 million, exhibiting an increase of 20.9% compared to the year-ago quarter.The current level reflects no revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days. This demonstrates how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reappraised their initial projecti ...
Unveiling DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q1 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:21
Core Insights - DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (DOCN) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.45 per share, reflecting a 4.7% increase year over year [1] - Analysts forecast revenues of $208.77 million, indicating a 13% year-over-year growth [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in analyst expectations [1] Earnings Estimates and Market Reactions - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions to stock performance [2] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [2] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Total Customers' to be 679,773, up from 637,000 a year ago [4] - The 'Net Dollar Retention Rate' is projected to reach 99.1%, compared to 97% in the previous year [4] - 'Average Revenue Per Customer (ARPU)' is expected to be $106.34, an increase from $95.13 in the same quarter last year [4] Stock Performance - DigitalOcean shares have increased by 13.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a 0.4% change [5] - With a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), DOCN is anticipated to reflect overall market performance in the near term [5]