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Traders Lock In Fed Bets, Boosting Treasuries for Fourth Week
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 14:11
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates next week, with a quarter-point cut fully priced in, leading to a focus on the pace of further easing for the remainder of the year [3]. Group 1: Treasury Market Dynamics - Treasuries are set to record a fourth consecutive weekly gain, with the 10-year note's yield dropping below 4% for the first time since April and the five-year note's yield nearing its lowest level of the year [2]. - A Bloomberg index of Treasuries showed a weekly gain of 0.45% through Thursday [2]. - The re-marketing of this week's Treasury note bond auctions and an anticipated rebound in corporate bond supply next week contributed to upward yield pressure [2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Expectations - Jobless claims numbers have overshadowed August inflation figures, which matched economists' estimates at 2.9% [5]. - Morgan Stanley economists predict interest rate cuts at four consecutive meetings through January due to slowing inflation and a weakening labor market [3]. - Money markets are currently assigning an 80% chance of two additional rate cuts by the end of the year [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Market Sentiment - Amundi SA anticipates the Treasury yield curve to steepen, particularly at the short end, while other firms like Allianz and Pimco are more cautious and have reduced some curve risk following the recent rally [4].
With A Fed Rate Cut On The Horizon, Experts Say These 3 Asset Classes Could Be Game-Changers For Your Portfolio
Benzinga· 2025-09-12 12:16
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to make a significant decision regarding interest rates, with a potential 25-basis-point cut anticipated, creating strategic opportunities for investors to adjust their portfolios [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on three key asset classes: bonds, large-cap growth stocks, and real assets, to navigate the anticipated economic changes [2]. Group 2: Bonds - A potential interest rate cut would enhance the attractiveness of bonds for income and capital appreciation, prompting investors to consider reallocating cash into solid fixed-income options before yields decline further [3]. - Current bond yields for U.S. Treasuries are as follows: 10-year Treasury at 4.05%, two-year bond at 3.56%, and 30-year yield at 4.67% [4]. Group 3: Large-Cap Growth Stocks - Selective investment in large-cap growth stocks is recommended due to their sensitivity to interest rates, which could lead to significant initial gains [5]. - Notable large-cap growth stocks and their performances include: - Nvidia Corporation: YTD 28.10%, One-Year 48.71% - Apple Inc.: YTD -5.67%, One-Year 3.26% - Microsoft Corp.: YTD 19.69%, One-Year 17.33% - Amazon.com Inc.: YTD 4.42%, One-Year 22.97% - Alphabet Inc.: YTD 26.31%, One-Year 54.80% - Meta Platforms Inc.: YTD 25.31%, One-Year 42.87% - Tesla Inc.: YTD -2.76%, One-Year 60.48% - Broadcom Inc.: YTD 55.03%, One-Year 118.54% - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.: YTD 28.44%, One-Year 51.03% [6]. Group 4: Real Assets - Adding real assets to portfolios is suggested as a hedge against a weakening U.S. dollar and ongoing inflation concerns, with the U.S. Dollar Index currently at 97.7090, down 10.11% year-to-date [7][8]. - Gold Spot price has increased by 24.46% over the last six months and 42.62% over the past year, currently hovering around $3,648.18 per ounce [8]. Group 5: Federal Reserve Context - The Federal Reserve is under pressure due to challenges in the labor market, structural inflation, and political demands to lower borrowing costs, leaving little room for maneuvering [9][10].
With A Fed Rate Cut On The Horizon, Experts Say These 3 Asset Classes Could Be Game-Changers For Your Portfolio - Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN)
Benzinga· 2025-09-12 12:16
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to make a significant decision regarding interest rates, with a potential 25-basis-point cut anticipated, creating strategic opportunities for investors to adjust their portfolios [2][9]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on three key asset classes: bonds, large-cap growth stocks, and real assets, to navigate the anticipated economic changes [2]. Group 2: Bonds - A potential interest rate cut would enhance the attractiveness of bonds for income and capital appreciation, prompting investors to consider reallocating cash into solid fixed-income options before yields decline further [3][4]. Group 3: Large-Cap Growth Stocks - Selective investment in large-cap growth stocks is recommended due to their sensitivity to interest rates, which could lead to significant initial gains. Notable stocks include Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, Broadcom, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing [5][6]. Group 4: Real Assets - Adding real assets to portfolios is suggested as a hedge against a weakening U.S. dollar and ongoing inflation concerns. The U.S. Dollar Index has decreased by 10.11% year-to-date, while gold prices have surged 24.46% over the last six months and 42.62% over the past year [7][8].
Bank of Canada to cut rates on September 17, at least one more to follow this year: Reuters poll
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 12:03
By Indradip Ghosh BENGALURU (Reuters) -The Bank of Canada will cut its overnight rate by a quarter point on September 17 as the labour market deteriorates and economic activity weakens, according to most economists in a Reuters poll, who also expect at least one more cut next quarter. Canada's central bank has faced growing pressure to resume easing after holding rates steady since March, following a cumulative 225-basis-point reduction - one of the most aggressive among its G10 peers. Last week, offici ...
'Indian markets closed at three-week high'
Rediff· 2025-09-12 11:33
Market Performance - Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty surged, with Sensex rising 355.97 points (0.44%) to 81,904.70 and Nifty increasing 108.50 points (0.43%) to 25,114, marking an eighth consecutive day of uptrend [1][3][4] - The Indian market closed at a three-week high, driven by global optimism regarding a potential US Federal Reserve rate cut and progress in US-India trade talks [6] Sector Performance - Key gainers in the Sensex firms included Bharat Electronics, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Axis Bank, Maruti, and Tata Motors, while major laggards were Eternal, Hindustan Unilever, Trent, and Titan [4] Foreign Investment Activity - Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹3,472.37 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) purchased stocks worth ₹4,045.54 crore [7] Global Market Context - Asian markets showed mixed results, with South Korea's Kospi, Japan's Nikkei 225, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng closing positively, while Shanghai's SSE Composite index ended lower [6] - Global oil benchmark Brent crude increased by 0.47% to $66.72 per barrel [8]
Outlook clears for Hong Kong property market with rate cuts imminent, JPMorgan says
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong property sector is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of increased investor interest in distressed assets and improving home sales as interest rate cuts are anticipated [1][5]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The real estate industry in Hong Kong has faced significant challenges, with many listed property developers renegotiating loan terms [2]. - Property prices peaked before a downturn that began in 2019, with a 28.4% decline in housing prices as of March this year compared to the all-time high in September 2021. However, prices have increased for four consecutive months up to July, reducing the year-to-date decline to 0.45% [4]. - The average sell-through rate for new residential projects has been between 20% and 70%, with only developers with strong brand recognition able to sell out their inventory [6]. Group 2: Future Outlook - There is potential for the Hong Kong property market to return to previous highs if the Chinese economy experiences significant growth, although this may require patience [3]. - The current inventory of unsold flats is equivalent to 14 to 15 months of sales based on the last year's average monthly sales, indicating a supply issue that typically sees rising prices when supply is below 10 months [7]. - The US Federal Reserve is expected to implement a quarter-point rate cut, which would likely lead to similar actions by Hong Kong's monetary authority, alleviating pressure on commercial property owners and encouraging homebuyers [5].
Biggest stock movers Friday: ADBE, SMCI, and more (NYSE:RH)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-12 09:00
Core Viewpoint - Stock futures experienced a slight decline on Friday morning following new highs on Wall Street, driven by cooling jobs data and mild inflation, which bolstered confidence in a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the upcoming meeting [2] Group 1 - Wall Street reached fresh highs, indicating a strong market performance [2] - Cooling jobs data suggests a slowdown in employment growth, which may influence monetary policy [2] - Mild inflation levels are contributing to the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]
Gold Set for Fourth Weekly Gain on Fed Easing Bets
Barrons· 2025-09-12 08:05
CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 12, 2025: Dow Slips After Hitting Record High Last Updated: 14 hours ago Gold Set for Fourth Weekly Gain on Fed Easing Bets By Giulia Petroni, Dow Jones Newswires Gold prices are poised for a fourth straight weekly gain on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates Wednesday. Futures rose 0.4% to $3,689.80 a troy ounce in early trade and are up 1% on the week. Markets are pricing in a 25-basis-points cut next week and potentially further easing by ye ...
Asian shares track Wall Street rallies as a US interest rate cut next week looks more certain
ABC News· 2025-09-12 06:14
Market Overview - Asian shares rose, influenced by Wall Street's record-setting performance, as mixed U.S. data increased expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut to stimulate the economy [1][3] - Japan's Nikkei 225 reached an intra-day high, rising 0.9% to 44,781.09, with notable gains in semiconductor companies like Tokyo Electron and Sony Group [2] - The S&P 500 increased by 0.8%, marking an all-time high for the third consecutive day, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 617 points (1.4%) and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.7% [4] Economic Indicators - A report indicated that U.S. inflation rose by 2.9% in August compared to the previous year, slightly up from July's 2.7% rate, which may influence the Fed's decision on interest rates [6] - The job market's performance is seen as a critical factor for the Fed, with a need for it to weaken enough to justify a rate cut without triggering a recession [5] Sector Performance - Stocks of companies likely to benefit from lower interest rates, such as real estate and homebuilders, experienced rallies on Wall Street [7] - In Asian markets, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1.5% due to reports of potential state bank support for local governments, while the Kospi in Seoul climbed 1.3% [2]
Stock markets trade higher tracking rally in global peers on US Fed rate cut hopes
BusinessLine· 2025-09-12 04:39
Market Overview - Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty experienced gains in early trade, driven by a global market rally and increasing expectations of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week [1][3] - The BSE Sensex rose by 287.93 points to reach 81,836.66, while the NSE Nifty increased by 84.25 points to 25,089.75 [1] Company Performance - Infosys saw a 1.50% increase after announcing its largest-ever share buyback program valued at ₹18,000 crore [1] - Other gainers included Tata Motors, Maruti, Mahindra & Mahindra, Axis Bank, and Larsen & Toubro, while Hindustan Unilever, HDFC Bank, State Bank of India, and Titan were among the laggards [2] Investment Sentiment - The global stock markets are showing resilience, bolstered by new records in the US market, with bullish sentiments driven by anticipated rate cuts from the Fed [3] - A significant rise in demand for consumer durables, particularly automobiles, is expected to dominate economic news post-September 22nd, providing positive sentiment to the market [3][4] Institutional Activity - Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹3,472.37 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) purchased stocks worth ₹4,045.54 crore [4] Oil Market - The global oil benchmark Brent crude decreased by 0.87% to $65.79 per barrel [4]