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RBA to hold rates on September 30 but cut likely after Q3 inflation: Reuters poll
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 03:16
Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its cash rate at 3.60% as the labor market remains tight and inflation shows signs of persistence [1][3]. Economic Indicators - Australia's monthly consumer price index (CPI) increased by 3.0% in August compared to the previous year, up from 2.8% in July, indicating rising inflation [2]. - Economic growth rebounded in the second quarter, and the unemployment rate has remained relatively stable, suggesting that the RBA can afford to slow its rate cuts [2][3]. Market Expectations - A consensus among economists indicates that the RBA will hold the cash rate at 3.60% during the upcoming policy meeting, with a year-end forecast of 3.35% [1][4]. - Over 80% of economists expect a 25 basis point cut to 3.35% by the end of 2025, while some predict no change, reflecting a shift in sentiment from previous polls [4]. Future Projections - Economists are divided on the likelihood of a rate cut in November, with some suggesting that strong labor market data and inflation could delay any cuts [5][6]. - Long-term forecasts show that 23 out of 38 economists anticipate one more rate cut in the first quarter of 2026, bringing the rate down to 3.10% [5].
Why Did Dogecoin Plummet Today?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 22:04
Key Points Dogecoin and cryptos across the board are still seeing red. The Federal Reserve's 0.25% rate cut last week was smaller than many investors had hoped. Riskier investments like Dogecoin tend to outperform as interest rates fall. 10 stocks we like better than Dogecoin › Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) fell on Thursday, down 6.8% as of 5:09 p.m. ET, as measured from 4 p.m. on Wednesday. The move comes as the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) both lost 0.5%. The ...
Why Did XRP Sink Today?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 21:40
Key Points XRP is sliding alongside a broader crypto sell-off. The Federal Reserve's 0.25% rate cut last week was smaller than many investors had hoped. 10 stocks we like better than XRP › XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) fell on Thursday, down 6.8% as of 4:59 p.m. ET, as measured from 4 p.m. on Wednesday. The move comes as the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) both lost 0.5% on the day. The banking-focused crypto is falling along with much of the market as investors await Friday' ...
Citadel CEO Griffin expects Fed to cut rates once more this year, says in CNBC interview
Reuters· 2025-09-25 18:08
Citadel CEO Ken Griffin expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates one more time this year, he said on Thursday in a CNBC interview. ...
Could the Fed skip a rate cut next month?
MarketWatch· 2025-09-25 16:39
Economic data has been stronger than expected and several voting members of Federal Reserve's interest-rate committee have expressed caution about easing. ...
How Bitcoin Traders Are Preparing Ahead of Inflation Data—And What Comes Next
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 16:30
Market Overview - Bitcoin is currently priced at $111,336, experiencing a decline of 1.8% in the last 24 hours and 5.4% over the past week [1] - There is skepticism among users of Myriad regarding Bitcoin reaching $125,000 soon, with 61% predicting a drop to $105,000 before hitting an all-time high [2] Economic Indicators - The upcoming PCE print is crucial as it serves as the Fed's inflation gauge, with expectations of a year-over-year reading between 2.7% and 2.9% [3] - Economists predict the core personal consumption expenditures will be on the higher end at 2.99% according to estimates from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland [4] Federal Reserve Expectations - Investors currently see an 83.4% chance of the Fed lowering interest rates at the next FOMC meeting, with the likelihood of rates remaining unchanged increasing from 8.1% to 16.6% in the past week [5] - The market anticipates a high inflation number, yet digital assets are under pressure, indicating a potential disconnect [5] Market Sentiment and Liquidations - Recent declines in crypto sentiment and prices have led to significant liquidations, totaling over $442 million, particularly affecting Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana [5] - There is a noted selling pressure between $115,000 and $119,000, suggesting profit-taking among traders who believe the bull run may be concluding [6]
Trump Tariffs Fueling Inflation, Warn Economists As 72% Of CPI Components Surge Past Fed's Target: 'Inflation Risks Are Rising'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 03:31
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. Inflationary pressures continue to mount, reemerging as the top concern among economists and market watchers, who place the blame squarely on President Donald Trump’s trade and tariff policies. Inflationary Risks ‘Are Rising’ On Tuesday, The Kobeissi Letter warned in a post on X that “Inflation risks are rising,” noting that “72% of CPI components are now surging faster than the Fed's 2% target,” which it ...
Stocks fall, dollar rises as data dampens policy easing hopes
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 02:32
By Sinéad Carew and Marc Jones NEW YORK/ LONDON (Reuters) -MSCI's global equities gauge lost ground while the dollar rose as investors worried that Thursday's surprisingly strong U.S. economic data would make the Federal Reserve more cautious about cutting interest rates. U.S. Treasury yields also rose after the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said the U.S. economy grew faster than previously thought in the second quarter, pumped up by an ebb in imports and a pickup in consumer spending ...
Australia's inflation tops one-year high in August, rate cut bets soften
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-24 01:43
By Stella Qiu SYDNEY (Reuters) -Australian consumer prices rose at the fastest annual pace in a year in August after a hot July, suggesting some upside to inflation that prompted markets to pare back the chances of imminent policy easing. The Australian dollar rose 0.3% to $0.6619, while three-year government bond futures fell 7 ticks to 96.45, the lowest in three weeks. Investors doubled down on bets that the Reserve Bank of Australia will skip a move in interest rates next week given the recent flow o ...