Hey everyone, and thanks for jumping back into the Equityverse. Today we're going to talk about the year-to- date ROI of the S&P 500. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Making a lot of short videos. As I said, I'll be traveling uh for the next week or so.Uh so, by the time you see these videos, you know, who knows how old they're going to be, but I just want ...

All right, let's start with the Fed, but we've got a lot of ground to cover. Um, what are your expectations when it comes to the outlook. I think we all know there's not going to be a cut, but when we're talking about the outlook, what are you expecting and how do you see that impacting the markets in the near term.Yeah, it's a good question. I think um the focus will really be on the number of uh cuts that going to be pencileled in. Our expectation is going to be that it's going to be around two cuts still ...

Market Dynamics & Investment Strategy - The market economy is inherently subject to boom and bust cycles, even with Federal Reserve intervention [1] - For active portfolio management, gaining a personal understanding of the economy is crucial [2] - Index funds are recommended for bedrock investing, while individual stocks are suitable for discretionary investments [2] Economic Indicators & Sector Sensitivity - Key stock groups can signal an impending economic slowdown, especially when employment numbers are strong [4] - Certain sectors are more economically sensitive and tend to be affected early in a recession [4] Information Sources - Traditional methods are still necessary to understand the economy [4] - Stay informed through various channels, including following Jim Kramer on X (formerly Twitter), emailing madmoney@cnbc.com, or visiting madmoney.cnbc.com [5]

All right, let's talk markets. Ahead of a big week, investors paying close attention to fighting between Israel and Iran as well as the Fed. The central bank's going to be issuing its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday.And right now, we want to bring in Lori Calvacina. She is head of US equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. And Lori, we thought we had a little bit of idea of how the markets were headed.We've been looking at inflation coming down. We thought maybe that was going to help the Fed get ...

In 2014-15, we had what uh economists call a silent recession in the US. We didn't see growth contract for the whole country. But in this area and other manufacturing areas, there was a big downturn.Um what was it like here. Uh it was bad. People have adapted.I think the uh frenzy that went on after uh were coming into 14 were uh especially the oil companies, the big independents that were drilling uh just to drill as much as they could, just to get as much oil as they could. Uh they learned a lesson in tha ...

K. Thank you. That's NBC's Kier Simmons.You bet. Joining us now, Goldman Sachs of Vice Chairman Rob Kaplan, who is former Dallas Sed president. And you know what we're going to talk about.Obviously, we're CPI, PPI, things like that. Uh Rob, but uh at this point uh we have um uh obviously been sort of upended uh by what happened in the last 24 hours or so. Does it change anything for for as far as the Fed's calculus goes.Um I think the market reaction there's a market reaction obviously in oil. You see gold ...

Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - The market has shown resilience with a V-shaped recovery, and investors should embrace volatility as it favors long-term value buyers [1] - Despite major market averages being in the black for the year, many individual stocks, especially in the Russell 2000, are still down significantly, presenting value opportunities [4] - Stock picking is expected to outperform buying indexes, offering better sleep-at-night valuations and generous dividend yields [11] Undervalued Sectors & Stocks - The energy sector, particularly Sevitas Resources, is attractive due to being hit hard, offering a big dividend yield and low PE ratio while remaining profitable [5][6] - Pharmaceutical companies like Merc are viewed as high quality, trading at a PE around 11 with a 4% dividend yield, lower than its historical valuation [6] - Whirlpool, the appliance maker, offers a yield over 7% with a PE in the 9-10 range, anticipating support from lower interest rates later in the year [8] - Target, the discount retailer, has a low valuation relative to its history and a dividend yield pushing 5% [8][9] - UPS, the package shipping company, aligns with the theme of low valuations and generous dividend yields [9] Economic Outlook & Fed Policy - Good news rate cuts are anticipated throughout the year, although immediate cuts are unlikely due to tariff uncertainties and high inflation expectations [12][13] - Historically, stocks have performed well regardless of Fed tightening or easing, rising or falling interest rates, or high or low inflation [14] - Value stocks have historically lost only a couple percent on average during recessions, with spectacular returns of 30-40% coming out of recessions [15][16] Portfolio Valuation - The portfolio's forward earnings trade at 14 times, compared to the S&P 500's 23 times forward earnings [10] - The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 250 basis points (25%) versus 130 basis points (13%) for the S&P 500 [10]

Major companies like Walmart, Mattel, and Ford have all suggested they're going to need to raise consumer prices as the tariffs hit them. Some companies have already had to raise prices, like Stanley Black and Dicker. So, here's what you said.Nobody's making this stuff up. Here's what you said. Walmart will be absorbing some of the tariffs.Some may get passed on to consumers. Do American consumers pay the tariffs. Again, uh, Senator, you are cherry-picking because Walmart makes decisions based on their cust ...

Economic Outlook - JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns that the U.S. economy may face deteriorating conditions soon, potentially undermining a soft landing [1] - Dimon emphasizes that economic surveys indicating reduced business and consumer confidence do not accurately predict inflection points in the economy [2] - He anticipates slight decreases in employment and slight increases in inflation, attributing some economic weakness to reduced immigration affecting the labor market [3] Private Credit Market Concerns - Dimon expresses concerns about the private credit markets if a recession occurs, noting that banks face different risks compared to investors [6] - He advises against purchasing credit at current prices and spreads, indicating that the market is less attractive [6] Recession Possibility - Dimon maintains that a recession remains a possibility, stating it should not be ruled out at this point [7] - He previously indicated that a recession is a "likely outcome" for the economy, especially in light of recent tariff negotiations [7][8] - Following the Trump administration's tariff adjustments, JPMorgan economists lowered the probability of a recession this year from 60% to below 50% [11]

Market Performance & Influencers - Since October 2022, CPI reports have dominated market gains with a 16 percentage point increase [3] - Post-Trump election, jobs data turned negative, down 5 percentage points [3] - CPI's impact has flattened since November, introducing volatility [4] - Fed days continue to drag stocks lower [4] Bond Market & Yields - Fed decisions are the biggest movers for bonds, pushing the 10-year yield down 98 basis points [6] - Since November, jobs data has added 26 basis points to the 10-year yield, signaling concerns about sticky inflation [7] - A recent jobs report drove the 10-year yield up 10 basis points [7] Economic Concerns - Investors fear slowing growth and potential recession instead of cheering cooling inflation [4] - Significantly lower yields could signal doubts about the reflation trade and economic trouble [6]