Core Viewpoint - The White House is considering Kevin Hasset as the front runner to replace Jay Powell as the chairman of the Federal Reserve, amid ongoing discussions about interest rate cuts and economic growth strategies [2][3][5]. Economic Outlook - Interest rates are currently up, but there is an 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the upcoming December meeting [5]. - The government shutdown has negatively impacted economic data, but a rebound is expected in the first quarter of the following year [7][8]. - GDP growth has been strong, with growth rates in the fours for the last two quarters, indicating a potential for continued economic expansion [7]. Artificial Intelligence Impact - Concerns are emerging about job losses due to AI efficiencies, although new job creation is anticipated [9][10]. - AI is expected to drive a 4% productivity increase next year, allowing firms to meet demand without significantly increasing hiring [12][14]. - Real wage growth is reportedly high, reversing previous declines, and contributing to increased consumer spending power [14][40]. Federal Reserve Strategy - The Federal Reserve is advised to cautiously reduce interest rates to support economic growth, especially in light of productivity gains from AI [7][20]. - Historical parallels are drawn to the 1990s productivity boom, suggesting that the current AI-driven productivity surge could lead to similar economic growth without inflationary pressures [21][22]. Tariff and Trade Policy - The Supreme Court is expected to make a decision regarding President Trump's tariffs, which have generated significant revenue but also raised concerns about potential economic disruptions [26][34]. - Tariff revenues have reached approximately $280 billion annually, with expectations of further increases as domestic production rises [52][54]. Housing and Affordability Initiatives - The administration is focused on making housing more affordable and is working on new initiatives to address affordability challenges faced by families [39][43]. - The introduction of "Trump accounts" for newborns aims to instill financial literacy and provide a financial foundation for future generations [48][50]. Healthcare and Drug Pricing - The administration is advocating for policies to lower prescription drug prices and improve healthcare affordability, building on previous successes in reducing drug costs [60][62].

Trump doubled down on his pacifist credentials, celebrating a treaty he negotiated in Africa with a banner delivering peace. But he had an unusual choice of pre-show music. >> Yes, it's the most inappropriate music choice since that famous footage of the Hindenburg.girl is on fire. >> I think they liked each other a lot. I spent time with them.I think they liked the Some people may be surprised. I really do. I think they they've spent a lot of time killing each other and now they're going to spend a lot of ...

Core Insights - IKEA is planning to increase its sourcing of products from factories located in the United States due to rising import costs driven by tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump [1] Group 1 - The decision to source more products domestically is a response to the increased costs associated with importing items such as bookcases, mattresses, and sofas [1]

Let's bring in Mark Summerland, Evanflow of Evanflow macro Managing Partner, and Steve Moore, Unleash Prosperity co-founder and former Trump adviser. Uh so gentlemen, remember the day. It wasn't too long ago uh when during the Biden inflationary period, the media was saying everything was great despite the fact that the substantive facts, the the the the data we were getting all showed it wasn't so great.That inflation wasn't just transitory. that that that investment wasn't drying up or was drying up and a ...

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] Investment Opportunity - A specific company is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity, possessing critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI data centers [3][7] - This company is not a chipmaker or cloud platform but is positioned to benefit significantly from the anticipated surge in electricity demand driven by AI technologies [3][6] Energy Demand and Infrastructure - AI technologies, particularly large language models like ChatGPT, are extremely energy-intensive, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities [2] - The company is involved in the U.S. LNG exportation sector, which is expected to grow under the current administration's energy policies [7] Financial Position - The company is noted for being debt-free and having a substantial cash reserve, amounting to nearly one-third of its market capitalization, which positions it favorably compared to other energy firms burdened with debt [8] - It is trading at less than 7 times earnings, indicating a potentially undervalued investment opportunity [10] Market Trends - The company is strategically aligned with several market trends, including the AI infrastructure supercycle, the onshoring boom due to tariffs, and the surge in U.S. LNG exports [14] - There is a growing interest from hedge funds in this company, suggesting that it is gaining recognition among sophisticated investors [9] Future Outlook - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive continuous innovation and advancements, making investments in AI a strategic move for future growth [12] - The company is positioned to capitalize on the intersection of AI and energy, which is seen as a critical area for investment in the coming years [6][11]

Core Viewpoint - Build-A-Bear Workshop's profits have been significantly impacted by tariffs, leading to a sharp decline in its stock price and earnings [1][4]. Financial Performance - Build-A-Bear's revenue increased by 2.7% year over year to $122.7 million in the fiscal third quarter ended November 1 [2]. - The company's pre-tax income fell by 18% to $10.7 million, primarily due to $4 million in tariff-related costs [4]. - Earnings per share decreased by 15% to $0.62 [4]. Expansion Plans - Build-A-Bear opened 24 net new stores during the quarter, bringing the total store count to 651 [2]. - The company plans to open at least 60 net new stores and aims for mid-to-high-single-digit revenue growth [5]. - The CEO emphasized the focus on global expansion and strategic initiatives despite the challenging economic environment [5]. Market Data - Build-A-Bear's current market capitalization is $1 billion, with a stock price decline of 15.54% to $48.48 [3]. - The stock has a 52-week range of $32.55 to $75.85 [4]. - The gross margin stands at 56.32%, and the dividend yield is 1.53% [4].

Core Viewpoint - Costco is taking legal action to recover funds paid for tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, while also enhancing its board with the nomination of Gina Raimondo, former Commerce Secretary, to leverage her extensive experience in global business and politics [2][4]. Group 1: Legal Actions and Tariffs - Costco has filed a federal lawsuit seeking to recover the money it has paid this year for tariffs that are currently under legal dispute [4]. - The lawsuit requests a federal court to order the return of tariff payments without waiting for the Supreme Court's ruling on their legality [4]. - The retailer expresses concern that without such an order, it may not be able to reclaim the funds even if the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs [4]. Group 2: Board of Directors - Costco has nominated Gina Raimondo, former Secretary of Commerce, to its board of directors [2]. - The Chairman of Costco, Tony James, highlighted Raimondo's extensive experience in global business, politics, and international security as a valuable addition to the board [2]. - Raimondo's background includes serving as Rhode Island's treasurer and working in venture capital prior to her role in the Biden administration [2].

And a great story on the Bloomberg terminal, Mohammed, about you and your team and really just the decision making you guys had to make back in April, back in March. And, well, a lot of people were bailing or at least thinking about bailing on US assets. You stood firm and you've reaped the benefits.Explain why. Thank you, Romain. Thank you, David, for having me.I think the context is at that time there was plenty of uncertainty and the view was that this tariff related uncertainty will further add to the c ...

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgency to invest now [1][13] - The energy demands of AI technologies are highlighted, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities, leading to concerns about power grid strain and rising electricity prices [2][3] Investment Opportunity - A specific company is positioned as a critical player in the AI energy sector, owning essential energy infrastructure assets that will benefit from the increasing energy demands of AI [3][7] - This company is not a chipmaker or cloud platform but is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, collecting fees from energy exports [5][6] Financial Position - The company is noted for being debt-free and holding a significant cash reserve, amounting to nearly one-third of its market capitalization, which positions it favorably compared to other energy firms burdened with debt [8][10] - It is trading at less than 7 times earnings, indicating a potentially undervalued investment opportunity in the context of its critical role in the AI and energy sectors [10][12] Market Trends - The article discusses the broader trends of onshoring driven by tariffs and a surge in U.S. LNG exports, which the company is well-positioned to capitalize on [14][5] - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive rapid advancements and innovation, further solidifying the importance of investing in AI-related companies [12][11] Future Outlook - The company is described as having a unique footprint in nuclear energy, which is positioned as a future source of clean and reliable power, aligning with the growing energy needs of AI [7][14] - The potential for significant returns is emphasized, with projections of over 100% return within 12 to 24 months for investors who act quickly [15][19]

Group 1: Impact of Tariffs on Home Construction - President Trump's tariffs have increased builder costs by $7,500 to $10,000 per home, according to estimates from U.S. homebuilders [1] - Rising lumber prices are expected to add about $4,900 per home on average, significantly impacting the home construction industry [2] - A $1,000 increase in the median price of a new home can disqualify approximately 106,000 potential buyers [1] Group 2: North American Builder's Supply Bankruptcy - North American Builder's Supply filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on December 3, 2025, reporting estimated assets and liabilities between $500,001 and $1 million [5][7] - The bankruptcy filing is attributed to financial distress, including claims and a lawsuit from creditor Proventure Capital LLC, indicating creditor pressure and litigation [7] - The Chapter 11 filing suggests the company may be seeking reorganization rather than outright liquidation [8]