Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the forecast of severe weather conditions, including heavy rainfall and strong convective weather, affecting various regions in China from June 18 to June 21, 2023 [1][2][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Weather Forecast - From June 18 to June 21, regions including southern Shaanxi, southwestern areas, western Jiangnan, Jianghan, Huanghuai, and western Guangxi are expected to experience a strong rainfall event, with some areas facing heavy to torrential rain [2][6]. - Specific forecasts indicate that from June 18, 08:00 to June 19, 08:00, areas such as northeastern and southern Sichuan, most of Chongqing, northern Guizhou, northern Hunan, and most of Hubei will see heavy rainfall, with some regions experiencing torrential rain (100-180 mm) [2][6]. Severe Weather Alerts - The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a yellow warning for heavy rain on June 18, indicating potential risks of urban flooding and secondary disasters [2][5]. - A blue warning for severe convective weather was also issued, predicting strong winds and hail in regions including Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, and parts of North China and Huanghuai [3][5]. Rainfall Predictions - Rainfall predictions for June 19 indicate that northeastern regions, eastern Tibet, southern North China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, and parts of Jiangnan will experience moderate to heavy rain, with some areas facing heavy rain or torrential rain (100-200 mm) [8][10]. - The forecast for June 20 shows that areas such as central and eastern Heilongjiang, southeastern Tibet, and parts of Huanghuai and Jiangnan will also see moderate to heavy rain, with certain regions expecting heavy rainfall [10][13].

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Province has initiated a Level IV flood emergency response due to heavy rainfall and the overflow of water levels in major reservoirs, with significant rainfall expected from June 15 to 16 [1][2][3] Group 1: Weather Conditions - A wide range of thunderstorms occurred in Zhejiang on June 14, with localized heavy rainfall and strong convective weather, including winds of 8 to 10 levels [2] - Rainfall from 8 AM on June 14 to 8 AM on June 15 exceeded 100 mm in 39 towns, with the highest recorded at 146 mm in Ningbo [2] - Meteorological departments predict localized heavy rain in several cities including Hangzhou, Jinhua, and Ningbo on the afternoon and night of June 15 [2][3] Group 2: Flood Response and Impact - As of June 15, 11:15 AM, 21 large and medium-sized reservoirs in Zhejiang exceeded flood control water levels, prompting the release of water from Yuhang Siling Reservoir to ensure safety [2] - The flood blue warning was issued for the Hangjiahu Plain, affecting areas including Hangzhou and Jiaxing, with a warning period from June 15 to 16 [2] - The risk of geological disasters, urban flooding, and small stream flash floods is heightened due to overlapping heavy rainfall areas [3]

智通财经6月15日电，今日我国南北方的降雨都将持续，南方的强降雨将集中在江南一带，北方在内蒙 古东南部或现同期少见的强降雨，仍需注意防范。明天起，随着冷空气和降雨的影响减弱或结束，我国 多地气温将迅速反弹，预计明天至18日，从华北南部、黄淮到四川盆地、江南北部将出现成片的高温， 四川盆地东部到河南、山东中西部可超38℃，河南中北部的最高气温更是会成片达到或超过40℃。 南方强降雨持续 明天起我国高温发展增多 ...

央视网消息：6月14日，中央气象台发布每日天气提示，今天主要关注的是今年第1号台风"蝴蝶"未来对 我国造成的风雨影响以及华北、内蒙古、东北一带的降雨及强对流天气，台风黄色预警、暴雨黄色预 警、强对流天气蓝色预警正在生效中。其中，"蝴蝶"今天中午前后将在广东雷州到广西北海一带沿海二 次登陆，而后继续向东北方向移动，广西、广东交界处将出现强降雨，公众要警惕次生灾害。 "蝴蝶"今天将二次登陆。台风"蝴蝶"昨晚11点前后在海南省东方市沿海登陆，登陆时减弱为强热带风暴 级，中心附近最大风力11级（30米/秒）。目前，"蝴蝶"已移入北部湾， 8点钟其中心位于广东省雷州市 西南方约140公里的海面上，强度为台风级，中心附近最大风力有12级（33米/秒）。预计，它将以每小 时20～25公里的速度向东北方向移动，将于14日中午前后在广东雷州到广西北海一带沿海登陆（强热带 风暴级或台风级，11～12级，30～35米/秒），登陆后强度逐渐减弱。 华南、江南警惕强降雨影响。受台风"蝴蝶"、西南季风以及北方冷空气的共同影响，今明两天，华南、 江南等地将出现强降雨。其中今天，广东大部、广西东部、海南岛中北部、福建东南部、湖南南部等地 有 ...

今天5时，"蝴蝶"的中心位于广东省雷州市西南方约185公里的北部湾海面上，预计"蝴蝶"将以每小时20 到25公里的速度向东北方向移动，将于今天中午前后在广东雷州到广西北海一带沿海登陆，登陆后强度 逐渐减弱。 受台风影响，广东、广西、海南等地今明天强风雨持续，今夜起随着冷空气南下与台风外围环流结合， 湖南、江西、浙江、福建也将有强降雨。另外，今起三天华北地区、内蒙古中东部、东北地区等地有一 次明显的降雨过程，部分地区有中到大雨，局地暴雨，并伴有短时雷雨大风或冰雹等强对流天气。 具体来看，今天，广东大部、广西东部、海南岛中北部、福建东南部、湖南南部、山西东北部、京津冀 大部、内蒙古中部及河南东南部、湖北东部、安徽西部和南部、江西东北部、四川南部、云南东北部、 贵州西南部等地有大到暴雨，其中，广东西部、广西东部等地部分地区有大暴雨，局地特大暴雨。 央视网消息：据中国天气网，今年第1号台风"蝴蝶"将在今天（6月14日）中午前后于广东雷州到广西北 海一带沿海登陆，登陆后它将深入内陆，并与冷空气结合，给广东、广西、江西、浙江等地带来强降 雨，部分地区累计雨量有一定极端性。同时，华北地区、内蒙古中东部、东北地区等地今起三天 ...

今后四天这轮既有爆发力，又有耐力的降雨过程仍将继续，中央气象台预计，今天夜间至10日，江汉、 江淮、江南、华南及西南地区东部等地将有中到大雨，江南北部、江淮等地部分地区有暴雨、局地大暴 雨，上述部分地区伴有短时强降水，局地有雷暴大风等强对流天气。 今天夜间，中央气象台继续发布了暴雨黄色预警和强对流天气蓝色预警。预计，今天夜间到明天，江苏 南部、安徽南部、上海、浙江北部和西部、江西北部、湖北东南部、湖南北部、贵州中南部、广西西北 部等地部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，安徽南部、湖北东南部、江西北部、浙江西北部、湖南东北部等地 部分地区有大暴雨。 明天夜间到后天，安徽东南部、江西东北部、浙江西南部、湖南西南部、广西西北部等地部分地区有暴 雨到大暴雨。 同时，今后三天，内蒙古东部、东北一带今后三天多阵雨、雷阵雨，局地伴有雷暴大风等强对流天气。 央视网消息：据中国天气网消息，昨天夜间开始，南方新一轮强降雨过程来势汹汹，长江沿线多地遭遇 了猛烈降雨，降雨持续时间长而且"爆发力"强。 重庆、湖北、安徽、江苏等部分地区出现了短时强降水，像安徽芜湖7时至8时单小时雨量达79.8毫米， 打破了当地观测史单小时雨量纪录。江苏扬州今天清 ...

央视网消息：据中国天气网，今明两天（6月4日至5日），全国大部晴多雨少，后天起，江汉、江淮、 江南、华南等地将先后迎来大范围降雨，局地雨势猛烈，并伴有强对流天气。降雨间歇期间，南方大部 气温升高，多地有望迎来今年首个高温日，闷热难耐。北方则以干热暴晒为主，华北、黄淮等地高温天 气将发展增多。 全国大部晴多雨少 后天起江汉江淮等地降雨来袭 昨天，我国较强降雨主要出现在华南沿海等地。监测显示，昨天8时至今天6时，台湾岛出现暴雨到大暴 雨，云南中部出现中到大雨，局地暴雨。 今明两天，全国大部晴朗天气居多，降雨主要出现在华南沿海、东北地区和云南等地。随着副热带高压 加强北抬，引导大量暖湿气流北上，后天起江汉、江淮、江南、华南等地将先后迎来降雨。 中央气象台预计，今天，黑龙江西北部、西藏东南部、青海南部、云南东南部、台湾岛等地部分地区有 中到大雨，其中，台湾岛中南部等地部分地区有暴雨或大暴雨。 华北黄淮等地干热暴晒 江南华南等地闷热难耐 本周中后段，北方大部升温是主旋律，华北、黄淮和新疆等地干热暴晒模式持续，35℃及以上的高温天 气将逐渐增多增强。以吐鲁番盆地为核心的新疆高温区，高温强度更大，且持续时间长，吐鲁番、托克 ...

Group 1 - The central region of China, particularly the Yangtze River middle and lower reaches, is experiencing significant rainfall, with heavy rain expected to continue over the holiday period [1][2][5] - The rain is forecasted to shift southward, affecting regions in South China, with warnings for potential severe weather including thunderstorms and strong winds [2][5] - The northeastern region is experiencing a cooling trend due to the movement of cold air, contrasting with the hot and humid conditions in South China, where temperatures may feel above 40°C [6] Group 2 - Specific areas such as Anhui, Zhejiang, and Jiangxi are currently facing heavy rain and localized flooding, with some regions reporting extreme weather conditions [2][5] - The forecast indicates that the heavy rainfall will persist in the central and southern parts of China, with warnings for potential flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas [3][4] - The temperature fluctuations in northern regions are notable, with cities like Harbin and Changchun experiencing much cooler weather compared to the high temperatures in southern cities like Nanning and Haikou [6]

预计，5月31日至6月1日白天广西以多云到阴天为主，左右江河谷将有高温天气，1日夜间开始天气 将大转折，受高空槽、切变线影响，1日夜间至2日广西自北向南有大雨到暴雨、局地大暴雨并伴有短时 雷暴大风等强对流天气过程，预计桂北累计雨量为50—150毫米、局地200毫米以上，桂南20—50毫米、 局地80毫米以上，最大小时雨量50—70毫米、局地90毫米以上。 气温方面，在西南暖低压控制下，5月31日起开启潮湿闷热"桑拿天"模式，左右江河谷的崇左、百 色、南宁等多地最高气温将飙升至35℃或以上，局地高达38℃以上。另外，31日—6月1日，受西南暖低 压影响，全区大部午后将刮起6—7级的偏南阵风。（周映） 具体来看，5月31日，全区多云到阴天有阵雨或雷雨，其中桂东北及沿海地区局地有大雨或暴雨并 伴有短时雷暴大风等强对流天气；6月1日，桂北由阵雨转大雨到暴雨、局地大暴雨并伴有短时雷暴大风 等强对流天气，其他地区多云到阴天有阵雨或雷雨、局地大雨或暴雨；6月2日，桂西、桂南部分地区有 大雨、局地暴雨或大暴雨并伴有短时雷暴大风等强对流天气，其他地区多云到阴天有阵雨、局地大雨； 6月3日，全区多云到阴天，其中桂西和桂东南有阵雨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The southern region of China is expected to experience the strongest rainfall of the year from May 27 to 29, with a high risk of heavy rain disasters due to the overlap with previous rainfall areas [1][34]. Group 1: Potential Geological Disasters - Strong rainfall may lead to geological disasters such as landslides, mudslides, ground subsidence, and fissures [4][34]. - Areas at high risk for geological disasters include steep slopes, valleys, and regions with mining activities or previous geological incidents [8][34]. Group 2: Signs Before Geological Disasters - Signs of impending geological disasters include muddy water in streams, movement at the foot of slopes, and unusual animal behavior [11][14]. - Specific signs for landslides include the appearance of cracks, sudden changes in water levels, and tilting trees [15][16]. - For collapses, signs include expanding cracks and falling rocks, while mudslides may be indicated by sudden changes in river flow and unusual sounds [20][22]. - Ground subsidence may be preceded by sudden changes in water levels and the appearance of circular cracks [23][34]. Group 3: Emergency Preparedness and Response - Residents should prepare emergency supplies and maintain communication tools before heavy rainfall [27][32]. - In the event of a landslide, mudslide, or collapse, individuals should evacuate quickly to higher ground and avoid low-lying areas [28][30]. - It is advised to minimize outdoor activities and carry a long pole when walking to avoid hazards like missing manhole covers [31][34].