FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged Thursday for the fourth meeting in a row as the economy in the 20 countries that use the euro increasingly looks strong enough to get by without the stimulus of lower borrowing costs for businesses and consumers. Bank President Christine Lagarde said that while the economy had remained “resilient,” there was too much uncertainty over trade and international conflicts to give any hints about future moves. “We reconfirmed th ...

Australia’s debt manager has cut its bond issuance plans for the fiscal year ending June 2026 more than expected, after the government forecasted stronger revenue from improved economic growth https://t.co/SdfwD56gJp ...

You know, obviously there's there's been a volatile element that has come into the AI sentiment here. >> Absolutely. >> A lot of it is centered around Oracle and sort of funding of these projects, private credit and its involvement in all of this.Like what are your thoughts on this. Yeah, I mean we've definitely seen um you know some concern building you know kind of within the markets you know just in terms of the amount of capex that is being committed you know kind of Oracle and the open AI kind of side ...

France’s economy is set to keep growing through the first half of next year, overcoming heightened political and budget uncertainty. https://t.co/VSDAC67MGp ...

There's no doubt that the Western world needs Europe to be more successful. We need to see higher economic growth in Europe. We need to see more innovation. We need to see more consumer demand for goods and services because the Western world will only be strong and prosperous if we have a strong and prosperous Europe.>> What does the road ahead to get that strong and prosperous Europe look like. How do we get there. Look, I think I think Mario Draghi did a fantastic job putting forth a playbook for how to r ...

Core Insights - The last time the Consumer Price Index rose by less than 1% over 12 months without a pandemic was in July 2016 [1] - Kevin Hassett predicts a potential return to low inflation and strong economic growth similar to the late 2010s, with a target inflation rate of 1% and economic growth of 3% [2][3] - Achieving a 1% inflation rate would significantly benefit consumers, extending the time for prices to double from 24 years to approximately 72 years [2] Economic Outlook - A combination of 1% inflation and 3% economic growth is seen as possible but unlikely in the near term, as inflation has not been below the Federal Reserve's target of 2% since 2021 [3] - Most forecasters do not expect inflation to drop below 2% for several years, indicating a challenging economic environment ahead [5] Policy Implications - Hassett believes that the economic policies from the Trump administration could eventually lead to lower inflation rates [4] - Although Hassett is not the leading candidate to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, he remains favored in prediction markets [4]

Economic Outlook - The economy is expected to perform well in the upcoming year due to a combination of factors including lower oil prices, tax cuts, and a new Federal Reserve chairman [5][25][43] - Oil prices have significantly decreased, with Brent crude below $60 per barrel and West Texas around $55, down from $80 at the start of the year, which is anticipated to lower inflation [7][21][23] Job Market - The recent jobs report showed an increase in private sector jobs, averaging 75,000 over the past three months and 88,000 over the last year, despite a decline in federal jobs by nearly 300,000 [6][10][16] - Wage growth for production workers has increased, with average hourly earnings rising at an annual rate of 1.6%, although there are concerns about tapering wage growth [11][12] Consumer Impact - Lower oil prices are viewed as a tax cut for consumers, which is expected to support household spending and overall economic growth [18][20][25] - The reduction in oil prices is seen as beneficial for lower-income individuals, who are typically more affected by price spikes [13][14] Stock Market Performance - The stock market has shown significant gains, with the S&P 500 up approximately 35% since early April, indicating positive investor sentiment about future economic conditions [40][41][42] - The Dow Jones transport index and the small cap Russell 2000 have also seen substantial increases, suggesting a broad-based market recovery [41][42] Future Projections - Anticipation of a strong economic year in 2026 is based on current trends in job openings, productivity, and capital spending [19][32][36] - The upcoming CPI report is expected to provide insights into the impact of lower oil prices on inflation [31]

Ireland’s biggest business lobby group expects economic growth to moderate in 2026 on a hiring slowdown https://t.co/ODL3heglJy ...

Let's get reaction from CBC contributor David Zervos, chief market strategist at Jeffre. David, great to see you. >> Good to see you, Melissa.>> Um, how do you how do you uh examine this data. How does this change, if at all, your view of the Fed and what it does next year. >> Well, first thing I'd say is all of this data has to be, you know, taken with a much larger grain of salt than we usually take it with.And that's a pretty large grain of salt to begin with. as the data consistently gets revised and ce ...

If you take a look and you turn back to the topic of who's going to lead the Fed and what it could mean for your portfolio, that's what our next guest is here to tell you about. His trading advice depending on who the president picks as the next Federal Reserve chair. Joining us now is Yan Silagi, the CEO and co-founder of Reflexivity, a markets AIdriven platform.And Yan, if we talk about the two Kevin, Kevin Walsh, Kevin Hasset, are there different playbooks that you have for either one of them. Maybe let' ...