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If the Fed is on your side, small caps and financials should work: Ritholtz's Josh Brown
CNBC Television· 2025-09-18 17:06
Market Trend & Strategy - The market suggests the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement approximately 1 and 3/4 more rate cuts before the end of the year, making it difficult to bet against the Fed's actions [1] - The old investment playbook of aligning with the Fed's actions remains effective [2] - Small caps and financials are identified as key sectors to watch, with potential opportunities in home builders [3] - The Russell 2000 is potentially reaching its first all-time high close since November 8th, 2021, marking a significant consolidation period [3][4] - A possible chase for performance is setting up, with a pivot towards sectors that have underperformed relatively [9] Financial Sector Analysis - Financials are trading without multiple expansion, presenting an opportunity as the sector's PE multiple remains at January levels [6] - The financial sector benefits from investor engagement, increased M&A activity, and regulatory relief [12] - Major banks like Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and JP Morgan are at 52-week or record highs [13] - Rate cuts without a recession are expected to drive a continued rally in bank stocks, influencing price target increases [14] Investment Considerations & Risks - Some argue against investing in banks outside the top six, citing the private credit market's encroachment on commercial lending and its sensitivity to net interest margin [15] - The big three (JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley) are favored due to their revenue streams from deal premiums, M&A transactions, and wealth management, making them less sensitive to interest rate moves [15][16] - Fintech companies, like SoFi, are seen as having significant upside potential due to their banking-as-a-service technology, which is less interest rate sensitive [19][20]
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Fed Sparks Volatility – Pulls Back From $3,707 Peak
FX Empire· 2025-09-17 20:36
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for any financial actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1].
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-09-17 17:06
I sat down with @DariusDale42 to discuss the regime change at the Fed and how their actions have led to a K-shaped economy that isn't working for many Americans. https://t.co/39a83aYYsm ...
X @Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Magazine· 2025-09-17 16:58
Cryptocurrency & Monetary Policy - The report likely discusses the comparison between Bitcoin and the Federal Reserve (the Fed) [1] - The analysis probably focuses on the decentralized nature of Bitcoin versus the centralized control of the Fed [1] - The discussion may involve the potential impact of Bitcoin on traditional monetary policy [1]
Markets Are Fine With Trump's Grip on the Fed. Look at Them Soar.
Barrons· 2025-09-17 05:00
Core Viewpoint - The actions of the Trump administration regarding the Federal Reserve will not hinder the profitability of companies that drive the stock market [1] Group 1 - The Trump administration's influence on the Federal Reserve is not expected to impact the cash generation capabilities of profit-driven companies [1]
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-09-16 12:10
The US economy has succeeded this year despite the Fed working against it.Imagine what happens when the Fed cuts rates this week… ...
Morning Bid: Dollar takes Fed heat
Reuters· 2025-09-16 10:37
Group 1 - The article discusses the current state of U.S. and global markets, highlighting key economic indicators and trends affecting investment decisions [1] - It emphasizes the impact of inflation rates and interest rate adjustments by central banks on market performance [1] - The article notes significant fluctuations in stock prices and commodities, driven by geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions [1] Group 2 - The analysis includes a review of recent earnings reports from major companies, indicating varied performance across sectors [1] - It points out the technology sector's resilience despite broader market volatility, with some companies reporting strong revenue growth [1] - The article also mentions the ongoing challenges faced by the energy sector, particularly in relation to fluctuating oil prices and regulatory changes [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-16 10:25
Stagflation is the Fed's worst nightmare, and it could be on the way (via @opinion) https://t.co/VHrdaheOzj ...
X @Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes· 2025-09-15 03:02
I can't wait for KBW. I'm on at 10:40am next Tue the 23rd. My speech entitled "Four, Seven" will be a discussion for how Trump takes control of the Fed by 1H2026 and begins to ramp up money printing. ...
Stock Markets Surge Amid Jobs Slowdown. Trump Tariffs, Stagflation Could Ruin the Party.
Barrons· 2025-09-12 10:45
Group 1 - Latest inflation data is not expected to disrupt the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy [1] - Trump is advocating for the removal of Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board [1] - Paramount's Skydance is considering a bid for Warner Bros. Discovery [1]