Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team covers medium and small-cap markets, as well as blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's content includes insights across various sectors such as biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]

It's time now for the big picture. Let's welcome in Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research. Very good morning to you, Kathy.Great day to have you on ahead of this FOMC decision. Why has the 10ear been up around 420. >> Well, I think what you're seeing is the market isn't buying the need for rate cuts.Um, there are a number of things that go into the 10-year. there's, you know, big term premium, that risk premium people demand to hold longerterm bonds. And I think th ...

分组1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, with over 90% probability according to the Fed watch tool [1] - Market focus will be on the Fed's commentary and economic projections, particularly regarding the potential for further rate cuts in 2026 [2][3] - There is a possibility of three dissenting opinions within the Fed regarding the pace of rate cuts, which could lead to market volatility [4][5] 分组2 - GE Vernova has updated its revenue guidance for 2028 to $52 billion, up from a previous estimate of $45 billion, and expects an EBITDA margin of 20%, increased from 14% [12] - The company has a backlog of orders, particularly for gas turbines, indicating strong demand and a positive outlook for profitability [13][14] - Analysts have raised their price targets for GE Vernova, with JP Morgan Chase increasing it to $1,000 and Barclays to $800, both maintaining an overweight rating [15] 分组3 - Palantir has secured a $448 million deal with the US Navy to integrate its AIP platform into shipbuilding processes, enhancing efficiency through AI [16][17] - The deal, while nominally small, signifies Palantir's growing presence in government contracts and the industrial sector [18] - Success in government contracts could lead to increased commercial business for Palantir in the coming years [19]

Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson thinks the Fed has been slow to cut rates into the start of a new bull market, which could mean more rate cuts in 2026 than expected, supporting stocks. Wilson's view underpins Morgan Stanley's bullish take on U.S. stocks, contrasting others' calls for anemic growth in the coming years. Investors can find confirmation that a new bull market began in April in S&P 500 constituents' earnings, which are now growing close to 10%, the best in four years, according to Wilson. "That ...

watch nowWhile markets expect Kevin Hassett to be named the next Federal Reserve chair, he is pointedly not the choice of respondents to the CNBC Fed Survey.The December survey shows 84% believe President Donald Trump will tap Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, to head the central bank. But only 11% think that's what the president should do. Fed Governor Christopher Waller is the favored pick of 47% of respondents, followed by Kevin Warsh at 23%. But only 5% of respondents think Trump will ...

Vista Equity Partners, head of equity capital markets. Back with me at Post9. It's been a minute. It's nice to see you again. >> Yeah, great to see you too.>> So, if software is like everything when it comes to this whole AI story, why the lagging of the market this year. What's going on. >> Look, I think 2025 was definitely the year of predictable volatility we talked about and we wanted to see proof points of software really taking on AI and becoming that AI adopter that we've talked about.And the reality ...

Market Overview - Major indices closed lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial down 0.25% at 47,739, the S&P 500 down 0.35% at 6,846, and the Nasdaq down 0.14% at 32,224, as investors await the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [2][6] Treasury Bonds - Treasury yields increased as sellers dominated the market, with the 30-year bond closing at 4.81% and the 10-year note at 4.17%, amid mixed sentiments regarding future rate policies [3] Oil and Gas - Oil prices fell due to a stronger dollar, weak economic outlook, and uncertainties surrounding the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, with Brent Crude at $62.51 (down 1.95%) and West Texas Intermediate at $58.88 (down 2%); natural gas dropped over 7% to $4.91 due to warmer temperatures and profit-taking [4] Gold - Gold prices remained flat, influenced by concerns over the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions, a stronger dollar, and profit-taking from short-term traders, with gold last seen at $4,191 [5]

Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) is perceived to be over, which is expected to provide a tailwind for the market [1][2] - Anticipation of rate cuts in the near future is expected to drive market performance in the first half of the year [2][3] Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics - Consumer spending remains strong, as evidenced by Black Friday sales, contradicting negative predictions from Wall Street [4][6] - Household net worth is at an all-time high, creating a virtuous cycle where increased net worth boosts market performance and vice versa [6][7] Investment Opportunities - There is optimism for a year-end rally, with potential for a 3-4% increase in the market before the year's end [9][10] - Specific stocks such as Amazon and Palo Alto Networks are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to their growth potential and strategic partnerships [12][13][14] Market Trends and Predictions - The market has shown resilience, bouncing back after recent downturns, and there is a belief that breaking new highs could trigger further rallies [9][10] - The current growth cycle is expected to continue for at least nine more months, suggesting a favorable environment for equities [11]

Core Viewpoint - Rate-sensitive stocks, particularly in the airline and trucking sectors, experienced a significant increase this week [1] Group 1: Industry Impact - Airlines and truckers, categorized as rate-sensitive stocks, saw a notable jump in their stock prices this week [1]

Market Overview - Bitcoin fell below $90,000 due to liquidation pressure, weak ETF demand, and macroeconomic uncertainty, marking a significant breakdown after attempts to reclaim the $94,000–$95,000 range [1] - Nearly $500 million was liquidated across exchanges, with approximately $420 million in long positions and over 140,000 traders affected within a 24-hour period [2] ETF Demand and Flows - BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust experienced six consecutive weeks of outflows totaling more than $2.8 billion, indicating a declining institutional appetite [3] - US Bitcoin ETFs saw an outflow of nearly $195 million on December 4, 2025, further reflecting weak demand [4] Macro Economic Factors - The Bank of Japan's indication of a potential rate hike added pressure to global risk assets, while traders derisked ahead of the US PCE inflation release, keeping Bitcoin in a cautious holding pattern [4] - The latest US PCE data showed cooling core inflation but remained above the Federal Reserve's target, leading to cautious market reactions [5] Mining and On-Chain Activity - Increased miner stress was noted due to rising energy costs and a falling hashrate, with high-cost operators liquidating BTC to maintain solvency [6] - On-chain flows indicated mixed sentiment, with some accumulation among long-term holders as Matrixport moved over 3,800 BTC into cold storage, while analysts estimated that a quarter of the circulating supply is currently underwater [6] Community Sentiment - Market analysts attributed the recent price movements to excess leverage, thin liquidity, and macro-hedging rather than coordinated price manipulation, reflecting a general sense of fear within the trading community [7]