Industry Dynamics - Cable, after a decade of share gains, now faces a very competitive and mature market [2] - Telcos are gaining share, especially with less expensive fixed wireless offerings like T-Mobile [3] - Cable companies are responding with price guarantees, which could pressure ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) [4] Company Performance (Charter Communications) - Charter's shares fell more than 18% after reporting unexpected internet customer losses in the second quarter [1] - Challenges for Charter are not going away, and the second half of the year will be difficult [6] - Charter is offering streaming services (Peacock, Max, RML Plus, Disney Plus, etc) for free to Spectrum customers, providing close to $100 in value [4] - Charter has a solid management team, a good product, and a good network [6] Media Landscape & M&A - Expects a lot of M&A activity in the media space, especially with spin-offs from Comcast (Versent) and WBD [7][8] - Warner Brothers Discovery's global networks are expected to be rolled up, and Warner Brothers with HBO Max is unlikely to remain an independent studio long-term [9] - There's bound to be a lot of movement in the media industry in the next one to two years [9]

Group 1: Company Performance - Netflix's Q2 revenue increased by 15.9% year over year to $11.1 billion, surpassing its guidance of $11.0 billion [3] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) of $7.19 exceeded projections of $7.03, reflecting a 47% growth compared to the previous year [3] - Free cash flow surged almost 87% year over year, indicating strong financial health [3] Group 2: Subscriber Growth and Market Position - Despite recent price increases in the U.S. and other markets, Netflix continues to attract new subscribers, demonstrating strong brand loyalty and competitive pricing power [5] - For Q3, Netflix is guiding for year-over-year revenue and EPS growth of 17% and 27%, respectively, with an increased full-year revenue outlook of $44.8 billion to $45.2 billion [6] - The company's ability to grow its subscriber base while raising prices suggests that customers are not highly price sensitive, indicating resilience in tougher economic conditions [9] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Netflix's extensive ecosystem of viewers allows it to leverage data for content production, enhancing viewer engagement and driving subscriber growth through network effects [7] - The introduction of a low-price, ad-supported tier and scaling of its advertising business demonstrates Netflix's adaptability in a changing streaming landscape [8] - The shift from cable to streaming presents a long-term opportunity for Netflix as the cable market continues to shrink [11] Group 4: Market Valuation - Netflix's forward price-to-earnings ratio is just under 45, significantly higher than the communication services sector average of 19.9, reflecting its market leadership and growth potential [11][12] - Despite potential short-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains positive for investors considering holding Netflix stock for five to ten years [12]

Core Insights - Netflix delivered strong quarterly performance in Q2 2025, exceeding analyst expectations and raising full-year guidance across multiple metrics [1][8] - The company has seen significant shareholder returns in 2025, with shares up approximately 35.7% year to date, outperforming competitors [2][4] Revenue Performance - Q2 2025 revenues reached $11.079 billion, marking a 16% year-over-year growth and surpassing consensus estimates [6] - Full-year 2025 revenue forecast raised to $44.8-$45.2 billion from $43.5-$44.5 billion, indicating anticipated growth of 15%-16% [6][9] - Member growth accelerated, and advertising revenues are expected to roughly double in 2025, aided by favorable currency effects [7][9] Margin Expansion - Full-year operating margin target raised to 29.5% on a currency-neutral basis, translating to approximately 30% reported operating margin for 2025 [11] - Q2 operating margin was 34%, reflecting operational efficiency while investing in content [11][12] - Free cash flow projections increased to $8.0-$8.5 billion, supporting content investment and shareholder returns [13] Content Pipeline - The second half of 2025 features a strong content lineup, including major franchises and diverse genres [14][15] - New content includes anticipated sequels and projects from acclaimed creators, enhancing global appeal [16] - Expansion into live programming with significant sporting events aims to drive subscriber acquisition and enhance engagement [17][18] Investment Considerations - Continued execution across key operational metrics positions the company for sustained growth [20] - Current valuations reflect a premium, with a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 10.81 compared to the industry average of 4.48 [21] - Existing shareholders may consider a hold strategy, while new investors might wait for more attractive entry points [24]

Core Insights - Disney is experiencing significant growth in its direct-to-consumer streaming platforms, particularly with the integration of ESPN into Disney+, which is expected to enhance its competitive position in the streaming market [1][8] - The streaming segment reported an operating income of $336 million in Q2 2025, a substantial increase from $47 million in the same quarter last year, indicating a successful turnaround [1][8] - Profitable streaming operations are allowing Disney to invest in high-profile content, such as Moana 2 and Inside Out 2, which not only boosts streaming engagement but also enhances revenue across merchandise, parks, and cruises [2][8] Streaming Subscriber Growth - In Q2 2025, Disney+ added 1.4 million subscribers, reaching a total of 126 million, while Hulu reached 54.7 million subscribers, bringing Disney's total streaming subscribers to 180.7 million, a 2.5% sequential increase [4][8] - This growth reflects Disney's successful transition from traditional media to streaming, showcasing real momentum in subscriber acquisition [4] Competitive Landscape - Netflix remains a dominant player in the U.S. streaming market, with over $11 billion in revenue in Q2 2025 and a 45% earnings growth, leveraging its scale and exclusive content [4] - Paramount Global, through Paramount+ and Pluto TV, is also competing with Disney+ by utilizing its extensive content library, although it faces profitability challenges due to debt and operating losses [5] Financial Performance and Valuation - Disney's stock has gained 9.1% year-to-date, underperforming compared to the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the Zacks Media Conglomerates industry [6] - The current forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio for DIS stock is 19.46X, compared to the industry's 21.1X, indicating a relatively favorable valuation [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Disney's 2025 earnings is $5.78 per share, reflecting a 16.3% increase from the previous year [12]

Netflix Performance & Subscriber Growth - Netflix exceeded expectations in both revenue and earnings, driven by strong subscriber growth and advertising sales [1] - Netflix's subscriber growth and average revenue per user are performing well, demonstrating elasticity against price increases [3] - Netflix's engagement per person has decreased from 65 hours per month to over 50 hours per month since 2023, but remains substantial [7] Content & Engagement - "Squid Game" is a significant driver of engagement for Netflix, with viewership of previous seasons increasing with new releases [5][6] - Netflix's strategy of sourcing content globally and leveraging it across markets is expected to drive continued engagement [6] - Content remains a critical factor for success, with a need for hit series to drive viewership [4] Competition & Market Dynamics - YouTube and Netflix dominate viewership, but YouTube is a significant competitor for user time [9] - YouTube's growth in US screen time is primarily driven by Shorts, which may be impacting Netflix's time to some extent [10][11] - The media landscape is in flux, with potential consolidation among smaller streaming players [13][14] - The shift from linear TV to streaming is accelerating with the movement of sports content to streaming platforms like Apple and Amazon [15][16] - Advertisers are increasingly leveraging the targeting capabilities of streaming platforms, making it challenging for linear TV to compete [15]

Financial Metrics & Outlook - Netflix's operating margin is forecasted at 29% [1] - The company aims to be judged by normal financial metrics [4] - Focus shifts to content spending, efficiency improvements, cash flow, and earnings in place of subscriber numbers [5] Subscriber & Engagement Analysis - Netflix will no longer report subscriber numbers [1] - Engagement, especially with a strong second-half lineup, will be a key metric [1] - Subscriber growth in the US is largely saturated [5] Ad Revenue & Strategy - Netflix is focused on growing ad revenue on its platform [3] - The company is embracing live events like sports to boost the ad business [3] - Netflix is exploring ad-supported tiers, potentially generating more revenue per user than higher-priced, ad-free tiers if viewership is high enough [9] Competition - Competition from newer entrants like YouTube and TikTok is a point of interest [6] Stock Performance - Netflix's stock is up 41% year-to-date in 2025 [4] - There are questions about whether current expectations are already priced into the stock [4]

isn't I don't know if that's awesome. Right. But Zentner will have some Texas charm on that.So I'll leave that to I'll leave that to her. Yeah. >> AP welcome home.Thanks for the time today. >> Great. Yeah.Great to be with you. >> Adam Parker. We, of course, are counting down to Netflix earnings after the bell.Joining us now with what to watch is big technology founder Alex Kantrowitz and Netflix shareholder Jason Knight. Both are CNBC contributors. Afternoon, gentlemen.Good to see you both. >> Good to see y ...

The popular children’s cartoon “Bluey” has been streamed for more than 25 billion minutes so far this year and outranks some of streaming’s most popular new shows—including “Squid Game,” “Reacher” and “The Night Agent." (Photo: Ludo Studio)https://t.co/TRaOTIRFAK https://t.co/IC1NAir2Br ...

I'm not going to I'm not betting against AMJ here. He's got great momentum. Great moment.Let's get the opening bell here. It's a fun one. Uh at the CNBC Real Time Exchange at the big board, we've got Disneyland ringing the bell from California.Disneyland celebrating its 70th anniversary. There's Bob Iger doing the honors along with Josh Camaro. At the NASDAQ, it's Lisa Hawkstein, cast member of Braavos, The Real Housewives of Miami.Jim, as we've gotten some higher targets on Disney last couple weeks, stop w ...

Streaming Performance - The children's cartoon "Bluey" has been streamed for over 25 billion minutes this year [1] - "Bluey"'s streaming performance surpasses that of popular shows like "Squid Game," "Reacher," and "The Night Agent" [1]