Technical Analysis Tools - Traders utilize technical indicators to understand the supply and demand dynamics of securities [1] - The report examines seven technical trading tools [1]

RT chainyoda (@chainyoda)SOL supply is 2x 2021 but SOL usage is 10x 2021. What are yall little bitches complaining about? ...

Vietnam is expected to harvest its biggest coffee crop in four years following good rainfall, which may help to alleviate tight supply and put downward pressure on global prices https://t.co/fy1ChzgngU ...

Summary of Lithium Market Research Industry Overview - The research focuses on the lithium market, particularly its dynamics influenced by electric vehicle (EV) demand and energy storage systems (ESS) [1][2][31] Key Points and Arguments Price Forecasts - Lithium prices are projected to decline to an average of $8,900 per ton in 2026, slightly below the current spot price of $9,150 per ton [1] - If supply delays occur, prices could drop below $8,000 per ton by 2027, nearing the 75th percentile of the cost curve [1] - Prices are expected to rise to $9,100 per ton in 2027 and $9,500 per ton in 2028 as supply cuts are implemented [3][15] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Global lithium demand has increased nearly threefold since 2021, primarily driven by EVs and stationary storage adoption [2] - Demand is expected to rise by 49% from 2025 to 2028, but supply is projected to exceed demand by 26% in 2028 unless producers limit expansions [2] - A total of 1.3 million tons of new supply is planned by 2028, which is nearly double the amount needed to balance the market [2][19] Market Cycles - The lithium market is characterized by a boom-and-bust cycle, with high demand leading to significant price increases followed by rapid supply expansions that cause price collapses [2][17] - The boom in prices and profits in 2022-2023 has led to excess planned supply, contributing to the current bust phase [19] Regulatory Impact - Regulatory actions in China have temporarily suspended 10% of domestic lithium supply, leading to a 24% price increase from mid-2025 lows [2][25] - Despite this, high inventory levels are expected to lead to restarts in Q4 2025, indicating that the price boost is likely temporary [2][22] Inventory Levels - Global lithium inventories are projected to remain high, with around 89 days of demand cover expected in 2026 [15][40] - The market is anticipated to stay in an "orderly bear" regime, avoiding excessive inventory buildup [40] Energy Storage Systems (ESS) - ESS demand has surged, with production up 60% year-to-date in 2025, contributing to a more balanced market despite slower EV demand growth [31] - ESS is expected to account for a significant share of lithium demand, projected to rise to 20% by 2030 [35] Market Regimes - The lithium market is categorized into five regimes based on inventory levels and price anchors, with current conditions suggesting a "disorderly bear" market [33][34] - Prices below $8,500 per ton could lead to mine curtailments, while prices above $12,500 could trigger value-chain destocking [34] Additional Important Insights - The lithium market's unique characteristics, such as low substitution options and rapid supply scaling, contribute to its volatility [18] - The need for consistent supply growth to meet demand is critical, with an estimated 15% annual growth required from 2025 to 2030 [38] - The relationship between lithium hydroxide and carbonate prices has shifted, with hydroxide trading at a discount recently [43] This comprehensive analysis highlights the complexities and evolving dynamics of the lithium market, emphasizing the interplay between demand, supply, regulatory impacts, and pricing strategies.

Market Outlook - Bitcoin is on track to disrupt gold, targeting a $20 trillion market [1][2] - Bitcoin is expected to be used for international transactions, representing another multi-trillion dollar market [2] - Bitwise projects Bitcoin to potentially reach $1 million by 2029 [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Current Bitcoin production is 160 thousand per year, while ETFs are buying 500 thousand [3] - The imbalance between Bitcoin supply and ETF demand is expected to drive price increases [3]

Supply Outlook - Raw sugar prices declined in New York due to expectations of increased supplies from Brazil, the top grower [1] Demand Concerns - Concerns exist regarding demand in China and Indonesia, impacting raw sugar prices [1]

Supply capped.Demand keeps rising.Welcome to the New Money Era. You're still early. https://t.co/wxVOCSRoAN ...

A global oil boom could strain China’s ability to stockpile, the IEA warns, with supply set to exceed demand by millions of barrels a day https://t.co/OFslFjGYsp ...

Group 1 - U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced over $1 billion in net inflows in the past week, coinciding with Bitcoin prices remaining strong above $110,000, indicating a potential test of supply and demand dynamics if the Federal Reserve cuts rates [1][2] - Farside Investors reported a total of $741.5 million in inflows, with Fidelity's FBTC at $299.0 million and BlackRock's IBIT at $211.2 million, reflecting significant interest in Bitcoin ETFs [2][6] - The recent inflow of $757 million translates to approximately 6,640 BTC, which represents nearly 15 days of new issuance at the post-halving rate of about 450 BTC per day [3][4] Group 2 - The upcoming Federal Reserve policy decisions are critical, with a Reuters poll indicating a 25 basis point cut anticipated on September 17, which could further stimulate demand for Bitcoin [4][5] - The supply side of Bitcoin has become more predictable post-halving, with the current block subsidy set at 3.125 BTC and an average of 144 blocks mined daily, establishing a limit on organic supply available for ETF demand [7][8] - The SEC's approval of in-kind creations and redemptions for crypto ETPs has improved the operational mechanics of Bitcoin and ether products, aligning them with traditional commodity ETPs [8]

Copper cooled after briefly touching its highest since late-March in London, as traders weighed the outlook for supply and demand in top market China https://t.co/nIV0TpSY2v ...