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Global Markets Buoyed by Rate Cut Hopes Amidst Analyst Upgrades; Japan and UK Face Fiscal Scrutiny
Stock Market News· 2025-11-26 06:38
Key TakeawaysMajor financial firms have significantly boosted price targets for several prominent UK-listed companies, including Senior PLC (SNR), Imperial Brands (IMB), Smiths Group (SMIN), Reckitt (RKT), and Haleon (HLN).Optimism for Federal Reserve rate reductions is driving Asian and European equity markets higher, following recent weak U.S. economic data.Japan's official Takaichi indicated that strengthening the economy is crucial for fiscal improvement and projected a year-on-year decline in Japanese ...
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-11-26 02:45
路透:知情贸易商透露,根据周二以来签署的合同,中国至少采购10船美国大豆,延续了在近期中美贸易关系缓和后出现的购买趋势。所有船货计划于1月从美国墨西哥湾沿岸码头和西北太平洋港口装运。 ...
油脂油料早报-20251126
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 01:05
油 脂 基 差 : 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分析结论合理,但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。且全部分析及建议内容仅供参考,不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据,客户应当自主做出期货交易决策,独立承担期货交 易后果,凡据此入市者,我公司不承担任何责任。未经公司授权,不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全 部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等,我们均不承担任何责任。 油 脂 油 料 盘 面 价 差 : 蛋 白 粕 基 差 : 油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/11/26 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 : 10月9日止当周美国大豆出口销售合计净增78.64万吨,一如预期 10月9日止当周,美国当前市场年度大豆出口销售净增78.5万吨,较之前一 ...
3 Things to Watch in Grains Friday
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-21 12:07
The corn market was quietly lower early Friday morning. The March issue posted a 1.75-cent trading range – that’s right, just 1.75 cents – on trade volume of fewer than 15,000 contracts as of this writing. What should we read into this activity? Nothing. Let’s see how things play out. A look back at Thursday’s session, when March, May, and July finished 3.75 cents in the red while the nearby and soon to be in delivery December closed 3.25 cents lower at $4.2650. Speaking of the Dec25 issue (ZCZ25), Friday i ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-17 19:55
Soybean futures jumped on signals that China is stepping up buying of the oilseed, offering hope for US farmers after purchases appeared to have stalled https://t.co/a3JOk55TMY ...
Will Markets Be Wild Again This Week?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 12:11
The corn market traded either side of unchanged overnight through Monday’s early morning hours, on still light trade volume. December has lost its status of most open interest, but I’ll begin with the nearby issue anyway. Dec25 is showing a 3.5-cent trading range, 1.75 cents on either side of unchanged and was sitting 1.25 cents higher while registering 23,000 contracts changing hands. Is this big volume or moderate at best? It’s difficult to tell these days. My Blink reaction is to say low volume, but agai ...
Mhy20251117油脂晚评:豆油为何相对坚挺?油粕比进一步走强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 10:42
Market Overview - The USDA's November supply and demand report indicates that the expected soybean planting area for the 2025/26 season is 81.1 million acres, with a harvest area of 80.3 million acres and a yield of 53 bushels per acre, leading to an estimated production of 4.253 billion bushels, a decrease from the previous month's estimate of 4.301 billion bushels [1] - NOPA's monthly report predicts that U.S. soybean processing in October will reach 209.522 million bushels, a 5.9% increase from September and a 4.8% increase from October 2024, potentially setting a new monthly record [2] - Malaysian palm oil exports for the first half of November are reported to have decreased significantly, with AmSpec reporting a 10% drop and SGS reporting a 44.9% decrease compared to the previous month [2][3] Production and Export Forecasts - Industry analyst Thomas Mielke forecasts Indonesia's palm oil production for 2026 to be 49 million tons, slightly down from 49.4 million tons in 2025, while Malaysia's production is expected to decrease from 19.86 million tons in 2025 to 19.5 million tons in 2026 [3] - Dorab Mistry anticipates a global palm oil production increase of 1.5 million tons for the 2025/26 season, with total vegetable oil supply rising by 4.2 million tons and demand increasing by 6 million tons [3] - Canada's canola seed exports have decreased by 35.67% to 121,200 tons as of November 9, with a year-on-year decline of 54.10% [3] Pricing and Market Dynamics - Malaysia has set the reference price for palm oil at 4,206.38 ringgit per ton for December, with an export tax rate of 10% [3] - The market for soybean oil remains strong, driven by the performance of canola oil and high import costs, which support soybean oil prices despite a pullback in soybean prices [6]
油脂油料早报-20251117
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-17 02:12
Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents the latest information on the supply and demand of major oilseeds and oils in the 2025/26 period, including data on soybeans, rapeseeds, and palm oil, as well as the expected trend of U.S. soybean crushing volume and inventory [1] Summary by Related Catalogs 2025/26 Annual U.S. Soybean Information - The estimated production for the 2025/26 U.S. soybean season is 4.253 billion bushels, down from the September estimate of 4.301 billion bushels - The estimated planting area is 81.1 million acres, the same as the September estimate - The estimated harvested area is 80.3 million acres, consistent with the September estimate - The estimated yield per acre is 53 bushels, down from the September estimate of 53.5 bushels - The estimated export volume is 1.635 billion bushels, down from the September estimate of 1.685 billion bushels - The estimated ending stocks are 290 million bushels, down from the September estimate of 300 million bushels [1] 2025/26 Annual Global Soybean Information - Brazil's estimated soybean production is 175 million tons, the same as the September estimate, and the estimated export volume is 112.5 million tons, up from the September estimate of 112 million tons - Argentina's estimated soybean production is 48.5 million tons, the same as the September estimate, and the estimated export volume is 8.25 million tons, up from the September estimate of 6 million tons - China's estimated soybean imports are 112 million tons, the same as the September estimate - Global estimated soybean production is 421.75 million tons, down from the September estimate of 425.87 million tons, and the estimated ending stocks are 121.99 million tons, down from the September estimate of 123.99 million tons [1] U.S. October Soybean Crushing Volume - The estimated U.S. soybean crushing volume in October is 209.522 million bushels, an increase of 5.9% from September's 197.863 million bushels and 4.8% from October 2024's 199.943 million bushels, setting a new record high [1] U.S. October Soybean Oil Inventory - The estimated U.S. soybean oil inventory in October is 1.257 billion pounds, an increase of 1.1% from the end - of - September inventory of 1.243 billion pounds and 17.0% from October 2024's 1.074 billion pounds [1] 2025/26 Annual Global Rapeseed Information - Global estimated rapeseed production is 92.273 million tons, an increase of 6.274 million tons year - on - year, and the estimated ending stocks are 11.336 million tons, an increase of 1.504 million tons year - on - year - Global estimated rapeseed oil production is 35.009 million tons, an increase of 0.873 million tons year - on - year, and the estimated ending stocks are 3.19 million tons, a decrease of 0.016 million tons year - on - year - Global estimated rapeseed meal production is 50.005 million tons, an increase of 0.949 million tons year - on - year, and the estimated ending stocks are 1.541 million tons, an increase of 0.153 million tons year - on - year - Canada's estimated rapeseed export volume is 6.7 million tons, a decrease of 2.631 million tons year - on - year; the estimated rapeseed oil export volume is 3.375 million tons, an increase of 0.06 million tons year - on - year; the estimated rapeseed meal export volume is 5.5 million tons, a decrease of 0.299 million tons year - on - year [1] Malaysia Palm Oil Export - Malaysia's palm oil product export volume from November 1 - 15 is 728,995 tons, a decrease of 15.5% compared to the same period last month [1] Indonesia Palm Oil Production - Indonesia's palm oil production in 2026 is expected to increase by 3 - 4%, lower than this year's estimated growth rate of 4 - 7%, and the 2025 palm oil export is expected to increase by 6 - 7% [1] Spot Prices - The report provides spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from November 10 - 14, 2025 [2]
USDA data blackout fuels uncertainty ahead of upcoming crop report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-13 11:15
By Karl Plume and Julie Ingwersen CHICAGO (Reuters) -A crop data blackout during the longest-ever U.S. government shutdown has led to the widest range of analyst estimates in a decade for corn and soybean yields, as an information vacuum at harvest time and during critical trade negotiations distorted the market for the country's two most ​valuable crops. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture is set to release a hotly anticipated crop report including the government's first estimates of the two f ...
面对极端气候须优化种植结构
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-12 09:45
Core Insights - The overall stability of grain production in China amidst extreme weather events is attributed to the dual drivers of optimized planting structure and innovative agricultural technology [1] - The promotion of intercropping techniques in North China and drought-resistant wheat varieties in Northwest regions has significantly improved crop yields and resource efficiency [1] - Despite achievements, challenges such as labor shortages, low farmer engagement, and frequent natural disasters remain pressing issues [1] Policy Support - The government has enhanced its policy support system, providing timely and precise responses to agricultural challenges, including a recent allocation of 484 million yuan for disaster relief during the autumn harvest [2] - Future subsidy mechanisms may be linked to planting area and actual yield to improve funding efficiency and encourage diversified investment from government, enterprises, and society [2] Agricultural Technology Development - There is a strong emphasis on agricultural technology research, integration, and application, including the use of modern techniques like gene editing and AI for breeding innovations [3] - Regional green production technology models are being developed and promoted, with a focus on creating replicable solutions [3] - A diversified agricultural technology promotion system is being established to enhance collaboration among scientists, enterprises, and farmers [3] New Agricultural Entities - The cultivation of new agricultural entities such as collective economic organizations and family farms is being accelerated to stimulate grain production [3] - Successful examples, like the unified management of farmland in Suzhou, demonstrate the potential for increased yields and profits through organized farming [3] - There is a need to connect small farmers with modern agricultural practices to enhance production motivation and create a cohesive agricultural management model [3] Future Outlook - The transformation towards optimized planting structures and agricultural innovation represents a significant shift in agricultural practices, moving from traditional methods to a more integrated approach [4] - The integration of cutting-edge technologies with agriculture is essential for developing sustainable and efficient production models [4] - A comprehensive agricultural disaster prevention and mitigation system is necessary to enhance resilience and sustainability in grain production [4]